Service Plays Thursday 11/18/10

[JMEYERS]

HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 18th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Premium (Rated)
15* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[308] Miami |5*|-1|B+0|NFL Network|8:20 pm EST



note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) SYSTEM"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KARL GARRETT

THURSDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
40 DIME* UCLA Bruins

BONUS BEST BET
10 DIME* checking for this part

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SEABASS

200* Miami Dolphins
comp under Mia/Chi

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE WINNING PRESCRIPTION -FRANKLIN MARLEY
(307) Bears @ (308) Dolphins
Dolphins -1.5

 

[PDBLING]

Seabass. 200* dolphins. 50* washhuskies

 

[GAVEL]

Northcoast ,aarquisr Wash.UCLA under 53
top opinion Miani over 40

Root tonoght?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS LOCK CLUB

3 UNIT* NFL* CHICAGO BEARS +1.5
4 UNIT* NCAAB* PITTSBURGH PANTHERS
3 UNIT* NCAAB* SANTA CLARA BRONCS
3 UNIT* NCAAB* COLORADO STATE RAMS Under
3 UNIT* NCAAF* AIR FORCE FALCONS Under 56

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

B&S PICKS

5* UNLV Rebels
4* Orlando Magic
3* Miami Dolphins

 

[canadianbookie]

SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING
(cfb 30 dime 6-3 nfl 3-1 last week nba 6-0-2 last 8)

30 dime CFB + 10 dime NFL/NBA Bonus

30 dime CFB Ucla +2

10 dime NFL Miami -2

10 dime NBA Denver +2.5

Freeplay CBK Pittsburgh -6.5

 

[cobby]

here you go guys want to contribute i hope it pays off
banks
dolphins
under dolphins
florida state
maryland
texas
portland trail blazers paid and confirmed

 

[PDBLING]

Mario Calabrese Mustwinsports

50 Unit 6.5 point teaser Miami and Washington

 

[Bomber77]

Root

no limit-illinois
billionare-miami
millionare-washington

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Prophet

AF/UNLV over 56
TB/Flyers over 5.5
Suns/Magic over 203

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 18th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Premium (Rated)
15* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[308] Miami |5*|-1|B+0|NFL Network|8:20 pm EST

note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) SYSTEM"

 

[steliocantos]

bookiemonsters

phx/orl under 206

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KELSO

25 Unit* NFL* CHICAGO BEARS +1

10 Unit* NCAAF* UCLA BRUINS +2

25 Unit* NCAAB* LOYOLA CHICAGO RAMBLERS -10.5
10 Unit* NCAAB* ARIZONA WILDCATS -10.5
5 Unit* NCAAB* RICHMOND SPIDERS -5.5

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton thursday

1-1 yesterday...1-8 last 5 days.

Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton THURSDAY'S ACTION

20 DIME NFL selection on Bears-Dolphins UNDER the total in the FIRST-HALF ONLY! The total in the first half is ranging from 19 1/2 to 20 depending on where you shop.





10 DIME college football selection on UCLA plus the points at Washington. UCLA is a 2 1/2-point road underdog across the board. Go ahead and buy the half-point with UCLA if this number is anywhere from 2 1/2 to 4.








Bears-Dolphins UNDER (First-Half ONLY)





NFL players are creatures of habit, and when you mess with their routines, they generally don’t respond positively. Case in point: A week ago tonight, the Ravens and Falcons – just four days after playing grueling Sunday contests – took the field at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, slept-walked through a scoreless first quarter and by halftime, the score was 10-0 (with three of those points coming on a field goal with 17 seconds left in the half).





In the first Thursday Night game of the season back on Sept. 9, the Vikings and Saints – who field two of the most explosive offenses in the NFL – mustered just 16 points.





Last year, the NFL scheduled nine Thursday games – including three Thanksgiving Day contests – and the combined first-half scores were as follows: 14, 10, 17, 20, 17, 16, 26, 16 and 38 points. So since the start of last season, nine of 11 Thursday contests in the NFL ended with first-half point totals of less than 20. And even though last week’s Falcons-Ravens barely got over the total because of a wild fourth quarter (two touchdowns scored in the final 75 seconds), the under for the game is 9-2 on Thursdays.





And guess what? The Bears and Dolphins each contributed to that 9-2 “under” run. Exactly 53 weeks ago, the Bears went to San Francisco and lost 10-6 to the 49ers (the score was 7-3 at the half). The very next week, the Dolphins went to Carolina and won 24-17, with the game staying under the 42-point total (and the score was 14-3 at the half).





Of course, you can’t rely solely on history when handicapping, and I’m not about to do that here. You also have to examine the matchup and situation. Well, tonight you’ve got the Bears traveling down to South Beach following a physical and emotional 27-13 home victory over the rival Vikings, with most of Chicago’s points being set up by Brett Favre turnovers. The 27 points tied the Bears’ high-water mark for the season and marked just the fourth time all season they’ve eclipsed 20 points.





Chicago is still netting only 19.4 points and 297.3 yards per game. So how is this team 6-3? Defense. Chicago is yielding just 16.2 points and 302 total yards per game, including a scant 82.3 rushing ypg.





Now, the Dolphins are also coming off their biggest offensive effort of the season, a 29-17 victory over the Titans. Prior to that, Miami hadn’t scored more than 23 points all season, and it is right behind Chicago in scoring offense, averaging 19.1 ppg. And as you know, the Dolphins are down to their third-string quarterback in Tyler Thigpen – yet another reason to love the first-half UNDER, as you know Miami coach Tony Sparano is going to try to establish the run and short passing game to take the pressure off Thigpen and build his confidence.





As for Miami’s defense, it is yielding just 21.3 points and 314 yards per game, holding five of nine opponents to 20 points or less. Most importantly, the Dolphins rank 11th in the NFL in sacks (23), which is important because no quarterback in the NFL has been put on his back as frequently as Cutler (29 sacks). Given that fact, plus his awful performance in that Thursday nighter in San Francisco last year (5 interceptions), wouldn’t it make sense for Chicago coach Lovie Smith and mad-hatter offensive coordinator Mike Martz to employ a conservative game plan, at least at the start?





Bottom line: The only reason I’m not touching the UNDER for the entire game is because I think Miami will loosen the reins on Thigpen in the second half, and because I don’t trust Cutler to play mistake-free for 60 minutes. So this could end up a 21-20, 24-17 type of game, but if so, the vast majority of the points – like last Thursday night – will come in the second half following a first-half in which we’ll see a 7-7, 10-3, 10-7 type of score.








UCLA





I know Washington gets star QB Jack Locker (ribs) back from injury tonight, but how big of a deal is that, really? Locker, who would’ve been a Top 5 NFL draft pick had he left Washington after last season, has been nothing more than average, completing just 56 percent of his passes for 1,6878 yards with 14 TDs and six INTs. And in the last two games in which Locker started, the Huskies lost to Arizona (44-14) and Stanford (41-0) by the combined score of 85-14. In fact, Washington has been held to 21 points or less in six of nine games this season.





UCLA has been similarly inconsistent on offense this year, but at least the Bruins are coming off an impressive victory, outlasting Oregon State 17-14 as a four-point home underdog 12 days ago. This matchup favors UCLA from a fundamental perspective, too. See, the Bruins’ offense revolves around running the football, and they average 194.4 yards per game on the ground (4.5 per carry). Well, the Huskies’ defense has been dreadful across the board – Washington surrenders 36.2 points and 440 yards per game – but especially so when it comes to stopping the run, yielding 219.6 ypg and 5.2 yards per carry!





UCLA has owned this rivalry, winning three straight and eight of nine from Washington (including a 27-7 rout as a 6½-point favorite in its last trip to Seattle in 2008). The Bruins are also 10-3 ATS in the last 13 (5-1 ATS in Seattle).





You have to go back to a now-shocking 32-31 upset of USC on Oct. 2 for the last time Washington covered a pointspread (0-5 ATS since), and the Huskies are in additional pointspread funks of 18-40-1 at home, 28-62-2 in Pac-10 games, 6-16 after a SU loss, 7-18-2 against losing teams, 13-35-3 as a favorite (all a home) and 0-4 as a favorite of less than three points. Conversely, the Bruins have covered in nine of their last 11 as a short underdog (three points or less).

 

[tripletsaber]

mti-
4-orl
4-port under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL STEAMROLLER

$50 sheet (1 pick per week/ 7-1 on the season)
NFL Game of the year
Chicago Bears

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

NCAAB

Iona +4.5 -110