Dr B0B
Best Bets
Rotation #315 Penn State (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Rotation #328 Boston College (-6 1/2) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #379 Pittsburgh (-2 1/2) 2-Stars at -3 or less.
Strong Opinions
Strong Opinion - Rotation #320 Syracuse (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (at -115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #325 Duke (+11) Strong Opinion at +10 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #336 Iowa (+3) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
I may have one more Strong Opinion or Best Bet, but I'm waiting on some injury information. I probably won't know until Friday afternoon or even early Saturday morning and I'll email out that analysis when I have the information I need.
Best Bets
Rotation #315 Penn State (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Rotation #328 Boston College (-6 1/2) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #379 Pittsburgh (-2 1/2) 2-Stars at -3 or less.
Strong Opinions
Strong Opinion - Rotation #320 Syracuse (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (at -115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #325 Duke (+11) Strong Opinion at +10 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #336 Iowa (+3) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
I may have one more Strong Opinion or Best Bet, but I'm waiting on some injury information. I probably won't know until Friday afternoon or even early Saturday morning and I'll email out that analysis when I have the information I need.
Evan Altemus
1* Bears / Dolphins Under 40
I went back and forth on this game debating between selecting Miami or the UNDER. However, there are a few reasons that made me think that under the total is the best selection. Chicago's defense has quietly been one of the better defenses in the league this season. The Bears have held every offense except one to 20 points or less this season. Seattle scored 23 points against them, but 2 points was from a safety and one of the touchdowns they gave up was on a short field after the free kick from the safety. Chicago's defense has played well on the road as well, holding the Giants and Cowboys to low scoring days. I don't consider their defensive road performances against Buffalo and Carolina very notable because those teams are so bad anyway. Miami's offense hasn't been high scoring at all this season, so I don't expect them to do much against the Bears with a 3rd string quarterback and a severely injured left tackle. The Dolphins have scored 22 points or less in regulation in seven games this season. Minnesota, New England, Buffalo, and Baltimore all held them to very low point totals, and their 22 points against Pittsburgh was aided by Steelers turnovers deep in their own territory. Also, Miami has a tough time scoring touchdowns in the red zone and Chicago has a great rushing defense, so they should contain the Dolphins rushing game. Meanwhile, Miami's secondary has performed well this season, and they match up well against Chicago's pass first offense. Jay Cutler is prone to mistakes, and I expect the Dolphins to frustrate him all game. Chicago has also been held to 22 points or less in 6 games this season. Every quality defense has been able to shutdown the Bears this season. Look for this game to be ugly, sluggish, and low scoring.
1* Richmond +5
Richmond is going to be a very dangerous team in March during the NCAA tournament. The showed their potential last year by making a deep run in the A-10 tournament before losing to Temple. The Spiders played St. Mary's very tough last season in the NCAA tournament 1st round before Omar Samhan took over. However, Richmond returns every single player on their roster from last year, minus two starters. However, the Spiders are even more balanced scoring now, and the other starters are complementing star player Kevin Anderson even better. Head coach Chris Mooney is one of the best young coaches in the country as well, and he has gotten some very talented recruits into the program as well. Richmond has absolutely destroyed their first two opponents, and Iona will be no match for them either. The Gaels are 0-3 to start the season, but none of their opponents are anywhere near as good as Richmond is. Iona meanwhile returns several players from last year's team, but they are still very young and dealing with a new coach. The team greatly improved last year, but last year's head coach Kevin Williard is now at Seton Hall. There is also a huge talent gap between players from the MAAC and Atlantic 10. Richmond doesn't have any big game looming either, and I expect them to come out strong and continue their dominant play in their first road game. Look for Richmond to get a blowout win.
1* Bears / Dolphins Under 40
I went back and forth on this game debating between selecting Miami or the UNDER. However, there are a few reasons that made me think that under the total is the best selection. Chicago's defense has quietly been one of the better defenses in the league this season. The Bears have held every offense except one to 20 points or less this season. Seattle scored 23 points against them, but 2 points was from a safety and one of the touchdowns they gave up was on a short field after the free kick from the safety. Chicago's defense has played well on the road as well, holding the Giants and Cowboys to low scoring days. I don't consider their defensive road performances against Buffalo and Carolina very notable because those teams are so bad anyway. Miami's offense hasn't been high scoring at all this season, so I don't expect them to do much against the Bears with a 3rd string quarterback and a severely injured left tackle. The Dolphins have scored 22 points or less in regulation in seven games this season. Minnesota, New England, Buffalo, and Baltimore all held them to very low point totals, and their 22 points against Pittsburgh was aided by Steelers turnovers deep in their own territory. Also, Miami has a tough time scoring touchdowns in the red zone and Chicago has a great rushing defense, so they should contain the Dolphins rushing game. Meanwhile, Miami's secondary has performed well this season, and they match up well against Chicago's pass first offense. Jay Cutler is prone to mistakes, and I expect the Dolphins to frustrate him all game. Chicago has also been held to 22 points or less in 6 games this season. Every quality defense has been able to shutdown the Bears this season. Look for this game to be ugly, sluggish, and low scoring.
1* Richmond +5
Richmond is going to be a very dangerous team in March during the NCAA tournament. The showed their potential last year by making a deep run in the A-10 tournament before losing to Temple. The Spiders played St. Mary's very tough last season in the NCAA tournament 1st round before Omar Samhan took over. However, Richmond returns every single player on their roster from last year, minus two starters. However, the Spiders are even more balanced scoring now, and the other starters are complementing star player Kevin Anderson even better. Head coach Chris Mooney is one of the best young coaches in the country as well, and he has gotten some very talented recruits into the program as well. Richmond has absolutely destroyed their first two opponents, and Iona will be no match for them either. The Gaels are 0-3 to start the season, but none of their opponents are anywhere near as good as Richmond is. Iona meanwhile returns several players from last year's team, but they are still very young and dealing with a new coach. The team greatly improved last year, but last year's head coach Kevin Williard is now at Seton Hall. There is also a huge talent gap between players from the MAAC and Atlantic 10. Richmond doesn't have any big game looming either, and I expect them to come out strong and continue their dominant play in their first road game. Look for Richmond to get a blowout win.
HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-November 18th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[312] UNLV |8*|+20|B+0|CBSC|10:00 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[312] UNLV |8*|+20|B+0|CBSC|10:00 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
INDIAN COWBOY
7 UNIT* UNLV Rebels +19.5
7-Unit Play. #312. Take UNLV +19.5 over Air Force (Thursday @ 10pm est).
No, I have not been sniffing glue as I write this. UNLV is a 2-8 squad and to them, this is the equivalent of a Bowl game. They play a 7-4 team in Air Force at home, on Friday Night, in front of a national audience. Needless to say, this team will be pumped up. Air Force comes off big wins over Army and New Mexico and I can see them having a bit of a let down on the road. Note, the public is heavily on Air Force and that is never a good thing and bear in mind that UNLV comes off a huge win over Wyoming by a score of 42-16. This team too beat New Mexico 45-10 at home and note that they lost to Wisconsin by just 20 points at home. If they can hang against a BCS Conference powerhouse like Wisconsin this year, I believe they can hang tough against Air Force by that margin as well as note in 2008, when these two teams hooked in UNLV, the final score was Air Force winning 29-28. I like UNLV to hang tough throughout this game. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six conference games and UNLV is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.
7 UNIT* UNLV Rebels +19.5
7-Unit Play. #312. Take UNLV +19.5 over Air Force (Thursday @ 10pm est).
No, I have not been sniffing glue as I write this. UNLV is a 2-8 squad and to them, this is the equivalent of a Bowl game. They play a 7-4 team in Air Force at home, on Friday Night, in front of a national audience. Needless to say, this team will be pumped up. Air Force comes off big wins over Army and New Mexico and I can see them having a bit of a let down on the road. Note, the public is heavily on Air Force and that is never a good thing and bear in mind that UNLV comes off a huge win over Wyoming by a score of 42-16. This team too beat New Mexico 45-10 at home and note that they lost to Wisconsin by just 20 points at home. If they can hang against a BCS Conference powerhouse like Wisconsin this year, I believe they can hang tough against Air Force by that margin as well as note in 2008, when these two teams hooked in UNLV, the final score was Air Force winning 29-28. I like UNLV to hang tough throughout this game. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six conference games and UNLV is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.
