VegasButcher
New Jersey Devils +100
Last season the Devils ranked 4th in Corsi% (5 on 5, Close). Only LA, Chicago, and Boston ranked higher in this advanced puck-possession metric. Chicago and Boston also ranked in the top-3 in total goals scored, while the Kings ranked 25th there. LA was able to compensate for poor ability to put goals in net by possessing the puck (keeping it away from the opponent) and of course defense and goal-tending, where they ranked 4th overall last year. By comparison, Devils ranked 27th in total goals. Unlike the Kings, they ranked 25th in Save%. Part of the reason is because Brodeur started 39 games for them last year. Brodeur has been a terrible goalie for the last 4 years now and last season he averaged a 2.5 GAA and only a 90.1% Sv%. Schneider, playing on the same team and starting 43 games last year, had a 1.97 GAA and a 92.1% Sv%. That’s an absolutely huge differential. For their careers, Brodeur has a 91.2% Sv% (which is right around the 91.5% mark that most goalies seem to be trending towards long-term) while Schneider’s career mark is 92.5%, which is even higher than Dominik Hasek’s career mark of 92.2%, the highest I’ve seen from all so-called ‘all-time great’ goal-keepers. I think it’s safe to assume that New Jersey’s defense and goal-tending should improve just due to the fact that Brodeur is gone. Strong ability to possess the puck, hopefully a few more goals in the net (Havlat and Cammalleri joined the team this year), and of course potentially the best goal-keeper in the league in the net for the Devils this year. Flyers weren’t that impressive yesterday and they’re on a back-to-back after facing a tough Boston team last night. Maybe all these factors is the reason why the odds dropped 20-cents at Pinny when Philly is getting about 60% of all the bets. I’ll follow this reverse-odds movement (ROM) and back the Devils tonight.
New Jersey Devils +100
Last season the Devils ranked 4th in Corsi% (5 on 5, Close). Only LA, Chicago, and Boston ranked higher in this advanced puck-possession metric. Chicago and Boston also ranked in the top-3 in total goals scored, while the Kings ranked 25th there. LA was able to compensate for poor ability to put goals in net by possessing the puck (keeping it away from the opponent) and of course defense and goal-tending, where they ranked 4th overall last year. By comparison, Devils ranked 27th in total goals. Unlike the Kings, they ranked 25th in Save%. Part of the reason is because Brodeur started 39 games for them last year. Brodeur has been a terrible goalie for the last 4 years now and last season he averaged a 2.5 GAA and only a 90.1% Sv%. Schneider, playing on the same team and starting 43 games last year, had a 1.97 GAA and a 92.1% Sv%. That’s an absolutely huge differential. For their careers, Brodeur has a 91.2% Sv% (which is right around the 91.5% mark that most goalies seem to be trending towards long-term) while Schneider’s career mark is 92.5%, which is even higher than Dominik Hasek’s career mark of 92.2%, the highest I’ve seen from all so-called ‘all-time great’ goal-keepers. I think it’s safe to assume that New Jersey’s defense and goal-tending should improve just due to the fact that Brodeur is gone. Strong ability to possess the puck, hopefully a few more goals in the net (Havlat and Cammalleri joined the team this year), and of course potentially the best goal-keeper in the league in the net for the Devils this year. Flyers weren’t that impressive yesterday and they’re on a back-to-back after facing a tough Boston team last night. Maybe all these factors is the reason why the odds dropped 20-cents at Pinny when Philly is getting about 60% of all the bets. I’ll follow this reverse-odds movement (ROM) and back the Devils tonight.
Hot Chicks PICKS
In NBA......
Take Detroit and Milwaukee to misfire tonight and stay UNDER 197!
Take Houston and Memphis to struggle to get off the launch pad and stay UNDER 197!
In college.....
Take BYU +3.5 to bite the Knights!
In NFL......
Take Houston and Indianapolis to battle to the UNDER 47
In NBA......
Take Detroit and Milwaukee to misfire tonight and stay UNDER 197!
Take Houston and Memphis to struggle to get off the launch pad and stay UNDER 197!
In college.....
Take BYU +3.5 to bite the Knights!
In NFL......
Take Houston and Indianapolis to battle to the UNDER 47
