Matt Fargo CBB
5-0 LAST 5
GAME: Cornell @ Kansas Jan 6, 2010 8:00PMSPORT: College Basketball PicksPICK: Cornell Offered at: 22 BelmontREASON FOR PICK: This is risky going up against the top team in the nation but a massive amount of points has us taking. Kansas is the best team in the country without much of an argument but this is a pretty tough spot. Yes, the Jayhawks have won 50 straight games at Allen Fieldhouse and a lot of those have been blowouts but Kansas is coming off a road win at Temple and it has another road game at Tennessee on Sunday making this a difficult one to get up for. The Jayhawks are well aware of the recent success for Cornell so they certainly will not be looking past the Big Red but this is a ton of points to cover against a big time quality opponent. Cornell enters this game with a 12-2 record and it is currently riding a 10-game winning streak. The Big Red have actually played a tougher schedule than Kansas this season and the results have been favorable with some quality wins on the slate. They are 9-1 away from home which is the best winning percentage in the nation and included among Cornell’s road wins are victories over teams from the SEC (Alabama), the Big East (St. John’s), the Atlantic 10 (Massachusetts and La Salle), as well as perennial mid-major powers Bucknell, Davidson and Vermont. Overall, Cornell’s 12-2 record after 14 games is tied for the best start in school history. If Kansas does pull out to a big lead, every point is going to count for Cornell and that means free throws become very important. The top four players in the backcourt, Louis Dale, Geoff Reeves, Ryan Wittman and Chris Wroblewski have made 91-105 free throws this season (86.7 percent), including 36-42 in the final three minutes of games within 10 points (85.7 percent). Cornell also has a nice situation on its side. Play against favorites of 20 or more points that are coming off a win against the number and playing only their 2nd game in eight days. This situation is 83-33 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Also, Cornell will be getting senior guard Louis Dale back in the lineup tonight after he missed the last three games with an ankle injury.
3* Cornell Big Red
5-0 LAST 5
GAME: Cornell @ Kansas Jan 6, 2010 8:00PMSPORT: College Basketball PicksPICK: Cornell Offered at: 22 BelmontREASON FOR PICK: This is risky going up against the top team in the nation but a massive amount of points has us taking. Kansas is the best team in the country without much of an argument but this is a pretty tough spot. Yes, the Jayhawks have won 50 straight games at Allen Fieldhouse and a lot of those have been blowouts but Kansas is coming off a road win at Temple and it has another road game at Tennessee on Sunday making this a difficult one to get up for. The Jayhawks are well aware of the recent success for Cornell so they certainly will not be looking past the Big Red but this is a ton of points to cover against a big time quality opponent. Cornell enters this game with a 12-2 record and it is currently riding a 10-game winning streak. The Big Red have actually played a tougher schedule than Kansas this season and the results have been favorable with some quality wins on the slate. They are 9-1 away from home which is the best winning percentage in the nation and included among Cornell’s road wins are victories over teams from the SEC (Alabama), the Big East (St. John’s), the Atlantic 10 (Massachusetts and La Salle), as well as perennial mid-major powers Bucknell, Davidson and Vermont. Overall, Cornell’s 12-2 record after 14 games is tied for the best start in school history. If Kansas does pull out to a big lead, every point is going to count for Cornell and that means free throws become very important. The top four players in the backcourt, Louis Dale, Geoff Reeves, Ryan Wittman and Chris Wroblewski have made 91-105 free throws this season (86.7 percent), including 36-42 in the final three minutes of games within 10 points (85.7 percent). Cornell also has a nice situation on its side. Play against favorites of 20 or more points that are coming off a win against the number and playing only their 2nd game in eight days. This situation is 83-33 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Also, Cornell will be getting senior guard Louis Dale back in the lineup tonight after he missed the last three games with an ankle injury.
3* Cornell Big Red
Wednesday NCAAB play GC
On Wednesday the free college hoops play is on Georgetown. Game 568 at 8:00 eastern. The Hoyas are a solid team once again this year at 11-1 and tonight they have big statistical edges in both shooting and defending against Marquette. G-town is 9-1 vs winning teams and 30-11 after allowing 60 or less points in their last game. Marquette is a decent team. However they are just 3-5 vs winning teams and have lost failing to cover in all three games when the total is set at 130 to 140. Take the points with Georgetown tonight. In college hoops I have the Underdog game of the month, the Big city blowout, the triple angle Dominator and cutting two big cutting edge NBA system plays. Jump on and cash out big on Wednesday night and be sure to be with us on Thursday night for the the Big BCS college football side.to get on board.For the Bonus Play take Georgetown plus the points as the Bonus Play. BOL GC
On Wednesday the free college hoops play is on Georgetown. Game 568 at 8:00 eastern. The Hoyas are a solid team once again this year at 11-1 and tonight they have big statistical edges in both shooting and defending against Marquette. G-town is 9-1 vs winning teams and 30-11 after allowing 60 or less points in their last game. Marquette is a decent team. However they are just 3-5 vs winning teams and have lost failing to cover in all three games when the total is set at 130 to 140. Take the points with Georgetown tonight. In college hoops I have the Underdog game of the month, the Big city blowout, the triple angle Dominator and cutting two big cutting edge NBA system plays. Jump on and cash out big on Wednesday night and be sure to be with us on Thursday night for the the Big BCS college football side.to get on board.For the Bonus Play take Georgetown plus the points as the Bonus Play. BOL GC
ROBERT FERRINGO
2.5-Unit Play. Take #522 Michigan State (-5.5) over Wisconsin (6:30 p.m.)
3-Unit Play. Take #540 UNC-Wilmington (-5) over Georgia State (7 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #556 Bradley (-3.5) over Indiana State (8 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #533 Charlotte (+13.5) over Tennessee (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #586 BYU (-8) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #582 Iowa State (+13) over Duke (9 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #552 Kansas (-21) over Cornell (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. First Half: Take #552 Kansas (-11) over Cornell (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #529 Towson (+11.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 140.0 Towson at Hofstra (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #543 Richmond (-2.5) over Duquesne (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #568 Marquette (-2) over Georgetown (8 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #588 California (-14.5) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #575 Northern Iowa (Pk) over Southern Illinois (9 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #546 St. Bonaventure (-3) over George Washington (7 p.m.)
These are 5-point teasers:
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #533 Charlotte (+18.5) over Tennessee (7 p.m.) AND Take #586 BYU (-3) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #548 Massachusetts (-10) over Fordham (7:30 p.m.) AND Take #571 Seton Hall (+11.5) over Connecticut (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #559 Wichita State (+8) over Missouri State (8 p.m.) AND Take #538 Syracuse (-3) over Memphis (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #531 William & Mary (Pk) at Delaware (7 p.m.) AND Take #536 Providence (+8.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #582 Iowa State (+18) over Duke (9 p.m.) AND Take #586 BYU (-3) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #577 Houston (-1) over Rice (9 p.m.) AND Take #571 Seton Hall (+11.5) over Connecticut (9 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #588 California (-9.5) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.) AND Take #529 Towson (+16.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #522 Michigan State (-5.5) over Wisconsin (6:30 p.m.)
3-Unit Play. Take #540 UNC-Wilmington (-5) over Georgia State (7 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #556 Bradley (-3.5) over Indiana State (8 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #533 Charlotte (+13.5) over Tennessee (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #586 BYU (-8) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #582 Iowa State (+13) over Duke (9 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #552 Kansas (-21) over Cornell (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. First Half: Take #552 Kansas (-11) over Cornell (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #529 Towson (+11.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 140.0 Towson at Hofstra (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #543 Richmond (-2.5) over Duquesne (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #568 Marquette (-2) over Georgetown (8 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #588 California (-14.5) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #575 Northern Iowa (Pk) over Southern Illinois (9 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #546 St. Bonaventure (-3) over George Washington (7 p.m.)
These are 5-point teasers:
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #533 Charlotte (+18.5) over Tennessee (7 p.m.) AND Take #586 BYU (-3) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #548 Massachusetts (-10) over Fordham (7:30 p.m.) AND Take #571 Seton Hall (+11.5) over Connecticut (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #559 Wichita State (+8) over Missouri State (8 p.m.) AND Take #538 Syracuse (-3) over Memphis (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #531 William & Mary (Pk) at Delaware (7 p.m.) AND Take #536 Providence (+8.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #582 Iowa State (+18) over Duke (9 p.m.) AND Take #586 BYU (-3) over UNLV (10 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #577 Houston (-1) over Rice (9 p.m.) AND Take #571 Seton Hall (+11.5) over Connecticut (9 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #588 California (-9.5) over UCLA (10:30 p.m.) AND Take #529 Towson (+16.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m.)
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Rocky Minetti
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">These are two teams headed in different directions, spurs are healthy and playing well as a team, while the Pistons are banged up and going backwards. Take the Spurs and lay the wood for a very easy cover at home.</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3" class="bblackfont"> </td> </tr> <tr align="left"> <td colspan="3" class="bigfont">PLAY: San Antonio Spurs-8.5 / -110 / 4 Units
Minetti had the bucks yesterday - Winner (5 Units)
He had the Bulls Monday - Loser (5 Units)
</td></tr></tbody></table>
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" cols="3"><tbody><tr><td colspan="3" class="bblackfont">These are two teams headed in different directions, spurs are healthy and playing well as a team, while the Pistons are banged up and going backwards. Take the Spurs and lay the wood for a very easy cover at home.</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3" class="bblackfont"> </td> </tr> <tr align="left"> <td colspan="3" class="bigfont">PLAY: San Antonio Spurs-8.5 / -110 / 4 Units
Minetti had the bucks yesterday - Winner (5 Units)
He had the Bulls Monday - Loser (5 Units)
</td></tr></tbody></table>
FantasySportsGametime
Wednesday Football
NCAA Football
100* Play Troy (+2.5) over Central Michigan (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Troy has won 6 consecutive games coming off a bye week and they have also won 15 of the last 16 games coming off an OVER the total. Troy has won 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is 63 points or greater and they are averaging over 33 points a games on offense this season.
Wednesday Football
NCAA Football
100* Play Troy (+2.5) over Central Michigan (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Troy has won 6 consecutive games coming off a bye week and they have also won 15 of the last 16 games coming off an OVER the total. Troy has won 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is 63 points or greater and they are averaging over 33 points a games on offense this season.
NHL WRITE-UP Wednesday, January 6 Hot Teams -- Sabres won their last four games, allowing nine goals. Lightning won five of their last seven games.-- Flames won their last five games, allowing one goal in each.-- Avalanche won five of their last seven games.-- Sharks won eight of their last nine games.Cold Teams-- Rangers lost three of their last four home games. Dallas Stars lost their last five road games.-- Flyers lost their last four home games, outscored 11-4. Maple Leafs lost seven of their last ten games.-- Minnesota lost its last four games, outscored 18-8.-- Islanders are 1-11 in game after their last dozen wins.-- Blues lost their last five games, allowing 23 goals.Totals-- Under is 13-2 in last fifteen Ranger games.-- Three of last four Buffalo games went over the total; Tampa's last three games all stayed under.-- Seven of last eight Toronto games stayed under the total.-- Last five Calgary games stayed under the total; five of Minnesota's last six games went over.-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over the total; five of Islanders' last six games stayed under.-- Blues last five games all went over the total.Playing second of back-to-back nights-- Dallas lost six of last seven times they played night before.-- Toronto won three of last four if they played the night before.-- Flames won last five games when they played the night before.Series Records-- Dallas won last three games against Rangers, winning last one 10-2-- Sabres are 14-3 in last seventeen games against Toronto.-- Toronto won 10 of last 14 games against the Flyers.-- Minnesota won last two games vs Calgary, after losing 10 of previous 11 series meetings.-- Home side won last three Colorado-Islander games.-- Blues won three of last four games against San Jose.
DR BOB SPORTS
CENTRAL MICH (-2.5) 33 Troy State 30
GMAC Bowl
06-Jan-10 04:00 PM Pacific Time
It's tough to know how prepared teams will be for a minor bowl game played this late in the bowl season, but all I can assume is that both teams will play at their normal level. If that is the case then this could be a close and entertaining game, as both teams should be able to move the ball with their versions of the spread offense.
Troy's offense is led by quarterback Levi Brown, who averaged an impressive 8.0 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.9 yppp to an average quarterback. Brown isn't a great runner like his predecessor, and Troy's rushing attack is a bit worse than average on a national scale - averaging 5.1 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp to an average team. Central Michigan is average defending the run (4.5 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.5 yprp against an average defensive team) and the Chippewas' pass defense is a little worse than average (5.9 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average just 5.7 yppp against an average team). Troy's offense has the edge in this match-up and Brown should post good numbers. My math model projects 441 total yard at 6.2 yards per play for the Trojans in this game.
Central Michigan's spread attack is led by 4 year starter Dan LeFevour, who will go down as one of the greatest dual threat quarterbacks in history. LeFevour completed 71% of his passes during this season while averaging 7.1 yppp (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average QB) and he led the Chippewas in rushing for the 3rd straight season. Central Michigan's offense is very similar to Troy's, with a good passing attack and a mediocre ground game (5.2 yprp against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp), but LeFevour should have more success than Brown given Troy's poor pass defense. The Trojans were horrible defensively the first two games without All-Conference LB Bear Woods, who had 18 tackles for loss in just 10 games. But, in the 10 games with Woods the Trojans still were 0.6 yppp worse than average defending the pass (6.1 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average 5.5 yppp) and 0.2 yprp worse than average against the run (4.9 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.7 yprp against an average stop unit). My math model predicts 460 total yards at 6.4 yppl for the Chippewas in this game.
Neither quarterback is turnover prone (9 interceptions thrown by Brown and just 6 by LeFevour), but Central Michigan does have an edge in projected turnovers that is offset by Troy's edge in special teams. Overall, my math model favors Central Michigan by just 1 point in this game but the Chippewas apply to a solid 53-29-1 ATS bowl game statistical indicator. Central Michigan also out-played their statistics this season, as they allowed just 18.7 points per game despite allowing 344 total yards and 5.3 yppl. The indicator favoring the Chippewas is worth a few points and is enough to get me to pass on this game even though the math favors Troy a bit. I have no opinion on the side or the total in this game (my math predicts 62.6 total points, which is about what the total is).
CENTRAL MICH (-2.5) 33 Troy State 30
GMAC Bowl
06-Jan-10 04:00 PM Pacific Time
It's tough to know how prepared teams will be for a minor bowl game played this late in the bowl season, but all I can assume is that both teams will play at their normal level. If that is the case then this could be a close and entertaining game, as both teams should be able to move the ball with their versions of the spread offense.
Troy's offense is led by quarterback Levi Brown, who averaged an impressive 8.0 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.9 yppp to an average quarterback. Brown isn't a great runner like his predecessor, and Troy's rushing attack is a bit worse than average on a national scale - averaging 5.1 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp to an average team. Central Michigan is average defending the run (4.5 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.5 yprp against an average defensive team) and the Chippewas' pass defense is a little worse than average (5.9 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average just 5.7 yppp against an average team). Troy's offense has the edge in this match-up and Brown should post good numbers. My math model projects 441 total yard at 6.2 yards per play for the Trojans in this game.
Central Michigan's spread attack is led by 4 year starter Dan LeFevour, who will go down as one of the greatest dual threat quarterbacks in history. LeFevour completed 71% of his passes during this season while averaging 7.1 yppp (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average QB) and he led the Chippewas in rushing for the 3rd straight season. Central Michigan's offense is very similar to Troy's, with a good passing attack and a mediocre ground game (5.2 yprp against teams that would allow 5.2 yprp), but LeFevour should have more success than Brown given Troy's poor pass defense. The Trojans were horrible defensively the first two games without All-Conference LB Bear Woods, who had 18 tackles for loss in just 10 games. But, in the 10 games with Woods the Trojans still were 0.6 yppp worse than average defending the pass (6.1 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average 5.5 yppp) and 0.2 yprp worse than average against the run (4.9 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.7 yprp against an average stop unit). My math model predicts 460 total yards at 6.4 yppl for the Chippewas in this game.
Neither quarterback is turnover prone (9 interceptions thrown by Brown and just 6 by LeFevour), but Central Michigan does have an edge in projected turnovers that is offset by Troy's edge in special teams. Overall, my math model favors Central Michigan by just 1 point in this game but the Chippewas apply to a solid 53-29-1 ATS bowl game statistical indicator. Central Michigan also out-played their statistics this season, as they allowed just 18.7 points per game despite allowing 344 total yards and 5.3 yppl. The indicator favoring the Chippewas is worth a few points and is enough to get me to pass on this game even though the math favors Troy a bit. I have no opinion on the side or the total in this game (my math predicts 62.6 total points, which is about what the total is).
