The Duke's Sports
11/24:
Western Michigan (-11) for 1 Unit *
Ball State/W.Michigan 7:00: Surely W. Michigan's defense is not what we want as double digit chalk; however, Ball State's offensive struggles should continue tonight to enable the Broncos to deliver. Ball State's QB Tanner Justice, who was anointed starter after Page went down with a season ending injury, has not been hitting his mark (49% completions / 2 TDs to 4 INTs); as a result, the once potent run game has stalled out with opposing teams loading the box out of disrespect for the Ball State air game. With extra prep time, we'll look for a better defensive effort out of the Broncos tonight. And throw in double revenge from the last two years of taking it on the chin when current NFL QB Nate Davis was picking apart their defense. WM as a small play tonight.
11/24:
Western Michigan (-11) for 1 Unit *
Ball State/W.Michigan 7:00: Surely W. Michigan's defense is not what we want as double digit chalk; however, Ball State's offensive struggles should continue tonight to enable the Broncos to deliver. Ball State's QB Tanner Justice, who was anointed starter after Page went down with a season ending injury, has not been hitting his mark (49% completions / 2 TDs to 4 INTs); as a result, the once potent run game has stalled out with opposing teams loading the box out of disrespect for the Ball State air game. With extra prep time, we'll look for a better defensive effort out of the Broncos tonight. And throw in double revenge from the last two years of taking it on the chin when current NFL QB Nate Davis was picking apart their defense. WM as a small play tonight.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W ise guy C BB "F IR ST BL OO D" P lay of the N ight on Florida Gators -2(-110 bookm)
The Gators are showing excellent line value as just a small home favorite to beat in-state rival Florida State Tuesday. THe Gators are 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots since 1997. Florida is a solid 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a home favorite or pick since 1997. When backing home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after a win by 15 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more, we find that these home teams are 28-5 (85%) ATS since 1997. The Gators get the nod Tuesday as our first CBB release of 2009. Take Florida and lay the points.
5* W ise guy C BB "F IR ST BL OO D" P lay of the N ight on Florida Gators -2(-110 bookm)
The Gators are showing excellent line value as just a small home favorite to beat in-state rival Florida State Tuesday. THe Gators are 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots since 1997. Florida is a solid 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a home favorite or pick since 1997. When backing home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after a win by 15 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more, we find that these home teams are 28-5 (85%) ATS since 1997. The Gators get the nod Tuesday as our first CBB release of 2009. Take Florida and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W iseg uy N B A Tu esd ay N ig ht "B LOO D B AT H" on T or on to R ap to rs -5(-109 5dimes)
Toronto has been solid at home this season, posting a 4-2 record and scoring 107.0 points/game. The home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between Toronto and Indiana, with the home team winning by at least 7 points each time. Toronto won by 23 and 13 points in their last 2 home meetings with the Pacers. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Take Toronto and lay the points.
6* W ido w W iseg uy N B A Tu esd ay N ig ht "B LOO D B AT H" on T or on to R ap to rs -5(-109 5dimes)
Toronto has been solid at home this season, posting a 4-2 record and scoring 107.0 points/game. The home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between Toronto and Indiana, with the home team winning by at least 7 points each time. Toronto won by 23 and 13 points in their last 2 home meetings with the Pacers. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Take Toronto and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on D en ver N ug ge ts -13(-110 at betus)
The Nets are 0-13 this season, and they won't even come close to getting their first win of the year tonight in Denver. The Nuggets are 5-0 at home this season, scoring 118.8 points/game and allowing 102.4 points/game for an average margin of victory of 16.4 points/game. Now they play the worst team in the league and do not want to hand New Jersey their first win of the season, so expect Denver to put them away early. The Nuggets have won their last 2 meetings with the Nets by 28 and 25 points, respectively. Denver is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Take Denver and lay the points.
4* on D en ver N ug ge ts -13(-110 at betus)
The Nets are 0-13 this season, and they won't even come close to getting their first win of the year tonight in Denver. The Nuggets are 5-0 at home this season, scoring 118.8 points/game and allowing 102.4 points/game for an average margin of victory of 16.4 points/game. Now they play the worst team in the league and do not want to hand New Jersey their first win of the season, so expect Denver to put them away early. The Nuggets have won their last 2 meetings with the Nets by 28 and 25 points, respectively. Denver is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Take Denver and lay the points.
Charlie Sports
[FONT=Arial,]charliessports tuesday november 24, 2009. [/FONT]
nba & ncaaf. pacers+5, pacers @ toronto over 214, ball st @ western mich over 51 (500* 3 TEAM TRIPLE PLAY)
ncaaf. ball st+11 [FONT=Arial,](30*)[/FONT]
ncaab. florida st+4 [FONT=Arial,](20*)[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial,]ncaab. tulsa-15' (20*)[/FONT]
nba. lakers-12' (10*)
[FONT=Arial,]nba. denver-13 (10*) Bonus Play[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial,]charliessports tuesday november 24, 2009. [/FONT]
nba & ncaaf. pacers+5, pacers @ toronto over 214, ball st @ western mich over 51 (500* 3 TEAM TRIPLE PLAY)
ncaaf. ball st+11 [FONT=Arial,](30*)[/FONT]
ncaab. florida st+4 [FONT=Arial,](20*)[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial,]ncaab. tulsa-15' (20*)[/FONT]
nba. lakers-12' (10*)
[FONT=Arial,]nba. denver-13 (10*) Bonus Play[/FONT]
Last edited:
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
CORNELL +14
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the large visiting dog:
The 10th-ranked Orange will try to legitimize their gigantic jump into the rankings Tuesday as they go for a 32nd straight victory over local rival Cornell, which gave Syracuse a scare at the Carrier Dome last season.
The Big Red have lost 31 straight in the series dating to 1968-69, and they’re 0-17 all-time at the Carrier Dome, but they certainly caught Syracuse’s attention last season, taking a 16-point lead in the first half before losing 88-78 on Dec. 3 and I'm looking for a similar effort this evening.
Cornell always plays tough on the road: 4-2 ATS its last six dating back to last season.
On the other side of the court:
Following an 82-79 loss to little-known LeMoyne on Nov. 3, the Orange started the season outside the Top 25, and they were still unranked when they knocked off a pair of ranked opponents en route to the 2K Sports Classic title at Madison Square Garden last week.
Bottom line: The Big Red matches up well in many key positions, too many points here; look for CORNELL to improve to 2-0 ATS as an underdog and for Syracuse to fall to 2-1 ATS as a favorite.
*6* CORNELL.[/FONT]
CORNELL +14
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the large visiting dog:
The 10th-ranked Orange will try to legitimize their gigantic jump into the rankings Tuesday as they go for a 32nd straight victory over local rival Cornell, which gave Syracuse a scare at the Carrier Dome last season.
The Big Red have lost 31 straight in the series dating to 1968-69, and they’re 0-17 all-time at the Carrier Dome, but they certainly caught Syracuse’s attention last season, taking a 16-point lead in the first half before losing 88-78 on Dec. 3 and I'm looking for a similar effort this evening.
Cornell always plays tough on the road: 4-2 ATS its last six dating back to last season.
On the other side of the court:
Following an 82-79 loss to little-known LeMoyne on Nov. 3, the Orange started the season outside the Top 25, and they were still unranked when they knocked off a pair of ranked opponents en route to the 2K Sports Classic title at Madison Square Garden last week.
Bottom line: The Big Red matches up well in many key positions, too many points here; look for CORNELL to improve to 2-0 ATS as an underdog and for Syracuse to fall to 2-1 ATS as a favorite.
*6* CORNELL.[/FONT]
Ron Raymond
Pacers/Raptors OVER 215
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When ANY NBA Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of November - Last 3 years - Vs Conference Opponent - Coming off a Road loss - Scored 90 or less points FOR in their last game vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning %; the OVER is 10-5-1 for the Road Dog (IND) in this spot the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER.[/FONT]
Pacers/Raptors OVER 215
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When ANY NBA Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of November - Last 3 years - Vs Conference Opponent - Coming off a Road loss - Scored 90 or less points FOR in their last game vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning %; the OVER is 10-5-1 for the Road Dog (IND) in this spot the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER.[/FONT]
