Bob Balfe (YTD -- NBA 65-43 / NCAA 49-41)
NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Knicks +6.5 over Bulls
This matchup particularly favors the Knicks because of their high-powered offense. Although their defense is not spectacular (although they did hold Chicago to only 81 points in their last meeting), Chicago simply does not have the scoring credentials to be able to keep up with the NY attack. Chicago is arguably the most overvalued team in the NBA right now. It is shocking that they have been battling around .500 all season. The Knicks are statistically a poor road team because of their inability to defend the 3-point game, but Chicago will fail to knock them down, regardless of whether they are contested or not. Duhon historically has always been able to guard Rose fairly well and that will prevent any type of momentum offensively for the Bulls. Look for David Lee to have a very solid game also. The Knicks have a very good chance of walking away with the outright victory tonight, so be safe and take NY with the points!
College Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Kentucky -3 over Mississippi State
At first glance, this looks like a trap bet to take Kentucky, however if you study the matchup, there is valid reasoning behind the oddsmakers setting this line so low. The most obvious reason is that the Bulldogs beat Kentucky last year (as well as the previous 2 seasons) on Kentucky's home court. This year, each team's free throw and 3-point % and shots attempted per game are virtually similar. Obviously, Kentucky is the better basketball team and can only lose when both Cousins and Wall have a poor game. If only one of these two freshman studs have a poor game, Kentucky will still dominate you. The guard play of Mississippi State is no match for Kentucky and Cousins will see a lot of looks, especially in the second half when the Bulldogs place more emphasis on preventing the drive and denying Wall the ball. Again, it seems like a trap bet, but Kentucky will have no problem tonight and will win by a heavy margin, easily covering the spread.