Service Plays Tuesday 5/31/11

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Dallas at Miami

The Mavericks look to open the series and build on their 6-0-1 ATS record in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. Dallas is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, MAY 31
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (5/28)

Game 701-702: Dallas at Miami (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 126.163; Miami 129.292
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2); Under

 

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DCI NBA

NBA Finals
Game 1, best-of-7
MIAMI 95, Dallas 92

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What Bettors Need To Know: Mavericks at Heat

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 187)

THE STORY: The most talked-about team in the NBA this past season has delivered on its vow to reach the NBA Finals. Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, Chris Bosh and the rest of the Miami Heat open the best-of-seven championship Tuesday against Dirk Nowitzki and the visiting Dallas Mavericks. It's a rematch of the 2006 Finals, in which Miami captured its first NBA title.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT: When James, Wade and Bosh agreed to team up in South Beach last summer, the entire basketball world took notice. The Big Three got off to a slow start but finished the season strong and have been virtually unstoppable in the postseason, routing both the Boston Celtics and Chicago Bulls in consecutive five-game romps. The trio is averaging 68.3 points per game in the postseason, though the Mavericks could be one of the few teams to keep them below that total. Miami's defense has been equally as impressive, allowing just 88.3 points - a total that ranks them second in the league.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS: Dallas took advantage of a young and inexperienced Oklahoma City club to earn its first trip to the Finals since losing to the Heat in five games five years ago. Nowitzki was the key to the Mavericks' success in 2006 and remains the focal point of the Dallas offense. He's second in playoff scoring at 28.4 points per game and was at his best down the stretch against the Thunder, averaging 11.4 points in the fourth quarter. Nowitzki will likely draw the assignment of guarding Bosh, while Shawn Marion will be tasked with handling James or Wade. DeShawn Stevenson will likely guard the other superstar.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: James shook off a rough opening game against the Bulls to average 28.5 points, 8.3 rebounds and 7.8 assists over the final four games of the series. Mavericks guard Jason Terry shot less than 37 percent (24 for 65) against the Thunder and will need to be better, particularly if the Heat are able to limit Nowitzki's scoring.

KEY STATISTIC: +7.14 - The Mavericks' scoring differential in the postseason, tops in the league. Miami is second at +4.66.

SEASON SERIES: Dallas won both regular-season meetings. Caron Butler's 23 points lifted the Mavericks to a 106-95 home win Nov. 27, while Nowitzki scored a game-high 26 points in a 98-96 triumph in Miami on Dec. 20. James averaged just 21 points on 30.6 percent shooting against the Mavericks.

LAST WORD: "Hopefully this time we can finish the job." - Nowitzki on the Mavericks returning to the NBA Finals.

TRENDS: The Mavericks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven playoff games as underdogs and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as favorites but just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games playing on three or more days' rest.

The over is 7-0 in the Heat's last seven playoff games as favorites and 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two clubs.

The Mavericks are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games at Miami.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Tuesday's Best NBA Bets

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 187)

Something has to give when a rematch of the 2006 NBA Finals kicks off in South Beach on Tuesday night.

Miami is the only team of the initial 16 playoff contenders that has not lost at home in the postseason. Erik Spoelstra’s club went 8-0 (6-2 ATS) at AmericanAirlines Arena during its triumphant trek through the Eastern Conference - 3-0 against Philadelphia, 3-0 against Boston, and 2-0 against Chicago.

Dallas, meanwhile, has been incredible on the road. Dirk Nowitzki and company lost their first two as visitors during the playoffs but haven't lost since. The Mavs closed out their first-round series in Game 6 at Portland, went 2-0 at the Staples Center then prevailed in both of their forays to Oklahoma City.

In these playoffs, the home team has not covered a single time in seven tries against the visiting Mavericks (6-0-1 ATS).

“We like playing in hostile environments,” ESPNDallas.com reported Shawn Marion as saying. “It gets us revved up. It's exciting. When you make the opposing team's crowd shut up, it's fun.”

“We like playing on the road when everybody is against you and you come together as a team,” added Nowitzki. “It helps having a bunch of veterans who have been through a lot in this league and play off each other and just want to win.”

The Heat and Mavericks faced each other twice during the regular season. Dallas won and covered the spread both times - 106-95 at home on Nov. 27 and 98-96 at Miami on Dec. 20. Of course, it must be noted that the Mavs had Caron Butler (likely still out for the year) for both games while the Heat played without Udonis Haslem (now back from injury).

Another close one has to be expected, as these are clearly the two best fourth-quarter teams in the business. The Miami-Chicago series wrapped up in appropriate fashion, with LeBron James leading the charge in an 18-3 run to end Game 5. Dallas stormed back from a 15-point deficit in the last five minutes of Game 4 to beat the Thunder before closing out Game 5 on a 14-4 surge.

Miami may pull out the win at home, but covering 4.5 points could be too much to ask in what should be a Game 1 thriller.

PICK: Mavericks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Rounding The Bases: This Week's MLB Betting Trends
By Bill McBride

HOT TEAM: Milwaukee Brewers
THIS SEASON: 29-24.
LAST WEEK: 5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Reds for three, at the Marlins for four.

THE SKINNY: Milwaukee received the gift every slumping offense needs last week - a series against the Nationals. The Brewers, who were eventually going to snap out of their surprising slump, scored 24 runs in three games against Washington, all wins. They carried that into a nice series vs. the Giants, in which they took two of three and entered Monday’s action just 2.5 games behind St. Louis in the NL Central. The regular names you’d expect to hear from here apply. Ryan Braun (.320 average, 12 home runs through Sunday), and Prince Fielder (11 home runs, 42 RBIs) have been good. But the Brewers also owe a ton to Rickie Weeks, who missed most of last season. Weeks has been special this season, as he finished Sunday’s action with a .288 average, nine homers and 21 RBIs. He has indeed been the catalyst that gets this offense going. As long as that trifecta of hitters continues its pace, the Brewers will be right in the mix with the Cardinals the rest of the way.


COLD TEAM: Cincinnati Reds
THIS SEASON: 27-27.
LAST WEEK: 2-5.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Brewers for three, home to the Dodgers for three.

THE SKINNY: This is a tricky team to track. As you know - based on last year’s division title - they have the talent to compete all summer, but they seem to be fragile in the mental part of the game. Brandon Phillips, for instance, getting caught napping at second base last Wednesday in extra innings vs. Philadelphia. Phillips could have been the winning run, instead he was an out, and the Phillies won in 19 innings. The Reds went on to lose three more games last week and if it wasn’t for a surge from Jay Bruce, the week would have been a complete loss. Bruce ripped through the Phillies and Braves and began this week with some impressive numbers on his ledger: .285 average, 15 homers, 40 RBIs and 36 runs. It just shows you the kind of talent that is up and down Dusty Baker’s lineup. Still, it’s clear they have some mental makeup issues to solve, before they make a true run at St. Louis and Milwaukee.


OVER TEAM: Toronto Blue Jays
O/U THIS SEASON: 27-24-2.
O/U LAST WEEK: 5-2.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Indians for three, at the Orioles for three.

THE SKINNY: The same deal as always applies with the Blue Jays as we near the heart of summer. They have some quality bats that are entertaining to watch, but as the dog days approach, it’s clear they won’t have the pitching to hang with the Red Sox, Yankees and Rays in the AL East. That’s not a problem for over bettors though. The Jays scored 22 runs in the final two games of a series against the White Sox last week and threw up 43 in the seven games leading up to Monday’s series opener vs. Cleveland. Jose Bautista (.350 average, 20 home runs, 36 RBIs through Sunday) has proven last year was no fluke, but don’t leave out Yunel Escobar. Left for dead by the Braves, Escobar has found a home in Toronto’s lineup and has been a bit of a catalyst. He took a .289 average into Monday, but more importantly, he scored 31 runs and posted a .363 on-base percentage. Keep in mind, the Blue Jays are doing their damage without Adam Lind, who has been on the disabled list since May 8. When he comes back, expect more overs.


UNDER TEAM: Pittsburgh Pirates
O/U THIS SEASON: 19-29-3.
O/U LAST WEEK: 1-4.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Mets for four, home to the Phillies for three.

THE SKINNY: We won’t mess with success here, as the Pirates continue to prove their worth in under-land. Clint Hurdle deserves credit, as Pittsburgh is still flirting with the .500 mark as we hit June. the Pirates just don’t have enough offense to consider them as anything but an under buy moving forward. On Monday, Hurdle put Ryan Doumit’s efficiency (15 RBIs in just 93 at-bats) and Steve Pearce’s consistency (.291 average in just 55 at-bats) on the disabled list, and had to call up minor leaguers to fill in. Not good news for Pirates fans but great news for under bettors. Pittsburgh had scored four or fewer runs in five of six games headed into Monday’s series opener at New York. Included in that run was two shutouts. Hard to see that changing anytime soon. Plus, the pitching staff posted a 3.47 team ERA through Sunday, so the hurlers are doing more than their share, as well.

 

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HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves (-120, 7)

Kyle Phillips picked a great time to crank the first jack of his MLB career, taking a George Sherrill offering deep in the 10th inning to give the San Diego Padres a 3-2 win over the Atlanta Braves.

The victory was San Diego’s third win four games into the club’s current road trip and the team has now won six of its last eight road games.

“I think we’ve got a pretty good thing starting to go,” right fielder Chris Denorfia told reporters recently. “We got off to a rough start offensively, but our pitching’s always going to be something we can fall back on that will keep us in a lot of games.”

The Padres had better hope that continues because they’ve managed to push across five runs in a game just once in the last two weeks. Still, you can get some solid value betting Mat Latos against Mike Minor.

We’ll ride the Padres’ momentum.

PICK: Padres


Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals (+165, 7)

As good as Philadelphia’s starting rotation is, the club’s bettors can’t count on lights-out pitching every day.

Roy Halladay gave up three home runs on Monday, but Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez provided some major offensive support to help Philly to a 5-4 win over Washington.

"This is hitting season," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told reporters. "It's hot, it's warm, they're swinging. Teams get up for Roy, which is good. He likes that. That's part of competing, and part of who he is. ... Some days you're going to get hit, and he passed the test pretty good today."

Howard and Ibanez hit back-to-back home runs in the third inning and Howard now has at least a hit in eight of the last nine games, raising his average to .252 with 12 home runs and 42 RBIs.

Philadelphia’s bats should be able to rake a bit against Jason Marquis, but at this price we’ll stick with the over.

PICK: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday's Betting Tips: Mavericks-Heat Cashing Over Bets

Who's Hot

NBA: The over has cashed in on eight of Miami’s last 11 games overall and in eight of the club’s last 11 meetings with Dallas.

NBA: Dallas has covered in 19 of its last 26 contests.

MLB: Seattle has won nine of its last 11.

Who’s Not

MLB: Milwaukee is just 5-21 in its last 26 meetings with Cincinnati.

MLB: Kansas City is just 1-7 in its last eight.

Key Stat

28 – While Novak Djokovic is stealing the spotlight at the French Open, Roger Federer continues roll along. Federer has reached the quarterfinals in 28 consecutive major tournaments and will face Gael Monfils. After that we could be in for a Federer-Djokovic semifinal.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Hanley Ramirez, Florida Marlins - Ramirez can’t catch a break this season. He’s still struggling with a .210 batting average and only five of his hits this month have been for extra bases. Now it looks like he could miss some time with a back injury that forced him out of Sunday’s game. Apparently he’s having problems tying his shoes and is experiencing tingling in his upper left leg.

Game Of The Day

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 187)

Notable Quotable

"He's focused. Obviously, we all want it. But in a different sense, he wants this, he wants to seize this moment. And you can tell by the way he's been playing, especially in late games. He hasn't left anything to chance, whether it's guarding the other team's best player, whether it's taking big shots, doing anything it takes. That's a player that I see hungry for a championship." – Dwyane Wade on his teammate LeBron James heading into Tuesday’s Game 1 against Dallas.

Tips And Notes

The Miami Heat know the key to slowing down the Dallas Mavericks is to somehow contain Dirk Nowitzki – something that no team has been able to do so far in the postseason. Nowitzki is averaging 28.5 points and hitting about 51 percent of his trey attempts. Miami plans to go with a rotation to defend Nowitzki, with LeBron James, Udonis Haslem and Chris Bosh all taking turns against the big sharpshooter.

The New York Mets have place Jose Reyes on the bereavement list following the death of his paternal grandmother. The shortstop, who’s hitting .335 this season with 19 stolen bases, will be away from the team for the next three to seven days.

Vancouver Canucks forward Ryan Kesler is currently set as the favorite to win the Conn Smythe trophy awarded to the NHL playoffs MVP at +140. He heads into the final series with seven goals and 18 points. Henrik Sedin is pegged at +600, while goaltender Roberto Luongo checks in at +650. Nathan Horton from the Bruins is set at +700.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Orioles Monday.

Tuesday it's the Heat (series and Game 1). The deficit is 2250 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, who went three-for-three Sunday, came right back yesterday and hit with the Angels and White Sox to slash the negative number to 1,160 salmons.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch doesn't expect the Rays to men ace Mr. Wilson -- 10 units on the Rangers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Tuesday

Dodgers -125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

650 - 492 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Bonus Play TUES Cards w/ Carpenter -160

 

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Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Mariners -135 over Orioles

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Mavs + Heat OVER 186.5

 

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Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

SportRecife + GremioBarueri OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Mavs + Heat OVER 186.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Mavericks
Rangers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 8 runs bet. Arizona and Florida

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Milwaukee at Cincinnati

The Brewers send Zack Greinke to the mound and look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games versus a right-handed starter. Milwaukee is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 31
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.974; Washington (Marquis) 15.097
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+160); Under

Game 953-954: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.688; Atlanta (Minor) 14.774
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 16.219; Cincinnati (Reineke) 15.403
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.145; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.628
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 15.096; Cubs (Zambrano) 14.333
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); N/A

Game 961-962: San Francisco at St. Louis (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.160; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.309
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-165); Over

Game 963-964: Florida at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.315; Arizona (Kennedy) 16.685
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Over

Game 965-966: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Mortensen) 14.081; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.193
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Under

Game 967-968: Texas at Tampa Bay (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 16.285; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.869
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Talbot) 14.311; Toronto (Morrow) 16.476
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-180); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 15.793; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.911
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Under

Game 973-974: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Humber) 15.839; Boston (Aceves) 15.588
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+140); Over

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.241; Kansas City (Francis) 14.243
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Over

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.177; Oakland (Anderson) 16.386
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-125); Under

Game 979-980: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.697; Seattle (Bedard) 15.264
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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