Service Plays Thursday 8/14/14

[pascal5757]

Jack Jones

2014-08-16 (2 days)

RENEW

[h=3]MLB Premium Picks[/h]Top Pick

League	Date	Time (ET)	Matchup	Pick
MLB	Aug 14 ,2014	8:40p	[911] Cincinnati Reds [912] Colorado Rockies	Cincinnati Reds +110 at Bovada
20* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati Reds +110 Great value here for a Cincinnati Reds team that needs to make a run. At 60-60, they trail the Brewers by 5.5 games for first place in the NL Central and the Cardinals by 3.5 games for the final NL wild card spot. They should get right against the league-worst Colorado Rockies (46-74). Alfredo Simon is having a tremendous season in Cincinnati this year. The right-hander has gone 12-7 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 23 starts, including 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 12 road starts. He'll be up against a Rockies team that is without their two best players in Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez. Jorge De La Rosa has been the best starter in Colorado's rotation this year, but that's not saying much. The left-hander has gone 11-8 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 23 starts. De La Rosa hasn't had any success against tonight's opponent, going 2-2 with a 7.64 ERA and 1.924 WHIP in four career starts against the Reds. Cincinnati is 34-8 (+25.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 over the last three seasons. The Rockies are 12-43 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter. Colorado is 5-22 in its last 27 during game 1 of a series. Simon is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. The Reds are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Reds are 7-0 in Simons last seven road starts vs. a team with a losing record. These three trends combine for a 25-1 system backing Cincinnati. Bet the Reds Thursday.

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[h=3]NFLX Premium Picks[/h]

League	Date	Time (ET)	Matchup	Pick
NFLX	Aug 14 ,2014	8:00p	[401] Jacksonville Jaguars [402] Chicago Bears	Jacksonville Jaguars +4-115 at Bovada
15* Jaguars/Bears NFLX Thursday No-Brainer on Jacksonville +4 No Analysis For Preseason. Picks are based off of team depth, especially QB depth, and coaching strategies among other situations.

 

[pascal5757]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Last night's pick start off pretty good, but quickly went downhill as the game ended up well over the total. Two system plays today...
2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (+115)
Listed Pitchers: Liriano vs Scherzer
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.30 units)
2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ New York Mets - METS TO WIN (+140)
Listed Pitchers: Strasburg vs Gee
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.80 units)


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs. Shields
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)
Last night certainly went according to plan. Mikolas got torched like expected and our bet was never in doubt. The only thing I didn't do right was put 5 units on it.
Afternoon start here in Kansas City, which is typically the norm for Thursday around the league. Two well known commodities will duel one another, as Jeff Samardzija will go up against James Shields. Samardzija has come a long way from playing football and baseball at Notre Dame. Most people knew him as Jeff Samardzija the football player, not baseball back then. Now with a steady career in baseball, Samardzija has made a name for himself, and now will be counted on to take the A's deep into the playoffs. With an ERA of 2.83 the pressure on him will be elevated once we hit that time of year. He's been okay lately, for his standards, with a 3.18 ERA his last three starts. However, his last two he only allowed 2 runs each. The Royals haven't faced Samardzija as a starting pitcher in his career, advantage to the pitcher. He'll need to contend with James Shields who has been money for the Royals the past few weeks. He's gone eight starts not allowing more than 3 runs. In addition, his ERA is stellar at 1.17 in his last three starts, and the WHIP is good as well with a 0.83. This equates to Shields being one of the hottest pitchers in the majors currently. He only gave up 4 hits and 2 runs in his last outing against the A's. Shields is on a 4-0 run to the UNDER and 6 out of his last 7. In their last ten games, both teams haven't looked good against right-handed pitching, .238 for the A's and .233 for the Royals. Both pitchers should be able to make quick work of the opposing lineups. I see a 3-2, 4-2 type ballgame, so in my opinion the UNDER 7.5 looks good. A number that I thought was going to be 7.

 

[pascal5757]

Jimmy Boyd

2014-08-16 (2 days)

RENEW

[h=3]MLB Premium Picks[/h]Top Pick

League	Date	Time (ET)	Matchup	Pick
MLB	Aug 14 ,2014	7:10p	[907] Washington Nationals [908] New York Mets	Washington Nationals -135 at betonline
5* NL East Game of the Month on Nationals - Washington has taken the first two games of the series and I'm confident they will finish off the sweep Thursday. The Nationals have simply owned the Mets over the last 3 years. They are 35-13 overall and a dominant 20-4 in New York. The Nationals will send out Stephen Strasburg, who has a 4-1 team record with a 2.70 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 5 career starts against the Mets. Strasburg was rocked for 7 runs in his last start, but he's got a strong history of bouncing back from a bad outing like that. In the 4 previous times he allowed more than 5 earned runs, he's came back in his next start and allowed 2 runs or less. New York is just 4-18 in the second half of the season over the last 3 years against teams who are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game and 1-7 in Gee's last 8 home starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Washington is 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite and 18-8 in Strasburg's last 26 starts in game 3 of a series. All these trends combine to form a 73% (80-30) system in favor of the Nationals. Take Washington!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Anthony Michael (YouWinNow)

#401 Jacksonville Jaguars +4 (8:00 edt) ESPN

Many great trends here pointing to the Jags. Jacksonville is 13-1 ATS on the road against NFC teams and they are 11-3 ATS on the road off of a home game. The Bears are 1-11 ATS in the second of back to back home games and they have only covered 3 of their last 18 times when playing their second pre-season game at home. Jacksonville is 19-12 ATS as a pre-season dog and Chicago is 19-26 ATS as a pre-season favorite. Take the Jags and the points here.

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play Jacksonville +3.5 over Chicago----NFL THURSDAY PRESEASON GOY

Jacksonville has covered the spread in 11 of the last 16 preseason games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 31 preseason games coming off a win against the spread in their last game.Jacksonville has covered the spread in 14 of the last 20 preseason games coming off a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better and they are only allowing an average of 10 points a game on defense in preseason this year.

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play Miami -120 over Arizona----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Brad Penny has won 70 of the last 115 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 98 of the last 161 home games. Brad Penny has won 77 of the last 145 games when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season and he has won 61 of the last 99 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing.

• Play Washington -130 over New York Mets----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
  7:00 PM EST

Dillon Gee has lost 15 of the last 20 games after giving up one or less earned run in his last outing and he has lost 14 of the last 21 games when the total posted is seven runs or less. Dillon Gee has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching as a home underdog of +125 or higher and he has lost 23 of the last 38 night games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LineCatchers

NFL Preseason Week 2!

It’s not often the Jacksonville Jaguars appear on national TV but they will get some national exposure as they meet the Chicago Bears on ESPN on Thursday night.

The Bears looked good in last weeks 34-28 win over the Eagles but I believe this line (-3) is slightly inflated. I fully expect the Bears to sit their starters for the majority of tonight’s game with QB Jay Cutler getting limited snaps. Jimmy Clausen and Jordan Palmer will do most of the play calling behind centre with backup players at WR and TE. It is worth noting that the Bears are only 1-3 ATS in Week 2 of the preseason the last four years.

The Jags beat the Bucs 16-10 last week and looked solid defensively in a low scoring game. QB Chad Henne should play a lot more series tonight with the first-team offense especially in the first half. Rookie QB Blake Bortles went 7-11 for 117 yards last week in two quarters of playing time and looked fairly comfortable in the pocket. The Jaguars are the team with a lot more to prove this season and winning is something they need to focus on even in preseason.

Jacksonville Jaguars + 3

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami -120 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY)

Arizona is 38-52 vs. NL East Division Opponents
Arizona is 64-84 in road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Arizona is 59-74 in road games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150


10* Play Washington -130 over New York Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington is 41-26 when playing in the month of August
Washington is 32-18 when playing on a Thursday
Washington is 72-40 when playing as a road favorite of -110 or higher

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5* Play Texas -130 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Kansas City -105 over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY NFL FOOTBALL

5000* Play Jacksonville +3.5 over Chicago (TOP NFL PLAY)

Chicago has lost 25 of the last 42 preseason home games against the spread and they have lost 20 of the last 34 preseason games against the spread when playing as a favorite.Chicago has lost 30 of the last 49 preseason games against the spread when playing with six or less days of rest and they have lost 18 of the last 30 preseason games coming off a win in their last game

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Detroit -150 over Pittsburgh (MLB TOP PLAY)

Max Scherzer has won 35 of the last 44 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 18 of the last 23 games when pitching on a Thursday.Max Scherzer has won 26 of the last 38 day games and he has won 45 of the last 66 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

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50* Play St. Louis -150 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami -120 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[gmrcharity]

TC

San Diego +152

 

[gmrcharity]

King Creole

Jax Over 42

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Clement

Oakland +108 Underdog of the Day

10* Miami -130

Cincinnati/Colorado UNDER 9.5 (-102)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trev Rogers

Houston/Boston OVER 9 (-110)

Washington -135

St. Louis -1.5 (+140)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Worlds Worst Picker

Cincy
Boston game over

 

[MysteryMan]

Has anyone seen Root's and Burns NFL pick?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Behind The Bets

Reds +109
Rays -133

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

USA sports monitor MLB
Alpha omega (2nd in MLB)

Cubs +115
NY Mets +130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DHAYES2

1* Jacksonville Jaguars +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Rose

Padres