STEPHEN NOVER
Tuesday's Winner
75 DIME St. Louis Cardinals against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
And, this is very important, be sure to list both pitchers in this National League showdown, as I am playing Carpenter over the Dodgers' Hiroki Kuroda.
ANALYSIS
Cardinals - To get Chris Carpenter and the St. Louis Cardinals at this low of a price against a struggling Hiroki Kuroda makes this my strongest play of the season.
Carpenter easily can take his place among the best pitchers in baseball when healthy - and he's healthy again this season. He's 7-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. He finished up a strong May with a 2.53 ERA and a 35-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Perhaps the oddsmaker is thinking back to last year's playoffs when Carpenter wasn't at his best during a 5-3 Dodgers win by making this line so low.
Carpenter has a strong regular-season history versus Los Angeles, though, with a 5-0 record and 2.20 ERA. He'll be pumped to pitch well at Dodger Stadium after last season's post-season loss to Los Angeles.
Kuroda pitched well during the first six weeks of the season, but has since tailed off. He has a 10-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last four starts, giving up a home run during each of his past four outings. He's allowed 30 hits during his last four starts spanning 22 innings.
Andre Ethier is back for the Dodgers, but he's been slumping since coming off the DL after suffering a broken right pinkie. He entered the series just 5-for-28 since returning.
Tuesday's Winner
75 DIME St. Louis Cardinals against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
And, this is very important, be sure to list both pitchers in this National League showdown, as I am playing Carpenter over the Dodgers' Hiroki Kuroda.
ANALYSIS
Cardinals - To get Chris Carpenter and the St. Louis Cardinals at this low of a price against a struggling Hiroki Kuroda makes this my strongest play of the season.
Carpenter easily can take his place among the best pitchers in baseball when healthy - and he's healthy again this season. He's 7-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. He finished up a strong May with a 2.53 ERA and a 35-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Perhaps the oddsmaker is thinking back to last year's playoffs when Carpenter wasn't at his best during a 5-3 Dodgers win by making this line so low.
Carpenter has a strong regular-season history versus Los Angeles, though, with a 5-0 record and 2.20 ERA. He'll be pumped to pitch well at Dodger Stadium after last season's post-season loss to Los Angeles.
Kuroda pitched well during the first six weeks of the season, but has since tailed off. He has a 10-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last four starts, giving up a home run during each of his past four outings. He's allowed 30 hits during his last four starts spanning 22 innings.
Andre Ethier is back for the Dodgers, but he's been slumping since coming off the DL after suffering a broken right pinkie. He entered the series just 5-for-28 since returning.
SPORTS INSIGHTS
Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch
Cincinnati Reds +114 over San Francisco Giants
In tonight's matchup, the Giants send Matt Cain (4-4, 2.36 ERA) to the mound as they take on the Reds and the National League's most prolific offense. Cain, who ranks third in the NL in opposing batting average (.192), pitched very well in his last outing, surrendering only one run in eight innings against the Rockies. The Reds counter with rookie Sam LeCure, who is 1-1 with a 3.92 ERA in two career major league starts.San Francisco opened as a -140 favorite at CRIS andis a slight public favorite, currently garnering 55% of moneyline bets. Even though public bets are favoring the Giants, the line has shrunk to -130 at CRIS, indicating big bets are backing the home underdog. Sports Insights' Betting Systems also like the Reds, triggering a Steam Move on Cincinnati at Olympic (+8.9 units). Marketwatch likes taking home underdogs, especially with reverse-line moment and a strong move showing value
Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch
Cincinnati Reds +114 over San Francisco Giants
In tonight's matchup, the Giants send Matt Cain (4-4, 2.36 ERA) to the mound as they take on the Reds and the National League's most prolific offense. Cain, who ranks third in the NL in opposing batting average (.192), pitched very well in his last outing, surrendering only one run in eight innings against the Rockies. The Reds counter with rookie Sam LeCure, who is 1-1 with a 3.92 ERA in two career major league starts.San Francisco opened as a -140 favorite at CRIS andis a slight public favorite, currently garnering 55% of moneyline bets. Even though public bets are favoring the Giants, the line has shrunk to -130 at CRIS, indicating big bets are backing the home underdog. Sports Insights' Betting Systems also like the Reds, triggering a Steam Move on Cincinnati at Olympic (+8.9 units). Marketwatch likes taking home underdogs, especially with reverse-line moment and a strong move showing value
