Gavazzi MLB
MLB
Houston Astros (Keuchel) at Detroit Tigers (Smyly) (-1 ½ R, +110) 1:05 ET
4% Detroit (-1 ½ R, +110)
With Detroit’s 3-2 victory last night, they have upped their series record against Houston to 9-1, outscoring Houston 71-25 in the process. Detroit has now won 8 straight games, scoring 51 runs in the process. Houston has now dropped 5 straight games to fall to 10-24 for the season. In a pair of appearances against Detroit, Keuchel has gotten bashed with a 7.20 ERA and .333 BAA. Smyly is a spot starter who has done well when called upon. In 8 starts, Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA. In his most recent start, Smyly worked 7 scoreless innings, allowing just 2 hits in a 9-2 win vs. Kansas City. Run line players take note; Houston is being outscored 5.2 to 3.3 on the season. 17/24 of their losses have come by two or more runs. The last 2+Y on this field 82/112 Detroit wins have come by 2 or more runs. Lay the runs as the Tigers get the sweep!
Kansas City Royals (Duffy) at Seattle Mariners (Iwakuma) (-125) 10:10 ET
4% Seattle (-125)
Mariners return from a successful road trip culminating with a split of a double header at Oakland yesterday. This surprising team is on positive runs of 5-1 and 10-3. Seattle is 17-16 for the year, despite playing twice as many road games as home games. They will enter this weekend set with the Royals with great confidence knowing they have won 6/7 recent meetings on this field with KC. Duffy is filling in for injured starter Chen. In his previous start, he worked 4 innings, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits but with a 2/4 inverted KBB. KC lost that game to Detroit, 9-2. Another short outing for Duffy signals action from the KC bullpen. A 104 bullpen index is among the worst in the league. Iwakuma had a solid first start, since sitting out April with an injured finger. In 6 2/3, he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in a 9-8 win vs. Houston. Beginning today, I expect him to return to his 2013 form. In 33 starts LY, Iwakuma had a 2.66 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, .220 BAA, and 185/42 KBB. Take the hotter team with the better pitcher at a bargain price.
Philadelphia Phillies (Burnett) at Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) (-130) 7:05 ET
4% Philadelphia (+120)
Toronto has blistered the Phillies in this split-site set. After 3 games, Toronto has outscored the Phillies 19-5 to run their recent series record to 7-0 vs. the Phillies. That all changes today! For the season, Dickey has a 5.01 ERA with 33/22 KBB. In his most recent start, an 8-6 loss to Pittsburgh, Dickey worked 6 innings, allowing 3 runs on 5 hits, but with a disturbing 3/4 KBB. That inverted mark is a sure sell sign when handicapping a knuckle baller. Since being diagnosed with an inguinal hernia, Burnett has pitched outstanding baseball. The Phillies have won his previous 5 starts. In the last 4 of those, Burnett has worked 27 2/3 IP, allowing just 3 runs on 16 hits for a 0.98 ERA, a .179 BAA, and a 25/5 KBB. Take the hot starter as underdog as a stopper of a week-long streak.
MLB
Houston Astros (Keuchel) at Detroit Tigers (Smyly) (-1 ½ R, +110) 1:05 ET
4% Detroit (-1 ½ R, +110)
With Detroit’s 3-2 victory last night, they have upped their series record against Houston to 9-1, outscoring Houston 71-25 in the process. Detroit has now won 8 straight games, scoring 51 runs in the process. Houston has now dropped 5 straight games to fall to 10-24 for the season. In a pair of appearances against Detroit, Keuchel has gotten bashed with a 7.20 ERA and .333 BAA. Smyly is a spot starter who has done well when called upon. In 8 starts, Smyly is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA. In his most recent start, Smyly worked 7 scoreless innings, allowing just 2 hits in a 9-2 win vs. Kansas City. Run line players take note; Houston is being outscored 5.2 to 3.3 on the season. 17/24 of their losses have come by two or more runs. The last 2+Y on this field 82/112 Detroit wins have come by 2 or more runs. Lay the runs as the Tigers get the sweep!
Kansas City Royals (Duffy) at Seattle Mariners (Iwakuma) (-125) 10:10 ET
4% Seattle (-125)
Mariners return from a successful road trip culminating with a split of a double header at Oakland yesterday. This surprising team is on positive runs of 5-1 and 10-3. Seattle is 17-16 for the year, despite playing twice as many road games as home games. They will enter this weekend set with the Royals with great confidence knowing they have won 6/7 recent meetings on this field with KC. Duffy is filling in for injured starter Chen. In his previous start, he worked 4 innings, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits but with a 2/4 inverted KBB. KC lost that game to Detroit, 9-2. Another short outing for Duffy signals action from the KC bullpen. A 104 bullpen index is among the worst in the league. Iwakuma had a solid first start, since sitting out April with an injured finger. In 6 2/3, he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in a 9-8 win vs. Houston. Beginning today, I expect him to return to his 2013 form. In 33 starts LY, Iwakuma had a 2.66 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, .220 BAA, and 185/42 KBB. Take the hotter team with the better pitcher at a bargain price.
Philadelphia Phillies (Burnett) at Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) (-130) 7:05 ET
4% Philadelphia (+120)
Toronto has blistered the Phillies in this split-site set. After 3 games, Toronto has outscored the Phillies 19-5 to run their recent series record to 7-0 vs. the Phillies. That all changes today! For the season, Dickey has a 5.01 ERA with 33/22 KBB. In his most recent start, an 8-6 loss to Pittsburgh, Dickey worked 6 innings, allowing 3 runs on 5 hits, but with a disturbing 3/4 KBB. That inverted mark is a sure sell sign when handicapping a knuckle baller. Since being diagnosed with an inguinal hernia, Burnett has pitched outstanding baseball. The Phillies have won his previous 5 starts. In the last 4 of those, Burnett has worked 27 2/3 IP, allowing just 3 runs on 16 hits for a 0.98 ERA, a .179 BAA, and a 25/5 KBB. Take the hot starter as underdog as a stopper of a week-long streak.
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Report 1
NBA Portland Trailblazers +8/-125 over San Antonio Spurs
NBA Portland/San Antonio Over 207/-125
NBA Brooklyn Nets Max Buy Up Order to +9/-140 over Miami Heat
MLB San Diego Padres (Action/Kennedy) -135 over Miami Marlins
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -165 over Baltimore Orioles
NBA Portland Trailblazers +8/-125 over San Antonio Spurs
NBA Portland/San Antonio Over 207/-125
NBA Brooklyn Nets Max Buy Up Order to +9/-140 over Miami Heat
MLB San Diego Padres (Action/Kennedy) -135 over Miami Marlins
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -165 over Baltimore Orioles
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Report Final
NBA Portland Trailblazers +8/-125 over San Antonio Spurs
NBA Portland/San Antonio Over 207/-125
NBA Brooklyn Nets Max Buy Up Order to +9/-140 over Miami Heat
MLB San Diego Padres (Action/Kennedy) -135 over Miami Marlins
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -165 over Baltimore Orioles
NHL LA Kings -130 over Anaheim Mighty Ducks (7-4 Playoffs, 83-25-2 YTD)
NBA Portland Trailblazers +8/-125 over San Antonio Spurs
NBA Portland/San Antonio Over 207/-125
NBA Brooklyn Nets Max Buy Up Order to +9/-140 over Miami Heat
MLB San Diego Padres (Action/Kennedy) -135 over Miami Marlins
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -165 over Baltimore Orioles
NHL LA Kings -130 over Anaheim Mighty Ducks (7-4 Playoffs, 83-25-2 YTD)
NonStopSportsPicks
2* Nets/Heat UNDER 192
This game had 37 points scored in the last 5 minutes of game 1 and it took a 3 pointer at the end to push the total over by 1/2 point. In this one, that simply isn't going to happen. The Nets have one chance, and one chance only to keep this game close. And that's by playing defense. The Heat win this game, and go up 2-0 tonight. That being said, they will attempt to shut down the Heat, and the Heat can lock down the Nets (again) defensively. This game should be much closer, which SHOULD cause more defense down the stretch and our UNDER to cash!
2* Nets/Heat UNDER 192
This game had 37 points scored in the last 5 minutes of game 1 and it took a 3 pointer at the end to push the total over by 1/2 point. In this one, that simply isn't going to happen. The Nets have one chance, and one chance only to keep this game close. And that's by playing defense. The Heat win this game, and go up 2-0 tonight. That being said, they will attempt to shut down the Heat, and the Heat can lock down the Nets (again) defensively. This game should be much closer, which SHOULD cause more defense down the stretch and our UNDER to cash!
