Service Plays Thursday 8/14/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, AUGUST 14th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#913 OAKLAND @ #914 KANSAS CITY - 2:10 PM
•Athletics RH Jeff Samardzija (5-8, 2.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.110) - Samardzija improved to 3-1 since being acquired from the Chicago Cubs after allowing two runs in six innings in a 9-4 victory over Minnesota on Saturday. The 29-year-old has worked at least 6 2/3 frames in each of his seven starts with the Athletics, although he has yielded six homers with his new team. Former Milwaukee player Nori Aoki has enjoyed success versus Samardzija from their days in the National League, going 7-for-16 (.438) against him.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 9-21 (-12.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Royals RH James Shields (11-6, 3.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Shields collected his second straight win in impressive fashion Saturday, scattering four hits to secure his first complete game and shutout of the season in a 5-0 victory over San Francisco. The 32-year-old improved to 6-4 in his career versus Oakland after permitting two runs on four hits in eight innings in a 4-2 win Aug. 3. Shields allowed two homers against the Athletics after yielding the same total in his previous seven contests.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 41-19 (+15.9 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.8, OPPONENT 3.2.

--SHIELDS is 19-9 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.3.

--SHIELDS is 8-30 against the run line (-21.1 Units) in home games versus an American League team with they batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--SHIELDS is 14-5 against the run line (+11.5 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.5, OPPONENT 2.8.

--SHIELDS is 20-8 against the run line (+13.7 Units) in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.3.

--SHIELDS is 7-1 against the run line (+7.6 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

#915 HOUSTON @ #916 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Astros RH Scott Feldman (6-8, 4.14 ERA, WHIP: 1.395) - Feldman is completely recovered from a rough stretch that marred most of July and is looking for his fourth straight quality start. The veteran struck out six while allowing three runs over 6 1/3 innings to beat Texas on Saturday and has surrendered a total of five runs in his last three outings. Feldman did not have much luck against Boston on July 11, when he was lit up for seven runs on 11 hits and three walks in 5 1/3 frames to absorb a loss.

--KEY STAT: FELDMAN is 22-43 (-27.9 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.1, OPPONENT 5.1.

--FELDMAN is 31-49 (-26.2 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.

--FELDMAN is 18-4 against the run line (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Red Sox RH Allen Webster (2-1, 4.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Webster bounced back from a disastrous turn and earned himself another chance by holding the Los Angeles Angels to two runs on four hits in 6 2/3 innings to pick up a win on Friday. The 24-year-old issued just two walks in that start after handing out six free passes in 2 2/3 frames is his previous turn. Webster owns an 8.10 ERA in six career games - five starts - in Boston.
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#917 TAMPA BAY @ #918 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (8-9, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.304) - The Rays send Jake Odorizzi to the hill as they look for a sixth win in their last eight. The right-hander is 6-3 with a 2.63 ERA over 11 starts since June 10, a stretch in which he's gone 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four road outings.
Odorizzi was impressive as the visitor again Saturday, striking out nine while allowing three hits in six innings of a 4-0 win over the Chicago Cubs. He yielded three hits in six scoreless innings of an 8-1 home win in his only career meeting with Texas on April 4.

--KEY STAT: ODORIZZI is 8-0 OVER (+8.3 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ODORIZZI 6.6, OPPONENT 6.1.

•Rangers LH Robbie Ross Jr. (2-4, 5.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.551) - Ross began the season in the rotation but was roughed up often in nine starts and was demoted to the bullpen. He continued to struggle and was eventually demoted to Triple-A Round Rock in mid-June and went 4-4 with a 5.10. Right-handed hitters are batting .349 and slugging .482 against the left-hander. Ross has allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings over five scoreless relief appearances against Tampa Bay.

Interleague
#919 PITTSBURGH @ #920 DETROIT - 1:05 PM
•Pirates LH Francisco Liriano (3-8, 3.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.292) - Liriano is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA in two interleague outings this season after going 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA in 2013. He suffered his lone interleague loss last season in Detroit on May 27, giving up four runs in five innings of a 6-5 defeat. After a rocky, injury-plagued first half in 2014, Liriano is 2-1 with a 1.69 ERA in five outings since the All-Star break. The left-hander, though, has received a combined two runs of support in his last two games. He took a 2-1 loss to San Diego on Saturday despite yielding two runs, three hits and one walk in seven innings.

--KEY STAT: LIRIANO is 39-18 UNDER (+18.3 Units) in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LIRIANO 3.7, OPPONENT 4.0.

•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (13-4, 3.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.161) - Scherzer was superb in his last outing but ended up with a no-decision against Toronto. He allowed one run and four hits in eight innings and struck out 11 while walking none. Scherzer is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the Pirates. The right-hander will try to become the AL's first 14-game winner in his first start against Pittsburgh since June 23, 2012. He last faced the Pirates at Comerica Park a month before that, striking out a career-high 15 over seven innings in a 4-3 win.

--KEY STAT: SCHERZER is 31-10 (+15.6 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.3, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SCHERZER is 15-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.9, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SCHERZER is 12-0 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 6.8, OPPONENT 2.8.

--SCHERZER is 19-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.9, OPPONENT 3.5.
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BONES BEST BET

DODGERS ML +110 *2*

There is good value in the Dodgers as an underdog here. Before last nights 3-2 loss the Dodgers had won 7 straight vs the Braves. They are also 39-26 on the road this year. The Dodgers have won 7 of 10 while the Braves have won 3 of 10. Hernandez has better numbers than Harang this year and he has been hot pitching to a 1.71 ERA and 0.62 WHIP his last 3 starts. Harang has lost his last 3 starts and has struggled with a 1.47 WHIP.

PIRATES @ TIGERS F5 UNDER 4 -125 *3*

Scherzer looking like himself again now with 9 straight quality starts allowing 1 run in 5 of those, 2 runs in 3 starts and 3 runs just once. Meanwhile, Liriano after a rough start to his season has also come into his own. He also has not allowed more than 3 runs in 9 straight starts dating all the way back to May 30th
 
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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

3* Tampa Bay RL-1.5 +120
3* Detroit RL-1.5 +110
3* Milwaukee RL-1.5 +125
3* St. Louis RL-1.5 +135
3* Boston RL-1.5 + 140

Bonus Play – Cincinnati +105 vs Colorado
 
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STATFOX DAVE'S BEST BET

JACKSONVILLE (401) AT CHICAGO (402)
Latest Line: BEARS -3.5; Total: 41

Gonna fade the line movement in tonight's contest and lay the points with the Bears. Chicago is bringing to much to the table versus low-scoring Jaguars and this trend is in our favor: Play On Favorites (CHICAGO) - after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. (27-9 over the last 5 Pre-Seasons.)
BEARS -3.5
 
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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for August 14th, 2014

Game: Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
Time: Thursday 08/14 8:40 PM Eastern
Pick: Colorado -116 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The Colorado Rockies are well known for the fact that they simply can't hit on the road, and usually take their lumps. They are off a road trip where they went 1-5, scoring just 19 runs. It runs their road record to a dismal 18-44 on the season, but alas, they return home again where they are a completely different team. The Rockies are just two games below .500 at home, and take on Cincinnati who actually has a worse road record than that at three games under the .500 mark. The Reds send struggling all-star Alfredo Simon to the mound. Simon since the all-star break, is 0-4 with a no decision, has not won in the second half of the season. The Reds are 0-7 in their last seven road games vs. a losing team. The Rockies have been lights-out at home behind DeLaRosa where they are a masterful 44-8 in his last 52 home starts. Take Colorado.
 

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newworldinsiders

detroit insider -- pirates +160

might buy NFL one after work

unless someone pms me again they have it (cough cough lol)
 

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Bookiemonster page 1

Bookiemonster page 1


POD?
Texas is the Dog in that game. Is he on Texas or Tampa Bay, the favorite? tia
 
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GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has the 21-2 MLB Total of the Week, the NFLX ESPN Power system Play and a 5* MLB Blowout system NFLX Sides 33-15 last 3 years. Bonus Plays 26-14. MLB Live dog below.

On Thursday the free MLB Dog with Bite is on the NY. Mets. Game 908 at 7:15 eastern. The Mets will look to salvage the last game of the series here tonight against Washington. They have Dillon Gee on the Mound and he has a 7-3 record and 3.23 era vs Washington and has been solid at home with a 3.37 era this year. The Nationals are favored here with S. Strasburg on the mound but he is 1-8 with a 5.25 road era this year and has allowed 8 runs in 12 innings with 3 home runs in his last 2 starts here. So this looks like a good spot to fade him and take the Mets. There is also a solid data base system in this game that plays on home dogs with a total that is 8 or less that are off a 1 run home dog loss where they scored 2 or less runs and had 1 or less errors, vs an opponent off a 1 run road favored win that scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits. These home dogs are 7 games over .500 since 2004. Look for the Mets to take the finale. On Thursday its another Powerful Card with an Early 21-2 MLB Total of the Week, a 5* Blowout system at night that wins by 3 runs on average and a Powerful ESPN NFLX Side in the Jacksonville at Chicago game. NFLX Sides are 33-15 the last few seasons. Jump on and win big with the finest data available. For the Bonus Play take the NY.Mets. GC
 

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