Here is STU, Brain King, Tony Smith, and Howie FOOTBALL TONIGHT!!!!!!!
Stu's 100 DIME Division Mismatch Game of the Year(SF1)
New York at New England (-3') - 8:15 p.m. EST
This isn’t Spygate, but it is a battle for first place in the division tonight and look for New England to once again take care of its bitter rival with this solid home win and cover. With their Week 2 victory (19-10) at the Flyboys, NE is now 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Truly Bill Belichick will pull out all the stops against his former defensive coordinator Eric Mangini, who is just 1-5 SU versus New England. I like the way Matt Cassell (decent QB rating of 83.9 this year) has been playing of late after last week throwing for 234 yards and no picks in a convincing win over Buffalo. And now he’s starting to get some help with the running game behind the legs of rookie BenJarvus Green-Ellis. The NE offensive line only allowed one sack a week ago and protecting Cassell and providing running lanes for Green-Ellis tonight will be key against a NY defense that has been for the most part solid, albeit against a weak schedule. The Flyboys come into this one having won four of their last five straight-up after dismantling listless St. Louis last week. But they have lost to Oakland and a closer look shows that in these last five games, their opponents’ record is a mere 11-34 and five of those wins were by Buffalo. Basically, NY has been beating up on patsies, but that changes tonight on the road against a hated rival that will stop at nothing (including illegal video taping) to gain an edge to win. Brett Favre has been ordinary in recent weeks and in fact has thrown twice as many picks (8) as touchdowns (4) in the last five games. In some possible tough weather conditions, he’ll toss multiple picks again this evening. New England is on a spread run of 16-7 versus teams with winning records and the chalk is on a series run of 8-2-1. This is a small price to cover and with the stakes so high, I’m on Belichick at home as New England gets the job done.
NEW ENGLAND (-3') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 DIME Division Mismatch GOY Total Play (SF2)
New York (42') at New England (-3') - 8:15 p.m. EST
It’s going to be very wet and a bit windy tonight and this will be a defensive struggle as it stays under the posted price. Both of these teams sport several under trends that should stay true to form. New England is on under runs of 4-0-1 overall, 8-1-2 at home, 9-1-2 in conference games and 4-1 in divisional contests. New York is on under runs of 4-1-1 on the road, 8-2-1 in conference games, 6-1-1 versus teams with winning records and 5-1-1 in divisional affairs. In addition, four of the last five meetings at Gillette Stadium have stayed under the posted price. These wet and windy conditions will leave Brett Favre struggling with accuracy, so look for the Flyboys to pound the football with Thomas Jones. But New England, ranked 12th in total defense, is no slouch at stuffing the run. They held Buffalo to just 60 rushing yards (168 total) last week and the NE defense will be revved up for this one at home against the turnover prone Favre. The New York defense has played well, too, and outside of the Monday Night game in San Diego, has stood up on the road in allowing 17, 16, and 14 points on the highway. This will be a smash-mouth type of football game in wet conditions and it will stay under the final price.
UNDER (42') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 DIME ACC Blowout of the Week (SF3)
Virginia Tech (+4') at Miami-Fla (43) - 7:45 p.m. EST
Look for Virginia Tech to be a very live dog tonight and for the Hokies to win this ACC tilt outright. Both teams are very much alive in the league’s Coastal Division, and in fact, Va Tech can claim a spot in the conference’s title game simply by winning its last three games. But it starts tonight down in South Florida where the Hokies have covered five of their last six. VT has played well against its former Big East rival as the Frank Beamer’s club has won and covered the last two meetings, gone 4-1 SU the last five encounters and is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games versus the Hurricanes. A week ago tonight, VT turned in an impressive performance at home in beating nationally-ranked Maryland by 10 points. They ran for 273 yards and also held the Terps to minus-12 yards on the ground and 229 total. Maryland’s Da’Rel Scott had come into that game as the ACC’s leading rusher but was held to a mere 11 yards on 10 carries by the Hokies. With QB Tyrod Taylor still out with an ankle injury, Sean Glennon looks to pick up where he’s left off (23-of-36 for 260 yards, 1 TD, no picks) the past two games. He’ll certainly be handing off to Darren Evans, who has given this offense some life and ran for 254 yards last week against Maryland. Both teams have capable defenses, but Miami’s poor work in the red zone (opponents have scored 25 times in 26 red zone chances with 21 TDs) is alarming. So is the number of interceptions (10) Miami starting QB Robert Marve has thrown despite sharing duties with Jacory Harris. This is still a very, very young Hurricane team that lost at home to UNC and was very lackluster offensively in home wins over Central Florida and Wake Forest recently. There is no home field advantage for the Canes, who no longer play at the Orange Bowl. Miami, which is on ATS slides of 5-16-1 at home and 7-15-1 in ACC action, is also just 1-11 ATS coming off a bye. The Hokies have won at both UNC and Nebraska this year and had FSU on the ropes in Tallahassee for 2 ½ quarters last time on the highway before both their quarterbacks left the game with injuries. The Hokies are on spread runs of 19-7 on the road, 25-9 in conference play, 10-1 in November and 13-4 on Thursday night. Look for VT return man Dyrell Roberts to do something special tonight as the dog, which has covered five of the last seven in this series, has plenty of bite yet again in this outright Va Tech win.
VIRGINIA TECH (+4') 100 Dimes
Tony Smith's 100* Thursday Night Football VIP Winner
New York (+3') at New England (41') - 8:15 PM, EST
Tony Smith's VIP Winner for Thursday Night
NEW YORK (+3') 100* VIP SELECTION
King's 50 DIME Thursday Pro Football Winner (BK1)
New York (+3') at New England (41') - 8:15 PM, EST
NEW YORK (+3') 50 DIMES
King's 25 DIME Thursday Night ACC Winner + Bonus (BK2)
I am sorry for the late analysis and the plays not posting earlier in the day. I have been under the weather and battling a flu bug. Please accept amy apologies and good luck.
- Brian
Virginia Tech (+4) at Miami (FL) (41) - 7:30 p.m. EST
Virginia Tech has the technical edge in this matchup having won and covered the last two games and 4 of the last 5. Beamers boys are 17-5 ATS as a visitor since 2004. However this is a resurgent Canes squad that is at home on a prime time Thursday night stage. Miami needs this win for the program. Tech is not the squad they have been years past relying on speed and special teams. Well I have news for you, Miami can run too and they are athletic. We have all seen VT deliver this year. Last week they beat a ranked Maryland squad but that was in Hokie country. Now they face a team that matches up well against them and is playing for the future of the program. Miami wins this game on heart and will by a touchdown. Sean Glennon will not get it done tonight and the special teams will not factor as they have in other Tech wins. All this nonsense about Miami not having home field advantage anymore because the "O" Bowl is gone. I'm not buying it. The public is all over Tech and I'm with the South Florida boys from the U to deliver a big win for the home crowd.
Miami airs it out for 200+ and hits the century mark on the ground while winning 27-20. Take Miami minus the points tonight.
Miami (-4) 25 Dimes
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Wyoming (+7) at UNLV (47) - 9 p.m. EST
Another trend buster game here tonight when Wyoming rolls into Vegas to fave UNLV. The visiting team in this rivalry is 6-2 with the underdog going 4-0 at UNLV. Wyoming comes rolling in off a big upset win last week at Tennessee and is playing on a short week while travelling for the second straight. UNLV has covered the last two in this series Word is we will be seeing Clayton tonight for the Rebels but regardless backup Clausen filled in nicely last week as UNLV ran up 27 in a win against New Mexico.
UNLV needs to get this big sixth win as Sam Boyd's job is rumored to be on the line. The Rebels are just 3-12 in Sam Boyd finales but this year they get it done. Take UNLV in a high scoring affair the Rebels win by double digits 30-19. Take UNLV minus the points tonight.
UNLV (-6') 10 Dimes
Howie's 50 DIME ACC Showdown Godfather Winner
Virginia Tech (+4') at Miami (FL) (41) - 7:30 p.m. EST
Howie Feiner's ACC Showdown Godfather Pick
Virginia Tech (+4') 50 Dimes
Howie's 50 DIME Mountain West Matchup Winner
Wyoming (+7) at UNLV (47) - 9 p.m. EST
Howie Feiner's Mountain West Matchup Godfather Pick
UNLV (-7) 50 Dimes
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