NELLY
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2008
NEW ENGLAND (-3½) NY Jets (40) 7:15 PM
The Patriots beat the Jets 19-10 in week two in New York but the Jets have a
bit of momentum, having won five of the past six games and posting 47
points. This is a critical division game as both teams are currently 6-3. The
first meeting was a statistical deadlock in QB Cassel’s first career start. The
Patriots have found some offensive rhythm in recent weeks but defense has
been the key, allowing less than 13 points per game in the last four weeks.
The Jets have been extremely fortunate the last two weeks . PATS BY 13
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2008
AKRON (-2½) Buffalo 6:00 PM
Both teams won big in early week games last week and with five
wins each, this could be a potential bowl bid elimination game for
two fringe postseason candidates. Through fairly similar schedules
Buffalo has a slight edge on defense while Akron has been a bit
more productive offensively. This is the final game for the Rubber
Bowl stadium in Akron but Buffalo has the more impressive resume
this season. The Bulls are also 14-5 ATS on the road the last three
years including 4-0 this year. BUFFALO BY 6
MIAMI, FL (-4) Virginia Tech 6:45 PM
The Hokies had a huge day on the ground last week but this could
be a tough situation facing a second straight Thursday game against
a rested Hurricanes squad. Miami has won four straight games and
the defensive numbers are among the best in the ACC, allowing just
286 yards per game. Virginia Tech crushed Miami last season 44-14
but the Hokies have not had great success on the road this season.
Look for Miami to force Virginia Tech to throw the ball and the
passing game results have not been positive for the Hokies this
season. Virginia Tech has been a strong home team but the value is
with Miami particularly after a bye week while Virginia Tech is
coming off a dominant national TV win. MIAMI BY 10
UNLV (-8½) Wyoming 8:00 PM
Both teams are coming off big wins last week but the magnitude of
Wyoming’s upset at Tennessee last week should make this a tough
follow-up game on a short week. This will be the second straight
road game for the Cowboys and Wyoming is averaging fewer than
twelve points scored per game this year. The UNLV offense has
been productive and despite just three S/U wins on the year the
Runnin’ Rebels have six ATS wins. Wyoming beat UNLV narrowly
last season but the Cowboys are just 2-11 ATS the last 13 road
games. UNLV has not had much success in the favorite role but a
letdown is in order after a huge win for Wyoming. UNLV BY 14
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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2008
NEW ENGLAND (-3½) NY Jets (40) 7:15 PM
The Patriots beat the Jets 19-10 in week two in New York but the Jets have a
bit of momentum, having won five of the past six games and posting 47
points. This is a critical division game as both teams are currently 6-3. The
first meeting was a statistical deadlock in QB Cassel’s first career start. The
Patriots have found some offensive rhythm in recent weeks but defense has
been the key, allowing less than 13 points per game in the last four weeks.
The Jets have been extremely fortunate the last two weeks . PATS BY 13
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13, 2008
AKRON (-2½) Buffalo 6:00 PM
Both teams won big in early week games last week and with five
wins each, this could be a potential bowl bid elimination game for
two fringe postseason candidates. Through fairly similar schedules
Buffalo has a slight edge on defense while Akron has been a bit
more productive offensively. This is the final game for the Rubber
Bowl stadium in Akron but Buffalo has the more impressive resume
this season. The Bulls are also 14-5 ATS on the road the last three
years including 4-0 this year. BUFFALO BY 6
MIAMI, FL (-4) Virginia Tech 6:45 PM
The Hokies had a huge day on the ground last week but this could
be a tough situation facing a second straight Thursday game against
a rested Hurricanes squad. Miami has won four straight games and
the defensive numbers are among the best in the ACC, allowing just
286 yards per game. Virginia Tech crushed Miami last season 44-14
but the Hokies have not had great success on the road this season.
Look for Miami to force Virginia Tech to throw the ball and the
passing game results have not been positive for the Hokies this
season. Virginia Tech has been a strong home team but the value is
with Miami particularly after a bye week while Virginia Tech is
coming off a dominant national TV win. MIAMI BY 10
UNLV (-8½) Wyoming 8:00 PM
Both teams are coming off big wins last week but the magnitude of
Wyoming’s upset at Tennessee last week should make this a tough
follow-up game on a short week. This will be the second straight
road game for the Cowboys and Wyoming is averaging fewer than
twelve points scored per game this year. The UNLV offense has
been productive and despite just three S/U wins on the year the
Runnin’ Rebels have six ATS wins. Wyoming beat UNLV narrowly
last season but the Cowboys are just 2-11 ATS the last 13 road
games. UNLV has not had much success in the favorite role but a
letdown is in order after a huge win for Wyoming. UNLV BY 14
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