jeff benton thursday
1-0 yesterday plus 30 dimes plus $300. overall, 103-127-4 minus 445.
FYI, Jeff duplicated this summer what he did in the summer of 2009...he sucked. worst baseball handicapper i've seen. however, he did have a solid football campaign last year..i expect that to continue this year. ofcourse, he mentions (as does everyone) this WILL BE THE MOST PROFITABLE FOOTBALL SEASON IN MY CAREER.
Thursday's Plays ...
20 DIME selection on <b>UTAH</b> minus the points over Pittsburgh in opeaing-night college football action from Salt Lake City. The Utes are a solid three-point favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Though I don’t anticipeate this line going up, if it does and you cannot find minus-3 anywhere, be sure you buy the half-point and bring the number back down to 3. Do NOT get beat by the hook in this game!
5 DIME selection on <b>MARSHALL</b> plus the points over Ohio State. Marshall is a consersus 28-point underdog in this game, but a few 27½ spreads are out there, so be sure to shop around and get the best of the number.
5 DIME selection on the <b>CINCINNATI BENGALS</b> minus the points over the Colts in Week 4 of preseason action. The Bengals are a solid road favorite, ranging from 6 to 6½ depending on where you shop.
<b>Utah</b>
The college football season hasn’t even started and yet the perennially disreapected Mountain West Conference is getting the short shrift from the oddsmakers. Think about it: Utah is 37-8 since October 2006. Take away a 55-28 loss at TCU last year – and we all know how dominant the Horned Frogs were – and the Utes are 31-3 in their last 34 games, and the three losses were by a combined 17 points.
Utah has also won 17 consecutive games at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake, and its ongoing nine-game bowl winning streak – including a 37-27 rout of Pac-10 member Cal in last year’s Poinsettia Bowl – is the tops in the nation.
So given all that and then looking at this pointspread, you’d think the Utes must’ve lost A LOT of talent from last year. Not so. Utah returns 12 starters, including its top two RBs in Eddie Ware (1,069 yards, 12 TDs in 10 games last year) and Matt Asiata (conference-leading 330 rushing yards, 4 TDs before suffering a season-ending knee injury); a sophomore quarterback in Jordan Wynn (who threw for 337 yards in the bowl win over Cal); and four offeensive linemen.
True, Utah only has four starters back on defense, but three play up front and the rest will be filled in by talented guys who have been waiting their turn. Also, since he made the jump from Utah’s defensive coordinator to head coach after Urban Meyer bolted for Florida, Kyle Whittingham has always fielded solid defensive squads.
Of course, the knock as always with the Mountain West is the conference struggles against upper-echelon programs. Well, since 2001, Utah is 19-7 against BCS teams, including bowl wins over Cal and Alabama the last two years, not to mention a 35-7 Fiesta Bowl rout of Pitt in 2005 (Meyer’s last season).
Speaking of the Panthers, they’re coming off a strong 10-3 season (same record as Utah), and they have one of the most electrifying players in all of college football returning to their backfield (RB Dion Lewis rushed for 1,799 yards last year and 17 TDs). But after Lewis, the Panthers return only 10 other starters, including just two offensive and two defensive linemen. They also have to break in a new quarterback. In all, Pitt ranks 107th out of 119 Division I-A teams when it comes to experience.
Now this raw squad has to travel across the country and open the season at altitude (never easy) against an opponent that has won 17 strarght home games, 31 of its last 34 overall and has proven for years that it can run with the big boys of college football. Seems like a pretty tall order to me.
This is a very cheap price to lay with Utah, which has won 15 of its last 19 home openers and has been a moneymaking machine in non-conference play (27-12-1 ATS last 40).
<b>Marshall</b>
Don’t count on Jim Tressel pulling very much out of his bag of tricks tonight against Marshall, not with a huge home game against Miami, Fla., just nine days away. Besides, it’s not like the Buckeyes have been at the top of their game in early September the last several years. Not only have they failed to cover in their last three season-opening lined games – including a nail-biting 31-27 home victory over Navy last year – but they haven’t posted a victory of more than 23 points in any of their last seven lid-lifters that were on the betting board (average margin of victory in those seven contests: 16.7 ppg).
Marshall is coming off a season in which it went 7-6 and won its first bowl game since 2002. The Thundering Herd are breaking in a new coach in Doc Holliday (formerly a West Virginia assistant), but Holliday has 14 returning starters with which to work. That includes senior QB Brian Anderson, top WR Antavious Wilson (60 catches, 724 yards, 3 TDs) and three offensive linemen.
In the end, Ohio State’s immense talent will win out, but asking the Buckeyes to come out of the chute and win by more than four TDs in a season opener – when they haven’t done that in eight years – is a little much. Marshall, which if you include its bowl win in January has cashed in six of seven away from home, finds a way to keep this one inside the big number. Look for a 35-13 Ohio State win.
<b>Bengals</b>
137-23. That’s the cumulative final score by which the Bengals have defeated the Colts in Week 4 of the preseason the last five years. And that 0-5 SU and ATS record against Cincinnati is part of Indianapolis’ five-year preseason swoon of 4-21 SU and 6-19 ATS. (In fact, go back to 2004 and the Bengals are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS against Indy in the final preseason game.)
This summer, the Colts have been beyond abysmal, losing to the 49ers, Bills and Packers by a combined tally of 130-62, including last week’s embarrassing 59-24 setback in Green Bay as a four-point underdog. What’s scary is that Peyton Manning played in all three of those games, seeing significant action in the last two against Buffalo and Green Bay. Tonight, Manning will be wearing a headset the entire game, putting the offense in the hands of Curtis Painter and Tom Brandstater, two second-year backups who have combined for five interceptions and just two TD passes this summer.
Bottom line: I know the general rule of thumb is to shy away from Week 4 preseason games, but this is one instance where Indy’s recent preseason history – particularly in these preseason finales against the Bengals – requires me to pull the trigger, despite laying nearly a TD on the road.