King Creole | NBA Total Wed, 01/13/10 - 7:35 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 707 BOS / 708 NJN UNDER 190.0 BetUS
Analysis: 7:30pm ET / Boston Celtics @ New Jersey Nets
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
8:00pm ET / San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
2** Play on: OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
9:00pm ET / Orlando Magic @ Denver Nuggets
2** Play on: DENVER NUGGETS
Boston looks to put the clamps down on defense off that surprising home favorite loss to the Atlanta Hawks 2 nights ago. This season's earlier meeting versus the Nets in New Jersey went "UNDER" by 17 points (OU Line: 179 / Score: 86-76). So why is tonight's OU line 11 points higher? When the OU line in this series is 190 < points, the UNDER is a PERFECT 0-4 O/U.
0-5 O/U in January: All NBA division home UNDERDOGS (Nets).
1-5 O/U last 5 weeks: All home teams playing off 3 or more ROAD losses in a row (Nets).
0-5 O/U in January: All road favs playing off a SU home favorite loss (Celtics).
1-6 O/U this season: All Dogs of 8 > points playing off BB SU losses... but BB ATS wins (nets).
1-6 O/U since Dec. 1st: All NBA teams playing off a SU home loss to the Atlanta Hawks (Celtics).
Our two SIDE PLAYS both qualify in the same System. And to play it safe, we should always play ALL active teams in a current hot YTD pattern.
3-16 ATS last 4 weeks: All NBA teams playing with NO REST off a SU win (Spurs / Magic)... versus an opponent with 1 day rest (THUNDER / MAGIC). The Spurs beat the Lakers LAST night... while the Magic beat the Kings LAST night. We also note that these tired teams are 1-9 ATS if their host opponent is off a SU win... and BOTH the Thunder and the Nuggets Are indeed off a win in their last game.
5-0 ATS this month: All NBA favorites playing in their 4th STRAIGHT home game (THUNDER)... and off a SU win in their last game.
9-1 ATS last 10 days: All non-division 'short' home favorites of < 4 points (THUNDER).
7-1 ATS this season: All home favs of > 7 points playing off a home win of 15 or more points (THUNDER).
The Spurs are historically a very POOR team when they played the previpous night.
San Antonio is 1-8 ATS in the last 2 seasons as road dogs of 6 < points with NO REST.
Laker "Letdown":
0-5 ATS since 1991: All NBA road dogs with NO REST who beat the LA LAKERS by 20 or more points the previous night.
0-4 ATS last 4 weeks: All NBA teams playing off a SU favorite ROAD win of 20 or more points (Magic). Underdogs in this situation (Magic) have gone 1-5 ATS this season.
16-7 ATS this season: All NBA teams playing off a SU home win BUT an ATS loss in a game in which they were a double-digit favorite (NUGGETS) vs an opponent off a SU win. Since Dec. 1st, favorites in this situation have gone 9-1 ATS (NUGGETS).
6-1 ATS this season: All WESTERN Conf HF's off a DD SU win (NUGGETS) versus an EASTERN Conf opponent off a SU win (Magic).
The HOST team in this Nugget / Magic series has gone 11-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.