Service Plays Tuesday 11/30/10

[Bomber77]

Kyle Hunter

Georgetown -1.5
Florida Atlantic +11

 

[Bomber77]

Accuscore NBA


****
713 San Antonio Spurs
714 Golden State Warriors
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 12-6, 66.7%, +540 --
Hot Pick San Antonio Spurs-4.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is San Antonio Spurs -6

705 Portland Trail Blazers
706 Philadelphia 76ers
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2.0 to 4.0: 16-6, 72.7%, +940 --
Hot Pick Philadelphia 76ers+3
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Portland Trail Blazers -1

711 Indiana Pacers
712 Sacramento Kings
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 --
Hot Pick Indiana Pacers-3
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Indiana Pacers -4

709 LA Lakers
710 Memphis Grizzlies
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 12-6, 66.7%, +540 -- PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2.0 to 4.0: 16-6, 72.7%, +940 --
Hot Pick LA Lakers-5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is LA Lakers -8

707 New Jersey Nets
708 New York Knicks
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- EAST CONF GAME PS: 13-6, 68.4%, +640 -- Home Favored by 4 to 5.5: 8-2, 80%, +580 --
Hot Pick New Jersey Nets+4.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is New York Knicks -4

***
701 Boston Celtics
702 Cleveland Cavaliers
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- EAST CONF GAME PS: 13-6, 68.4%, +640 --
Hot Pick Cleveland Cavaliers+7
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Boston Celtics -2

**
703 Detroit Pistons
704 Orlando Magic
Past Week: Point Spreads: 30-19, 61.2%, +910 -- EAST CONF GAME PS: 13-6, 68.4%, +640 -- PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2.0 to 4.0: 16-6, 72.7%, +940 --
Hot Pick Orlando Magic-11
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Orlando Magic -13

****
709 LA Lakers
710 Memphis Grizzlies
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 12-8, 60%, +320 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 204
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 208

***
701 Boston Celtics
702 Cleveland Cavaliers
UNDER 194.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 190

**
713 San Antonio Spurs
714 Golden State Warriors
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 12-8, 60%, +320 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 213.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 216

*
707 New Jersey Nets
708 New York Knicks
PICK: OVER 202
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 207

705 Portland Trail Blazers
706 Philadelphia 76ers
UNDER 192
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 187

711 Indiana Pacers
712 Sacramento Kings
PICK: OVER 191.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 197

703 Detroit Pistons
704 Orlando Magic
UNDER 192
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 187

 

[Bomber77]

Rocky Sheridan Basketball


Ohio State -4.5
Illinois -5
Northwestern -5.5

 

[JMEYERS]

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-November 30th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[705] Portland |8*|-3|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"

 

[JMEYERS]

HRC PREMIUM NCAAB ACTION-November 30th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[727] Ohio st |5*|Bet A|-1|B+3|ESPN|7:30 pm EST

[746] Washington |5*|Bet A|-15|B+3|Network N/A|11:00 pm EST


note*
This is the "NCAAB Spread System" (3 game chase)




NCAAB Spread LOSSES- 0

A. 3 wins

B.

C. 1 win

 

[PureGambleSports]

PureGamble Sports

Indiana St +16
Iowa -2
Ohio St Under 132.5
Georgetown Over 145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Statsystems report 11/30

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/30
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________


***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****

***** TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30TH NBA INFORMATION *****
__________________________________________________ ________

(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
_____________________________________

• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Celtics won last three games, covered one of last five. Cavaliers won last three home games, allowing 86.7 ppg.
-- Orlando won seven of its last eight games.
-- 76ers covered four of their last five games.
-- Knicks won, covered six of last seven games.
-- Grizzlies won three of their last four games.
-- Pacers won three of last four games, covered five of last six.
-- Spurs are 13-1 in last 14 games, 3-1 as road favorite.

• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Pistons lost five of their last seven games.
-- Portland lost its last three games, by 9-19-2 points.
-- Nets lost five of last seven games, but covered four of last five.
-- Lakers lost last two games, by 6-3 points; they're 5-2 on the road.
-- Kings lost four in row, 10 of last 11 games (1-2 as home dog).
-- Warriors lost five of last six games (2-5 vs spread in last seven).

• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- None

• TOTALS
------------
-- Under is 7-3 in Cleveland's last ten games. Three of last four Boston road games went over the total.
-- Last four Detroit road games stayed under the total. Orlando's last four games all went over.
-- Six of last seven Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five New Jersey games. Six of last eight New York games went over.
-- Last six Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in San Antonio's last five games. Under is 7-2 in Golden State's last nine games.

• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--BOSTON @ CLEVELAND, 7:00 PM ET NBA TV BOSTON: 10-0 ATS Away revenging road loss. CLEVELAND: 7-1 Under in home games.
--DETROIT @ ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET DETROIT: 10-22 ATS off SU loss as favorite. ORLANDO: 15-3 ATS off win by 6pts or less.
--PORTLAND @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET PORTLAND: 15-5 ATS if road favorite last game. PHILADELPHIA: 16-30 ATS in home games.

--NEW JERSEY @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 16-29 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. NEW YORK: 16-3 ATS off road win scoring 110+ pts.
--LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 1-11 ATS off 4+ Unders. MEMPHIS: 32-20 Over as an underdog.
--INDIANA @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET INDIANA: 22-10 Under as favorite. SACRAMENTO: 9-20 ATS as home underdog.
--SAN ANTONIO @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 5-1 ATS vs. Golden State. GOLDEN STATE: 13-2 Under if they made 50% of their 3pt shots or better last game.
__________________________________________________ __

NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.

It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
_____________________________________

*** BOSTON (-6.5, 194.5) @ CLEVELAND ***
------------------------------------------------------
Following a loss to Cleveland during the opening week of the season, Boston center Shaquille O’Neal admitted that the Celtics overlooked a Cavaliers team playing its first game without LeBron James. The Celtics likely won’t make that mistake again, especially since Cleveland has found someone new to take big shots and make big plays with the game on the line. Boston looks to avenge that early defeat and win its fourth in a row Tuesday night when it visits the Cavaliers, who have leaned heavily on Mo Williams in winning two of their last three games.

After opening the season with an emotional 88-80 win over Miami on Oct. 26, the Celtics suffered a letdown the following night and lost 95-87 in Cleveland. Boston, which frustrated James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh in one of the most highly anticipated regular-season games in years, had trouble against a Cavaliers team that got a game-high 21 points from J.J. Hickson. “We took them a little bit too lightly,” O’Neal said after that contest.

The Celtics haven’t been caught off guard too many other times since. They won five in a row immediately following that defeat and are tied with Orlando for the best record in the Eastern Conference. One of the three losses Boston suffered since falling to Cleveland came at Toronto on Nov. 21. The Celtics avenged that defeat with a 110-101 win over the Raptors on Friday. Kevin Garnett finished with 26 points and 11 rebounds, O’Neal added 16 points and nine boards and Rajon Rondo had 14 assists in his first game after missing three straight with a strained left hamstring.

Most of Rondo’s passes led to layups and dunks, with Boston scoring a season-best 64 points in the paint. “We knew we could attack the inside,” said forward Paul Pierce who had 18 points. Although the Celtics have Garnett, O’Neal and Glen Davis in the post, they might not be able to rely as much on the inside game against the Cavaliers, who have allowed an average of 31.0 points in the paint in their last four games.

While Boston might not have been completely focused in the last meeting, Cleveland has to make sure it does not to fall victim to a similar fate. The Cavaliers can’t afford to look ahead to Thursday, when they host James and the Heat. James is obviously missed on the Cavaliers’ roster, but Williams is doing his best to fill that role. Williams scored 18 of his 25 points in the second half and finished with a season-high 12 assists in a 92-86 win over Memphis on Saturday. It was the second straight strong performance at home for Williams, who hit a 15-foot jumper as time expired in an 83-81 victory over Milwaukee on Wednesday.

“He’s playing extremely well,” Cavaliers coach Byron Scott said. “He’s trying to play the right way and make the right decisions.” Williams also appears to finally be healthy after missing the season’s first three games with a groin injury. The point guard, averaging 19.4 points on 49.4 percent shooting in his last five games, averaged 6.3 points on 25.8 percent shooting in his previous three. “Each team has got to have that guy to get something going as far as a flow in the offense,” said Williams, an All-Star in 2009. “It’s not going to be me every night. I’ll be aggressive every night, but it’s my job to get my teammates the ball and ride them.”

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 8; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -6.98
_________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 97.2, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--CLEVELAND is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 94.1, OPPONENT 92.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--BOSTON is 98-66 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 96.6, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--BOSTON is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 98.3, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--BOSTON is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 101.7, OPPONENT 90.0 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 48-29 UNDER (+16.8 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 99.7, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--BOSTON is 28-9 OVER (+18.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 99.2, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 65-24 against the 1rst half line (+34.6 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 48.7, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 5*)

--CLEVELAND is 23-6 against the 1rst half line (+16.7 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 53.5, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 53.3, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--CLEVELAND is 34-15 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.0, OPPONENT 51.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--BOSTON is 42-22 OVER (+17.8 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 52.7, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(29-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.5, Opponent 48.6 (Average first half point differential = +2.8)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-27).
__________________________________

*** DETROIT @ ORLANDO (-11, O/U 192) ***
------------------------------------------------------
A clutch rebound and putback from Dwight Howard helped the Orlando Magic pull off a dramatic victory last time out. Good things tend to happen for the Magic when Howard controls the glass. Howard, who could be poised for another big rebounding performance against a struggling Detroit Pistons team, looks to lead Orlando to its eighth victory in nine games Tuesday night at the Amway Center.

With the Magic trailing Washington by one in the final seconds Saturday, Howard told Jameer Nelson to simply put up a shot and he would get the rebound. Nelson put up an airball and Howard made good on his promise, grabbing the ball and banking it in with just 4.3 seconds left, the final basket in Orlando’s 100-99 victory. “I don’t think you can steal wins,” Howard said. “I think you can just play hard until the end and that is what we did.”

The four-time All-Star center had a season-high 32 points and 11 rebounds for his eighth straight double-double. “I don’t think there’s anybody in the NBA playing better basketball than he is,” Magic coach Stan Van Gundy said. “We are only 16 games into the year now, but if you stopped it right now and he isn’t the MVP right now, something is very seriously wrong.”

Howard is an MVP candidate because of how critical his success is to that of his team. The Magic are 11-1 when Howard grabs at least 10 rebounds and 1-3 when he doesn’t. Howard could be in line for another double-digit rebounding effort. Detroit is one of the worst teams at keeping opponents off the glass, allowing 44.2 boards per game. The Magic beat the Pistons in their final three meetings of 2009-10 with Howard averaging 23.7 points and 14.7 boards. Orlando had dropped 20 of the previous 25 in the series.

Detroit is coming off a 125-116 double-overtime loss to New York on Sunday, its fifth defeat in seven games. Tayshaun Prince tied it at 99 at the end of regulation and made a three-point play to knot the score at 109 in the first extra period. He had a season-best 31 points, 21 coming in the fourth quarter and the overtimes. Tracy McGrady also played well, finishing with season highs of 13 points and 29 minutes. The former Orlando star saw extended playing time because Detroit coach John Kuester felt McGrady could do a better job of keeping up with the Knicks’ up-tempo style.

“I’m just gradually getting better game-by-game confidence-wise,” said McGrady, who also had six rebounds and three assists. “Just feeling more comfortable on the basketball court.” The Pistons, 0-6 against opponents with winning records, might not feel comfortable offensively against an Orlando team allowing an average of 91.8 points in going 8-2 at home. Detroit, 2-7 away from The Palace of Auburn Hills, has averaged 88.1 points in its seven road losses.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 10.5, O/U 190.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -11.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -13.74
______________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 106.0, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--DETROIT is 46-67 ATS (-27.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.5, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 34-15 UNDER (+17.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.3, OPPONENT 92.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--DETROIT is 70-40 UNDER (+26.7 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 89.5, OPPONENT 92.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--DETROIT is 36-15 UNDER (+19.3 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 88.2, OPPONENT 89.2 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ORLANDO is 35-16 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.1, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--DETROIT is 20-36 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 44.9, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 31-10 UNDER (+19.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 45.4, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--DETROIT is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games vs. horrible free throw shooting teams - making <=67% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 41.5, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games.
(52-21 since 1996.) (71.2%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 195.1
The average score in these games was: Team 97.2, Opponent 92.7 (Total points scored = 189.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 38 (52.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/30 cont.

*** PORTLAND (-3, O/U 192) @ PHILADELPHIA ***
-------------------------------------------------------------
Brandon Roy’s return hasn’t solved the Portland Trail Blazers’ shooting struggles. The Blazers look to avoid losing four straight for the first time in over two years when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday night. Despite dealing with several key injuries, Portland managed to stay above .500 until a 98-96 loss to New Jersey on Sunday dropped it to 8-8. The Blazers, who have lost five of seven, opened a four-game road trip.

Roy, who missed three games earlier this month with a knee injury, had 21 points on 9-of-16 shooting after scoring 27 and going 10 of 20 from the field in a 97-78 loss to New Orleans on Friday. While Roy doesn’t seem rusty, the rest of the team combined to shoot 38.7 percent Sunday. Portland is one of the worst shooting teams in the NBA at 44.3 percent and has shot 39.9 percent over the last four games.

“We don’t feel like we’re an 8-8 team,” said guard Wesley Matthews who scored 25 points, making five of six 3-pointers. “In the NBA, you play a lot of games in a short amount of time and you have to be able to get through this and move on.” A lack of an inside presence is part of the problem. Besides missing Greg Oden (knee) and Joel Przybilla (flu) on Sunday, the Blazers were also without Sean Marks who rolled his ankle Friday. Without three of their big men, they tied a season low with 28 points in the paint, a mark they originally set Friday.

Before those two games, Portland was averaging 41.6 points in the paint. The Blazers will try to bounce back Tuesday and avoid their first four-game losing streak since a five-game slide March 27-April 6, 2008. However, while Philadelphia has the worst record in the Eastern Conference, the Sixers have won their last two at home and are coming off a 102-86 win over the Nets on Saturday. The victory came after they went winless on a three-game road trip. Thaddeus Young scored seven points during a 10-2 run in the fourth quarter to help Philadelphia take control, and the Sixers outscored the Nets 36-20 in the final period.

Young finished with 13 points while Jrue Holiday had 20 points and 13 assists. Holiday is averaging a career-high 13.9 points and a team-high 7.4 assists in his second season. “Our ace of spades tonight was Jrue Holiday,” Coach Doug Collins said. “He is growing every day, I can just see it.” Collins also liked what he saw from Andre Iguodala who is averaging 19.0 points and 8.8 rebounds the last four games after missing five of the previous six with a strained Achilles’ tendon.

“He’s like a new man,” Collins said. “When he plays with that kind of juice he makes us a team that we feel can compete with a lot of different people.” Iguodala is averaging 24.5 points in his last eight games against Portland. These teams split two meetings last season with each winning on the road. Portland has won seven of its last 11 visits to Philadelphia.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 194.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -0.44
____________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.0, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 4*)

--PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 105.8, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 69-42 OVER (+22.6 Units) in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 98.3, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--PHILADELPHIA is 49-28 OVER (+18.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.8, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--PORTLAND is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 101.8, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 56-87 against the 1rst half line (-39.7 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 47.3, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 5*)

--PORTLAND is 29-45 against the 1rst half line (-20.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 47.9, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 59-40 UNDER (+15.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.6, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 3*)

--PORTLAND is 29-13 UNDER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.0, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (PORTLAND) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(22-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 194.4
The average score in these games was: Team 99.3, Opponent 100.7 (Total points scored = 200)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 12 (48% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (51-45).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-8 since 1996.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.1, Opponent 48.2 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
__________________________________________

*** NEW JERSEY @ NEW YORK (-5, O/U 202) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
While the New York Knicks have climbed back to .500 thanks to their recent success on the road, that hasn’t translated at home despite a favorable schedule. The Knicks will try for their third home win when they face the New Jersey Nets on Tuesday night. New York has won six of seven, including a 125-116 double-overtime victory at Detroit on Sunday. All six of those wins have come against teams with losing records and five have come on the road.

“We are just showing the sort of composure that we have and that we are growing since day one,” said Raymond Felton who overcame a stomach illness to finish with 23 points and 11 assists. “If we continue to play that way and get better at home, I think that we will be okay this season." It was another big game for Amare Stoudemire, who scored 37 points to go along with 15 rebounds and seven assists. Stoudemire is averaging 27.1 points and 9.7 boards in the last seven games.

“He’s great,” Coach Mike D’Antoni said. “Just his persona and his aura is really good, It’s not about making mistakes or missing last shots, you’re always going to do that, but just being there with the guys every second is huge.” Stoudemire and the Knicks will try to carry over that success to Madison Square Garden, where they are 2-5 this season, including a 99-90 loss to Atlanta on Saturday that snapped a five-game winning streak.

The Atlanta Hawks are the only team which New York has hosted that currently has a winning record, but the Knicks are averaging more than seven points per game more on the road than at home. Felton is averaging a career-high 18.1 points but only 15.0 at home. Danilo Gallinari is averaging 11.9 points at MSG while making 23.3 percent from 3-point range, compared to 18.1 points and 43.1 percent on the road. The Knicks will have a good chance to better their home record against the Nets who have lost five straight on the road.

New Jersey is looking to win back-to-back games for the first time since opening the season 2-0. The Nets are coming off a 98-96 win over Portland on Sunday after losing their previous two games. After being held below 90 points in those two defeats, the Nets overcome a slow first half and finished the game shooting 52.5 percent. Devin Harris scored 25 points, including a late 3-pointer to give New Jersey a 92-89 lead.

“Devin was the one who really had the chance to spark us,” said forward Kris Humphries who had 10 points, eight rebounds and four blocks. “I think the way we came back shows some growth. We’ve had some tough losses this year and we didn’t want another one.” Harris is averaging 22.8 points in his last four games after a four-game stretch in which he averaged 12.3. He shot 7 of 12 on Sunday and had eight assists. Harris scored 31 points the last time New Jersey faced the Knicks - a 113-93 win at MSG on March 6. The victory earned the Nets a split of the season series.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 4; O/U 200.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New York -3.67
______________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 34-49 ATS (-23.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 96.4, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEW JERSEY is 3-17 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.5, OPPONENT 110.2 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 57-36 UNDER (+17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.2, OPPONENT 105.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--NEW YORK is 31-14 UNDER (+15.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.9, OPPONENT 102.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--NEW JERSEY is 37-18 UNDER (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.1, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 29-11 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 49.1, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--NEW JERSEY is 37-19 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.7, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 57-30 UNDER (+23.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.0, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEW JERSEY is 54-31 UNDER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 50.9, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW JERSEY) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 209.4
The average score in these games was: Team 97.5, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 200.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 40 (59.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (79-43).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (NEW YORK) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a combined score of 225 points or more.
(49-21 since 1996.) (70.0%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 47.4 (Total first half points scored = 99)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (32-13).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/30 cont.

*** LA LAKERS (-5, O/U 204) @ MEMPHIS ***
-------------------------------------------------------
The Los Angeles Lakers find themselves in a bit of a funk, but nothing that a matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies shouldn’t be able to cure. Then again, Los Angeles seemed to have an ideal opportunity to get back into the win column in its last game, too. The Lakers have taken seven of eight from the Grizzlies and will look to avoid their first three-game losing streak of the season when they travel to Memphis on Tuesday night.

After averaging 112.5 points in its first 14 games, Los Angeles has been held to 95.3 per game over the last three while shooting a combined 39.9 percent. Two nights after blowing a 19-point lead in a loss at Utah, the Lakers returned home Sunday to face an Indiana team which was at .500 and hadn’t won a road game against them since 1999. However, Los Angeles fell behind by as many as 15 points and lost 95-92.

“Focus, our energy and effort... we need to sustain it throughout the whole game,” Lamar Odom said. “It was very disappointing after letting a team come back from 19… It was real disappointing and we have to go back to the drawing board.” Kobe Bryant had a season-high 41 points versus the Pacers after scoring 31 against Utah. The Lakers are 3-3 when he scores more than 30, compared to 10-1 when he doesn’t.

“We’re going to score points, but we’ve got to shore up the defense,” Bryant said. “We’ve got to execute better. We missed too many assignments, and we didn’t play with the right energy.… We can’t put all the pressure on the shooters to make shots all the time, because then they start thinking about their shot instead of just relaxing and shooting it.” While Bryant is 6 for 13 from 3-point range in the last two games, Derek Fisher hasn’t made one in four straight and has shot a combined 3 for 21 from the field in the past three games. Still, Fisher is connecting on a career-high 47.2 percent of his 3-point attempts, and the Lakers are 7-0 when he scores in double figures.

Bryant has averaged 37.0 points in his last six games at Memphis, and the Lakers won five. The 12-time All Star and two-time scoring champion ranks third all-time and first among active players with 105 40-point performances, seven of which have come against the Grizzlies. He only scored 23 in this season’s lone meeting but was among six Lakers in double figures in a 124-105 home win Nov. 2.

That remains the most points allowed this season by the Grizzlies, but they’ve been the ones doing plenty of scoring lately when playing at home. They have won three straight at FedEx Forum, averaging 106.0 points while shooting 50.8 percent from the floor. Memphis however, shot 42.4 percent Saturday night in a 92-86 loss at Cleveland, matching its second-lowest scoring output of the season.

The Grizzlies expect to have a better offensive performance Tuesday considering they won’t be so tired. They were held to a season-worst 35 points in the second half, possibly due to fatigue after playing Friday and not getting to Cleveland until 4 a.m. “I’m not going to get into excuses,” said Rudy Gay who scored 30 against the Lakers earlier this month. “We’re basketball players. If we weren’t professionals, there would probably be times we’d be in a pickup game at 11 o’clock at night.”

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 4.5; O/U 202
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -5.73
___________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.9, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA LAKERS are 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.0, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 76-45 UNDER (+26.6 Units) in home games after playing a game as favorite since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 97.8, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--MEMPHIS is 39-21 UNDER (+15.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.3, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA LAKERS are 39-20 UNDER (+16.8 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.6, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA LAKERS are 24-7 UNDER (+16.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.3, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 36-19 against the 1rst half line (+15.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 53.1, OPPONENT 52.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--MEMPHIS is 29-13 against the 1rst half line (+14.5 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 51.6, OPPONENT 49.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA LAKERS are 24-45 against the 1rst half line (-25.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.7, OPPONENT 49.4 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 46-25 UNDER (+18.4 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 50.3, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--LA LAKERS are 73-45 UNDER (+23.4 Units) the 1rst half total off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.8, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 4*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.9, Opponent 46.7 (Average first half point differential = +3.1)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (50-27).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 205.6
The average score in these games was: Team 99, Opponent 98 (Total points scored = 196.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (64.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (55-35).
___________________________________

*** INDIANA (-3, O/U 191) @ SACRAMENTO ***
----------------------------------------------------------
As one of the NBA’s top defensive teams, the Indiana Pacers have been competitive no matter who or where they play of late. Coming off a landmark road victory, the Pacers look to improve to 2-0 on a four-game Western Conference trip when they face the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night. Indiana opened the road stretch in impressive fashion, beating the Los Angeles Lakers 95-92 on Sunday. The victory, the Pacers’ first over the Lakers at Staples Center, was their third in four games - a surge that began with a victory at Miami last Monday.

“This is a big win for us to come into L.A. and beat the world champions on their home court,” said forward Danny Granger who scored 18 points. “It gives us a lot of motivation and confidence on this West Coast road trip.” Outstanding defense has been the key. Indiana limited the Lakers, who came in averaging a league-best 110.6 points, to season lows in points and shooting percentage (38.6). Indiana is in the top three in the league in field-goal percentage defense at 42.8, and it’s limited its last six opponents to 39.3.

“The main thing about our basketball team is we’re one of the top defensive teams in the league right now,” Coach Jim O’Brien said. “You’ve got to play top-five field goal defense in order to be able to win on the road, and we’ve been able to do that.” Roy Hibbert’s continued development has also been a key factor in Indiana’s strong play. The third-year center had 24 points, 12 rebounds and six assists Sunday, helping the Pacers outrebound Los Angeles 48-45 and hold a 19-10 advantage on second-chance points. Hibbert is averaging 16.1 points and a team-best 9.6 boards - both career highs.

Indiana could be primed for another dominant defensive effort against Sacramento, which hasn’t scored more than 86 points in its last five games. The Kings fell 96-85 to Chicago on Saturday for their fourth straight loss. They blew a 13-point halftime lead and were held to 28 second-half points - nine in the fourth quarter. “I thought that in the second half our defense was good enough for us to win the game, but our offense was something that was out of some horror book,” Coach Paul Westphal said. “Two turnovers in the first half and 16 in the second half, it’s just unbelievable. Running the same plays only not executing them.”

Sacramento has been outscored by an average of 10.3 points in the second half of its last four contests. Kings leading scorer Tyreke Evans, who is averaging 17.4 points but had scored 9.3 over his previous three contests, had 11 in the first quarter. Evans, though, finished with 17 points and didn’t have a field goal in the final period. Indiana and Sacramento split two meetings last season, each winning at home. Granger has averaged 33.7 points in his last three games against the Kings. Indiana went 9-21 against the Western Conference last season but is 3-3 this season. The Pacers face Utah and Phoenix to close out their trip.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 1.5; O/U 195.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -3.79
_____________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 85-53 ATS (+26.6 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 102.4, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)

--SACRAMENTO is 21-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.2, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 79-45 OVER (+29.5 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 101.7, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--SACRAMENTO is 84-54 OVER (+24.6 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 102.4, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 85-52 against the 1rst half line (+27.7 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 54.7, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--SACRAMENTO is 39-18 against the 1rst half line (+19.2 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.7, OPPONENT 46.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--INDIANA is 21-43 against the 1rst half line (-25.1 Units) in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 47.9, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 4*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 56-35 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.9, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--INDIANA is 37-17 OVER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.5, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(29-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.8, Opponent 45.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.3)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-29).

--PLAY ON - Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.
(60-26 since 1996.) (69.8%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (39-49)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.3
The average score in these games was: Team 94.3, Opponent 95.4 (Average point differential = -1.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 38 (43.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).
__________________________________________

*** SAN ANTONIO (-4, O/U 214) @ GOLDEN STATE ***
------------------------------------------------------------------
After their 12-game winning streak was snapped, the San Antonio Spurs bounced back in impressive fashion. They could be in good position to start another run - while also extending one - when they face the Golden State Warriors. San Antonio has outscored Golden State by 18.8 points in winning the last eight matchups, with the teams set to meet Tuesday night at Oracle Arena. The Spurs sit alone atop the Western Conference and are the only NBA team yet to lose on the road.

San Antonio is averaging 105.3 points in away games, among the most in the league. Manu Ginobili led the way with 23 points in a 109-95 victory at New Orleans on Sunday. San Antonio battled back from a 17-point halftime deficit after falling to Dallas 103-94 on Friday - its first loss since Oct. 30. The Spurs limited the Hornets to 34 points in the second half and scored a season-high 37 in the fourth quarter.

“For some strange reason we’ve been a second-half type of team - give up points in the beginning then lock down defense in the second half,” guard George Hill said. “If we can play defense the way we did in the second half … I think it’s going to be a scary year for everybody.” Ginobili is averaging a team-best 21.6 points - 6.4 above his career average. Tim Duncan had averaged 11.2 points in his previous nine games before scoring 21 on Sunday. San Antonio has gone 39-5 against the Warriors with Duncan in the lineup.

Golden State ended a five-game losing streak with a 104-94 win at Minnesota on Saturday night, thanks in large part to Dorell Wright’s impressive effort from 3-point range. Wright, averaging 7.0 points in his career, set a franchise record with nine 3-pointers while scoring a career-high 30. He has averaged 21.3 points in his last three games. “It’s been 10 times better than what I thought it would be,” Wright said of joining the Spurs after playing his first six seasons with Miami. “I’m enjoying myself. We’ve struggled the past few games, but I think we’re going to get back on the right track when we get everybody healthy.”

David Lee who leads Golden State with 10.7 rebounds per contest, returned to the lineup after missing eight games with a lacerated elbow. He had 10 points and six boards, and the Warriors improved to 7-2 with their top rebounder in the lineup. “First of all, I know we can get some wins and beat some teams,” Lee said. “I told you I wanted to be judged on wins and losses and so far that’s going pretty good when I’m in there. I just need to find a way to stay healthy and keep helping our team.”

Monta Ellis certainly did all he could to help the Warriors end their slide against the Spurs in the last three meetings. He averaged 38.7 points in those contests, and has scored 30.0 points a game at home this season. Ellis had 26 points and 10 assists Saturday. Golden State is averaging 107.1 points at Oracle Arena.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 7.5; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -10.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -9.63
_________________________________________________

• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 97.2, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 4*)

--SAN ANTONIO is 41-22 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.1, OPPONENT 93.4 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 30-11 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 115.4, OPPONENT 114.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--GOLDEN STATE is 34-16 OVER (+16.3 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.4, OPPONENT 114.8 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 89-58 against the 1rst half line (+26.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 54.1, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--SAN ANTONIO is 2-16 against the 1rst half line (-14.1 Units) in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 46.4, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)

• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 72-43 OVER (+24.6 Units) the 1rst half total against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 51.6, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--GOLDEN STATE is 29-12 OVER (+15.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 57.2, OPPONENT 59.3 - (Rating = 3*)

• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7.9
The average score in these games was: Team 107, Opponent 91.8 (Average point differential = +15.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (58.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (49-41).

--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(48-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +28.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.8, Opponent 48 (Average first half point differential = -0.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-53).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCKETMAN SPORTS

3* DOUBLE DIME* Time: 7:00 PM EST Bradley 2 (-110)
3* DOUBLE DIME* Time: 7:30 PM EST Indiana State 16.5 (-110)
3* DOUBLE DIME* Time: 10:00 PM EST Sacramento State 23 (-110)

3* DOUBLE DIME* Time: 7:05 PM EST Toronto Maple Leafs -115
3* DOUBLE DIME* Time: 10:35 PM EST SAN JOSE -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

NBA
10* Sacramento Kings/Indiana Pacers OVER 191 OR BETTER
9* GS Warriors +4 OR BETTER
9* Sacramento Kings +3 OR BETTER

NHL
8* Toronto Maple Leafs ML
8* Nashville Predators ML
8* San Jose Sharks ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hammerthebook

NBA PLAYS
3-UNITSETROIT PISTONS @ ORLANDO MAGIC (MAGIC -10 1/2)
3-UNITS:SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (SPURS -4)

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
3-UNITS:IOWA HAWKEYES @ WAKE FORREST DEMON DECONS (UNDER 146 1/2)
3-UNITS:MICHIGAN WOLVERINES @ CLEMSON TIGERS (OVER 120)

NHL PLAYS
4-UNITS: ST. LOUIS BLUES @ CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS (BLACKHAWKS ML -135)
4-UNITS: DETROIT RED WINGS @ SAN JOSE SHARKS (RED WINGS ML +120)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Keith Martin Sports
CBB:
Portland over 121
Michigan over 121

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Harrison

Indiana Pacers -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers

NBA
Pacers

CBB
Northwestern
Indiana State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA DUNKEL

Boston at Cleveland
The Celtics look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Boston is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 701-702: Boston at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.768; Cleveland 113.343
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7); Over

Game 703-704: Detroit at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.096; Orlando 123.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 10; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 11; 192
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+11); Under

Game 705-706: Portland at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.097; Philadelphia 112.611
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3); Under

Game 707-708: New Jersey at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.606; New York 114.750
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 210
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+5); Over

Game 709-710: LA Lakers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.817; Memphis 115.708
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 204
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5); Under

Game 711-712: Indiana at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.987; Sacramento 116.798
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 191
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Over

Game 713-714: San Antonio at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.063; Golden State 114.110
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 222
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 214
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA WRITE-UP

Tuesday, November 30

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won last three games, covered one of last five. Cavaliers won last three home games, allowing 86.7 ppg.
-- Orlando won seven of its last eight games.
-- 76ers covered four of their last five games.
-- Knicks won, covered six of last seven games.
-- Grizzlies won three of their last four games.
-- Pacers won three of last four games, covered five of last six.
-- Spurs are 13-1 in last 14 games, 3-1 as road favorite.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost five of their last seven games.
-- Portland lost its last three games, by 9-19-2 points.
-- Nets lost five of last seven games, but covered four of last five.
-- Lakers lost last two games, by 6-3 points; they're 5-2 on the road.
-- Kings lost four in row, 10 of last 11 games (1-2 as home dog).
-- Warriors lost five of last six games (2-5 vs spread in last seven).

Totals
-- Under is 7-3 in Cleveland's last ten games. Three of last four Boston road games went over the total.
-- Last four Detroit road games stayed under the total. Orlando's last four games all went over.
-- Six of last seven Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five New Jersey games. Six of last eight New York games went over.
-- Last six Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in San Antonio's last five games. Under is 7-2 in Golden State's last nine games.

Back-to-Back
-- None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB DUNKEL

Georgetown at Missouri
The Hoyas look to take advantage of a Missouri team that is coming off a 91-63 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in the previous game. Georgetown is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 715-716: Georgia Tech at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 64.593; Northwestern 63.775
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+5 1/2)

Game 717-718: Iowa at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 58.715; Wake Forest 57.145
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Iowa

Game 719-720: Middle Tennessee State at Tennessee (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 53.923; Tennessee 71.426
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 17
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+17)

Game 721-722: Cornell at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 55.521; Syracuse 76.735
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 21
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 17
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-17)

Game 723-724: Mississippi at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 65.624; Miami (FL) 64.415
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 1
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+3)

Game 725-726: Indiana State at Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 53.171; Notre Dame 76.100
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 23
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-16 1/2)

Game 727-728: Ohio State at Florida State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 77.177; Florida State 71.286
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 6
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-4 1/2)

Game 729-730: Florida Atlantic at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 52.084; Mississippi State 60.571
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+11)

Game 731-732: Houston at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 50.851; LSU 61.559
Dunkel Line: LSU by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-8 1/2)

Game 733-734: Michigan at Clemson (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 68.082; Clemson 72.780
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+8)

Game 735-736: Fresno State at Utah (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.562; Utah 59.916
Dunkel Line: Utah by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 11
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+11)

Game 737-738: UTEP at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 63.403; New Mexico State 55.703
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-4 1/2)

Game 739-740: Georgetown at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 71.928; Missouri 67.937
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 4
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2)

Game 741-742: North Carolina at Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 66.266; Illinois 69.741
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 6
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+6)

Game 743-744: St. Louis at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 58.753; Portland 59.876
Dunkel Line: Portland by 1
Vegas Line: Portland by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+4)

Game 745-746: Long Beach State at Washington (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 54.861; Washington 79.833
Dunkel Line: Washington by 25
Vegas Line: Washington by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-18 1/2)

Game 747-748: Bradley at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 54.847; Western Carolina 52.564
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+2)

Game 749-750: CS-Fullerton at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 47.184; Montana 63.744
Dunkel Line: Montana by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-13 1/2)

Game 751-752: Eastern Washington at Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 43.160; Gonzaga 72.836
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 29 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 27 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-27 1/2)

Game 753-754: Sacramento State at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 40.813; Washington State 62.143
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+23 1/2)

Game 761-762: Nevada at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 56.124; South Dakota State 62.088
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 763-764: Oral Roberts at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 56.652; Texas Tech 64.070
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, November 30

College Basketball Knowledge
Georgia Tech is 4-2, losing by 4 to Syracuse on neutral court Saturday; they beat UTEP by 10, but lost at Kennesaw State by 17. They've been hurt by early defections to NBA. Northwestern is 4-0, beating Creighton by 13 in last game. Big 11 home favorites are 14-7 vs spread, 3-0 if it is a single digit spread. ACC single digit road underdogs are 7-6.

Iowa, Wake Forest are worst teams in their league; Hawkeyes are 3-3 in McCaffrey's first year, losing to South Dakota State/Long Beach State- they beat Alabama, but then Tide lost to awful St Peter's. Wake Forest is also 3-3, losing to Stetson/Winthrop in Bzdelik's first year. Not much to choose from here. Big 11 teams are 13-9 if spread is single digits.

Syracuse beat Cornell last three years, by 15-10-16 points; Big Red lost four starters from LY's 29-5 team that lost here by 15. Cornell is 2-4 so far this year, but Seton Hall (92-68) is only team to beat them by more than 5 points. Syracuse is 6-0, but its last three wins are by 3-3-4 pts. Orange failed to cover their last five games as the favorite.

Miami was 4-12 in ACC LY, but 16-1 outside it; Hurricanes are 4-2 this year, losing at Memphis by 4, at Rutgers by 16, only decent teams they played so far. First road game for 3-1 Ole Miss team that lost to Dayton in OT, while beating Murray State by 16, Penn State by 13. SEC road teams are 9-4 vs spread in games where spread is 6 or less points.

Ohio State is 5-0 this year, with 18-point win at Florida closest game so far, in its only road game this far; Florida State just lost to Gators by 4 at home. Seminoles has three starters back from defensively stingy 22-10 team that went 10-6 in ACC. If only they could shoot. ACC underdogs are 8-7- FSU is first ACC team to be an underdog at home this season.

Florida Atlantic lost last four games vs D-I teams by 14-10-13-15 pts- this is their sixth road game out of eight so far. Owls' top eight players from LY's 14-16 team are back-not sure thats good. Mississippi State is still without two ineligible starters; they're 4-0 this year, but 0-4 against spread as a favorite, with wins by 10-2-6-9 points.

Houston has new coach, three new starters after LY's 19-16 team; they are 4-2 this year, 0-2 on road, losing by 6 at La Tech, 16 at TCU. New coach Dickey has them playing only slightly slower this year (were #20 in pace LY, are #49 (out of 347) this year). LSU had one less day to get ready than Houston; Tigers are 3-0 vs spread as a favorite this season.

Michigan lost to Syracuse by 6, UTEP by 9, scoring 53 ppg on neutral floor against only two decent teams they've played. Big 11 road dogs are 9-2 vs spread this year. As expected, Clemson is playing at slower pace (#163) under Brownell than it did under Purnell (#82); Tigers are 5-1; in their last four games, they've allowed an average of only 57 ppg.

Rebuilding Fresno State is 0-3 vs D-I teams, losing by 27-15-11 points; Bulldogs lost three starters from LY's 15-18 team that fell apart down stretch. Utah lost last two games, by 17 at Utah State, by 8 at home to Oral Roberts (bad loss). MWC home favorites are 10-3 vs spread. WAC double digit road underdogs are 0-6 against spread this season.

UTEP (-10) made 12-24 from arc in 73-56 win over New Mexico State last week, Miners' 11th win in last 15 series games; they're 5-2 in their last seven visits here, with wins by 21-1-9-11-9 points. Aggies haven't played since that game; UTEP went to Atlantic City, split pair, losing to Ga Tech by 10 (-1), then beating Michigan by 9 (+2). New Mexico St. lost its last four games, all on road, all by 14+ points.

Georgetown is 6-0, winning by 3 at Old Dominion, beating NC State by 15, Wofford by 15; Hoyas have four starters back from 23-11 team but star Monroe left for NBA- their stellar Gs will be challenged by Mizzou press. Tigers are 5-0 but haven't played anyone yet- they've got four of top five scorers back from LY's 23-11 team. Big 12 teams are 4-9 vs the spread in games where spread is 6 or less points.

North Carolina is still struggling at 4-2, beating Charleston by 4 in last game, NC-Asheville by only 11 before that; their losses are to Vandy by 7, Minnesota by 5 in Puerto Rico tourney. Illinois is 6-1, losing in OT to Texas, beating Maryland by 4 on NYC trip. Big 11 single digit favorites are 6-7, 3-0 at home. ACC road dogs of 6 or less points are 6-4.

Portland is already 5-2, and they haven't played any real stiffs yet; faves covered all seven of their games (Pilots 5-0 as favorite). St Louis is away from home for first time; they're 2-2 vs D-I teams, with both losses by a point. Billikens' two best returning scorers were booted off team before season started. A-14 road underdogs are 9-6 against the spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL DUNKEL

Phoenix at Nashville
The Coyotes look to take advantage of a Nashville team that is 1-6 in its last 7 home games. Phoenix is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 51-52: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.954; Toronto 10.316
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Under

Game 53-54: St. Louis at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.023; Chicago 11.451
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-145); Over

Game 55-56: Phoenix at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.917; Nashville 10.738
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+105); Over

Game 57-58: Atlanta at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.853; Colorado 12.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under

Game 59-60: Detroit at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.055; San Jose 11.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Under