Service Plays Thursday 4/21/11

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HOOPSGOOROO

5 UNIT* Cincinnati Reds -135 @ 12:35p
5 UNIT* Nationals +150 @ 1:45p
5 UNIT* Dodgers -137 @ 3:10p
 
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Bryan Leonard

Miami at Philadelphia
Pick: Philadelphia +5.5

The Heat have been an enigma this season, looking unbeatable on occasions but very human at other times. They have beaten Philadelphia nine straight games and are coming off a 94-73 beat down in Miami. Now the overconfident Heat take to the hostile environment of Philadelphia to try to go up 3-0 in this series.

Teams who are down in a series and are coming off an embarrassing performance give it all the next game out, especially if playing at home. Miami had 33 more free throws than the Sixers in the first two games and that simply won't continue with the venue change. The star treatment is much easier to project when playing at home and that won't be the case for the Heat here. We expect Philadelphia to let it all out tonight as they try to make this a series once again.
 
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KELSO

25 UNIT* MLB* Houston Astros +125 ML
10 UNIT* MLB* Florida Marlins -135 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -105 ML
10 UNIT* NBA* Philadelphia 76ers
3 UNIT* NBA* Dallas Mavericks
 
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WUNDERDOG (NHL)
1 OF 2

Game: Chicago at Vancouver (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago +175 (moneyline)

It looks like the oddsmakers have come to a foregone conclusion that the Canucks will win tonight and advance. We saw a series like this last year that appeared to be heading down that road then all of a sudden a team wins, gets hot and runs the table. I'm not sure if the Blackhawks will accomplish that, but the Stanley Cup Champions aren't going down without a hard fight. Down three games to none, they showed they were not about to quit with a big 7-2 win, and they know this is a series again with a win tonight. The Canucks have been strong all year, but with one chink in the armor as they are just 1-4 following a 3-goal loss or more. The Blackhawks can win this game as they are 26-12 straight-up since last season vs. great teams (those at .600 or better). On the road over that span, they are 18-10 vs. teams that score 3+ goals per game. They are also 30-9 over that span after a home win by 4+ goals.
At these odds, I like Chicago.
 
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DOC SPORTS

MLB
4 UNIT* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks +115
4 UNIT* MLB* Atlanta Braves +120
4 UNIT* MLB* Houston Astros + 115
4 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -110
5 UNIT* MLB* GOW Cleveland Indians -115
 
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Brandon Lang

Bonus Play: San Diego/Philadelphia over 6.5

20 DIME NBA PLAYOFF MONEY MOVE
Portland -5.5 over Dallas

10 DIME BANKROLL BUILDING BASEBALL MONEY MOVE
MLB: Cleveland +100 over Kansas City
 
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Sports Betting Prof MLB Version 1.0

PLAYS:
Tampa Bay -105
LA Angels +142

SBP HOME DOGS:
LA Angels +142

SBP HOME DOGS +101 <= x <= +120:
none
 
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PREDICTION MACHINE

57%* NBA* NORMAL PLAY-Philadelphia 76ers +5
57.1%* NBA* NORMAL PLAY-Chicago Bulls -4
58.3%* NBA* NORMAL PLAY-Dallas Mavericks/Portland Trail Blazers over 186

KEY**
65%+3X Normal Play62% - 65%2X Normal Play57% - 62%Normal Play53% - 57%Weak Play< 53%No Pick
 

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