SafestWagers
Saratoga: Weds., August 12th, 2009
Doubles, Pick 3's and Pick 4:
Race 7) 6/8/9 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 8) 1/2 (If a scratch, add # 5, if another scratch include #3)
Race 9) 1/4/5/6 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 10) 3/5/6/10 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 8) 1 Mile Clm 25000 Selection: 2/1/5
# 2 Dancing Tin Man*
Having a tough time deciding between our top 3 choices.
# 2 has been competitive against better and goes for first tag since 5/08.
He gamely beat lesser than he's facing today.
# 1 first time off claim is entered lower than the buying price, but sharp
connections still will show a quick profit if he wins and gets claimed.
#5 Deputyville has had lots of excuses, and there's no reason
to exclude in a pretty wide open race at 12-1.
Safer Bet:
a) # 2 to Win, Place or Show
Exotics:
b) Exacta Box: 1/2/5
c) Trifecta Box: 1/2/3/5
d) Trifecta: 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 1/2/3/5/8/9
d) Super Box: 1/2/3/5
e) Super: 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 3/8/9
Race 9) 1 1/16 Miles NY Stallion Stake: Selection: 1
# 1 Scientist*
Gets the luke warm nod with a morning line of 4-1.
This colt is improving, and definitely can handle the distance.
#4 Storm Hope.... we're told he may surprise, so left him in the exotics.
#5 Uncle T Seven.. been competitive with VERY good ones, but not winning.
#6 Minnie Punt.... needs to handle the distance.
Safer Bet:
a) # 1 to Win, Place or Show
Exotics:
a) Exacta: 1 wtih 4/5/6
b) Trifecta: 1 with 4/5/6 with 4/5/6
Saratoga: Weds., August 12th, 2009
Doubles, Pick 3's and Pick 4:
Race 7) 6/8/9 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 8) 1/2 (If a scratch, add # 5, if another scratch include #3)
Race 9) 1/4/5/6 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 10) 3/5/6/10 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 8) 1 Mile Clm 25000 Selection: 2/1/5
# 2 Dancing Tin Man*
Having a tough time deciding between our top 3 choices.
# 2 has been competitive against better and goes for first tag since 5/08.
He gamely beat lesser than he's facing today.
# 1 first time off claim is entered lower than the buying price, but sharp
connections still will show a quick profit if he wins and gets claimed.
#5 Deputyville has had lots of excuses, and there's no reason
to exclude in a pretty wide open race at 12-1.
Safer Bet:
a) # 2 to Win, Place or Show
Exotics:
b) Exacta Box: 1/2/5
c) Trifecta Box: 1/2/3/5
d) Trifecta: 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 1/2/3/5/8/9
d) Super Box: 1/2/3/5
e) Super: 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 1/2/5 with 3/8/9
Race 9) 1 1/16 Miles NY Stallion Stake: Selection: 1
# 1 Scientist*
Gets the luke warm nod with a morning line of 4-1.
This colt is improving, and definitely can handle the distance.
#4 Storm Hope.... we're told he may surprise, so left him in the exotics.
#5 Uncle T Seven.. been competitive with VERY good ones, but not winning.
#6 Minnie Punt.... needs to handle the distance.
Safer Bet:
a) # 1 to Win, Place or Show
Exotics:
a) Exacta: 1 wtih 4/5/6
b) Trifecta: 1 with 4/5/6 with 4/5/6
The Sports Investing Professional - Wednesday
Tuesday Recap -Well we split out with Baltimore......that I can live with
but Blackburn.....seriously if I were you I would have had enough guts
to spend the $1.59 for a pack of razor blades and take my own life. You got
bent over by one of the historically worst road teams in MLB over the past 2
months.
Todays Play(s) - We do have a play today as we've fallen back under par
and we need to be at about $10k by August end so lets strap it up and get
on a roll. Remember, I may be Twittering plays later in the day as I've been
getting very good late info from my contacts here in L.V.
MLB -Colorado Rockies - 250 [LISTED] Hart / Jimenez 1250.00 / 500.00
MLB - Colorado Rockes - 1.5 (-120) Hart / Jimenez 600.00 / 500.00
May The Ball Bounce Your Way,
The Sports Investing Professional
Record (29-20) -$441
Tuesday Recap -Well we split out with Baltimore......that I can live with
but Blackburn.....seriously if I were you I would have had enough guts
to spend the $1.59 for a pack of razor blades and take my own life. You got
bent over by one of the historically worst road teams in MLB over the past 2
months.
Todays Play(s) - We do have a play today as we've fallen back under par
and we need to be at about $10k by August end so lets strap it up and get
on a roll. Remember, I may be Twittering plays later in the day as I've been
getting very good late info from my contacts here in L.V.
MLB -Colorado Rockies - 250 [LISTED] Hart / Jimenez 1250.00 / 500.00
MLB - Colorado Rockes - 1.5 (-120) Hart / Jimenez 600.00 / 500.00
May The Ball Bounce Your Way,
The Sports Investing Professional
Record (29-20) -$441
Chris Jordan has two plays for today...
Chris Jordan Wednesday night winners ...
400♦ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS RUN LINE (LIST Carpenter and Bailey) - I couldn’t ask for a better situation in this pitching mismatch, as I’ve been thoroughly impressed by Chris Carpenter this season, and love to go against Homer Bailey. There’s really no other way around it, as that’s the basis for raising the bar to 400♦ tonight for this run-line release.
Let’s start with my boy Carpenter, who persevered in his last start by throwing eight innings to off-set giving up four runs while earning the win. Every one of those runs came by the end of the third inning, as the right-hander yielded back-to-back home runs in the first and later a run in the third. Nevertheless, Carpenter, who has thrown at least eight innings in four of his last five outings, is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season and is the dominant choice in this one.
As for Bailey, he’s 1-2 in his last seven starts and in those outings he’s given up more than three earned runs four times and has an ERA of 6.75 in those games. Granted, what might have been his best start of the bunch was a July 3 outing versus these same Cardinals, that game was in Cincinnati … this one is in St. Louis. Of those seven stints, he’s given up 13 earned runs over 14-2/3 innings in three road starts, in which he’s 0-1 with two no-decisions.
The home-run ball continues to be the crux of his inability to nab a win, or even put his team in position to win. Last season he allowed eight home runs in eight starts; this year he’s already given up nine in nine outings. Even worse, the Reds are mired in losing streaks of 2-10 when he’s an underdog, 1-5 when he’s on the road against a winning team, 0-7 on four days rest and 3-14 when he simply steps on the hill.
All Cardinals in this blowout win.
100♦ SEATTLE MARINERS (LIST Hernandez and Buehrle) - It’s going to be quick and to the point, so I’m not sure where to start with this one …
Yes I do. Mark Buehrle is 0-3 since the perfect game, having allowed 17 earned runs over 18-1/3 innings. And though it might be understandable the first game out of the box, his last two starts have been horrendous – including his last outing, against lowly Cleveland, which battered him for six run (five earned), 11 hits (two home runs) in a 6-2 loss. His ERA in his last three starts is a whopping 8.36.
In siding with Felix Hernandez, I have a pitcher who is 12-4 on the year with a stifling 2.84 ERA. The M’s have won 12 of his last 14 starts, and 17 of his 23 starts this season. And in his first meeting with this team, back on April 28, the Mariners won 9-1, as he tossed eight scoreless innings, while allowing four hits and striking out nine.
Lay the chalk here, it’s value.
Paid for and confirmed by me...Good Luck! :toast:
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Chris Jordan Wednesday night winners ...
400♦ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS RUN LINE (LIST Carpenter and Bailey) - I couldn’t ask for a better situation in this pitching mismatch, as I’ve been thoroughly impressed by Chris Carpenter this season, and love to go against Homer Bailey. There’s really no other way around it, as that’s the basis for raising the bar to 400♦ tonight for this run-line release.
Let’s start with my boy Carpenter, who persevered in his last start by throwing eight innings to off-set giving up four runs while earning the win. Every one of those runs came by the end of the third inning, as the right-hander yielded back-to-back home runs in the first and later a run in the third. Nevertheless, Carpenter, who has thrown at least eight innings in four of his last five outings, is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season and is the dominant choice in this one.
As for Bailey, he’s 1-2 in his last seven starts and in those outings he’s given up more than three earned runs four times and has an ERA of 6.75 in those games. Granted, what might have been his best start of the bunch was a July 3 outing versus these same Cardinals, that game was in Cincinnati … this one is in St. Louis. Of those seven stints, he’s given up 13 earned runs over 14-2/3 innings in three road starts, in which he’s 0-1 with two no-decisions.
The home-run ball continues to be the crux of his inability to nab a win, or even put his team in position to win. Last season he allowed eight home runs in eight starts; this year he’s already given up nine in nine outings. Even worse, the Reds are mired in losing streaks of 2-10 when he’s an underdog, 1-5 when he’s on the road against a winning team, 0-7 on four days rest and 3-14 when he simply steps on the hill.
All Cardinals in this blowout win.
100♦ SEATTLE MARINERS (LIST Hernandez and Buehrle) - It’s going to be quick and to the point, so I’m not sure where to start with this one …
Yes I do. Mark Buehrle is 0-3 since the perfect game, having allowed 17 earned runs over 18-1/3 innings. And though it might be understandable the first game out of the box, his last two starts have been horrendous – including his last outing, against lowly Cleveland, which battered him for six run (five earned), 11 hits (two home runs) in a 6-2 loss. His ERA in his last three starts is a whopping 8.36.
In siding with Felix Hernandez, I have a pitcher who is 12-4 on the year with a stifling 2.84 ERA. The M’s have won 12 of his last 14 starts, and 17 of his 23 starts this season. And in his first meeting with this team, back on April 28, the Mariners won 9-1, as he tossed eight scoreless innings, while allowing four hits and striking out nine.
Lay the chalk here, it’s value.
Paid for and confirmed by me...Good Luck! :toast:
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Al DeMarco Wednesday's Play 5 Dime - Boston (Beckett) - 1 1/2 Runs over Detroit (Galarrago)
Boston did not win Josh Beckett's last outing, falling to the Yankees in New York in 15 innings last Friday, but the righthander can't be faulted after throwing seven innings of shutout ball for the second straight start, lowering his earned run average on the season to 3.12. That figure is even lower at Fenway, where Beckett has been unbeatable, going 7-0 with a 2.58 ERA, winning five straight starts while compiling a 1.19 ERA since the start of June.
Beckett, who is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA in three career starts against the Tigers, won at Detroit on June 3, allowing three unearned runs and two hits over 7.2 innings in which he also fanned nine batters. In that contest he not only had a no-hitter through 6.2 innings, but he beat tonight's mound opponent, Armando Galarraga, who carries a 5.23 ERA into the rematch.
Galarraga started the season strong but has since struggled, having gone 0-3 in five starts before beating Minnesota in his last outing. But in that win against the Twins, the second-year righthander needed 109 pitches to survive five innings. His ERA in his last five starts is 5.81 as he's allowed 48 baserunners in 30 innings.
The Red Sox have bounced back from their Big Apple nightmare with two straight wins in this series to run their record against Detroit to 5-0 on the season while improving to 37-17 at Fenway this year.
With the Tigers losing 15 of their last 20 on the road over the past six weeks, Beckett is at an extremely attractive price because of my willingness to lay the 1 1/2 runs in this spot.
Boston did not win Josh Beckett's last outing, falling to the Yankees in New York in 15 innings last Friday, but the righthander can't be faulted after throwing seven innings of shutout ball for the second straight start, lowering his earned run average on the season to 3.12. That figure is even lower at Fenway, where Beckett has been unbeatable, going 7-0 with a 2.58 ERA, winning five straight starts while compiling a 1.19 ERA since the start of June.
Beckett, who is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA in three career starts against the Tigers, won at Detroit on June 3, allowing three unearned runs and two hits over 7.2 innings in which he also fanned nine batters. In that contest he not only had a no-hitter through 6.2 innings, but he beat tonight's mound opponent, Armando Galarraga, who carries a 5.23 ERA into the rematch.
Galarraga started the season strong but has since struggled, having gone 0-3 in five starts before beating Minnesota in his last outing. But in that win against the Twins, the second-year righthander needed 109 pitches to survive five innings. His ERA in his last five starts is 5.81 as he's allowed 48 baserunners in 30 innings.
The Red Sox have bounced back from their Big Apple nightmare with two straight wins in this series to run their record against Detroit to 5-0 on the season while improving to 37-17 at Fenway this year.
With the Tigers losing 15 of their last 20 on the road over the past six weeks, Beckett is at an extremely attractive price because of my willingness to lay the 1 1/2 runs in this spot.
Gina
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 8:15 p.m. est.
Cincinnati Reds (49-63) at St. Louis Cardinals (63-52)
(R) Homer Bailey (2-3) vs. (R) Chris Carpenter (11-3)
Cincinnati's right-hander Homer Bailey (2-3, 7.11), is 1-1 with a 6.27 ERA in his last three starts and 0-2 with a huge 14.73 ERA in two career starts versus St. Louis.
St. Louis' right-hander Chris Carpenter (11-3, 2.26 ERA), is 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his last seven outings and is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season.
Go with the St. Louis Cardinals tonight with their ace Chris Carpenter on the hill at Busch Stadium against the Reds. St. Louis is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and 15-5 in its last 20 at home against the Reds. Cincinnati is a nasty 3-10 in its last 13 road games.
St. Louis Cardinals -340
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 8:15 p.m. est.
Cincinnati Reds (49-63) at St. Louis Cardinals (63-52)
(R) Homer Bailey (2-3) vs. (R) Chris Carpenter (11-3)
Cincinnati's right-hander Homer Bailey (2-3, 7.11), is 1-1 with a 6.27 ERA in his last three starts and 0-2 with a huge 14.73 ERA in two career starts versus St. Louis.
St. Louis' right-hander Chris Carpenter (11-3, 2.26 ERA), is 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his last seven outings and is 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season.
Go with the St. Louis Cardinals tonight with their ace Chris Carpenter on the hill at Busch Stadium against the Reds. St. Louis is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and 15-5 in its last 20 at home against the Reds. Cincinnati is a nasty 3-10 in its last 13 road games.
St. Louis Cardinals -340
Mr. A's
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 1:05 PM EST.
Toronto Blue Jays (54-58) at New York Yankees (70-43)
(L) Ricky Romero (10-5) vs. (R) A.J. Burnett (10-5)
Oddsmakers: New York as a -240 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.
New York Yankees -240
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 3:45 PM EST.
Los Angeles Dodgers (69-45) at San Francisco Giants (61-52)
(R) Jeff Weaver (5-4) vs. (R) Tim Lincecum (12-3)
Oddsmakers: San Francisco as a -210 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.
San Francisco Giants -210
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 1:05 PM EST.
Toronto Blue Jays (54-58) at New York Yankees (70-43)
(L) Ricky Romero (10-5) vs. (R) A.J. Burnett (10-5)
Oddsmakers: New York as a -240 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.
New York Yankees -240
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009 3:45 PM EST.
Los Angeles Dodgers (69-45) at San Francisco Giants (61-52)
(R) Jeff Weaver (5-4) vs. (R) Tim Lincecum (12-3)
Oddsmakers: San Francisco as a -210 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.
San Francisco Giants -210
