Evan Altemus
Boston at Tampa Bay 7:08pm EST
Selection: TAMPA BAY -121
Profile: This game features two excellent young starting pitchers. Jon Lester has been hit hard by Tampa Bay this season, giving up 13 runs on 18 hits in his 2 starts against them. He has also pitched much worse on the road this year, getting hit hard at Oakland, Cleveland, Minnesota, and Seattle. Meanwhile, Matt Garza has dominated the Red Sox in his three starts against them this year. In those starts he gave up 4 runs total with a 21/6 strikeout to walk ratio, while going at least 7 innings in every start. I look for him to have another excellent performance against them at home today, where he has traditionally had his best stuff. Lester had a less than stellar outing in his last start at home to Oakland, and I look for him to get hit hard tonight. These teams also have had a strong home/road dichotomy this season, just like last year, so this price is very cheap for Tampa Bay. Look for them to get the win.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati 7:10pm EST
Selection: CHICAGO +101
Profile: Chicago's newly acquired lefty, Tom Gorzelanny, gets the start for Chicago since coming over from Pittsburgh. He is an excellent starter who should be very motivated to finally pitch for a winning team. Gorzelanny should also have no problem dominating a Reds team that has really struggled to hit lately and is mired in a losing streak. Meanwhile, Chicago faced Reds righty Johnny Cueto just a few weeks ago, so they will be fully familiar with his stuff and should have a very good idea at how to attack him. Cueto is also in very poor current form, allowing 2 base runners per inning and posting a 6.88 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Cubs are playing well lately, and they get to face a struggling team with an overpriced, struggling starter that they faced just a few weeks ago. Look for the Cubs to blowout the Reds.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Boston at Tampa Bay 7:08pm EST
Selection: TAMPA BAY -121
Profile: This game features two excellent young starting pitchers. Jon Lester has been hit hard by Tampa Bay this season, giving up 13 runs on 18 hits in his 2 starts against them. He has also pitched much worse on the road this year, getting hit hard at Oakland, Cleveland, Minnesota, and Seattle. Meanwhile, Matt Garza has dominated the Red Sox in his three starts against them this year. In those starts he gave up 4 runs total with a 21/6 strikeout to walk ratio, while going at least 7 innings in every start. I look for him to have another excellent performance against them at home today, where he has traditionally had his best stuff. Lester had a less than stellar outing in his last start at home to Oakland, and I look for him to get hit hard tonight. These teams also have had a strong home/road dichotomy this season, just like last year, so this price is very cheap for Tampa Bay. Look for them to get the win.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati 7:10pm EST
Selection: CHICAGO +101
Profile: Chicago's newly acquired lefty, Tom Gorzelanny, gets the start for Chicago since coming over from Pittsburgh. He is an excellent starter who should be very motivated to finally pitch for a winning team. Gorzelanny should also have no problem dominating a Reds team that has really struggled to hit lately and is mired in a losing streak. Meanwhile, Chicago faced Reds righty Johnny Cueto just a few weeks ago, so they will be fully familiar with his stuff and should have a very good idea at how to attack him. Cueto is also in very poor current form, allowing 2 base runners per inning and posting a 6.88 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Cubs are playing well lately, and they get to face a struggling team with an overpriced, struggling starter that they faced just a few weeks ago. Look for the Cubs to blowout the Reds.
2 UNIT SELECTION
