Service Plays Wednesday 1/13/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Was this Andrew Bucciarelli?

lefty

NCAABB
1* on these totals
UGLY game system

1* C. Michigan/Ball st o-114.5(7pm) - Ball st is prone to some abysmal shooting nights when facing solid defensive teams. C.Michigan isn't one of them. They have allowed teams to top 125 in points per possession(PPP) which translates to 55-60 pts. as you will see with my pick of C Michigan in the game also, that if Ball st can get to 55, then this game should get to 120 based on C.Mich getting to at least 65.

1* George Mason/Georgia st o-117.5(7pm) - What gets this game over is the mason defense isn't strong. They allow teams a top 100 in PPP and while Geo st isn't an up tempo team by any stretch of the imagination, they should be able to top the 60 pts barrier here. Georgia st also has allowed 60+ points to 7 of their last 8 opponents so they don't exactly shut you down either as their PPP is slightly lower but they allow more possessions in total.

1* Syracuse/Rutgers over 144(7:30 pm) - I have this hitting 158. Syracuse in top 15 in pace and they put up in the 70's vs Pitt and Memphis, 2 slower teams. They should easily reach their 85 pts season avg here. Does Rutgers hit 60? Since I think the spread is about right, that would put the Knights around 70 putting this one well about 10-15 pts over the posted total.

2* Virginia -2 over Georgia tech(7pm) - Another unranked opponent favored over a ranked opponent angle here. Plus we also have the sandwich game angle to look at. Georgia tech is off of a big win at Duke and next up is another big game at N.Carolina. That makes this a classic look ahead spot for Tech. Virginia is playing with confidence right now as they have won 5 in a row over some questionable competition but still those wins give them momentum here. .

1* Central Michigan -9 over Ball st - The Chippewas have lived on the road for the last month and now get to play only their 2nd home game since 11/18/09. Look for them to come out with a renewed enthusiasm. It is amazing what sleeping in your own dorms for a couple of days in a row will do for you. They have played well since getting some rest(this is only their 3rd game in 23 days) and I look for them to come out and put 70 on Ball st.

1* Michigan st -6.5 over Minnesota(6:30 pm) - This is one I like to play every year. Michigan st just owns Minnesota. They have lost just once in the last 5 years to the Gophers. The style that the 2 schools play just create bad match ups for Minny. Kind of like BC vs N.Carolina. Every team has that team they just have success with. Spartans are always tough at home as they just get after the boards better at home. That is the one area where they will make hay tonight.

good luck to us,
lefty

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

the booooj cbb

20 unit mitchigan st-6.5
10 unit pittsburgh+6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KBHOOPS

5* Virginia -2 **POD**
4* Clemson -4.5
4* Iowa State +7.5
4* Nebraska +12
4* Missouri -4
3* Utah State +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diceituponline - Hammer's Picks (1/13)

January 13, 2010
NBA: New York +2.5 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Phoenix -3.5 = 20 Dimes
NBA: Boston -8 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Golden State -2 = 10 Dimes
NHL: Vancouver -120 = 20 Dimes
NHL: Boston +120 = 10 Dimes

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rocketman

Boston College +17

Boston College travels to Durham, NC tonight to take on the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC matchup. Boston College is now 10-6 overall on the season while Duke comes in with a 13-2 record this year. Boston College has been a solid road underdog team as they are 74-45 ATS on the road since 1997. Boston College is allowing only 63.7 points per game overall this year. That defense alone gives us a solid chance of covering the high number here tonight. Boston College has covered 6 of 8 games against Duke since 1997. Duke is 0-5 ATS their last 5 games after a SU loss. The last 3 meetings between these two teams has resulted in Duke winning by 1 point, 10 points and Boston College winning outright by 6 points. I'm expecting another close game here tonight. We'll play Boston College for 4 units tonight!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Evansville +12

We recommend a 3-unit play on Evansville.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Opposite Action Plays

76ers -2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony George

Pittsburgh +6

DEFENSE. U Conn has lost to common opponents while Pitt has won, even on the road. U Conn has allowed 70 ppg their last 5 games, while Pitt has allowed 58 ppg. I like the depth of Pit here, in what should be a very tight game and Pitt has won and covered 4 out of the last 5 in this heated series. Pitt 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 in conference action. Too many points, 3 pointer one way or the other. Play 1 Unit on Pitt

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Balfe

SA Spurs +1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

sports exchange

pitt
s. fla
texas tech

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NCAAB

2 units Virginia -2
2 units Clemson -4.5

 

[brady1983]

BURNS


Burns' ESPN ANNIHILATOR! (7:00 ET) *1st CBB Total!
Under Total: 132.5/-108

I'm playing on UConn and Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies blew a 19-point lead in their last game and Coach Calhoun wasn't at all happy. He was quoted as saying: "It's the most heartbreaking loss this year. It's not even close..." I expect him to have his team ready to crank up the defensive intensity here. While this year's lineups have a much different look than last year's, its still worth noting that this has traditionally been a low-scoring series. The UNDER is 3-1 the last four meetings. The three games that stayed below the total had combined scores of 130, 113 and 117. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at 8-4 the last 12 times that these teams faced each other. Both teams can still be tough to score against. The Huskies allow opponents to shoot a mere 37.3%. The Panthers allow opponents to shoot only 38.1%. They're allowing just 58 points per game. The last time that the Huskies were a favorite of this size was their last home game. They held Seton Hall to 35.5% shooting and the game stayed below the total by 20 points. Pittsburgh scores a lot less points than Seton Hall and is also much better defensively. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *8 Annihilator


Burns' *10* BEST BET ATS ROUT (7:00 ET) *26-14 L40
Indiana +3.5

I'm taking the points with INDIANA. The Suns are favored largely because they've got the better overall record. However, the Pacers' home record is actually slightly better than the Suns' road record. Indiana is 9-9 at home, Phoenix is 9-10 on the road. Both teams won their last game by identical 105-101 scores. However, the Pacers win was arguably more impressive and was of the "momentum-building" variety. The same can't be said of the Suns victory. That said, I feel the Pacers have an excellent shot at scoring the upset. I say that the Pacers last win was the type a team can build momentum from because they rallied from a 23-point deficit. That came against a Toronto team which had been red hot, too. Prior to that, the Raptors had won eight of 10. With that win, the Pacers are now a perfect 3-0 here at home in 2010. That's got them back to .500 here and they're hungry to climb above the mark tonight. Prior to the win over the Raptors, they'd beaten a very good Orlando team. In other words, if they're capable of defeating the defending Eastern Conf. champs here, they're capable of beating just about anyone. (They also beat the Celtics here earlier in the season - the Celts and Magic are a combined 27-13 on the road) While the Pacers rallied from a big deficit in their last game, the Suns blew a big lead. Facing a Milwaukee team which is now just 4-13 on the road, they Suns squandered a 24-point deficit, fell behind by a point, and hung on to win by only four points. That wasn't anything new for the Suns, either. In their previous three games, they'd blown leads of 13, 16 and 20 points. With the likes of Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire on the floor, we know that the Suns can score. They also allow the second most points in the league though - only Golden St. allows more - and I believe the Pacers match up well against them. The Pacers, who recently got leading scorer Danny Granger (24.1, 5.9, 2.Cool back, have five players averaging in double-digits and seven players who average nine or more points per game. The Pacers did have some trouble with the Suns in recent years. However, they beat them outright in the last meeting and are 3-1 ATS the last four meetings. They're also a profitable 7-4 ATS the last 11 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. I expect them to build off the Toronto win and improve on those stats this evening. *10 Best Bet

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Nick Cantoro
SportsMoneyManagers
Eddie Jay's

NCAABB
4* utah +11
3* unc+5
3*marshall-2
2* george mason over 117
2* uncw over 128
2* delaware +16

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joey Torelli 1/13

Premium plays:

Cincinnati pk
Nevada -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenny Del Genio

New Orleans -5.5

We feel that all the right factors are in place for a Hornets blowout here. For starters, going back to April of '07, they have absolutely dominated the Clippers, winning and covering all 11 meetings. Six of those wins have come by double-digits, including the first meeting of this year, a 112-84 decision at Staples Center. Eight days later they would beat LA again, this time at home by a score of 110-102 and that was without Chris Paul. The Hornets PG is back and playing well, posting four straight double-doubles and is averaging 17.3 PPG and 12.8 APG in the month of January, a stretch that has seen the team go 5-1 straight up. Off their first loss of the new year, to Philadelphia no less, New Orleans isn't going to take the Clippers lightly here, especially considering their opponents come in having covered the number in each of their last seven games. Furthermore, they catch Los Angeles in a great spot as the Clips played last night in Memphis, losing 104-102, a game that was delayed 36 minutes to due a fire alarm malfunction and saw them blow a double-digit lead. We expect a flat effort from the visitors tonight. Also worth pointing out is how good the Hornets have been at home recently while how poorly the Clippers have played on the road during that same stretch. New Orleans checks in with a 14-3 home record, third best in the conference (behind only the Lakers and Denver, who have both played more home games) and have won six straight on their own floor. LA, meanwhile, has now lost its last five road games to fall to 5-11 SU in away games this season. The Clippers are not an effective team when playing with revenge (37-53 ATS last two seasons) and are even worse in double revenge spots going 28-41 ATS. We don't have the numbers when they play with revenge for 11 straight losses! New Orleans, meanwhile, is 35-14 ATS in this building when off BB non-conference games. Playing in the second night of back to backs has not been kind to LA this year as they are 2-4-1 ATS in said scenario. New Orleans is our #1 NBA Blowout of the Month.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dwayne Bryant

Bet: #756 Virginia -2

Love this game for a couple reasons. First, despite a majority of the bets coming in on Tech, this line has moved from Virginia -1 to -2. That's a pretty good indicator of where the "smart money" is going. Second, this is a very tough spot for Tech. They're coming off a huge upset win over Duke, and they have a visit to North Carolina to take on the Tar Heels up next. So this is a definite look-ahead and/or flat spot for Georgia Tech. Virginia has reeled off five straight wins and they're playing with great confidence right now, so looking past the Cavaliers will be a big mistake. Virginia has shot the 3-pointer very well, especially at home (45.7%), but Tech hasn't defended it all that well on the road (37.7%). The Cavs have also defended very well at home (56.1 points allowed per game on 39.2% shooting) and they rebound well there also (+8.5 boards per game). The line move and the huge possibility of a look-ahead/letdown tell me that there's only one way to go here. Take Virginia.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kindergarden Capper

Pitt over 131
Uconn plays the fast pace and we don’t. But our team is finally clicking and I think we put 65 up against Uconn. Both teams have been playing to higher totals in Big East play so far.

Old Dominion over 128
Seems like a high number and with a struggling UNCW offense this could be tough.

Toledo under 127
Toledo plays slow and terrible. They have scored 56 or less in 7 of their last 10 games. EMU has scored less than 60 four of their last 10.

Davidson under 138
Davidson D has played one of the tougher schedules against Off Eff. and should be able to stop Furman.

Charlotte under 146
I don’t see Charlotte being able to handle the Xavier D at home. This game went way under this last year as Charlotte avg. 56 pts in the two meetings. Just hope that Xav gets a lead and slows down.

Rutgers over 142.5
Seems low when Syracuse could possibly put up 80 in this matchup. Rutgers in fast paced games have gone over this total.

Southern Illinois under 138.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

oklahoma city
cent fla
nevada

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor

NCAA 4-0 w/* series (5-9 with all plays)

7:00 PM EST

Duquesne -6.5*

Wichita St. -3.5

7:30 PM EST

Xavier -9.5

8:00 PM EST

Northern Illinois -1
South Carolina -9.5

9:00 PM EST

Missouri -3.5

10:00 PM EST

UNLV -6.5* [A] if Duquesne wins, [C] if they lose

New Mexico -9.5


NBA 39-1 w/ * series (51-24 with all plays)

Washington Wizards +11.5*

Phoenix Suns -3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Street Rosenthal of Handicappingtrends

*200 Phoenix Suns -4 (NBA)
*200 Okalhoma City Thunder -1.5 (NBA)