Service Plays Thursday 10/29/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL NHL

Detroit at Edmonton

The Oilers look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-7 in its last 8 road games. Edmonton is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 29
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: New Jersey at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.085; Boston 11.253
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+135); Under

Game 3-4: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.034; Atlanta 11.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 5-6: Ottawa at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.866; Tampa Bay 11.196
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+115); Over

Game 7-8: Phoenix at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.467; St. Louis 12.456
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 9-10: Chicago at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.613; Nashville 10.779
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-160); Over

Game 11-12: Detroit at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.842; Edmonton 11.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Under

Game 13-14: Vancouver at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.558; Los Angeles 12.421
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+115); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
347 - 235 run 58 %

Thurs Det Red Wings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lance's Lock


Pick: Portland -7

Overall: 865-749-32

Current Streak: 2 wins

 

[knaw_son]

FantasySportsGametime.com

Thursday Football


NCAA Football

100* Play Virginia Tech (-16.5) over North Carolina (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Virginia Tech has won 16 of the last 17 home games over the last 3 seasons and they have also won 14 of the last 17 games coming off a loss against the spread. Virginia Tech has won 9 of the last 11 games coming off a road game and they are averaging over 36 points a game on offense in home games this season.

 

[knaw_son]

lang

15 DIME - NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS - (if the line is 16 1/2, you buy to +17, never get beat by the hook!) - A lot of wood for Virginia Tech to cover tonight facing the 3rd best defense in the country.



Everyone is going to look at this game as a match up of the horrible North Carolina offense versus this great Virginia Tech defense but my friends, it's the wrong way to look at it.



If you are going to cover a number like this you are going to need your offense to score you some points, and if you think Virginia Tech is going to just go up and down the field on this Tar Heels defense, well let's just say I don't think so.



Virginia Tech offensively is not Florida State. In fact, just throw out anything that happened in the Florida State game because unlike Virginia Tech, who ranks near the bottom in offense in the ACC, the Seminoles brought the best offense into Chapel Hill.



Against a similiar fast defense earlier this year against Nebraska, the Hokies struggled to a 16-15 win and we all see just how good Nebraska turned out to be. The Cornhuskers held V'tech to 270 yards total offense.



I believe North Carolina's defense will keep them in this football game. I believe their offense, which has been improving each week and faces a Virginia Tech run defense ranked 79th in the country, will make enough plays to stay within this very generous number and if the Tar Heels don't turn it over, they might just shock the world.



The bottom line is I will gladly take +17 points with the 3rd best defense in the country versus the 67th best offense in college football including just 102nd in the passing game.



The Tar Heels have the corners and safeties to shut down anything Virginia Tech wants to do in the air and I believe that is exactly what Butch Davis will do here. Put 8 in the box, man up on the outside and say to Frank Beamer, "Beat me throwing the ball buddy."



The dog is the play here. The dog is the play and the dog is the way I am going here tonight.



15 Dime TAR HEELS



5 DIME - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - Just like last night, I can't pass up this kind of value with the Phillies in game two.



In case you didn't watch last night's game, the Phillies showed you why they will repeat as world champions on many different levels.



Great starting pitching. Great defense. Timely hitting. Their whole lineup can come through on you any time as you saw last night.



Tonight I love the way they match up with A.J. Burnett. He is capable of making mistakes out over the plate and this is a home run hitting Philly team that will make you pay for those mistakes.



As for Pedro, nobody is as familiar with this Yankees lineup as he is. Simple as that.



He was as dominant as anybody this entire post season in his only playoff start versus the Dodgers going 7 shutout innings of 2-hit ball before being lifted for a pitch hitter in the 8th. Charlie Manuel probably should have left him in but no worries.



I love Pedro at this price just as I liked Cliff Lee at that great price last night.



As for Burnett, this could get ugly early as evidenced by his struggles over his career versus these Phillies.



He is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA in 16 career starts including a 7-3 loss at Yankee Stadium on May 22, when he allowed five runs in six innings. Sounds familiar doesn't it? Like didn't Sabathia have those same kind of numbers versus the Phillies in a playoff start last year?



I am rolling with the Phillies to make it 2 straight in this series and take complete control tonight.



FREE SELECTION - SAN ANTONIO SPURS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Randall the Handle

TAMPA BAY -½ +1.45 over Ottawa (REG) Pinnacle

The Lightning got off to a pretty rough start but they’ve played dramatically better in its last two games, a 5-2 win over San Jose and a 3-2 OT loss to the Sabres. That’s the Lightning team I, for one, was expecting to see this year, as I believe they’re one of the most improved squads in terms of off-season moves. Furthermore, they went into Ottawa two weeks ago and were absolutely buried 7-1 and looked completely out of sorts. There is no way that shellacking is not on their collective minds and as a result they’ll play their hearts out here. The Lightning are very well-rested, as they’ve been off since Saturday and when they beat the Sharkies 5-2 on Oct 22 they were on five days rest in that one as well. Mike Smith seems to have his groove back. The Sens won last night but were outplayed in Florida and only the goaltending of Pascal Leclair prevented the Panthers from winning. The Sens will play the tail end of back-to-backs here and while they’re still playing far above expectations, this is a good spot for the Lightning to keep it going. The Bolts early season poor record makes them one of the most undervalued teams in the business and hopefully we can take advantage of that over the next couple of weeks. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.45 (Risking 2 units).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket - Spurs/Bulls

San Antonio Spurs (-2.5) over CHICAGO BULLS

4* #501 SAN ANTONIO over CHICAGO

When we get deeper into the season, a rested home team against an opponent that had to travel after playing the previous night is an advantage. But not now; in fact it is the team that played already that brings the edges, particularly for the way that the Spurs performed in a dominating 113-96 win over New Orleans that was even easier than the final score would indicate. And that gets us in the game at this short price range. When we do our usual pre-season work of compiling the most improved teams in the league, it is usually a set of mediocre squads that made some personnel additions to move forward. Rarely is it ever a team of San Antonio?s class, and we believe the markets will take some time to adjust properly. First note that LY?s 54-28 was an injury-riddled affair, and that merely having the roster back to health would lead to more wins, even with the age of the veteran corps. But take that corps and add the likes of Richard Jefferson, Antonio McDyess, and DeJuan Blair and you have something special. Now it is a deep and talented roster filled with players that are only after a Championship ring, not personal numbers, and there is no one better than Gregg Popovich at putting the pieces together. Last night?s rout was an almost perfect tune-up for this game. No San Antonio player was on the court longer than Matt Bonner?s 28 minutes, with the starters playing exactly half (120 minutes) of the total game time. The bench actually scored 61 of the 113 points, while the Hornet reserves had 19, and that is going to be a major story line all season. Of particular note were the opening 14 points and 11 rebounds from rookie Blair, who New Orleans coach Byron Scott referred to simply as ?a monster?. Not only does Blair bring muscle and determination, but can he learned the position from anyone better than Tim Duncan? The Spurs should bring their best value in settings like this one, with the poise to handle a road crowd and their late-game polish grinding out wins in tough environment. For the Bulls it is another matter. The starting five is a collection of young players that have not had much time working together, and the bench is going to miss the punch of Ben Gordon. They will play with some frenetic energy, but that does not always translate to good basketball, and they fall down tonight vs. an opponent that can exploit that aggressiveness.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diceituponline

Phillies +175 = 5 Dimes

Tonight's World Series Pick: Tough one last night on the over, I thought for sure we'd sneak in at least one more run, but Lee was dominant and we take a loss. However this helps with our series 5 Dime play! Tonight's play is a small value play. This line is too good to pass up. The chemistry and winning spirit the Phillies have looks too good to pass up on a +175 value. Vegas has over priced this game with the thought that there is no way that the Yankees lose both games at home and go down 2-0. Well let me tell you something, I don't care what the numbers are or the historical stats. That only means so much. I heard a ton of people tell me that Yanks would win game 1 and they hadn't lost at home all post season and they had a such and such record against winning teams...yada yada yada. All that doesn't matter. The Phillies are playing as a team right now and doing everything it takes to win. They learned alot from winning the World Series last year and it shows in this year's post season. With the way this team is playing I really can't pass up this value. So play small and look for a big return.

 

[goldencontender]

Game 2 World Series Side-GC-

On Thursday the MLB play is on the Newyork Yankees. Game 954 at 7:57 eastern. This will be a run line play as I have no interest in laying -200. Historically in World series play Home teams that are down 0-1 are 27-14 in game two. If they are coming off a loss of 5 or more runs they are 7-3.
The Yankees have a nice pitching edge with AJ.Burnett tonight. They have won 14 of his 18 home starts this year and he has a solid 3.38 home era. The Phillies are starting P.Martinez tonight. In his last start he was masterful holding the Dodgers to just 2 hits over 7 strong innings. Tonight he gets a much better line up,against a team he has struggled against. Martinez only has one recent start against this Yankee team a 5+ innings shelling as he allowed 6 runs last year.After this game he will wish he was back at home under a mango tree. The Yankees are 15-5 as home favorites of -175 to -200 while the Phillies are 14-36 long term as an underdog in this range.Last night we took the Phillies tonight. Look for the Yanks to get this one by more than a run. Those looking for the football I have a double perfect power angle in tonight's college football game. Take the Yankees on the run line as the MLB play. BOL GC.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DenverMoney NHL

2* Phoenix/St. Louis UNDER 5.5 -130

2* Chicago Blackhawks -155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sammy Jankus Reverse Barometer

I rate my plays 3, 4 and 5 stars. Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeups.

San Antonio at Chicago 8:05 PM ET
5* (502) CHICAGO (+3)

OH… MY… GOD… this is gonna be such a rout that ol' Sammy's dragging out the deed on my mobile home so I can get a bank loan this afternoon and LOAD UP on a sure thing! The Spurs made mincemeat out of a solid New Orleans team last night and get this – Super Spur Tim Duncan only scored 9 frickin' point! That's right, SIX Spurs scored in double figures in the 113-96 whipping of the Hornets and Duncan was so busy grabbing rebounds that he wasn't one of them. Wow… if these guys can pound a quality team like N.O. without a major contribution from Duncan, just think what they can do to a second-rate bunch like these Bulls! Plus, San Antonio will be riding a wave of momentum off yesterday's win while Chicago is playing its FIRST game of the new season. I'm convinced the jingle-jangle boys from old San An-tone will DESTROY the Bulls tonight – so your play (and believe me, I feel awful doing this to you) is on CHICAGO.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Winning Points

Virginia Tech

 

[zags]

st bernadines sports advisors - 10/29

john keelan(abats computer simulator)(no write ups)
1* No. Car +17


lillefty -
2* San Antonio spurs -2.5 over Chicago bulls.
This a game that is dropping fast so keep your eye on it. I will keep my # at 2.5 for record keeping purposes but you can probably get better if you monitor it. I don't see any reason why the # is falling like a rock . I looked for word that maybe Tony Parker wasn't playing or that rose was going to be full strength but nothing. So I will go full speed ahead with this pick.

The spurs are a deep team with the addition of Richard Jefferson to the mix. This is the 1st time they have spent well beyond the luxury cap to field their team. They know they are strong and this is the year to make a run and I am glad to see that they are going for it. It is too early in the season to worry about back to back game scenarios like last year with Duncan. With the blowout last night, the spurs rested their starters the whole 4Th quarter anyways.

The Bulls are learning to cope w/out Ben Gordon and even Vinny Del negro admitted that this year may not be the strongest of years for the Bulls as they prepare for the big free agent class next summer. W/out Gordon that much more of the offense will have to flow through Rose and he will be hampered by his ankle injury. He hasn't played in 3 weeks so his conditioning has to be off somewhat. I would be surprised if he went full minutes at full speed tonight.

The Spurs are a top tier Western conf team looking for a nice early win vs a good Eastern conf opponent and I think talent pulls them through this one comfortably.


if randy posts a play I will put it here otherwise good luck to all tonight!!

let's cash!!
ZAGS

 

[Garski81]

Free Picks
Mike Wynn Chicago under 193
Razor sharp sports Portland over 198
Platinum Plays Ottawa +100

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

NBA Full Free Card Today
4* Under 193 (-110) San Antonio vs Chicago
4* Under 199.5 (-110) Denver vs Portland

 

[sLim901]

Redd

Thursday's Card
20-Dime Nuggets

10-Dime Virginia Tech

 

[ugk]

Doc's Sports

3 Units. Denver +8

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans small pick for today

Chris Jordan Thursday's winner ...
100♦ VIRGINIA TECH - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

 

[cork999]

Karl Garrett
Karl Garrett 30 DIMER - NORTH CAROLINA....10 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER 30 DIMER - NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS

The Gobblers have had a little extra time to stew about their 28-23 loss at Georgia Tech, and while I don't see them losing this game outright, I do think this impost is a little "too tall for the call".

North Carolina is the classic example of a team that can't handle being the favorite - 1-3 this season against the spread - but thrives in the underdog role - 7-3 against the spread under Butch Davis.

The Tar Heels have twice come close to knocking off the Hokies under Butch Davis, losing 17-10 at Blacksburg 2 years ago, and losing 20-17 at home last year as the slight favorite.

Virginia Tech is just 3-8 against the spread their last 11 games when favored, and while they have had a few blowouts this year, North Carolina's defense is staunch enough to hold the Hokies within earshot.

North Carolina entered the season with very high expectations, this is their chance to erase last Thursday's flop versus Florida State, and gain back some respectabilty.

I like the Tar Heels plus the points.

10 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER (Martinez vs. Burnett)

Last night's UNDER - just barely! - made it a 14-3 UNDER run over the last 17 World Series games played.

I don't think that trend is moving to 15-3, as the New York bats will be quite happy to see their old friend Pedro "Who's your Daddy?" Martinez on the mound for this one, as they were totally dominated by southpaw Cliff Lee last night.

The Yankees will be able to hit Pedro this evening, and conversely we have seen AJ Burnett and his bouts with wildness this October, and tonight should be nothing new against the patient bats of Philadelphia.

Philadelphia has still be OVER the total in 8 of their last 10 road games, and I expect this one to go OVER as well.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-----GL GUYS

 

[knaw_son]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W id ow W is eguy ESPN Thursday Night GAME OF THE MONTH on North Carolina +16.5(-107 at 5dimes)

The Tar Heels and Hokies have played some intense battles the last couple years, and expect the 2009 meeting to be another close one as well. VA Tech beat UNC 17-10 at home in 2007 as an 18.5-point favorite and 20-17 on the road in 2008 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Hokies outscored the Tar Heels 10-0 in the fourth quarter last season to get the win, so you know UNC has a sour taste in their mouth stemming back the past 2 seasons. This is revenge time for UNC who have had a couple disappointing losses this season, most notably their 27-30 loss to Florida State last week where they led 24-6 at one point. This is going to be one of the most hungry teams in Week 9 and they are worth a shot here playing motivated football as a big underdog to Virginia Tech. The Tar Heels are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Tar Heels are also 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units)in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. UNC can keep this one close because of their defense as they allow just 16.4 points/game and 266 total yards/game. Virginia Tech is actually giving up 19.1 points/game and 317 totals yards/game in comparison. Take UNC and the points.