Service Plays Thursday 9/9/10

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Thursday, September 9

Hot pitchers
-- Wood is 5-1, 3.79 in his last six road starts. Rockies won Hammel's last four starts (2-0, 3.38).
-- Jurrjens is 4-0, 3.57 in his last seven starts.
-- Lilly is 6-1, 3.18 in seven starts for the Dodgers.
-- Garland is 3-2, 2.45 in his last five starts.

-- Porcello is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts. Floyd is 2-1, 2.29 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wainwright is 0-4, 6.00 in his last four starts.
-- Norris is 0-1, 6.06 in his last three starts.
-- Cain is 1-1, 4.61 in his last four starts.

-- Lewis is 0-3, 9.27 in his last four starts. Hill was 2-2, 3.00 in his five AAA starts this year; he is 8-16, 4.95 in 40 major league starts.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Wood starts went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Jurrjens starts.
-- Four of last five Norris starts stayed under the total.
-- Last five Cain starts all went over the total.

-- Five of last seven Floyd starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Lewis starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Colorado is 13-4 in its last seventeen games.
-- Houston won 13 of its last 17 games.
-- Giants won six of their last eight games. Padres won their last three games, after losing the previous ten.

-- White Sox are 9-4 in their last thirteen road games. Tigers are 8-2 in their last ten home games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Cincinnati lost last four games, outscored 27-12.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last seven road games. Braves are 2-5 in their last seven games overall.
-- Dodgers lost nine of their last eleven games.

-- Rangers are 5-13 in their last seventeen road games.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Mets Wednesday.

Thursday it's the Vikings and Dodgers. The deficit is 45 sirignanos.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Hondo

Hondo suffered a minor setback last night when his triumph with the Rangers failed to offset entirely his loss with the Cards, causing the deficit to grow slightly to 1,750 abernathys.

Today, Mr. Aitch is homing in on the visitors -- 10 units apiece on the Chisox, Reds, Rangers, Cards, Dodgers and Giants.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI

NFL
Thursday, September 9, 2010
NEW ORLEANS 31, Minnesota 25

NCAA
Thursday, September 9, 2010
Southeastern Conference
MISSISSIPPI STATE 34, Auburn 29
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
KIKI SPORTS

Thursday September 9th

3 units Minny/NO OVER 48.5
1 unit Minnesota +5.5

The DOME will be rocking, the Saints will be ready, and the points will be put up in bunches, but when all is said and done, old man Favre, and AP will move the ball and keep this one close in a good old fashioned barn burner.. A great opening night game for the country to watch..
NO 34 MINNY 31

1 unit Auburn -2
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Foxsheets MLB

All 4*

Favoring: ST LOUIS on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
(45-14 since 1997.) (76.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (2-1

Favoring: ST LOUIS on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
(45-14 since 1997.) (76.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1

Favoring: ATLANTA on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - with a winning record on the season, in September games
(77-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1

Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a winning record on the season, in September games
(77-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1

Favoring: SAN DIEGO on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL
(43-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (6-3 +


Favoring: ATLANTA on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in September games
(63-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1

Favoring: ATLANTA on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in September games
(63-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB Dunkel


Chicago White Sox at Detroit
The Tigers look to build on their 4-0 record in Rick Porcello's last 4 starts as a home underdog. Detroit is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 15.497; Colorado (Hammel) 15.385
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.016; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.809
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 13.670; Houston (Norris) 15.939
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over

Game 907-908: San Francisco at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.591; San Diego (Garland) 15.581
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.165; Detroit (Porcello) 16.607
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Over

Game 911-912: Texas at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.992; Toronto (Hill) 14.651
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Under
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Sam Clayton

2* MIN +6 vs NOR

Are you ready for some football? Better yet, if you're the Vikings, are you ready to watch the Saints celebrate and raise their championship banner at the same venue as last season's heartbreaking NFC Championship Game?! Yes, the game that saw Minnesota outgain their newly annointed rivals by 200+ yards, yet turn the ball over FIVE times. If those bitter memories combined with a wild, sold out Superdome cheering on the defending champs doesn't spell MOTIVATION, nothing will. So many emotions will erupt from both teams on Thursday night, a mere eight months after last season's greatest game. However, on top of motivation, I'm siding with REVENGE and HUNGER, two attributes I believe the Vikings possess much more of heading into the season opener.

In no way, shape or form am I saying that the Saints aren't going to show up. Not even in the slightest bit. What I am pressing though is that the agony of defeat has lingered in the Vikings' minds all offseason and they've been given an opportunity for revenge against the same team on the same field with more or less the same players. If you're of the mindset that this is going to be a cakewalk for New Orleans, THINK AGAIN. Not only does Minnesota get to play the HUNTER -- they're squaring off against the HUNTED. That's right, for the first time in the history of the National Football League, the Saints have the bullseye on their chest. I'm anxious to see the added pressure on the shoulders of Drew Brees and Co. tonight and how it may affect them.

Matchup wise, if Minnesota makes a carbon copy of January's gameplan, they will be GOLDEN. Don't forget it was the Vikings who won the trench wars . . . who ran 27 more plays and 10 more minutes of clock . . . who were 7-of-12 on third down efficiency and drew five more penalties. Granted, three fumbles and two Brett Favre interceptions (along with a costly 12 men on the field penalty) changed EVERYTHING in that ballgame, yet the Vikes still only lost by a field goal. So now you're telling me I can grab six points with the team that for all intents and purposes DOMINATED the last meeting AND there's a REVENGE ANGLE? Shiiiit. It must be Christmas.

As far as No. 4 is concerned, I learned my lesson a looong time ago going against Favre. He continuously took my money and Chicago pride seemingly every time he took the field against my Bears. You see, that's the kicker with this spread. If Brett Favre is under center, not only will the game be competitive, but there's always a great possibility of an outright win. And for all the talk about New Orleans' high powered offense, it was Favre and Co. that totaled 475 yards in the last meeting. Subtract Saints' safety Darren Sharper (OUT) and combine that with a banged up Jonathan Vilma and Tracy Porter and it seems the New Orleans 'D' might be more the more vulnerable one Thursday night. Back to the well-rested Favre real quick, the man has historically been EXCELLENT in season openers, especially the past three years. Makes you wonder if he's gotten better/smarter with age:

* 2009: 34-20 (W)

* 2008: 20-14 (W)

* 2007: 16-13 (W)

* 2006: 26-0 (L)

* 2005: 17-3 (L)

* 2004: 24-14 (W)

* 2003: 30-25 (L)

* 2002: 37-34 (W)

* 2001: 28-6 (W)

Looking at the line, this is such an EASY scenario for the betting public to see the high-octane, defending champion Saints laying 5 to 6 points at home and think, "coooome on, Saints'll win by a touchdown no problem." In fact, I'm seeing about 75 percent of the 42,000+ bets on New Orleans and I think it's safe to say the sharp action -- and late money -- will be all over the Vikes. Given the fact that this baby is below 7 points and I've got the key numbers of 3, 4 and 6 (w/ Bodog) covered, I'm happier than a pig in a garbage dump. Also, you have to believe that the total dropping three points should correlate with Minnesota.

Re-match games are always more difficult for the team on top, or the one waving the red cape if you're a rodeo fan. Let's not forget, the Vikings are still a very DANGEROUS team with a HOF quarterback under center, great playmakers (A. Peterson, Harvin, Shiancoe) and one of the league's stingiest defensive units. Add in the revenge factor and motivational angle AND you get six points?! I'm sold.
 

Member
Joined
Feb 3, 2009
Messages
10,347
Tokens
BIG AL's 59-25 THURSDAY SAINTS/VIKINGS S*M*A*S*H
Game Date/Time: 9/9/10 8:30 pm
Our Selection: Vikings Opponent: Saints Line: +4.5
Analysis: At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points over the New Orleans Saints. In one of the all-time great playoff games, the Saints outlasted Minnesota last January, and won 31-28 on a Garrett Hartley field goal on the opening possession of the overtime session. That dramatic win was set up by a careless Brett Favre turnover in the game's waning seconds. Here, I look for Minnesota to avenge that defeat with an upset win. The Saints went on to defeat the Colts in the Super Bowl, and finished with a 16-3 record on the season. And that is key, as NFL teams off 16-win seasons generally stumble out of the game, as they've covered just 22.7% of the time in Game 1 the following season since 1980. Super Bowl champs are also over-valued the following season, as evidenced by their poor ATS record (192-223-11 ATS), including an awful 22-41 ATS in the first four games of the season when matched up against a foe that's not off a SU loss! Moreover, the Saints have always been an unreliable home favorite of -2 points or more, including a dreadful 25-59 ATS when their opponent is not off a SU/ATS win! Take the Vikings​
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,986
Messages
13,589,839
Members
101,038
Latest member
azerbaijanevisa
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com