Service Plays Wednesday 1/13/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB WRITE-UP

Wednesday, January 13

Information on the best of Wednesday's college basketball games........

Michigan State won last six games vs Minnesota, winning last five here by 11-19-24-6-29 points; Spartans are 3-0 in Big 11, covering all three league games by 21-7-18 points, allowing 56.7 ppg. Minnesota is 8-1 in last nine games, losing by 19 at Purdue; they're 0-2 as an underdog this season. Big 11 home favorites are 8-6 vs spread in league play.

Pitt won three of last four games vs UConn, even splitting last eight in Nutmeg State; home teams won four of last five series games. Panthers are 3-0 in Big East, winning last two games at Syracuse/Cincinnati. Pitt took 29 more FTs than their opponents in those two road wins. UConn is 2-0 as Big East home favorite, beating ND by 12, Seton Hall by 8.

Virginia Tech had 9-game win streak snapped at UNC Sunday; Hokies are 7-2 in last nine games vs Miami, winning last three by 14-5-18 pts, two of which were in ACC tourney. Miami is 15-1, losing by a point at Boston College; they've won three other road games, all vs stiffs. ACC home favorites are 4-7 against spread in league play.

Wichita State won 13 of last 14 games, covering last four with wins by 23-12-3-12 points; Shockers won seven of last nine games vs Indiana St, but are 2-3 in last five visits here. Sycamores won three of last four, are 2-0 at home in Valley, beating Creighton, Evansville. Favorites covered six of last eight series games. MVC home dogs are 1-4 vs spread.

Visiting team won last three Georgia Tech-Virginia games; Tech travels after Duke upset Saturday- they're 2-1 on road, beating Chattanooga and Charlotte, losing at Georgia. Jackets are 9-2 in last 11 games. Virginia won last five games, beating UAB, NC State. ACC home teams are 5-7 vs spread in conference play, 4-7 if favored.

Ole Miss won three of last four games vs Georgia, with wins by 18-14-22 points; Rebels split last four games after 10-1 start; they're 1-1 away from home, losing at West Virginia, winning by 22 at Arkansas St. SEC home teams are 1-5 vs spread so far this season. Georgia won seven in a row at home since getting upset 70-67 by Wofford Nov 17.

UTEP lost three of last four visits to Houston, winning here LY; teams split meetings in last two C-USA tourneys; last 10 series games were all decided by 8 or less points. Miners are 1-1 on road, losing at Texas Tech by 8; they're 1-3 as underdog. Houston lost four of its last five games. C-USA teams are 3-6 vs spread so far this season.

Wisconsin's 2nd-leading scorer Leuer is out (broken wrist); Badgers won five of last six games vs Northwestern, splitting last four visits here (LY, they lost 66-63 in this gym). Wisconsin is 3-1 in Big 11, winning by 22-17-7 points, but they're 1-2 on road, losing at Green Bay/Michigan State and Leuer's injury hurts. Wildcats are 1-2 in Big 11, losing by 6-21.

Home side won five of last six Missouri-Texas Tech games; Tigers lost last three visits here by 11-18-8 points, but they beat Tech 97-86/81-60 LY, with second win in Big 12 tourney. Average total in last three series games is 166.7. Tech is 10-0 at home but lost its Big 12 opener 81-52 at Oklahoma State. Missouri won last eight games, is 1-2 on road.

North Carolina won last ten games vs Clemson, winning last three visits to Littlejohn by 19-22-2 points; UNC covered six of last nine in series. Tar Heels are 0-3 on road, losing at Kentucky/Texas/Charleston. Tigers won seven of last eight games; they're 8-0 at home. ACC home favorites are 4-7 against the spread. Can't find last time Clemson was series fave.

Home team won last five Vanderbilt-Alabama games; Commodores lost last two visits here by 3-5 points- Tide beat Vandy 82-75 in conference tourney last March. Bama won last four games, winning by 17 at LSU in SEC opener. Vandy won its last six games, beating Florida 95-87 in SEC opener. SEC home favorites are just 1-4 against the spread.

San Diego State beat UNLV three times LY, twice in this gym; Aztecs won seven of last ten series games. Underdogs are 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games. Rebels lost two of last three games after 11-1 start, but they split tough road trip, winning at Pit after losing by 4 at BYU. San Diego State lost at Wyoming Saturday, their 2nd loss in last 12 games.

Nevada-Utah State split last eight meetings, going 1-1 in WAC tourney; Aggies lost three of last four visits to Reno, with losses by 17-5-13 pts. Wolf Pack won seven of last nine games, covering five of last six; they're 5-0 vs spread as a favorite. USU lost last three road games by 13-3-22 points. WAC home favorites are 7-5 against the spread this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL DUNKEL


Pittsburgh at Calgary
The Penguins look to build on their 8-3-1 record in the last 12 meetings between the two teams. Pittsburgh is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 13

Game 1-2: Vancouver at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.774; Minnesota 11.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 3-4: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.711; Florida 11.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over

Game 5-6: Pittsburgh at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.959; Calgary 10.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 7-8: Boston at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.466; Anaheim 11.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL WRITE-UP

Wednesday, January 13

Hot Teams
-- Minnesota won last three games, scoring 14 goals.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Ducks won their last four games, allowing six goals.

Cold Teams
-- Canucks lost last two games, after winning seven of previous eight.
-- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Flames lost three of their last four games. Penguins lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Bruins lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last nine Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-0-2 in last nine Calgary games.
-- Three of last four Anaheim games stayed under the total.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Washington is 2-4 if it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Canucks won five in row, eight of last nine against Minnesota.
-- Washington won six of last nine games against the Panthers.
-- Penguins won last two games against Calgary, 3-2/2-0.
-- Home side won three of last four Boston-Anaheim games.

 

[tinfw17]

MREAST NCAAB WEDNESDAY PLAY OF THE DAY

The Connecticut Huskies can play at a high level, when they are running the floor, their athletes stand out in Dyson, Robinson, and Walker, but when they are forced into a halfcourt game, they really struggle. Last time out they let a 19 point lead slip away at Georgetown, after looking like a #1 team for 20 minutes they looked like an also ran thereafter. They have struggled all season vs teams you'd expect them to blowout, but playing 40 minutes has been an isue for this team. Now they get a tough Pitt team, that is finally healthy and it shows. Jermaine Dixon has played only 7 games, and , and this will be the 5th for Gilbert Brown, and with both on the court the Panthers have won and covered every game. They will at the very least be in this one all the way, and I'm going with Pitt here.

#725 PITT PANTHERS @ #726 UCONN HUSKIES 7PM EST

PLAY ON #725 PITT PANTHERS +6.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

 

[tinfw17]

Bryan Leonard's 4* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year!

805/806 San Diego State at UNLV

The Rebels really struggle against physical athletic squads which was very evident in their two losses to USC and Kansas State. The Aztecs are the type of team that UNLV dreads, and it's shown in their recent meetings. San Diego State won all three match-ups with the Rebels last year including two wins on this court. Steve Fisher recruits a certain type of player to fit into his system and he always has the most athletic squad in the conference. San Diego State has won 7 of the last 10 games in this series and there is no way they should be an underdog of this magnitude tonight.

The Aztecs are off an embarrassing loss at Wyoming where they blew a double digit lead against the Cowboys. With only a home date with TCU on deck you know this is a statement game for the visitor.

UNLV is off an impressive win in The Pit against New Mexico, but they suffer a letdown here. This is just a bad match-up for the Rebels and the Aztecs exploit it.

PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE

 

[ugk]

Randall the Handle


ANAHEIM -½ +1.17 over Boston
The Ducks woke up a few games ago and the other teams in the West had better hope this team doesn’t make the playoffs because this is not the team you want to draw in the first round. The Ducks have been wildly inconsistent with so many disturbing losses and this year is really a mirror image of last season when they were also so inconsistent but rallied late to make the playoffs. They have now won four in a row and that includes a 3-1 win in Chicago in its last game, despite being outplayed. Over that stretch the Ducks outscored its opponents 14-6 and to top it off, Jonas Hiller is really in a nice groove right now. When he’s on, Hiller has proven he’s one of the best. Enter the Bruins, a team that had dropped three of four, that’s struggling miserably to score goals and that has some key players on the rack. This is a place the Bruins seldom visit (one game here in the past seven years) and they have the Sharks up next tomorrow night. These Ducks are not a non-playoff team, yet the find themselves six points out right now. However, they’re wickedly dangerous when they show up and cannot afford not to. Play: Anaheim -½ +1.17 (Risking 2 units).

 

[ugk]

KINDERGARTEN CAPPER

Pitt over 131
Uconn plays the fast pace and we don’t. But our team is finally clicking and I think we put 65 up against Uconn. Both teams have been playing to higher totals in Big East play so far.

Old Dominion over 128
Seems like a high number and with a struggling UNCW offense this could be tough.

Toledo under 127
Toledo plays slow and terrible. They have scored 56 or less in 7 of their last 10 games. EMU has scored less than 60 four of their last 10.

Davidson under 138
Davidson D has played one of the tougher schedules against Off Eff. and should be able to stop Furman.

Charlotte under 146
I don’t see Charlotte being able to handle the Xavier D at home. This game went way under this last year as Charlotte avg. 56 pts in the two meetings. Just hope that Xav gets a lead and slows down.

Rutgers over 142.5
Seems low when Syracuse could possibly put up 80 in this matchup. Rutgers in fast paced games have gone over this total.

Southern Illinois under 138.5

 

[ugk]

BRANDON LANG

Brandon Lang Wednesday's Selection ... 25 DIME - NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS - Huge flat spot for the Badgers.

Off a huge home win over undefeated Purdue, Wisconsin now takes to the road as a small favorite at Northwestern.

I like what the Wildcats showed me with the big road win at Michigan, and now back home catching points is good value.

Off a straight up win Northwestern has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS next game out, and they couldn't ask for a better spot in which to get this Wisconsin team tonight.

Some terrible numbers for the Badgers in this spot tonight:

They are just 2-5 ATS last 7 on the road and 3-8-1 ATS last 12 when facing a team with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS last 5 at Northwestern and 1-4 ATS last 5 and 2-5 ATS last 7 versus the Wildcats overall.

With an outstanding 8-2 home mark with the two losses being to Michigan State and Butler, I really feel this is a great spot for the home dog.

25 dime - Northwestern

FREE SELECTION - TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS

 

[beachbum]

Anyone Have-

ras just released three, Thank You!

 

[Lt.Dan]

ras just released three, Thank You!

PM me for list.

 

[tinfw17]

Tom Freese Blue Line Club NBA 10* GAME OF THE WEEK GOES WEDNESDAY NIGHT!

Difficult spot here for San Antonio here as they beat the Lakers last night by 20 points. Oklahoma City who is led by the brilliant Kevin Durant who averages just under 29 points a game. Guard Russell Westbrook chips in with 16.3 points and forward Jeff Green puts up 14 points a night. The Spurs have not done well as underdogs of late going 1-7 ATS their last 8 games as road dogs. The rested Thunder will wear down the tired Spurs. NBA GAME OF THE WEEK PLAY ON #712 OKLAHOMA CITY -

 

[GOFOR2]

Big Al McMordie

Vanderbilt at Alabama
Prediction: Alabama

At 9 pm, our member selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide over Vanderbilt, as we will fade the Commodores, who have won six straight following two losses in early December (against Illinois and Western Kentucky). But each of Vanderbilt's last six games have come at home, in Nashville, and Vandy is a super 9-0 at home this season. However, it is a mediocre 3-3 away from home, and that's been Vandy's downfall over the years. Indeed, since 1990, the Commodores are an awful 15-43 ATS on the road off a home win, provided they are not favored by more than two points in the current game. Alabama comes into tonight's contest off an upset win, 66-49, at LSU as a 2-point underdog. And the Crimson Tide are 67% (26-13 ATS) since 1997 off an upset win. Bama has covered each of the three meetings between these two clubs over the past two seasons, and we'll back the Crimson Tide tonight

 

[sassbud]

PM me for list.

You dont share the picks?

 

[tinfw17]

Dave Malinsky

Spurs at Thunder

4* #712 OKLAHOMA CITY -1.5 over SAN ANTONIO

One of the strongest long-term patterns in the NBA has been the difficulties the Spurs continue to have in back-to-back settings, with the run at 28-45 ATS over the last 4+ seasons (you might see 27-46 from other tracking’s, but we credit them for an underdog cover in a game that they lost in O.T.). The key for our purposes is that the oddsmakers have not adjusted for this, largely because when teams of this caliber are involved there is always going to be public money for them anyway, and that the real reasons for the slide in the role are not fully understood. So in a most favorable price range we get to play again here.

Our take on the back-to-back failures has nothing to do with the advancing age of Tim Duncan and other key cogs, but the fact that one of the prime reasons for their success through the years has been the ability of Gregg Popovich to game plan for an opponent. When Popovich has a full day or more to prepare he may be the very best in the NBA at putting the X’s and O’s together, but when that time is taken away, they suddenly become a much lesser team. And that is what we have here. Off of a major home win on Tuesday against the Lakers there is precious little turnaround time for this challenge, and note that despite the big final margin the game was not put away until the latter stages, with Duncan having to toil 39:48. That takes a toll on him for this one, and with Tony Parker dealing with plantar fasciitis, which is going to make back-to-back nights awkward for him as the season progresses, this is a much more vulnerable team than the markets are projecting.

It is more than just the back-to-back nights that is being missed in this line, but the fact that San Antonio has played the softest schedule in the league to this point. The Spurs have had one road game against a winning team in the last five weeks, a 12-point loss at Phoenix, and are just 1-5 SU on the road against winning teams this season. Now a rested and ready Oklahoma City team that is only playing for the third time in seven days, having only faced the weak Pacers and Knicks in that span, can take full advantage, and with a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS run in the last four meetings in the series the confidence is there to get the job done.

 

[ugk]

Smooth44

CBB

7:00PM EST
755 Georgia Tech
756 Virginia
TOP PLAY: VIRGINIA ML -115

7:00PM EST
743 Wichita State
744 Indiana State
TOP PLAY: WICHITA STATE -4

7:00PM EST
723 Minnesota U
724 Michigan State
TOP PLAY: MICHIGAN STATE -6 -120

8:00PM EST
787 UTEP
788 Houston U
TOP PLAY: HOUSTON OVER 159

 

[ugk]

TIM TRUSHEL
Okla city/20*(nba)
Alabama/reg
texas tech/ reg

 

[ugk]

WAYNE ROOT

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

6*Virginia Tech (-3½) over MiamiFlorida (BILLIONAIRE CLUB)
7:00 PM -- Cassell Coliseum


3*Utah State (+3½) over Nevada (VEGAS LEGEND CLUB)
11:00 PM -- Lawlor Events Center

 

[ugk]

ALFRED KELLEY'S BETS

NBA- San Antonio spurs vs Oklahoma city thunder- 7:00 p.m. cst
Take Oklahoma city thunder -1

 

[ugk]

MIKE ANTHONY
College TOP PLAY of the Month: UNLV
TOP Wichita
reg on STL and Rockets NBA

 

[ugk]

DOC SPORTS NBA

2-Unit Play #704 Take Atlanta -11 ½ over Washington (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

3-Unit Play #707 Take Boston/New Jersey OVER 187 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #712 Take Oklahoma City -1 ½ Over San Antonio (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)