[FONT="]axiumsports[/FONT]
[FONT="]September 9th 2010[/FONT]
[FONT="]*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*[/FONT]
[FONT="]Current Bankroll=$1,485.75[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #10-MLB-[/FONT]
[FONT="]10)Bet 19.17 to win 16.24 on Chicago ML OVER Detroit -118[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #11-NFL 1st Half-[/FONT]
[FONT="]11a)Bet 19.38 to win 17.78 on New Orleans -3 OVER Minnesota -109[/FONT]
[FONT="]11b)Bet 40.26 to win 36.93 on New Orleans -3 OVER Minnesota -109[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #12-MLB-[/FONT]
[FONT="]12aa)Bet 19.61 to win 17.35 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12ab)Bet 40.70 to win 36.02 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12ba)Bet 19.40 to win 17.16 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12bb)Bet 84.55 to win 74.82 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]September 9th 2010[/FONT]
[FONT="]*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*[/FONT]
[FONT="]Current Bankroll=$1,485.75[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #10-MLB-[/FONT]
[FONT="]10)Bet 19.17 to win 16.24 on Chicago ML OVER Detroit -118[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #11-NFL 1st Half-[/FONT]
[FONT="]11a)Bet 19.38 to win 17.78 on New Orleans -3 OVER Minnesota -109[/FONT]
[FONT="]11b)Bet 40.26 to win 36.93 on New Orleans -3 OVER Minnesota -109[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick #12-MLB-[/FONT]
[FONT="]12aa)Bet 19.61 to win 17.35 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12ab)Bet 40.70 to win 36.02 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12ba)Bet 19.40 to win 17.16 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
[FONT="]12bb)Bet 84.55 to win 74.82 on San Diego ML OVER San Francisco -113[/FONT]
DICEITUPONLINE
Fireman
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Saints -4
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Saints over 48 = 15 Dimes
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Packers -3 = 15 Dimes
10 DIMES NFL Week 1: 3 Team Teaser
Detroit Lions/Chicago Bears over 32.5 (tease down 10)
Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans over 37 (tease down 10)
Washington Redskins +15 (tease up 10)
Fireman
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Saints -4
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Saints over 48 = 15 Dimes
15 DIMES NFL Week 1: Packers -3 = 15 Dimes
10 DIMES NFL Week 1: 3 Team Teaser
Detroit Lions/Chicago Bears over 32.5 (tease down 10)
Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans over 37 (tease down 10)
Washington Redskins +15 (tease up 10)
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
Thursday Baseball
100* Play Colorado (-125) over Cincinnati
Game starts at 3:10 PM EST
Colorado has won 16 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 16 of the last 19 games vs. Cincinnati. Jason Hammel has won 14 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he is 7-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 3.43.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Atlanta (+105) over St. Louis
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Atlanta has won 13 of the last 16 home games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and they have also won 9 of the last 11 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Jair Jurrjens has won 17 of the last 28 games as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he is 6-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.15.
Thursday Baseball
100* Play Colorado (-125) over Cincinnati
Game starts at 3:10 PM EST
Colorado has won 16 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 16 of the last 19 games vs. Cincinnati. Jason Hammel has won 14 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he is 7-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 3.43.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Atlanta (+105) over St. Louis
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Atlanta has won 13 of the last 16 home games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and they have also won 9 of the last 11 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Jair Jurrjens has won 17 of the last 28 games as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he is 6-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.15.
GoldSheet
*NEW ORLEANS 32 - Minnesota 23
*NEW ORLEANS 32 - Minnesota 23
Vikes want revenge for LY’s NFC
title game loss when they committed five turnovers. But that payback might be
hard to get, especially with Minny WR Sidney Rice out, the Vikings thin at CB,
the OL still having some problems, and Brett Favre (40) a season older, late to
camp, and reportedly in need of “lubrication” from time to time for his ailing
ankle (is there a WD-40 endorsement in his future?). New Orleans will be
without ball thief S Darren Sharper and must still contain Adrian Peterson. But
Drew Brees has appeared to be in midseason form all summer. And scouts
report N.O. is deeper at DB, WR, OL & DL. Saints “over” 17-7 last 24 home.
TV—NBC
(09-N.O. 31-Min. 28 (OT)...M.31-15 M.36/165 N.23/68 M.28/46/2/310 N.17/31/0/189 N.1 M.3)
(09-NEW ORLEANS -3' 31-28 (OT-Playoffs)...SR: Minnesota 20-8)
title game loss when they committed five turnovers. But that payback might be
hard to get, especially with Minny WR Sidney Rice out, the Vikings thin at CB,
the OL still having some problems, and Brett Favre (40) a season older, late to
camp, and reportedly in need of “lubrication” from time to time for his ailing
ankle (is there a WD-40 endorsement in his future?). New Orleans will be
without ball thief S Darren Sharper and must still contain Adrian Peterson. But
Drew Brees has appeared to be in midseason form all summer. And scouts
report N.O. is deeper at DB, WR, OL & DL. Saints “over” 17-7 last 24 home.
TV—NBC
(09-N.O. 31-Min. 28 (OT)...M.31-15 M.36/165 N.23/68 M.28/46/2/310 N.17/31/0/189 N.1 M.3)
(09-NEW ORLEANS -3' 31-28 (OT-Playoffs)...SR: Minnesota 20-8)
*Auburn 35 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 26—
MSU’s rotating QBs, mobile jr. Chris
Relf & hotshot RS frosh Tyler Russell, shined in 49-7 romp vs. Memphis. But
doubt Bulldogs own enough playmakers to keep pace with explosive, balanced
Auburn attack, piloted by super-athletic 6-6, 247 QB Cam Newton (Florida
transfer nicknamed “Godzilla”), who accounted for 357 total yds. in 52-26
victory vs. Arkansas State. Anticipate inspired effort from Tigers’ 6-3 star jr. WR
Darvin Adams (native Mississippian has 62 catches last 1+Ys). AU rolled up
season-high 390 YR in ‘09 meeting, and Tigers have captured four straight in
Starkville (3-1 vs. spread). TV-ESPN
Relf & hotshot RS frosh Tyler Russell, shined in 49-7 romp vs. Memphis. But
doubt Bulldogs own enough playmakers to keep pace with explosive, balanced
Auburn attack, piloted by super-athletic 6-6, 247 QB Cam Newton (Florida
transfer nicknamed “Godzilla”), who accounted for 357 total yds. in 52-26
victory vs. Arkansas State. Anticipate inspired effort from Tigers’ 6-3 star jr. WR
Darvin Adams (native Mississippian has 62 catches last 1+Ys). AU rolled up
season-high 390 YR in ‘09 meeting, and Tigers have captured four straight in
Starkville (3-1 vs. spread). TV-ESPN
(09-AUB. 49-Miss. St. 24...A.29-14 A.59/390 M.38/167 A.11/24/0/199 M.11/21/2/130 A.0 M.0)
(09-AUBURN -14' 49-24 08-Auburn -10 3-2 07-Msu +12' 19-14...SR: Auburn 58-23-2)
(09-AUBURN -14' 49-24 08-Auburn -10 3-2 07-Msu +12' 19-14...SR: Auburn 58-23-2)
*TEMPLE 24 - Central Michigan 21—
Temple was fortunate (very fortunate)
to get a win-and-cover against defending FCS champion Villanova in opener.
Owl defense is very athletic, and Bernard Pierce & Matt Brown form a
formidable RB combo. CMU likely isn’t ready to overcome such a challenge
with a new coach, QB, and only 5 returning starters on defense. TV—ESPNU
to get a win-and-cover against defending FCS champion Villanova in opener.
Owl defense is very athletic, and Bernard Pierce & Matt Brown form a
formidable RB combo. CMU likely isn’t ready to overcome such a challenge
with a new coach, QB, and only 5 returning starters on defense. TV—ESPNU
Moved from Saturday, September 11
(08-CENTRAL MICHIGAN -8 24-14...SR: Central Michigan 2-0)
Statfox
AFC Regular Season Win Total Props
AFC Regular Season Win Total Props
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 10 (-130) / Under 10 (+110)
The Ravens have won three playoff games in two years under head coach John Harbaugh, including sending the Patriots to their first
home playoff loss in the Bill Belichick-era in January. In both seasons, the Ravens reached the postseason as a Wild Card. Now, with
some key roster additions, particularly star wide receiver Anquan Boldin, the sky appears to be the limit for the new favorites in the
AFC North.
home playoff loss in the Bill Belichick-era in January. In both seasons, the Ravens reached the postseason as a Wild Card. Now, with
some key roster additions, particularly star wide receiver Anquan Boldin, the sky appears to be the limit for the new favorites in the
AFC North.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
Over the L2 seasons, BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. teams with a losing
record. The Average Score was BALTIMORE 31.1, OPPONENT 9.6.
record. The Average Score was BALTIMORE 31.1, OPPONENT 9.6.
Stat Fox Take:
A double-digit win total seems to be a safe bet for this team. The key to how this team has gotten to the upper echelon
of the NFL has been the fact that the offense has nearly caught up to the defense. This is a true Super Bowl contender that could
end up winning 12 regular season games. OVER 10
of the NFL has been the fact that the offense has nearly caught up to the defense. This is a true Super Bowl contender that could
end up winning 12 regular season games. OVER 10
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 8.5 (even) / Under 8.5 (-155)
The Bengals were AFC North Champions and won 10 games last season despite the fact that they failed to cover all eight of their
games as favorites. When playing as underdogs, however, head coach Marvin Lewis' team was outstanding, going 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS.
Being the hunted team now, the Bengals have a whole new set of hurdles to overcome. Their success last season was largely due to
their ability to run the ball on offense—it remains to be seen whether they'll be able to maintain that same dedication to the run now
that Terrell Owens has joined Chad Ochocinco as enticing targets for veteran QB Carson Palmer.
games as favorites. When playing as underdogs, however, head coach Marvin Lewis' team was outstanding, going 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS.
Being the hunted team now, the Bengals have a whole new set of hurdles to overcome. Their success last season was largely due to
their ability to run the ball on offense—it remains to be seen whether they'll be able to maintain that same dedication to the run now
that Terrell Owens has joined Chad Ochocinco as enticing targets for veteran QB Carson Palmer.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
CINCINNATI was 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as favorites last season. The Average Score was
CINCINNATI 16.8, OPPONENT 16.8.
CINCINNATI 16.8, OPPONENT 16.8.
Stat Fox Take:
It says a lot about what oddsmakers think of a team's chances when their regular season win prop is just slightly
over .500 when coming off a season during which they reached double digits in victories. Considering six of the 10 wins were by a
touchdown or less, it's easy to see where the oddsmakers are coming from. This appears to be an average team, and seven or eight
wins seems more likely than nine. Slight lean to UNDER 8.5
over .500 when coming off a season during which they reached double digits in victories. Considering six of the 10 wins were by a
touchdown or less, it's easy to see where the oddsmakers are coming from. This appears to be an average team, and seven or eight
wins seems more likely than nine. Slight lean to UNDER 8.5
BUFFALO BILLS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 5.5 (+145) / Under 5.5 (-170)
While things aren't as bad in Buffalo as they seem to be at other NFL locales these days, there certainly isn't a whole lot of reason for
optimism either. The Bills haven't had a winning record since 2004 and are the clear-cut underdog in a loaded AFC East Division. New
head coach Chan Gailey has been brought in to rebuild one of the league's worst offenses. It could be long season.
optimism either. The Bills haven't had a winning record since 2004 and are the clear-cut underdog in a loaded AFC East Division. New
head coach Chan Gailey has been brought in to rebuild one of the league's worst offenses. It could be long season.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
BUFFALO is on a 13-2 UNDER the total (+10.8 Units) run on the road vs. teams giving
up 17 or less PPG The Average Score was BUFFALO 14, OPPONENT 22.8.
up 17 or less PPG The Average Score was BUFFALO 14, OPPONENT 22.8.
Stat Fox Take:
This looks like one of the worst teams in the AFC, if not all of football. As you go through the season schedule,
you can point to 10 of 16 games in which the Bills will be prohibitive underdogs. And it's very hard to envision a scenario in which
Buffalo sweeps the other six games on the schedule. UNDER 5.5
you can point to 10 of 16 games in which the Bills will be prohibitive underdogs. And it's very hard to envision a scenario in which
Buffalo sweeps the other six games on the schedule. UNDER 5.5
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 5.5 (-140) / Under 5.5 (+120)
Mike Holmgren took over the football operations of the Browns and made an immediate impact by acquiring Jake Delhomme as the
new starter at quarterback. All this change comes to a team that won its final four games of last season, and its final seven against the
spread. Maybe the Browns can help Cleveland fans forget about LeBron this fall.
new starter at quarterback. All this change comes to a team that won its final four games of last season, and its final seven against the
spread. Maybe the Browns can help Cleveland fans forget about LeBron this fall.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
CLEVELAND is on a 8-0 UNDER the total (+8 Units) run against NFC South division
opponents The Average Score was CLEVELAND 13.4, OPPONENT 16.9.
opponents The Average Score was CLEVELAND 13.4, OPPONENT 16.9.
Stat Fox Take:
Cleveland isn't nearly as bad as most experts are projecting. However, reaching the six-win mark is going to be
tough going against the league's second-most difficult schedule. The Browns have only won six or more games twice since 2002.
tough going against the league's second-most difficult schedule. The Browns have only won six or more games twice since 2002.
Slight lean UNDER 5.5
DENVER BRONCOS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 7 (+105) / Under 7 (-125)
Josh McDaniels certainly made a splash in his first year with the Broncos franchise in 2009. On the field, the season was marked by
the highs of a 6-0 start, and the lows of a four-game losing streak to close the season, capped by a dreadful turnover-riddled home
loss to the Chiefs in the season finale. Denver played that game without WR Brandon Marshall, who was dealt to Miami this offseason.
the highs of a 6-0 start, and the lows of a four-game losing streak to close the season, capped by a dreadful turnover-riddled home
loss to the Chiefs in the season finale. Denver played that game without WR Brandon Marshall, who was dealt to Miami this offseason.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
DENVER is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of
64% or better since '07. The Average Score was DENVER 15, OPPONENT 31.7.
64% or better since '07. The Average Score was DENVER 15, OPPONENT 31.7.
Stat Fox Take:
The Broncos were only 8-8 last season despite winning their first six games. This year's team, minus its most crucial
offensive weapon, doesn't seem to have more than it did a season ago. Look for Denver to take a step back, especially with Kansas
City and Oakland seemingly improved. UNDER 7
offensive weapon, doesn't seem to have more than it did a season ago. Look for Denver to take a step back, especially with Kansas
City and Oakland seemingly improved. UNDER 7
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 11 (+105) / Under 11 (-125)
As the Colts embark on a season that they hope will produce a league-record 10th straight postseason berth, they are showing very
few signs of slowing down. While it's true that they did come up short in the Super Bowl to New Orleans, the 2009 season was another
wildly successful campaign for Indianapolis. With Peyton Manning back under center and the rest of the corps still intact,
the Colts have to again be considered one of the AFC favorites this fall.
few signs of slowing down. While it's true that they did come up short in the Super Bowl to New Orleans, the 2009 season was another
wildly successful campaign for Indianapolis. With Peyton Manning back under center and the rest of the corps still intact,
the Colts have to again be considered one of the AFC favorites this fall.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
INDIANAPOLIS is on a 23-4 OVER the total (+18.6 Units) run on the road coming off
an upset loss as a favorite The Average Score was INDIANAPOLIS 23.9, OPPONENT 28.1.
an upset loss as a favorite The Average Score was INDIANAPOLIS 23.9, OPPONENT 28.1.
Stat Fox Take:
The Colts boast the highest regular season wins prop in the NFL, fitting since they quite possibly could have gone
16-0 last year if they wanted to. With the 21st-toughest schedule in the league, Indianapolis could probably win 11 games in its sleep,
and the only thing that could deter them is an injury to Manning. If recent history has taught us anything, it's taught us that an inseason
injury to Peyton Manning never happens. OVER 11
16-0 last year if they wanted to. With the 21st-toughest schedule in the league, Indianapolis could probably win 11 games in its sleep,
and the only thing that could deter them is an injury to Manning. If recent history has taught us anything, it's taught us that an inseason
injury to Peyton Manning never happens. OVER 11
HOUSTON TEXANS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 8.5
After winning a franchise-high nine games in 2009, the Houston Texans have set a reachable goal of qualifying for a first-ever
playoff berth this season. And why shouldn't they make the playoffs? Houston had the top-ranked passing attack in the NFL last
season, the league's defensive rookie of the year in LB Brian Cushing, and starts the season on a four-game carryover winning streak.
Indianapolis, take notice.
playoff berth this season. And why shouldn't they make the playoffs? Houston had the top-ranked passing attack in the NFL last
season, the league's defensive rookie of the year in LB Brian Cushing, and starts the season on a four-game carryover winning streak.
Indianapolis, take notice.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER the total (+9 Units) vs. teams with a losing record since '07.
The Average Score was HOUSTON 23, OPPONENT 14.9.
The Average Score was HOUSTON 23, OPPONENT 14.9.
Stat Fox Take:
Over the last three seasons, Houston has won nine, nine and eight games. This is a franchise that certainly appears
to be on the rise, one capable of a first-ever postseason berth. The problem is that there really isn't a certain win at any point on the
schedule, which has us thinking they'll end the 2010 season as a .500 team. UNDER 8.5
to be on the rise, one capable of a first-ever postseason berth. The problem is that there really isn't a certain win at any point on the
schedule, which has us thinking they'll end the 2010 season as a .500 team. UNDER 8.5
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 7 (+120) / Under 7 (-140)
The Jaguars have certainly headed the wrong direction since their successful 2007 campaign, winning just 12 games in the two
seasons since. Last year the botton fell out for this team in the final month, as they lost their final four games to fall out of the playoff
picture. With little momentum nor any noteworthy offseason acquisitions, Jacksonville fans aren't exactly singing the praises of their
team heading into 2010.
seasons since. Last year the botton fell out for this team in the final month, as they lost their final four games to fall out of the playoff
picture. With little momentum nor any noteworthy offseason acquisitions, Jacksonville fans aren't exactly singing the praises of their
team heading into 2010.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
Over the L2 seasons, JACKSONVILLE is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) as home favorites. The
Average Score was JACKSONVILLE 18.8, OPPONENT 22.7.
Average Score was JACKSONVILLE 18.8, OPPONENT 22.7.
Stat Fox Take:
Jacksonville was 7-9 a year ago, matching the regular season win prop set for 2010. You'd be hard-pressed to come
up with too many reasons why the Jaguars should be better this fall. With Indy still the class of the AFC South, and Houston and Tennessee
seemingly in better shape than last season, it's hard to see this team winning more than it did a year ago. Plus, they're a woeful
up with too many reasons why the Jaguars should be better this fall. With Indy still the class of the AFC South, and Houston and Tennessee
seemingly in better shape than last season, it's hard to see this team winning more than it did a year ago. Plus, they're a woeful
9-23 ATS over the last two seasons, which tends to be an indicator of a spiraling team. UNDER 7
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 6.5 (-115) / Under 6.5 (-105)
It's been said that Bill Belichick's Patriots have laid the blueprint for success in this era of NFL football. If such is true, the Chiefs have
to be hoping that getting Belichick's top two coordinators from their Super Bowl run is the answer to what has been ailing the Kansas
City franchise. Although the Chiefs have won just 10 games in three seasons, the team appears ready to make a jump in an AFC West
Division with a lot of question marks heading into 2010.
to be hoping that getting Belichick's top two coordinators from their Super Bowl run is the answer to what has been ailing the Kansas
City franchise. Although the Chiefs have won just 10 games in three seasons, the team appears ready to make a jump in an AFC West
Division with a lot of question marks heading into 2010.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
KANSAS CITY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp.
pct. of 64% or worse since '07. The Average Score was KANSAS CITY 21.1, OPPONENT 22.
pct. of 64% or worse since '07. The Average Score was KANSAS CITY 21.1, OPPONENT 22.
Stat Fox Take:
The Chiefs have the third-weakest schedule in the NFL, which in and of itself could turn out to be the key to an
improved record in 2010. Still, winning seven games would mean a three-game improvement, which certainly isn't an insignificant feat.
This doesn't appear to be a playoff team until at least 2011 or 2012, but for this season we will lean slightly OVER 6.5
improved record in 2010. Still, winning seven games would mean a three-game improvement, which certainly isn't an insignificant feat.
This doesn't appear to be a playoff team until at least 2011 or 2012, but for this season we will lean slightly OVER 6.5
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 9.5 (-150) / Under 9.5 (+130)
There are many football fans out there that believe the Patriots' home loss to Baltimore last January, the first in the Bill Belichick era,
signaled the end of the dynasty. Others argue that dynasty may have ended in the Super Bowl XLII loss since they haven't won a
playoff game since. Regardless, it's quite obvious that New England has to earn its respect back as they are no longer the feared team
they once were. In fact, they aren't even the clear-cut favorite in the AFC East for the first time in nearly a decade.
signaled the end of the dynasty. Others argue that dynasty may have ended in the Super Bowl XLII loss since they haven't won a
playoff game since. Regardless, it's quite obvious that New England has to earn its respect back as they are no longer the feared team
they once were. In fact, they aren't even the clear-cut favorite in the AFC East for the first time in nearly a decade.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
NEW ENGLAND is on a 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) run vs. marginal winning teams (Win
Pct. 51% to 60%) The Average Score was NEW ENGLAND 24.9, OPPONENT 16.
Pct. 51% to 60%) The Average Score was NEW ENGLAND 24.9, OPPONENT 16.
Stat Fox Take:
The early schedule doesn't do any favors for the Patriots as they look to start fast and erase the memories of last
January's playoff loss. The first seven games are made up of five defending playoff teams and two other divisional foes. Still, Tom
Brady is back and remains one of the best in the business. We'll lean very slightly OVER 9.5 and look for a 10-6 campaign.
January's playoff loss. The first seven games are made up of five defending playoff teams and two other divisional foes. Still, Tom
Brady is back and remains one of the best in the business. We'll lean very slightly OVER 9.5 and look for a 10-6 campaign.
MIAMI DOLPHINS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 8.5 (-135) / Under 8.5 (+115)
It's been a roller coaster ride for the Miami franchise over the last six or seven years. This past season, the Dolphins dropped from 11 to
seven wins and out of the playoffs. However, with Chad Henne now the unquestioned starting quarterback and the key acquisition of
wide receiver Brandon Marshall, Miami may have the pieces in place to get back to the postseason.
seven wins and out of the playoffs. However, with Chad Henne now the unquestioned starting quarterback and the key acquisition of
wide receiver Brandon Marshall, Miami may have the pieces in place to get back to the postseason.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
MIAMI is on a 11-0 UNDER the total (+11 Units) run at home revenging a home loss
against opponent The Average Score was MIAMI 19.4, OPPONENT 14.
against opponent The Average Score was MIAMI 19.4, OPPONENT 14.
Stat Fox Take:
There are a number of question marks about this Miami team. First, Chad Henne lacks experience at quarterback.
Second, any team that runs the Wildcat as regularly as the Dolphins is relying too much on gimmicks. Third, Miami ranked 20th in the
NFL last year in scoring and yardage differential. Fourth, and finally, six of their eight road games are against teams that made the
playoffs last season. It seems to all add up to another playoff-less season in South Beach. UNDER 8.5
Second, any team that runs the Wildcat as regularly as the Dolphins is relying too much on gimmicks. Third, Miami ranked 20th in the
NFL last year in scoring and yardage differential. Fourth, and finally, six of their eight road games are against teams that made the
playoffs last season. It seems to all add up to another playoff-less season in South Beach. UNDER 8.5
NEW YORK JETS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 9.5 (-130) / Under 9.5 (+110)
Since falling short in the AFC Title game last January, the Jets have made many bold moves in hopes of taking the next step or two. In
truth, head coach Rex Ryan has as many big name stars scattered over the field now as any other team. Still, their success figures to
come down to quarterback Mark Sanchez and whether or not he can avoid the sophomore slump. Whatever happens, Ryan has made
sure it will be interesting.
truth, head coach Rex Ryan has as many big name stars scattered over the field now as any other team. Still, their success figures to
come down to quarterback Mark Sanchez and whether or not he can avoid the sophomore slump. Whatever happens, Ryan has made
sure it will be interesting.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
NY JETS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more
PYPG since '07. The Average Score was NY JETS 17.8, OPPONENT 21.3.
PYPG since '07. The Average Score was NY JETS 17.8, OPPONENT 21.3.
Stat Fox Take:
New York's first four home games in opening the New Meadowlands are against Baltimore, New England, Minnesota
and Green Bay—talk about a challenge. Fortunately, the road schedule is one of the, if not the easiest in the NFL. With a running
and Green Bay—talk about a challenge. Fortunately, the road schedule is one of the, if not the easiest in the NFL. With a running
game/defense combo that may be unparalleled in the NFL, it's hard to envision this team not winning at least 10 games. OVER 9.5
OAKLAND RAIDERS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 6.5 (-120) / Under 6.5 (even)
The Oakland Raiders have been the worst team in the NFL since last appearing in the Super Bowl at the conclusion of the 2002 season.
In failing to win more than five games in any season since, the problems have been multi-faceted. However, after finally enjoying
an offseason of what seems to be strong personnel moves, perhaps this franchise is finally ready to turn the corner.
In failing to win more than five games in any season since, the problems have been multi-faceted. However, after finally enjoying
an offseason of what seems to be strong personnel moves, perhaps this franchise is finally ready to turn the corner.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
OAKLAND is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
games since '07. The Average Score was OAKLAND 10.2, OPPONENT 29.1.
games since '07. The Average Score was OAKLAND 10.2, OPPONENT 29.1.
Stat Fox Take:
Although six wins would be an eight-year high for the Oakland franchise, this year's team actually appears to be
capable of reaching and even surpassing that plateau. The AFC West is weak, the Raiders played fairly when JaMarcus Russell wasn't
on the field last season, and the Jason Campbell acquisition represents a major upgrade at quarterback. Don't be surprised to see
Oakland reach the seven or perhaps even eight-win mark in 2010. OVER 6.5
capable of reaching and even surpassing that plateau. The AFC West is weak, the Raiders played fairly when JaMarcus Russell wasn't
on the field last season, and the Jason Campbell acquisition represents a major upgrade at quarterback. Don't be surprised to see
Oakland reach the seven or perhaps even eight-win mark in 2010. OVER 6.5
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 10.5
Even with future Hall of Fame running back LaDainian Tomlinson having moved on, the San Diego Chargers are the overwhelming
favorite to win a fifth straight AFC West title. That means little to them however, since the previous four have amounted to little more
than eventual postseason disappointment. Every San Diego player and fan has his or her goals set on reaching Super Bowl XLV in
Dallas in February.
favorite to win a fifth straight AFC West title. That means little to them however, since the previous four have amounted to little more
than eventual postseason disappointment. Every San Diego player and fan has his or her goals set on reaching Super Bowl XLV in
Dallas in February.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
SAN DIEGO is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of
61% or better. since '07. The Average Score was SAN DIEGO 27.8, OPPONENT 15.9.
61% or better. since '07. The Average Score was SAN DIEGO 27.8, OPPONENT 15.9.
Stat Fox Take:
If San Diego could just start the season in Week 6 it would have a chance to win 15 or 16 games. The problem is the
Chargers have been 2-3 after five weeks in each of the last three seasons. Still, a fast start seems more likely this year with perhaps
the easiest first month schedule in the NFL. That should propel this team to 12 or 13 wins. OVER 10.5
Chargers have been 2-3 after five weeks in each of the last three seasons. Still, a fast start seems more likely this year with perhaps
the easiest first month schedule in the NFL. That should propel this team to 12 or 13 wins. OVER 10.5
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 9 (+145) / Under 9 (-170)
Even though it has won two of the last five Super Bowl titles, the Steelers' franchise has seen better days. Long known as a team
with an exempliary record both on and off the field, Pittsburgh has been embarrassed by a series of offseason incidents involving key
players. For 2010, what occurred off the field will actually affect what happens on it, as two Super Bowl XLIII heroes won't be in the
season opening lineup.
with an exempliary record both on and off the field, Pittsburgh has been embarrassed by a series of offseason incidents involving key
players. For 2010, what occurred off the field will actually affect what happens on it, as two Super Bowl XLIII heroes won't be in the
season opening lineup.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
PITTSBURGH is on a 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) run vs. top-level teams (Win Pct. > 75%)
The Average Score was PITTSBURGH 21.3, OPPONENT 18.4.
The Average Score was PITTSBURGH 21.3, OPPONENT 18.4.
Stat Fox Take:
As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, nine is a very generous season win prop for a team being quarterbacked by
either Charlie Batch or Byron Leftwich for the season's first month. With so many distractions and such a lack of continuity, it appears
likely that Pittsburgh will take a step back in 2010. UNDER 9
either Charlie Batch or Byron Leftwich for the season's first month. With so many distractions and such a lack of continuity, it appears
likely that Pittsburgh will take a step back in 2010. UNDER 9
TENNESSEE TITANS
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over 8.5 (+110) / Under 8.5 (-130)
The 2009 season was a tale of two seasons for the Titans. There was the part where they were 0-6 while allowing 33 PPG, and the
other part where they were 8-2 and nearly good enough to reach the postseason. The latter part, behind the leadership of quarterback
Vince Young, is what the Tennessee coaching staff is hoping will guide the fortunes in 2010. If so, a playoff berth is certainly
possible for this team.
other part where they were 8-2 and nearly good enough to reach the postseason. The latter part, behind the leadership of quarterback
Vince Young, is what the Tennessee coaching staff is hoping will guide the fortunes in 2010. If so, a playoff berth is certainly
possible for this team.
Sample Stat Fox Power Trend for 2010:
TENNESSEE is on a 26-9 OVER the total (+16.1 Units) run vs. poor defensive teams -
allowing >=350 YPG The Average Score was TENNESSEE 26.4, OPPONENT 23.9.
allowing >=350 YPG The Average Score was TENNESSEE 26.4, OPPONENT 23.9.
Stat Fox Take:
Vince Young's success a year ago could have been due to the change of pace he presented after replacing Kerry Collins
and because teams were taking the Titans lightly after the 0-6 start. A full 16-game slate will be the real test. While it's hard to bet
and because teams were taking the Titans lightly after the 0-6 start. A full 16-game slate will be the real test. While it's hard to bet
against a coach as good as Jeff Fisher, this looks an awful lot like a .500 club. UNDER 8.5
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-September 9th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[901] Cincinnati |8*|+130|B+0|Network N/A|3:10 pm EST
[905] LA Dodgers |8*|-125|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[901] Cincinnati |8*|+130|B+0|Network N/A|3:10 pm EST
[905] LA Dodgers |8*|-125|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST
Pointwise
MISSISSIPPI STATE 33 - Auburn 30 - (7:45 - ESPN) --
MISSISSIPPI STATE 33 - Auburn 30 - (7:45 - ESPN) --
Solid start for 'Dogs, with
52 pts vs Memphis their most since '02, & 569 yds just 27 shy of the school
record. QB Russell: 4 TD passes in debut. Outstanding, defensively as well (9
FDs). New Tig QB Newton off to decent start, & AU nicely balanced vs ArkySt.
But dog 30-16 ATS in Auburn gms, & lost its last 3 RGs by combined 106-57.
record. QB Russell: 4 TD passes in debut. Outstanding, defensively as well (9
FDs). New Tig QB Newton off to decent start, & AU nicely balanced vs ArkySt.
But dog 30-16 ATS in Auburn gms, & lost its last 3 RGs by combined 106-57.
Central Michigan 24 - TEMPLE 23 - (7:00 - ESPNU) --
Huge revenge success
Minny just 12-21 ATS as non-division RD, but at 4-0 N'orleans, & worth a peek
for Owls LW, but didn't come easy (9 pts in final 0:03). And note just 122 RYs
vs Villanova. TU +177 pts ATS in last 32 tilts, but with UConn & Pitt on deck,
this could possibly be flat spot. Chips didn't miss LeFevour in Hampton rout,
as Radcliff nice 20-of-34. Just 11 starters return for CM, but super MAC openervs Villanova. TU +177 pts ATS in last 32 tilts, but with UConn & Pitt on deck,
this could possibly be flat spot. Chips didn't miss LeFevour in Hampton rout,
NEW ORLEANS 27 - Minnesota 26 - (8:30 - NBC) --
That's right, a call for a
similar result of LY's NFC title game, which went into OT. As you recall, Favre
was mauled in that one, but still threw for 310 yds as the Vikes held a 475-257 yd
edge, with 5 TOs eventually proving their undoing. Both among the elites again
TY, with Brees & Favre the perfect leaders, ranking #1 & #2 among NFL QBs in
'09 (combined 67 TD passes). Saints were 9-4 ATS vs non-division LY, & are at
32.9 ppg in their last 21 outings. And don't forget their quick '09 start: 45+ pts 4
of first 6. The home team is on an 8-1 run in Vike tilts (only miss that title game).
similar result of LY's NFC title game, which went into OT. As you recall, Favre
was mauled in that one, but still threw for 310 yds as the Vikes held a 475-257 yd
edge, with 5 TOs eventually proving their undoing. Both among the elites again
TY, with Brees & Favre the perfect leaders, ranking #1 & #2 among NFL QBs in
'09 (combined 67 TD passes). Saints were 9-4 ATS vs non-division LY, & are at
32.9 ppg in their last 21 outings. And don't forget their quick '09 start: 45+ pts 4
of first 6. The home team is on an 8-1 run in Vike tilts (only miss that title game).
Minny just 12-21 ATS as non-division RD, but at 4-0 N'orleans, & worth a peek
