oc dooley
“1 UNIT” BASEBALL PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Braves at Mets UNDER 8’ in a 7:10 eastern start-------Jurrjens versus Pelfrey): Last night on ESPN we were supposed to be treated to a pitchers duel where Johan Santana and is SUB-ONE ERA were involved. Atlanta veteran Derek Lowe certainly did his job allowing just 2 runs in 6.2 quality innings of work, but the game still made it above the spot. One of the keys to this total is that last night’s spot of 7 runs has risen to 8’ runs this evening which gives us some value to work with. The bottom line is that Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens has the best ROAD ERA in the entire National League (excellent 1.84 overall ERA in the past 5 trips to the mound). I will admit that the Mets have supported Mike Pelfrey with 36 runs in his 5 starting assignments, but their lineup tonight is facing arguably Atlanta’s best hurler. The last time Jair Jurrjens took the mound, he permitted just THREE hits in 7 excellent innings. Note that the Braves offense has supported Jurrjens with only 9 runs in his last 5 starts combined and that offense may be without injured slugger Chipper Jones (elbow) for a second consecutive evening. Prior to last night, the Mets offense had plated a massive 32 runs in four games. But my database research indicates that the Mets are 31-12 UNDER since 1997 following 5 consecutive games where they played above the total. The Braves just happen to be 29-13 UNDER long term when off a “margin” victory of at least 4 runs. I will wrap this up with an UNDEFEATED angle which sees Atlanta 10-0 UNDER/ROAD the past two years after winning 5 times in a 7-game span. Do I hear 11-0 UNDER anyone?!
“1 UNIT” BASEBALL PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Braves at Mets UNDER 8’ in a 7:10 eastern start-------Jurrjens versus Pelfrey): Last night on ESPN we were supposed to be treated to a pitchers duel where Johan Santana and is SUB-ONE ERA were involved. Atlanta veteran Derek Lowe certainly did his job allowing just 2 runs in 6.2 quality innings of work, but the game still made it above the spot. One of the keys to this total is that last night’s spot of 7 runs has risen to 8’ runs this evening which gives us some value to work with. The bottom line is that Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens has the best ROAD ERA in the entire National League (excellent 1.84 overall ERA in the past 5 trips to the mound). I will admit that the Mets have supported Mike Pelfrey with 36 runs in his 5 starting assignments, but their lineup tonight is facing arguably Atlanta’s best hurler. The last time Jair Jurrjens took the mound, he permitted just THREE hits in 7 excellent innings. Note that the Braves offense has supported Jurrjens with only 9 runs in his last 5 starts combined and that offense may be without injured slugger Chipper Jones (elbow) for a second consecutive evening. Prior to last night, the Mets offense had plated a massive 32 runs in four games. But my database research indicates that the Mets are 31-12 UNDER since 1997 following 5 consecutive games where they played above the total. The Braves just happen to be 29-13 UNDER long term when off a “margin” victory of at least 4 runs. I will wrap this up with an UNDEFEATED angle which sees Atlanta 10-0 UNDER/ROAD the past two years after winning 5 times in a 7-game span. Do I hear 11-0 UNDER anyone?!
Al Demarco Write up
Al DeMarco Tuesday's Play 5 Dime - Los Angeles Lakers
I wrote in my blog before Game Four of the Houston-Los Angeles series that although it would be tempting to back the Lakers, I wouldn't be surprised if they laid an egg against the Yao Ming-less Rockets just as they did in Game Three at Utah in the first round of the playoffs. And you saw what happened as LA played with no sense of urgency, getting embarrassed on Sunday, trailing by as many as 29 points in a game that was decided before the first quarter was complete. Out-hustled and out-played, but even worse, Los Angeles looked ill-prepared for Houston's small-ball attack.
There was no sense of urgency shown by LA in Game Four; that won't be the case tonight at home for Game Five. The Lakers see the big picture, one that has surely been painted by Phil Jackson repeatedly the past 48 hours.
The Nuggets are going to wrap up their series with the Mavericks most likely tomorrow at home. They're going to be rested, awaiting LA in the Conference Finals. And down the road, the Cleveland Cavaliers are sitting back after consecutive playoff sweeps of the Pistons and Hawks, getting much needed rest while the Lakers play on.
Los Angeles needs to put an end to this series as soon as possible and to that end the Lakers make a statement tonight as the law of averages comes into play. Kobe Bryant, magnificent in Game Three when he poured in 33 points, is not going to be held to 15 points on 7-for-17 shooting again as he was in Game Four. Remember how he exploded early in Game Four at Utah with LA off a loss to the Jazz? Bryant was coming off a miserable 5-for-24 effort against the Jazz, but in Game Four he scored his team's first 11 points en route to a 38-point outing.
For Houston, the percentages say Shane Battier doesn't score a playoff career high of 23 again after entering Game Four having averaged just 7.7 points in the postseason. And Aaron Brooks isn't popping for a team-leading 34 either.
The Lakers might be without Lamar Odom for this contest as he's questionable because of a back problem, and although his potential loss will be felt, they have options to replace him starting with Luke Walton. The key, however, tonight for LA is to be aggressive on offense, pushing the tempo of the game, driving the lane and taking advantage of the undersized Rockets in the paint. At the same time, the Lakers were burned repeatedly by Houston's screen-and-roll on the perimeter in Game Four; there's no better coach than Jackson when it comes to making in-series adjustments.
This is a big number, but much like the Lakers rolled in Game Four at Utah, winning by 14 in a contest that wasn't nearly as close as the final score indicated, the homecourt edge and a sense of urgency to take control of this series works to their advantage tonight. Plus, Jackson and Bryant both know a convincing win not only puts LA up 3-2 in the series, but sets the tone for Game Six in Houston, leaving the Rockets psychologically scarred.
Al DeMarco Tuesday's Play 5 Dime - Los Angeles Lakers
I wrote in my blog before Game Four of the Houston-Los Angeles series that although it would be tempting to back the Lakers, I wouldn't be surprised if they laid an egg against the Yao Ming-less Rockets just as they did in Game Three at Utah in the first round of the playoffs. And you saw what happened as LA played with no sense of urgency, getting embarrassed on Sunday, trailing by as many as 29 points in a game that was decided before the first quarter was complete. Out-hustled and out-played, but even worse, Los Angeles looked ill-prepared for Houston's small-ball attack.
There was no sense of urgency shown by LA in Game Four; that won't be the case tonight at home for Game Five. The Lakers see the big picture, one that has surely been painted by Phil Jackson repeatedly the past 48 hours.
The Nuggets are going to wrap up their series with the Mavericks most likely tomorrow at home. They're going to be rested, awaiting LA in the Conference Finals. And down the road, the Cleveland Cavaliers are sitting back after consecutive playoff sweeps of the Pistons and Hawks, getting much needed rest while the Lakers play on.
Los Angeles needs to put an end to this series as soon as possible and to that end the Lakers make a statement tonight as the law of averages comes into play. Kobe Bryant, magnificent in Game Three when he poured in 33 points, is not going to be held to 15 points on 7-for-17 shooting again as he was in Game Four. Remember how he exploded early in Game Four at Utah with LA off a loss to the Jazz? Bryant was coming off a miserable 5-for-24 effort against the Jazz, but in Game Four he scored his team's first 11 points en route to a 38-point outing.
For Houston, the percentages say Shane Battier doesn't score a playoff career high of 23 again after entering Game Four having averaged just 7.7 points in the postseason. And Aaron Brooks isn't popping for a team-leading 34 either.
The Lakers might be without Lamar Odom for this contest as he's questionable because of a back problem, and although his potential loss will be felt, they have options to replace him starting with Luke Walton. The key, however, tonight for LA is to be aggressive on offense, pushing the tempo of the game, driving the lane and taking advantage of the undersized Rockets in the paint. At the same time, the Lakers were burned repeatedly by Houston's screen-and-roll on the perimeter in Game Four; there's no better coach than Jackson when it comes to making in-series adjustments.
This is a big number, but much like the Lakers rolled in Game Four at Utah, winning by 14 in a contest that wasn't nearly as close as the final score indicated, the homecourt edge and a sense of urgency to take control of this series works to their advantage tonight. Plus, Jackson and Bryant both know a convincing win not only puts LA up 3-2 in the series, but sets the tone for Game Six in Houston, leaving the Rockets psychologically scarred.
Matt Rivers Write up
Matt Rivers 1ST 500,000* OF THE ENTIRE SEASON Plus Bonus Lock Your winners here are on:
1. 500,000♦ Celtics
2. 100,000♦ Rockets
1. I am not the biggest NBA guy on the planet because frankly this league is not the easiest league to win in but every now and then you see a total steal come down the pike and you have to pounce and do so with a vengeance. This is the exact scenario here as the Celtics are getting so disrespected it isn't even funny!?!??
Obviously Dwight Howard is a beast who will control and dominate the paint but at home in Beantown there is no reason at all not to believe that the Celtics don't win this game and at this cheaper than cheap price I am just fine with laying this number. The guard play is for sure lopsided in our favor and after the huge confidence building v ictory in game four this thing is about to be 3-2 Celtics.
Boston saved the series and probably the season thanks to that Glen Davis buzzer beater on Sunday night and will be all sorts of jacked up here against an Orlando squad that is very good but has already won their road game in this series. To ask the Magic to again get an outright is a bit much as that is not an every day occurrence against the defending World Champs, even minus Kevin Garnett.
KG and Leon Powe are obviously still out which hurts but Doc Rivers' club has the absolute Heart of a champion as we saw once again in that last game and now back home will not falter one bit. We saw the letdown in game one after the emotionally draining series against the Bulls but that was more of an aberation and a victim of the circumstances than the Magic being the better team in that win.
The C's still have total studs on the court in Pierce, Allen and Rondo and a guy in Big Baby Davis that is improving by the day along with other solid pieces in Perkins and House. Orlando is solid with Howard, Lewis, Turkoglu and a few others but winning on the road is hard enough no less having to do it once again in this series. This number truly should be more like six or seven.
The steal of all steals!
2. I can't help but scoop up the dozen or so points here. There is no doubt that this game will be a ton harder for the Rockets than game four was as the Lakers will now not be too shocked with anything post Yao but the number is just still too much.
Houston has a quickness advantage like we just saw in the game four blowout and even admitting that Aaron Brooks cannot possibly be as good as in that last game this number is just still way too much.
The Lakers are just not that great right now. Lamar Odom has that cranky back and besides Kobe Los Angeles is a tad weak at this point. We saw the lack of mental toughness in the finals last season against the Celtics and we are seeing it a bit here. Paul Gasol is very good but he is also a bit soft. Kobe is still unreal and a killer but Ron Artest has played him fairly well and these Rockets are not at all afraid of the so-called big bad Lakers.
The Rockets stole that game one. I'm not sure that is happening again here at Staples but to think that all of a sudden Houston just gets blown out of the water is a bit silly.
Phil Jackson will have his boys ready to go for sure but Houston is quick as heck, can play defense and if they knock down their shots at any decent percentage will be in this thing throughout!
I somewhat spit on 12!?!?!?!?
Matt Rivers 1ST 500,000* OF THE ENTIRE SEASON Plus Bonus Lock Your winners here are on:
1. 500,000♦ Celtics
2. 100,000♦ Rockets
1. I am not the biggest NBA guy on the planet because frankly this league is not the easiest league to win in but every now and then you see a total steal come down the pike and you have to pounce and do so with a vengeance. This is the exact scenario here as the Celtics are getting so disrespected it isn't even funny!?!??
Obviously Dwight Howard is a beast who will control and dominate the paint but at home in Beantown there is no reason at all not to believe that the Celtics don't win this game and at this cheaper than cheap price I am just fine with laying this number. The guard play is for sure lopsided in our favor and after the huge confidence building v ictory in game four this thing is about to be 3-2 Celtics.
Boston saved the series and probably the season thanks to that Glen Davis buzzer beater on Sunday night and will be all sorts of jacked up here against an Orlando squad that is very good but has already won their road game in this series. To ask the Magic to again get an outright is a bit much as that is not an every day occurrence against the defending World Champs, even minus Kevin Garnett.
KG and Leon Powe are obviously still out which hurts but Doc Rivers' club has the absolute Heart of a champion as we saw once again in that last game and now back home will not falter one bit. We saw the letdown in game one after the emotionally draining series against the Bulls but that was more of an aberation and a victim of the circumstances than the Magic being the better team in that win.
The C's still have total studs on the court in Pierce, Allen and Rondo and a guy in Big Baby Davis that is improving by the day along with other solid pieces in Perkins and House. Orlando is solid with Howard, Lewis, Turkoglu and a few others but winning on the road is hard enough no less having to do it once again in this series. This number truly should be more like six or seven.
The steal of all steals!
2. I can't help but scoop up the dozen or so points here. There is no doubt that this game will be a ton harder for the Rockets than game four was as the Lakers will now not be too shocked with anything post Yao but the number is just still too much.
Houston has a quickness advantage like we just saw in the game four blowout and even admitting that Aaron Brooks cannot possibly be as good as in that last game this number is just still way too much.
The Lakers are just not that great right now. Lamar Odom has that cranky back and besides Kobe Los Angeles is a tad weak at this point. We saw the lack of mental toughness in the finals last season against the Celtics and we are seeing it a bit here. Paul Gasol is very good but he is also a bit soft. Kobe is still unreal and a killer but Ron Artest has played him fairly well and these Rockets are not at all afraid of the so-called big bad Lakers.
The Rockets stole that game one. I'm not sure that is happening again here at Staples but to think that all of a sudden Houston just gets blown out of the water is a bit silly.
Phil Jackson will have his boys ready to go for sure but Houston is quick as heck, can play defense and if they knock down their shots at any decent percentage will be in this thing throughout!
I somewhat spit on 12!?!?!?!?
MLB: 5/12
Pittsburgh (Duke) Even / St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Over 10 Runs (-120) LA Dodgers (Kershaw) / Philadelphia (Park) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
San Diego (Peavy) +125 / Chicago (Harden) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Arizona Haren) -1.5 Runs (+110) / Cincinnati (Owings) 9:40 ET 1 Unit
Boston (Masteon) +115 LA Angels (Weaver) 10:05 Et 1 Unit
-End
bettingasabusiness.com
Pittsburgh (Duke) Even / St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Over 10 Runs (-120) LA Dodgers (Kershaw) / Philadelphia (Park) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
San Diego (Peavy) +125 / Chicago (Harden) 8:05 ET 1 Unit
Arizona Haren) -1.5 Runs (+110) / Cincinnati (Owings) 9:40 ET 1 Unit
Boston (Masteon) +115 LA Angels (Weaver) 10:05 Et 1 Unit
-End
bettingasabusiness.com
Stu Feiner
10000 Dime Orlando
10000 Dime Lakers
I think this is the writeup...
"and the GUARANTEED winners are Magic and Lakers
Last night a small baseball profit as
both NBA's push and we go 1-1-2.
Today your Source is LOCKED, LOADED
and ready to KILL YOUR MAN!
Tonight's the BIGGEST night of the year by FAR
Nothing touches this action tonight....NOTHING!
Look at my NBA Playoff High Roller Run....
Now at 20-12-2 in 2009.
I have won 11 straight 10,000 dime NBA Playoff High Rollers since
2007. Including two, 2-0 days*, one in 07' and one in 08'
I'll do it again tonight. Not one but TWO 10,000 dime
GUARANTEED winners. That's right, GUARANTEED!"
10000 Dime Orlando
10000 Dime Lakers
I think this is the writeup...
"and the GUARANTEED winners are Magic and Lakers
Last night a small baseball profit as
both NBA's push and we go 1-1-2.
Today your Source is LOCKED, LOADED
and ready to KILL YOUR MAN!
Tonight's the BIGGEST night of the year by FAR
Nothing touches this action tonight....NOTHING!
Look at my NBA Playoff High Roller Run....
Now at 20-12-2 in 2009.
I have won 11 straight 10,000 dime NBA Playoff High Rollers since
2007. Including two, 2-0 days*, one in 07' and one in 08'
I'll do it again tonight. Not one but TWO 10,000 dime
GUARANTEED winners. That's right, GUARANTEED!"
