Service Plays Thursday 8/14/14

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MLB

'Mets avoid sweep'

Washington Nationals and New York Mets conclude a three-game set at Citi Field Thursday night. Righthander Stephen Strasburg toes the rubber for Washington, entering the game with a 8-10 record, 3.68 ERA over 25 starts with a 12-13 TSR. In his last outing in Atlanta, he was slammed for 7 runs over 5 innings bringing his mark to 1-8 on the road with 5.25 ERA in 12 trips to the mound (4-8 TSR). Mets counter with Dillon Gee carrying a 4-4 record, 3.54 ERA (6-8 TSR). The New York hurler is off a sharp 7 innings of 3 hit 1 run ball tagged with a ND in Mets' 2-1 victory at Philadelphia. Gee is 2-2 with a 3.79 ERA on home field over 8 starts (3-5 TSR). Mets are the inferior club in this matchup but Strasburg's home (7-2) road (1-8) dichotomy raises a red flag. This being the final game of the three-game series is yet another nod towards the Mets. The team has thrived at home in game three of a series going 12-4 including 3-0 handing the ball to Gee. Final betting nugget. Mets are 4-1 at home avoiding a three game sweep, Washington is 0-2 away w/Strasburg attempting a three game sweep.

 

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Hondo

Kemp failed miserably at crunch time Wednesday night, which gave Hondo a loss in Atlanta that boosted the accounts payable to 1,580 morrises.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will try again with sure-as-shootin’ Scherzer — 10 units on the Big Cats to scratch out a victory over the Bucs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Thursday

Six Major League Baseball plays on my card for Thurday. Best of luck!

-EZ


3* (914) Kansas City Royals -$115

3* (904) Chicago Cubs +$110

3* (908) New York Mets +$125

3* (915) Houston Astros +$125

3* (909) San Diego Padres +$140

3* (904) Colorado Rockies -$120

 

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Maddux

NFLX

10* Jacksonville Jaguars +4 -110

 

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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Washington at NY Mets[/h] The Mets look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss as they host a Nationals team that is 1-5 in Stephen Strasburg's last 6 road starts. New York is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 14 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Hernandez) 15.110; Atlanta (Harang) 16.263 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Under

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Fiers) 16.404; Cubs (Jackson) 13.987 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); N/A

Game 905-906: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 15.623; Miami (Penny) 14.504 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.122; NY Mets (Gee) 16.322 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 16.504; St. Louis (Lackey) 15.032 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.802; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.414 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Over

Game 913-914: Oakland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Samardzija) 16.782; Kansas City (Shields) 18.322 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under

Game 915-916: Houston at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 13.677; Boston (Webster) 15.144 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 16.422; Texas (Ross) 13.875 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under

Game 919-920: Pittsburgh at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 17.421; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.552 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+165); Under

 

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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]New York at Indiana[/h] The Liberty head to Indiana tonight to face a Fever team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games. New York is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: New York (+6). Here are all of today's WNBA picks

THURSDAY, AUGUST 14 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: New York at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.110; Indiana 110.318 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 138 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 143 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (+6); Under

 

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Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Thursday

Royals -119

Dbacks/Marlins under 8

 

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play On - Home favorites (INDIANA) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% | 42.6 units )
1-9 this year. ( 10.0% | -8.9 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (NEW YORK) off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road win
101-24 since 1997. ( 80.8% | 0.0 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at INDIANA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points vs. division opponents
533-350 since 1997. ( 60.4% | 148.0 units )
24-12 this year. ( 66.7% | 10.8 units )

 

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WinBetNFL

NFL - Pre-season

Chicago Bears - Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Over 41

 

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GiLzTips

. [907] Nationals -1 (-107)

. [912] Rockies -1 (+120)

PARLAY: A's ML / Nats ML / Rockies ML / Rays ML (+1225)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Oakland @ KANSAS CITY

Oakland +102 over KANSAS CITY

(Risking 2.00 units - To Win: 2.04)

2:10 PM EST. We have no idea what is going to happen in this game and neither does anyone else. What we do know is that the A's hold some tremendous value here based on information readily available to anyone that looks. We all know what James Shields brings to the table, as he's been bringing the same game to almost every start over that past seven years. A's starter, Jeff Samardzija was having a solid year in Chicago before being traded to Oakland and he's been just as good or better in his new digs. Samardzija has increased his first-pitch strike rate more than any starter from 2013 to 2014. It has jumped from 60% to an elite 67%, a mark that gives full support to his excellent control and strikeout totals. He remains a solid bet to be a legit rotation anchor down the stretch.

The value here can be found back in a game on August 3 in Oakland when Kansas City played there with James Shields starting against Scott Kazmir. Let us preface that by saying that the Royals have a better road record than they do at home. In that game in Oakland on August 3, Kazmir was a -165 favourite over Shields and now, 11 days later, Shields is -110, a difference of 78 cents against a better pitcher than Kazmir. The value on Shields was in that game. In this game, based on that line 11 days ago, there is huge value in betting against him here.


Arizona @ MIAMI

Arizona +119 over MIAMI (1st 5 innings)

(1st 5 innings) (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.38)

Chase Anderson is a rookie pitcher that has made 14 starts since being called up on May 11. Pitching exactly half his games at hitter-friendly Chase Field, Anderson has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his 14 starts and that includes starts at Colorado and U.S. Cellular against the South Side. He's allowed one run in four of his past five starts and in the other start over that span he allowed two runs. Anderson comes in with 22 strikeouts, a 12% swing and miss rate and a 1.80 ERA over his last 25 innings. Since the All-Star break, the opposition is hitting .195 against him. The Diamondbacks played a DH yesterday and so their bullpen could be a little taxed. Add the fact that this one is based solely on the starters, thus the five-inning play. At the time of this writing the 5-inning line had not been posted yet but expect it to be in this range. We'll update it a little later.

On August 9, Brad Penny earned a win by allowing only one earned run over five innings in his first MLB start since 2011. The Marlins are rolling the dice with this 36-year old, but that does not mean you should. His skill set was borderline at his peak, so taking a flier here and spotting a price is not a smart idea. In that start against Cincinnati, Penny's swing and miss rate was 5%. We also like the situation against the Fish here. Miami has played 16 straight games against either Washington, Cinci, Pittsburgh or St. Louis, all teams that were within their grasp before that stretch started. They talked about that crucial 16-game stretch before it began and here we are in the first game after it.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TAMPA BAY at TEXAS
Play Against - Home teams (TEXAS) terrible offensive team - scoring <=4.2 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more
246-158 since 1997. ( 60.9% | 80.9 units )
19-16 this year. ( 54.3% | 4.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA DODGERS at ATLANTA
LA DODGERS are 18-3 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.4) , OPPONENT (2.0)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jaguars vs. Bears Betting Preview and Pick
By: Craig Williams

The Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars kick off the second full week of NFL preseason action Thursday night at Soldier Field (8 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Line: Bears -4; Total: 42

Chad Henne (4-for-7, 30 yards) started in Jacksonville's first preseason game, but it was rookie quarterback Blake Bortles who made headlines in his pro debut. The No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft -- and the first quarterback off the board -- finished 7-for-11 for 117 yards and a 99.4 QB rating in the Jags' 16-10 win vs. Tampa Bay.

Jaguars head coach Gus Bradley remains adamant that Henne will be his starter in 2014 while Bortles soaks the game up from the sidelines in his first year. But he's also confirmed that Bortles will receive first-team reps at some point this summer.

Also worth noting is the potential Jacksonville debut of free agent running back Toby Gerhart, who has been out of action with a hip flexor injury. The ailment wasn't considered serious, but it still held him out for two weeks. He's returned to practice and could get on the field against Chicago.

The Bears were clicking -- offensively at least -- in their first taste of live football this season, outscoring the Eagles 34-28 in a preseason shootout. Big things are expected from Jay Cutler, who finished 9-for-13 for 85 yards and a touchdown, in his second year running Marc Trestman's offense. Backup Jimmy Clausen (7-for-13, 150 yards, 2 TDs) was impressive in relief last week.

Preseason records and trends: The strongest identifiable preseason trend related to this game is the Bears' 4-1 record to the OVER in Trestman's two seasons at the helm. The Jags were 3-1 O/U last preseason, Gus Bradley's first with the team, but last week's game with the Bucs stayed well UNDER the total. Jacksonville dropped its first three exhibition games last season, both SU and ATS, while the Bears are now 2-2-1 ATS in the preseason under Trestman.

The Linemakers' lean: If this were a Week 1 regular-season matchup, the Bears would be favored in the 12.5-13 range, and while the preseason is a different beast, the spread here still feels light to us. Sure, we noticed Bortles' performance last week, but Chicago's QB rotation is still superior. In terms of the total, despite the aforementioned trends to the OVER, we're not ready to trust the Jags' offense, so we'll stick to a play in the side. Chicago -4 is the play.

 

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RICH SPORTS

NFLX

2* Over 41 Jacksonville/Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner

100* Royals -110
50* Marlins -130

 

[meetyourmismatch]

BURNS 3 mlb plays?? Been on fire!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Wednesday in MLB in the National League with the Marlins -$120/Cardinals.

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Thursday.

Ben lee is 0-3 -$160 for week Forty Two 187-220-5 -$3012 through Forty One Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 61-46 -$405 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob balfe

mlb
boston redsox/houston astros – over 9

nflx
chicago bears/jacksonville jaguars – over 43

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Jaguars at Bears

Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 42.5)

Jacksonville's quarterback situation takes center stage Thursday night as the Jaguars resume their NFL preseason schedule with a game against the Bears in Chicago. The Jaguars have already laid out who will play when, with incumbent Chad Henne expected to take the snaps in the first half and rookie Blake Bortles playing the entire second half. Jacksonville had a multitude of errors on the offensive end in its exhibition opener, a 16-10 win over Tampa Bay.

The Bears have their own storylines playing out under center, though Jay Cutler's starting job is quite safe. The battle of the backups will be front and center against the Jaguars, with former high school phenom Jimmy Clausen expected to see plenty of time Thursday as he competes with Jordan Palmer for the No. 2 spot behind Cutler. The Bears were also victorious in their preseason opener, outslugging the Philadelphia Eagles 34-28 at Soldier Field.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Bears opened -4, but the line has since dipped a half-point. The O/U has risen a half-point to 42 1/2.

INJURY REPORT: Jaguars: LB Paul Posluszny (biceps), WR Cecil Shorts (hamstring), DT Roy Miller (shoulder) and CB Aaron Colvin (knee) are all expected to miss the game; Bears: WR Marquess Wilson (collarbone) and T Jordan Mills (foot) aren't expected to play; S Chris Conte (shoulder) is questionable.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "This is the second year in the system under head coach Marc Trestman and after improving last season, things could be even more explosive in 2014. Jay Cutler had his best passer rating since his rookie season in 2006 and got a new contract to prove his worth. The defense can only get better with the additions of Jared Allen and D.J Williams." Covers Expert Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (1-0): For as much attention is being paid to the battle between Henne and Bortles, the Jaguars are also paying close attention to the running game. Offseason acquisition and probable Week 1 starter Toby Gerhart will see his first in-game action in a Jacksonville uniform, and will get some sense of what he's dealing with on the offensive line. That cast of characters - featuring a host of inexperienced run-blockers - struggled against the Buccaneers to the point where they asked for - and were granted - an extra series to work out the kinks.

ABOUT THE BEARS (1-0): It isn't enough that Chicago has one of the top wide receiver tandems in the league in Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey, but a new weapon may have emerged in last week's victory over Philadelphia. Tight end Zach Miller stole the show with a pair of touchdown catches versus the Eagles, and has looked sensational in practice leading up to the game against the Jaguars as he looks to provide Cutler with one more pass-catching weapon. Miller - not to be confused with Seattle tight end Zach Miller - was a sixth-round pick in 2009 who is now on his third NFL roster.

TRENDS:

* The Bears are 2-2-1 ATS in five preseason games under head coach Marc Trestman.
* The Jaguars have won two straight exhibition games SU and ATS after dropping their previous three.
* Chicago is 4-1 O/U in the preseason with Trestman at the helm.
* Jacksonville went 3-1 O/U in the 2013 exhibition season but was an Under in its 2014 opener.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 64.79 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the host Bears.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, AUGUST 14th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 LA DODGERS @ #902 ATLANTA - 12:10 PM
•Dodgers RH Roberto Hernandez (6-8, 3.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.307) - Hernandez won his Los Angeles debut Friday in Milwaukee, giving up two runs on three hits in six innings. It continued a strong stretch the 33-year-old began prior to his trade from Philadelphia, during which he has posted a 2.08 ERA in four outings. Hernandez went 1-1 against the Braves in two starts for the Phillies in June, giving up seven earned runs in 13 frames.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 28-47 (-19.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.7, OPPONENT 4.7.

•Braves RH Aaron Harang (9-6, 3.31 ERA, WHIP: 1.386) - Harang has been stuck on nine wins for more than a month, drawing five consecutive no-decisions despite a 2.53 ERA. He gave up four runs on nine hits at Los Angeles on July 29. Harang, who is 4-6 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 4.40 ERA, has held right-handers to a .230 batting average while left-handers are hitting .306.

--KEY STAT: HARANG is 2-14 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 2.6, OPPONENT 4.9.

--HARANG is 29-57 against the run line (-29.8 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 3.5, OPPONENT 4.4.

--HARANG is 2-14 against the run line (-13.2 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HARANG 2.6, OPPONENT 4.9.

#903 MILWAUKEE @ #904 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Brewers RH Mike Fiers (1-1, 1.80 ERA, WHIP: 0.500) - Fiers' return to the big leagues marked a return to the strong form he showed in 2012. The 29-year-old limited the Dodgers to one run and three hits over eight innings to earn his first major-league win since May 21, 2013, and his first as a starter since Sept. 8, 2012. Fiers has made one start and one relief appearance against the Cubs, going 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA.

•Cubs RH Edwin Jackson (6-12, 5.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.557) - Jackson has posted consecutive quality starts for the first time since May, but was on the wrong end of a shutout Saturday against Tampa Bay. The 30-year-old allowed four runs (three earned) over six innings and lost for the fifth time in his last six decisions. Jackson is 5-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 13 starts against Milwaukee.

--KEY STAT: JACKSON is 18-37 (-18.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 5.3.

--JACKSON is 20-42 (-20.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 3.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

--JACKSON is 28-40 against the run line (-22.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JACKSON 4.0, OPPONENT 5.1.

#905 ARIZONA @ #906 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Chase Anderson (7-4, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.261) - Anderson continued his strong pitching Friday, limiting Colorado to one run and four hits over six innings in a 5-3 victory. The 26-year-old has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last five starts, going 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in that span. Anderson won his only career outing against Miami on July 7, allowing one run and seven hits in six frames.

•Marlins RH Brad Penny (1-0, 1.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.600) - Penny made his first major-league appearance since 2012 on Saturday and was impressive, allowing two runs - one earned - and four hits in five innings of a 4-3 victory at Cincinnati. The 36-year-old had his contract purchased from Triple-A New Orleans, where he went 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA in five starts. Penny has been superb against Arizona over his career, going 10-3 with a 1.97 ERA in 23 games - 19 starts.

--KEY STAT: PENNY is 22-8 OVER (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PENNY 6.5, OPPONENT 3.9.
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#907 WASHINGTON @ #908 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (8-10, 3.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.228) - Strasburg suffered his fourth loss in five outings on Friday after tying a career high by allowing seven runs on as many hits in five innings in a 7-6 setback to the Braves. The 26-year-old served up four homers to match his sum total of the previous seven games. Strasburg, who owns a 2-1 career mark versus New York, struck out 10 but walked away with a no-decision after yielding four runs in six innings against the club on March 31.

--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 7-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 3.4, OPPONENT 4.1.

--STRASBURG is 14-4 OVER (+10.2 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 4.5, OPPONENT 4.2.

•Mets RH Dillon Gee (4-4, 3.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Gee pitched well in a pair of no-decisions after dropping his previous three contests. The 28-year-old deserved a better fate in his last outing, allowing one solo homer and two other hits in seven innings against Philadelphia on Saturday. Gee owns a 7-3 career mark versus Washington but also yielded four runs on as many hits in 6 2/3 innings to earn a no-decision on March 31.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 11-2 UNDER (+9.1 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.4, OPPONENT 3.1.

--GEE is 13-4 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.6, OPPONENT 3.3.

#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (5-13, 4.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.407) - Stults has rebounded nicely from a rough outing at Atlanta on July 27, allowing a total of two runs - one earned - and nine hits over 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts - both victories. The 34-year-old, who has gone three straight turns without yielding a home run, had won only one of his previous 13 starts. Stults is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in two career outings against St. Louis.

--KEY STAT: STULTS is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 6.9, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Cardinals RH John Lackey (12-8, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.279) - Lackey was pounded in his second start since being acquired from Boston, surrendering season highs of nine runs and 13 hits over five innings of a 10-3 defeat at Baltimore on Saturday. The 35-year-old served up three home runs, the most he has allowed since yielding four against the Yankees in New York on April 12. Lackey has numbers against San Diego that are identical to Stults' versus St. Louis, giving up six runs over 11 1/3 frames while splitting two starts.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.6, OPPONENT 2.0.

#911 CINCINNATI @ #912 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (12-7, 3.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.147) - Simon received a no-decision after allowing two runs, four hits and five walks while striking out five in a 4-3 loss to Miami on Saturday. The 33-year-old Dominican, who has appeared in 200 major-league games (42 starts - 23 this season), may be feeling the rigors of his first full season in the starting rotation. Cincinnati took two of three from Colorado in May, with the loss coming when Simon was roughed up for five runs and eight hits in three innings of an 11-2 verdict.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 11-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.5, OPPONENT 2.3.

--SIMON is 15-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.8, OPPONENT 2.4.

--SIMON is 16-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.9, OPPONENT 2.9.

•Colorado LH Jorge De La Rosa (11-8, 4.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.255) - De La Rosa allowed four runs and six hits for the second straight start - both losses - in six innings of a 14-4 setback in Arizona on Saturday and is winless in his last three outings. The 33-year-old Mexican, though, is a different pitcher at home as he is an eye-popping 42-14 at hitter-friendly Coors Field, including 7-2 this season. De La Rosa is 2-3 with an 8.49 ERA in 10 games (four starts) against the Reds, including a 9-6 victory last Aug. 30 when he yielded three runs and eight hits in six frames.

--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 18-5 (+13.3 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.7, OPPONENT 3.8.

--DE LA ROSA is 25-5 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 8.1, OPPONENT 5.5.
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