Service Plays Tuesday 05/12/09

TheIronHorse · May 12, 2009

DailyPowerRatings

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="95%"><tbody><tr><td align="left" bgcolor="#800000" valign="top"><table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="96%"><tbody><tr><td> </td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite" width="68%">DailyPowerRatings- MLB </td> <td rowspan="4" align="right" valign="top" width="32%">

</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite1">Tuesday, May 12th</td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> 5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended) </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <table style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="99%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="26%" height="30">Team
(Game*)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="23%">Game Rating
(Point Differential)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="10%">Vegas
Line </td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Our
Line</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Power
Rating</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Starting Pitcher</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Home/
Away</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (921) NY Yankees</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">125</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">4</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">3</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">1</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (922) Toronto</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#f7d101">4* Star </td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-135</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-1</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">1</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="7" class="brdbot" bgcolor="#e6e6e6" height="6"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table></td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" align="left"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="freepickwhite1">Today's Play:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">4* Toronto (-135) 2 Unit Play</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table></td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table>

SteveMcQueen · May 12, 2009

Las Vegas Sport Picks

4* Magic +2.5

brewerfan003 · May 12, 2009

PowerPlay Wins

Giants -135

crestor65 · May 12, 2009

omalleyandgoldstein

*** They recommend all plays to be 1 unit ***

NBA: (4 - 2, in last 6) (66.67%):

Lakers -12
Celtics -2

MLB:

Tampa Bay Rays -131
St. Louis Cardinals -109

NHL:

Carolina Hurricanes +100

Bonus Play: (23-14) (62.16%):

Detroit Red Wings -150

brewerfan003 · May 12, 2009

RatedPicks

NBA -
**BP** LA Lakers 1ST Half -6.5
LA Lakers -12
Orlando Magic +3

MLB -
Marlins/Brewers OVER 10
Astros +150
Twins -120

*BP* = Big Play. One of our games we highly reccomend, as we hit over 70%, and these do not come often

jnc750 · May 12, 2009

Burns
7* under yankees
9* under magic
8* angels
7* A's

elpatroni · May 12, 2009

Tony Weston

25 Dime Houston Rockets

elpatroni · May 12, 2009

and 10 Dime Celtics Weston

backdoorcover1 · May 12, 2009

WUNDERDOG

Game: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore +120 (moneyline)

Andy Sonnanstine has not given the Rays the type of start they had hoped for and in general, the Rays are having a hard time duplicating what they did a year ago. Sonnanstine has never had a whole lot of success on the road where the Rays are just 10-10 since the beginning of their surge a year ago. Compare that to their 12-6 mark in his home starts. The Orioles have already notched a win against him this season, and Mark Hendrickson will get the ball for the Orioles. Hendrickson is more of an innings eater, but in actuality he has out-pitched Sonnanstine on the young season, so getting the Birds in plus money at home has redeemable value, so I'll back them here.

brady1983 · May 12, 2009

Larry Ness Tuesday

9 Star Perfect Storm - MLB

Toronto

Las Vegas Insider - MLB

Minnesota

Weekly Wipeout Winner - NBA

Celtics

Bailout Blowout

LA Angels

backdoorcover1 · May 12, 2009

Jimmy Boyd

MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | May 12 '09 (7:05p)
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
-132 at spbook
4* Major A.L. East GOTM on Blue Jays -132
The Yanks are being overvalued, as usual, and that allows us to grab Halladay at great price tonight. Halladay has owned the Yanks in his career to the tune of 15-5 with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.119. In fact, the Blue Jays are 10-1 in Halladay's last 11 home starts vs. the Yankees. The Blue Jays are 85-39 in Halladay's last 124 starts and a ridiculous 50-15 in his last 65 home starts. The former Blue Jay, Burnett, has struggled his way to a 7.50 ERA over his last 3 starts and is 4-19 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. Bet the Jays.

MLB | May 12 '09 (8:05p)
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
-143 at 5dimes
3* A.L. Blowout of the Week on Texas Rangers -143
I love the way the Rangers are swinging the sticks at home, where they are averaging 6.8 runs per game. They have been also hit the snot out of southpaw starters this season, scoring 6.5 runs per game against them with a .304 batting average, so I don't give the M's Jason Vargas a chance tonight. Texas gets an additional boost tonight with center fielder Josh Hamilton expected to return to the lineup. The Mariners have lost 6 of their last 7 games while the Rangers have won 7 of their last 9. It's apparent these teams are moving in different directions. We'll bet the one on the upswing. Take Texas.

NBA Basketball Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | May 12 '09 (8:05p)
Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics Boston Celtics
-2-110 at 5dimes
5* Eastern Conference Playoffs GOTY on Celtics -2
With Big Baby's 21-foot buzzer beater the Boston Celtics regained home court and take a huge amount of momentum back home with them for tonight's matchup. I can't see the Celtics giving their home court away tonight as they now know they are in position to win this series. The Boston crowd will be electric and I can't see Ray Allen's struggles continuing any further. Orlando is 8-26 ATS off a close home loss by 3 points or less since 1996 while Boston is 16-4 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season. Plus, the Magic are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 meetings in the Garden. I'll bet Boston at home laying a small number tonight

ryangenero · May 12, 2009

Diceituponline plays 5/12
-------------------------------

Fireman:

Sf / Nats over 8 =15 Dimes

Chi / Clev over 10 = 15 Dimes

Celts 1st half -1.5 = 5 Dimes

Celts -2 = 5 Dimes
-----
Stansfield:

10 dimes Carolina Hurricanes -105

15 dimes Red Wings -155

fly73 · May 12, 2009

WUNDERDOG NBA
Game: Orlando at Boston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on First Half UNDER 96.5 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The Magic and Celtics have exchanged blows through four games in what is turning out to be another very good series. Tonight they return to Boston, in what is now a best of three series. The tone of this game should remain intense and defensively-focused. That's been Boston's calling card over the last two years. Without KG in the lineup, this team is definitely giving up more points but they are tending to come in the second half when they are more worn down. We've been cashing with first-half UNDERs throughout the playoffs (12-3 on our 1HU picks so far) and this series has held form for us thus far. It has taken on a defensive mindset in the first half. Although the OVERs and UNDERs have split the game totals through four games, three of the four have produced 94 points or less in the first half. I expect more of the same with the defense cranked up early, with each team trying to break the will of the other. I think Orlando will also work the shot clock much more efficiently in this one as they jacked up 27 three pointers in game four, and simply were impatient on offense (but we still got the 1HU). Boston, despite shooting 53% in game four, only managed 95 points for the game. Orlando playoff games are averaging 93 first-half points. This season they are 25-15 UNDER in the first-half vs. a winning opponent and 12-3 UNDER when seeking revenge. Boston is 40-26 UNDER in the first-half this season following a win and 29-19 UNDER aftrer an ATS win. They are also 31-3 UNDER in the first-half this season when facing a team that averages 100+ ppg. I'll play this one UNDER in the first-half.

Game: Houston at Los Angeles Lakers (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on First Half UNDER 100.5 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The Houston Rockets really stepped up last game in the absence of Yao Ming, who will miss the rest of the playoffs. The effort on the defensive end was instrumental in their rather easy and surprising win at home over the Lakers. Los Angeles, for all the offense they possess, has turned the corner defensively, having played 22 of their last 33 games to the UNDER, including five of their last seven playoff games. Last game they didn't play good defense and they have heard about it from their family, friends, media and fans over the past couple of days. That was an embarrassing performance and you can bet they are going to be much more inspired on that end of the floor in this game, especially out of the gate. The Lakers have met a lot of opposition against the Rockets, especially early. Without Yao, the Houston defensive effort seems to be even more focused. The team showed that they know they all need to step up. The Lakers have managed to score almost 30 points per game in the fourth quarter as they wear down the Rockets. But the first half has been very defensive with just one game reaching the century mark of the four played. Even the last two regular-season games the Lakers managed just 44 and 40 first-half points, making their six-gamefirst-half average just 44 points per game against the Rockets. Over the past two seasons, the Lakers are a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER in the first half when the line is set between 98 and 101. They are also 19-7 UNDER in the first-half at home coming off a road loss. Houston, whose signature is defense, has played 101 of their last 156 games vs. teams at .700+ to the UNDER in the first-half. They are 20-9 UNDER in their last 29 games this season vs. teams that allow 100+ ppg. Both teams are motivated to play tough defense early on here (for different reasons). I like the UNDER in the first-half.

fly73 · May 12, 2009

WUNDERDOG NHL

Game: Boston at Carolina (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Carolina +1.5 goals -300 (puckline) (risk 5 to win 1.7)

I’m not sure many expected this Hurricanes’ team to go up 3-1 in the series vs. the Bruins, and they now get their first attempt to close out the series at home up three games to two. The Hurricanes have really been pouring it on at home as they are on a 16-2 home-ice run. That also shows them as being 17-1 if they were to be getting +1.5 goals on home ice in their last 18 - certainly showing some value on the puckline as they have already outscored the Bruins 7-3 in the two games played here. I certainly respect the Bruins, but even over their last 10 regular season games, they were just 3-7 on the road, and this Carolina team is showing to be a lot more difficult than the Canadiens team the Bruins steamrolled. It’s hard to play against a team that has rolled at home over their last 18 home tilts, but out of respect for the Bruins, I'll opt for the value of the puckline on the Hurricanes.

chuba · May 12, 2009

ted servansky

3units texas
3units cleveland

gl

stanz · May 12, 2009

SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Tuesday:

Major League Baseball

LA DODGERS +110 (with Kershaw) over Philadelphia

OVER 10.5 RUNS Tampa Bay at Baltimore

NHL Playoffs

ANAHEIM (+145) over Detroit

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 12, 2009

NSA

NBA Orlando @ Boston 8:05 PM EST 20* Boston -2
MLB NY Yankees @ Toronto 7:05 PM EST 20* Toronto -140
NBA Houston @ LA Lakers 10:35 PM EST 10* OVER 198
MLB White Sox @ Cleveland 7:05 PM EST 10* OVER 10
MLB Boston @ LA Angels 10:05 PM EST 10* LA Angels -125
MLB Seattle @ Texas 8:05 PM EST 10* Seattle +140
NHL Boston @ Carolina 7:05 PM EST 10* Boston -115

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 12, 2009

Big Al

Magic

Twins GOM
Rangers

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 12, 2009

SCOTT FERRALL'S PAY PICKS:

NHL PLAYOFFS CONF. SEMI'S PICKS FOR TUESDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

Money Line

Boston

CAROLINA EVEN (1)

DETROIT -145 (2)

Anaheim

OVER / UNDER

Boston / Carolina UNDER 5 (1)

Detroit / Anaheim OVER 5 ½ (2)

Puck Line

Boston

CAROLINA -1 ½ AT +220 (1)

Detroit

ANAHEIM +1 ½ AT -220 (2)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · May 12, 2009

SCOTT FERRALL'S PAY PICKS:

NBA PLAYOFFS CONF. SEMI'S PICKS FOR TUESDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

Against the Spread

Orlando

BOSTON -2 (1)

Houston

LOS ANGELES -12 (2)

OVER / UNDER

Houston / Los Angeles OVER 197 ½ (1)

Orlando / Boston UNDER 192 (2)

Money Line

Houston

LOS ANGELES -1100 (1)

Orlando

BOSTON -130 (2)