Lockoftheday.com
Thursday, January 15th, 2009
Today's Lock: Suns/Nuggets Under 218.5
20 point win last night as Wake Forest -4 easily covered.
We'll make a wager on the Suns/Nuggets Under tonight in the NBA. Carmelo Anthony is injured and the Nuggets really miss his scoring. The trade for Chauncey Billups slowed down their offense. Phoenix rarely scores over 110. It will be an up hill climb to get this total over 218.5.
January Record 9 - 8
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Thursday, January 15th, 2009
Today's Lock: Suns/Nuggets Under 218.5
20 point win last night as Wake Forest -4 easily covered.
We'll make a wager on the Suns/Nuggets Under tonight in the NBA. Carmelo Anthony is injured and the Nuggets really miss his scoring. The trade for Chauncey Billups slowed down their offense. Phoenix rarely scores over 110. It will be an up hill climb to get this total over 218.5.
January Record 9 - 8
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Brett Maverick Sports
Idaho +7.5 One Star Free
We cashed our Big 12 Game of the Month last night as Iowa State brings home the money vs a Nebraska team who has now cashed only 7 of the last 28 road games played. Yesterday we told you we search for a good reason to play against heavy public favorites and tonight's free pick fits that very well. Early money is on New Mexico State at 90% of the action. We know Idaho to be a great conference play going 15-6 vs the spread over the last two years. But they really shine in January road games going 8-1 vs the Vegas number. Take this dog with no respect but a ton of bite.
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Idaho +7.5 One Star Free
We cashed our Big 12 Game of the Month last night as Iowa State brings home the money vs a Nebraska team who has now cashed only 7 of the last 28 road games played. Yesterday we told you we search for a good reason to play against heavy public favorites and tonight's free pick fits that very well. Early money is on New Mexico State at 90% of the action. We know Idaho to be a great conference play going 15-6 vs the spread over the last two years. But they really shine in January road games going 8-1 vs the Vegas number. Take this dog with no respect but a ton of bite.
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(15) Xavier (13-2, 7-6 ATS) at Rhode Island (11-5, 6-4-1 ATS)
Xavier will go after its fifth straight victory when it makes an Atlantic 10 trip to Rhode Island, which just had its three-game win streak snapped in excruciating fashion.
The Musketeers ripped Fordham 86-60 Sunday to easily cover as a 17-point road favorite, winning their fourth in a row (3-0 ATS in lined games) following a two-game SU and ATS skid in setbacks to Duke and Butler. During their current streak, the Musketeers have won all four games by at least 16 points, putting up an average of 79.5 ppg. Also, for the season, Xavier is fifth in the nation defensively in field-goal percentage, allowing opponents to hit at just a 36.7 percent clip.
The Rams fell short at St. Joe’s on Saturday, losing 92-86 in triple-overtime as a 1½-point road underdog for their second straight ATS setback in just their fourth lined game since Dec. 6. Rhode Island has been putting up points lately, averaging 85.6 ppg in its last five games, but it is also allowing 77 ppg. The Rams have played just one home game in the past month – routing Akron 79-50 on Jan. 3 as an eight-point chalk – but they’re outscoring opponents by more than 14 ppg at home (84.3-67.8).
Xavier is on a 7-1 SU and ATS tear in this rivalry, including an 81-77 road win last February as a two-point pup. The Musketeers have cashed in five straight at Rhode Island, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 clashes.
The Musketeers are on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 4-0 on Thursday, 4-0 on the highway, 5-1 after a SU win and 10-3 after a win of more than 20 points. The Rams are on a 6-1 ATS roll against winning teams, but they also carry negative ATS streaks of 1-9 in conference play, 3-8-1 at home, 3-8 following a SU loss and 3-8 in Thursday contests.
The over for Xavier is on stretches of 6-1 overall, 4-0 against winning teams and 4-1 on the road, and the over for Rhode Island is on rolls of 48-23 overall, 6-0 against winning teams, 20-7 inside the A-10 and 36-17 at home. Finally, the total has gone high in the last six meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER and OVER
(18) Minnesota (15-1, 7-3-1 ATS) at Wisconsin (12-4, 7-7 ATS)
Streaking Minnesota looks to keep its surprising start going when it travels to the Kohl Center to take on Wisconsin.
The Golden Gophers pounded Penn State 79-59 Sunday as a 6½-point home chalk, winning and cashing for the third straight game since suffering their only setback of the year – a 70-58 home loss to Michigan State laying one point. Against the Nittany Lions, Minnesota went a perfect 9-for-9 from 3-point range and shot a scorching 62.5 percent overall (30 of 48), while allowing Penn State to shoot just 36.7 percent (22 of 60).
The Badgers lost to Purdue 65-52 Sunday catching six points, ending their three-game SU run (2-1 ATS) to open Big Ten Conference play. Wisconsin shot just 37.5 percent (21 of 56), well off its season average of 44.5. The Badgers have a typically solid defense this year, allowing just 59.2 ppg (23rd nationally) while scoring 66.4 ppg., and on their home floor, they’re outscoring opponents by 11 ppg (67.1-56.0).
Wisconsin is on a 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) run in this rivalry, including a 65-56 home win last year, but Minnesota covered in that contest as a 10-point pup. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.
The Gophers are on positive ATS runs of 7-1 overall, 6-1 against winning teams, 6-1 coming off a SU win and 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Likewise, the Badgers are on ATS upticks of 6-1 after a SU loss, 16-5-1 after a pointspread setback and 9-3 in conference play.
The under for Minnesota is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 8-1 on Thursday, 6-1 in roadies and 13-3 in the Big Ten, and the under for Wisconsin is on stretches of 6-1 on Thursday, 5-1 against winning teams, 8-3 in conference play and 17-8-1 at the Kohl Center. In addition, the total has gone low in six of the last eight contests in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MINN WISC UNDER
Arizona (11-5, 8-6 ATS) at (9) UCLA (13-2, 7-7 ATS)
Red-hot UCLA, returning home after a successful three-game road swing to open Pac-10 play, takes on Arizona at Pauley Pavilion.
The Bruins followed up a road sweep of Oregon and Oregon State by holding off archrival Southern Cal 64-60 Sunday as a two-point road chalk for their ninth consecutive victory (4-4 ATS in lined games). UCLA got outshot by USC 49 percent to 42 percent, but the Bruins went 8-for-20 from three-point land 14-for-19 on free throws, while the Trojans went just 3 of 9 from long distance and made 9 of 15 free throws. It was a rare close game for UCLA, which is averaging 76.2 ppg and allowing just 58.3 (16th nationally).
The Wildcats, like UCLA, swept Oregon and Oregon State, but did so on their home floor last weekend, dropping Oregon 67-52 as a 10-point favorite last Thursday and routing Oregon State 64-47 laying 15½ points Saturday. Those wins followed a pair of double-digit losses at Cal and Stanford (0-2 ATS). In fact, on the road this season, Arizona is giving up 72.8 ppg, while scoring just 61.2.
UCLA has won seven straight games in this rivalry (5-2 ATS), including an 82-60 home rout last February giving nine points. A month later, the Bruins held off the Wildcats 68-66, with Arizona covering as a 5½-point home ‘dog.
The Bruins are on ATS runs of 5-0 against winning teams, 4-0 versus teams with a win percentage above .600 and 12-4 on Thursday, but they’ve gone 0-4 ATS in their last four starts following a spread-cover. The Wildcats, meanwhile, are on a handful of negative ATS streaks, including 1-6 on the road, 4-9 after a SU win and 9-19 in their last 28 Thursday outings.
The under is 5-2 in UCLA’s last seven games, but the over is 6-1 in the Bruins’ last seven at home following a road trip of three or more games. The over for Arizona is on a 20-9 run on Thursdays, but the under is on a 4-0 stretch (all in Pac-10 play).
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA
(16) Arizona State (14-2, 8-4 ATS) at USC (10-5, 6-7 ATS)
Surging Arizona State heads to Los Angeles for a meeting at the Galen Center with Southern Cal, which is looking to halt a two-game SU and ATS skid.
The Sun Devils have won 10 of their last 11 games (6-2 ATS in lined contests), including a SU and ATS home sweep of Oregon State and Oregon last week to bounce back from an 81-71 loss at Cal laying 1½ points. Following a 69-38 beatdown of Oregon State last Thursday as an overwhelming 19½-point chalk, ASU rolled over Oregon 76-58 giving 15½ points Saturday. The Sun Devils, outscoring opponents by nine ppg on the road (73.3-64.3), have averaged 78.0 ppg in their last five starts, while allowing 60.2.
The Trojans opened Pac-10 play with an 83-62 road rout of Oregon as a 2½-point favorite for their fifth straight win, but they’ve since suffered a pair of SU and ATS losses. USC tumbled at Oregon State 62-58 in overtime as a healthy 11-point chalk, then returned home Saturday and dropped a tight decision to archrival UCLA, losing 64-60 as a two-point pup. In that contest, 3-pointers and free throws were the difference, as the Trojans went 3 of 9 from long distance and 9 of 15 at the line, while the Bruins hit 8 of 20 3-pointers and 14 of 19 free throws.
ASU has cashed in five of the last six clashes in this rivalry (3-3 SU), going 2-0 ATS and 1-1 SU in last year’s meetings, including a 59-55 road loss catching 4½ points. The underdog is on a 9-2 ATS stretch in the last 11 contests.
The Sun Devils are on a 1-5 ATS decline following a pointspread win, but they are otherwise on positive pointspread runs of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on Thursday, 6-1-1 on the highway and 6-1-1 against the Pac-10. The Trojans are on ATS dips of 2-9 at home against teams with a winning road mark, 1-4 on Thursday and 2-6 against winning teams, but they’ve been a good bounce-back team, going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games after a SU loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests after a non-cover.
The over has hit in seven of ASU’s last 10 games, but the under for the Sun Devils is on streaks of 6-1 on Thursday, 7-2 after an ATS win and 5-2 against winning teams, and the under for USC is on stretches of 4-1 in Pac-10 play, 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 after an ATS loss. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone low in five straight games at the Galen Center and is 6-2 in the last eight contests overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ASU USC UNDER
NBA
Cleveland (30-6, 26-10 ATS) at Chicago (17-22 SU and ATS)
The Cavaliers take the NBA’s best record into the United Center in Chicago for a matchup with the struggling Bulls.
LeBron James and his crew have won three straight and come into this one off Tuesday’s 102-87 blowout of Memphis, covering as an 8½-point road favorite as James delivered a triple-double. The Cavaliers are 11-6 SU and ATS on the road, and they’ve been on a roll lately, shooting 50.8 percent from the floor and 44.6 percent from the three-point line over their last five games while holding the opposition to 84.6 points per game and 39.9 percent shooting.
Chicago is just 4-7 SU (3-8 ATS) in its last 11 games, but got a road victory in Toronto on Wednesday, beating the Raptors 102-98 as a 4½-point pup. The Bulls are just 2-4 ATS in their last six home games and they’ve dropped consecutive contests at the United Center to Oklahoma City (109-98 as 8½-point favorites Saturday) and Portland (109-95 as two-point underdogs Monday).
Cleveland has already beaten the Bulls three times this season (3-0 ATS), including a 117-92 blowout on Jan. 2 as a 12½-point home chalk. Back on Nov. 8, the Cavs went to the United Center and scored a 106-97 win as two-point favorites. Despite that road victory by Cleveland, the home team is on a 15-6 ATS roll in this rivalry, while the favorite has cashed in five of the last seven.
The Cavaliers are on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 37-14 overall, 16-7 on the highway, 20-6 as favorites, 22-8 against Eastern Conference teams and 16-6 after getting a day of rest. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games, but otherwise they are on negative ATS streaks that include 2-6 overall, 1-5 at home, 2-5 as a ‘dog, 5-10 against the Eastern Conference and 2-6 at home against teams with a winning road record.
Cleveland has stayed under the posted total in eight of its last 10 games after getting a day off and four of its last five Thursday outings, but the Cavs have gone over the total in 15 of their last 23 games as a road chalk. Chicago is on “over” stretches of 12-5 overall, 8-3 against Eastern Conference teams, 5-1 as an underdog and 5-1 on the second night of back-to-backs. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five in the Windy City.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND
Phoenix (22-13, 13-22 ATS) at Denver (26-13, 21-17-1 ATS)
The Suns have found their offense and now go in search of a fourth straight win when they visit the Pepsi Center to take on the Nuggets.
Phoenix has topped the century mark in seven straight games (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS), including Tuesday’s 107-102 home win over the Hawks, but the Suns failed to cash as 7½-point favorites. They are averaging 112 points a game and shooting 51.2 percent from the floor over the last five, including 42.9 percent from beyond the three-point line.
Denver had its five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) snapped in Friday’s 93-90 home loss to the Pistons as a 4½-point favorite. The Nuggets rebounded with Tuesday’s 99-97 home win over the Mavericks, but again failed to cash, this time as a six-point chalk. George Karl’s club is 15-5 SU (12-8 ATS) in front of the home fans this season.
The host is on a 7-0 SU and ATS run in this series, and the winner has scored at least 108 points in each of the last nine contests. Furthermore, the home team is on a 13-3 ATS run in the last 16 meetings, with the favorite on an ongoing 6-0 ATS streak. Denver has cashed each of the last four times it has entertained the Suns inside the Pepsi Center.
Phoenix has been a disaster at the betting window, riding negative ATS waves of 1-4 overall, 3-7 on the road, 6-13 against the Western Conference, 3-8 after a non-cover, 1-5-1 as a ‘dog, 0-4 on Thursdays and 2-6 when playing on one day of rest. The Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after getting a day off, but otherwise they sport negative ATS trends of 2-5 against the Western Conference and 1-4 at home against teams with a winning road record.
For the Suns, the over is on runs of 13-6 overall, 6-2 after a day off, 6-1 on the road, 4-1 as a ‘dog and 4-1 against Western Conference teams. Similarly, the Nuggets are on “over” streaks of 8-2 overall, 11-5 at home, 7-2 as a favorite, 6-1 against teams with a winning record and 5-1 on Thursdays. Lastly, these teams have topped the total in six of the last seven meetings against each other.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SUNS NUGGETS OVER
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COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(15) Xavier (13-2, 7-6 ATS) at Rhode Island (11-5, 6-4-1 ATS)
Xavier will go after its fifth straight victory when it makes an Atlantic 10 trip to Rhode Island, which just had its three-game win streak snapped in excruciating fashion.
The Musketeers ripped Fordham 86-60 Sunday to easily cover as a 17-point road favorite, winning their fourth in a row (3-0 ATS in lined games) following a two-game SU and ATS skid in setbacks to Duke and Butler. During their current streak, the Musketeers have won all four games by at least 16 points, putting up an average of 79.5 ppg. Also, for the season, Xavier is fifth in the nation defensively in field-goal percentage, allowing opponents to hit at just a 36.7 percent clip.
The Rams fell short at St. Joe’s on Saturday, losing 92-86 in triple-overtime as a 1½-point road underdog for their second straight ATS setback in just their fourth lined game since Dec. 6. Rhode Island has been putting up points lately, averaging 85.6 ppg in its last five games, but it is also allowing 77 ppg. The Rams have played just one home game in the past month – routing Akron 79-50 on Jan. 3 as an eight-point chalk – but they’re outscoring opponents by more than 14 ppg at home (84.3-67.8).
Xavier is on a 7-1 SU and ATS tear in this rivalry, including an 81-77 road win last February as a two-point pup. The Musketeers have cashed in five straight at Rhode Island, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 clashes.
The Musketeers are on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 4-0 on Thursday, 4-0 on the highway, 5-1 after a SU win and 10-3 after a win of more than 20 points. The Rams are on a 6-1 ATS roll against winning teams, but they also carry negative ATS streaks of 1-9 in conference play, 3-8-1 at home, 3-8 following a SU loss and 3-8 in Thursday contests.
The over for Xavier is on stretches of 6-1 overall, 4-0 against winning teams and 4-1 on the road, and the over for Rhode Island is on rolls of 48-23 overall, 6-0 against winning teams, 20-7 inside the A-10 and 36-17 at home. Finally, the total has gone high in the last six meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER and OVER
(18) Minnesota (15-1, 7-3-1 ATS) at Wisconsin (12-4, 7-7 ATS)
Streaking Minnesota looks to keep its surprising start going when it travels to the Kohl Center to take on Wisconsin.
The Golden Gophers pounded Penn State 79-59 Sunday as a 6½-point home chalk, winning and cashing for the third straight game since suffering their only setback of the year – a 70-58 home loss to Michigan State laying one point. Against the Nittany Lions, Minnesota went a perfect 9-for-9 from 3-point range and shot a scorching 62.5 percent overall (30 of 48), while allowing Penn State to shoot just 36.7 percent (22 of 60).
The Badgers lost to Purdue 65-52 Sunday catching six points, ending their three-game SU run (2-1 ATS) to open Big Ten Conference play. Wisconsin shot just 37.5 percent (21 of 56), well off its season average of 44.5. The Badgers have a typically solid defense this year, allowing just 59.2 ppg (23rd nationally) while scoring 66.4 ppg., and on their home floor, they’re outscoring opponents by 11 ppg (67.1-56.0).
Wisconsin is on a 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) run in this rivalry, including a 65-56 home win last year, but Minnesota covered in that contest as a 10-point pup. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes.
The Gophers are on positive ATS runs of 7-1 overall, 6-1 against winning teams, 6-1 coming off a SU win and 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Likewise, the Badgers are on ATS upticks of 6-1 after a SU loss, 16-5-1 after a pointspread setback and 9-3 in conference play.
The under for Minnesota is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 8-1 on Thursday, 6-1 in roadies and 13-3 in the Big Ten, and the under for Wisconsin is on stretches of 6-1 on Thursday, 5-1 against winning teams, 8-3 in conference play and 17-8-1 at the Kohl Center. In addition, the total has gone low in six of the last eight contests in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MINN WISC UNDER
Arizona (11-5, 8-6 ATS) at (9) UCLA (13-2, 7-7 ATS)
Red-hot UCLA, returning home after a successful three-game road swing to open Pac-10 play, takes on Arizona at Pauley Pavilion.
The Bruins followed up a road sweep of Oregon and Oregon State by holding off archrival Southern Cal 64-60 Sunday as a two-point road chalk for their ninth consecutive victory (4-4 ATS in lined games). UCLA got outshot by USC 49 percent to 42 percent, but the Bruins went 8-for-20 from three-point land 14-for-19 on free throws, while the Trojans went just 3 of 9 from long distance and made 9 of 15 free throws. It was a rare close game for UCLA, which is averaging 76.2 ppg and allowing just 58.3 (16th nationally).
The Wildcats, like UCLA, swept Oregon and Oregon State, but did so on their home floor last weekend, dropping Oregon 67-52 as a 10-point favorite last Thursday and routing Oregon State 64-47 laying 15½ points Saturday. Those wins followed a pair of double-digit losses at Cal and Stanford (0-2 ATS). In fact, on the road this season, Arizona is giving up 72.8 ppg, while scoring just 61.2.
UCLA has won seven straight games in this rivalry (5-2 ATS), including an 82-60 home rout last February giving nine points. A month later, the Bruins held off the Wildcats 68-66, with Arizona covering as a 5½-point home ‘dog.
The Bruins are on ATS runs of 5-0 against winning teams, 4-0 versus teams with a win percentage above .600 and 12-4 on Thursday, but they’ve gone 0-4 ATS in their last four starts following a spread-cover. The Wildcats, meanwhile, are on a handful of negative ATS streaks, including 1-6 on the road, 4-9 after a SU win and 9-19 in their last 28 Thursday outings.
The under is 5-2 in UCLA’s last seven games, but the over is 6-1 in the Bruins’ last seven at home following a road trip of three or more games. The over for Arizona is on a 20-9 run on Thursdays, but the under is on a 4-0 stretch (all in Pac-10 play).
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA
(16) Arizona State (14-2, 8-4 ATS) at USC (10-5, 6-7 ATS)
Surging Arizona State heads to Los Angeles for a meeting at the Galen Center with Southern Cal, which is looking to halt a two-game SU and ATS skid.
The Sun Devils have won 10 of their last 11 games (6-2 ATS in lined contests), including a SU and ATS home sweep of Oregon State and Oregon last week to bounce back from an 81-71 loss at Cal laying 1½ points. Following a 69-38 beatdown of Oregon State last Thursday as an overwhelming 19½-point chalk, ASU rolled over Oregon 76-58 giving 15½ points Saturday. The Sun Devils, outscoring opponents by nine ppg on the road (73.3-64.3), have averaged 78.0 ppg in their last five starts, while allowing 60.2.
The Trojans opened Pac-10 play with an 83-62 road rout of Oregon as a 2½-point favorite for their fifth straight win, but they’ve since suffered a pair of SU and ATS losses. USC tumbled at Oregon State 62-58 in overtime as a healthy 11-point chalk, then returned home Saturday and dropped a tight decision to archrival UCLA, losing 64-60 as a two-point pup. In that contest, 3-pointers and free throws were the difference, as the Trojans went 3 of 9 from long distance and 9 of 15 at the line, while the Bruins hit 8 of 20 3-pointers and 14 of 19 free throws.
ASU has cashed in five of the last six clashes in this rivalry (3-3 SU), going 2-0 ATS and 1-1 SU in last year’s meetings, including a 59-55 road loss catching 4½ points. The underdog is on a 9-2 ATS stretch in the last 11 contests.
The Sun Devils are on a 1-5 ATS decline following a pointspread win, but they are otherwise on positive pointspread runs of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on Thursday, 6-1-1 on the highway and 6-1-1 against the Pac-10. The Trojans are on ATS dips of 2-9 at home against teams with a winning road mark, 1-4 on Thursday and 2-6 against winning teams, but they’ve been a good bounce-back team, going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games after a SU loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests after a non-cover.
The over has hit in seven of ASU’s last 10 games, but the under for the Sun Devils is on streaks of 6-1 on Thursday, 7-2 after an ATS win and 5-2 against winning teams, and the under for USC is on stretches of 4-1 in Pac-10 play, 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 after an ATS loss. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone low in five straight games at the Galen Center and is 6-2 in the last eight contests overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ASU USC UNDER
NBA
Cleveland (30-6, 26-10 ATS) at Chicago (17-22 SU and ATS)
The Cavaliers take the NBA’s best record into the United Center in Chicago for a matchup with the struggling Bulls.
LeBron James and his crew have won three straight and come into this one off Tuesday’s 102-87 blowout of Memphis, covering as an 8½-point road favorite as James delivered a triple-double. The Cavaliers are 11-6 SU and ATS on the road, and they’ve been on a roll lately, shooting 50.8 percent from the floor and 44.6 percent from the three-point line over their last five games while holding the opposition to 84.6 points per game and 39.9 percent shooting.
Chicago is just 4-7 SU (3-8 ATS) in its last 11 games, but got a road victory in Toronto on Wednesday, beating the Raptors 102-98 as a 4½-point pup. The Bulls are just 2-4 ATS in their last six home games and they’ve dropped consecutive contests at the United Center to Oklahoma City (109-98 as 8½-point favorites Saturday) and Portland (109-95 as two-point underdogs Monday).
Cleveland has already beaten the Bulls three times this season (3-0 ATS), including a 117-92 blowout on Jan. 2 as a 12½-point home chalk. Back on Nov. 8, the Cavs went to the United Center and scored a 106-97 win as two-point favorites. Despite that road victory by Cleveland, the home team is on a 15-6 ATS roll in this rivalry, while the favorite has cashed in five of the last seven.
The Cavaliers are on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 37-14 overall, 16-7 on the highway, 20-6 as favorites, 22-8 against Eastern Conference teams and 16-6 after getting a day of rest. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games, but otherwise they are on negative ATS streaks that include 2-6 overall, 1-5 at home, 2-5 as a ‘dog, 5-10 against the Eastern Conference and 2-6 at home against teams with a winning road record.
Cleveland has stayed under the posted total in eight of its last 10 games after getting a day off and four of its last five Thursday outings, but the Cavs have gone over the total in 15 of their last 23 games as a road chalk. Chicago is on “over” stretches of 12-5 overall, 8-3 against Eastern Conference teams, 5-1 as an underdog and 5-1 on the second night of back-to-backs. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five in the Windy City.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND
Phoenix (22-13, 13-22 ATS) at Denver (26-13, 21-17-1 ATS)
The Suns have found their offense and now go in search of a fourth straight win when they visit the Pepsi Center to take on the Nuggets.
Phoenix has topped the century mark in seven straight games (6-1 SU, 2-5 ATS), including Tuesday’s 107-102 home win over the Hawks, but the Suns failed to cash as 7½-point favorites. They are averaging 112 points a game and shooting 51.2 percent from the floor over the last five, including 42.9 percent from beyond the three-point line.
Denver had its five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) snapped in Friday’s 93-90 home loss to the Pistons as a 4½-point favorite. The Nuggets rebounded with Tuesday’s 99-97 home win over the Mavericks, but again failed to cash, this time as a six-point chalk. George Karl’s club is 15-5 SU (12-8 ATS) in front of the home fans this season.
The host is on a 7-0 SU and ATS run in this series, and the winner has scored at least 108 points in each of the last nine contests. Furthermore, the home team is on a 13-3 ATS run in the last 16 meetings, with the favorite on an ongoing 6-0 ATS streak. Denver has cashed each of the last four times it has entertained the Suns inside the Pepsi Center.
Phoenix has been a disaster at the betting window, riding negative ATS waves of 1-4 overall, 3-7 on the road, 6-13 against the Western Conference, 3-8 after a non-cover, 1-5-1 as a ‘dog, 0-4 on Thursdays and 2-6 when playing on one day of rest. The Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after getting a day off, but otherwise they sport negative ATS trends of 2-5 against the Western Conference and 1-4 at home against teams with a winning road record.
For the Suns, the over is on runs of 13-6 overall, 6-2 after a day off, 6-1 on the road, 4-1 as a ‘dog and 4-1 against Western Conference teams. Similarly, the Nuggets are on “over” streaks of 8-2 overall, 11-5 at home, 7-2 as a favorite, 6-1 against teams with a winning record and 5-1 on Thursdays. Lastly, these teams have topped the total in six of the last seven meetings against each other.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SUNS NUGGETS OVER
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JOHNNY GUILD
NBA Selections
Thursday, January 15, 2009 8:00 PM EST.
Cleveland Cavaliers (30-6) at Chicago Bulls (17-22)
Play on CAVALIERS
Take LeBron James and squad to grab their fourth straight victory against the struggling Bulls. Look for Chicago to struggle against Cleveland’s tough defensive play. Chicago has dropped seven of their last 11 games, 3-8 ATS and is 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 11-6 both straight-up and against the spread on the road.
Johnny Guild COLLLEGE HOOP
Thursday, January 15th, 2009
7:00 PM EST. Connecticut (14-1) at St. John's (10-5) Connecticut Huskies -11
9:00 PM EST. Montana St. (9-6) at Weber St. (9-7) Weber St. Wildcats -6.5
10:30 PM EST. No. 15 Arizona St. (14-2) at USC (10-5) USC Trojans +1
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NBA Selections
Thursday, January 15, 2009 8:00 PM EST.
Cleveland Cavaliers (30-6) at Chicago Bulls (17-22)
Play on CAVALIERS
Take LeBron James and squad to grab their fourth straight victory against the struggling Bulls. Look for Chicago to struggle against Cleveland’s tough defensive play. Chicago has dropped seven of their last 11 games, 3-8 ATS and is 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 11-6 both straight-up and against the spread on the road.
Johnny Guild COLLLEGE HOOP
Thursday, January 15th, 2009
7:00 PM EST. Connecticut (14-1) at St. John's (10-5) Connecticut Huskies -11
9:00 PM EST. Montana St. (9-6) at Weber St. (9-7) Weber St. Wildcats -6.5
10:30 PM EST. No. 15 Arizona St. (14-2) at USC (10-5) USC Trojans +1
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Leo "scoop" skorupa
Paid and Confirmed Leo "scoop" Skorupa is on the following all situational plays
5* Wisconsin
5* USC
5* Rhode Island
These plays fall into scoops home team giving points or receiving under 5 points when playing against a ranked appointed. I personally talked to scoop and he loves these 3 plays....He is 14-5 this years on SP.
ope:ope: HAIL TO THE SCOOP!!!!!
Paid and Confirmed Leo "scoop" Skorupa is on the following all situational plays
5* Wisconsin
5* USC
5* Rhode Island
These plays fall into scoops home team giving points or receiving under 5 points when playing against a ranked appointed. I personally talked to scoop and he loves these 3 plays....He is 14-5 this years on SP.
ope:ope: HAIL TO THE SCOOP!!!!!more Brando college
Dominic Brando's Sports 2008-09 NCAA Basketball High Volume Program Records Grid:
NCAA 107-75-6 for +2,077.50 Units (Special 150 Units 8-2, Top 100 Units 97-72-6, Regular 50 Units 2-1)
Thursday NCAA College Basketball High Volume Program Report #2:
NCAA Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #509 PURDUE BOILERMAKERS -3/-125 over Northwestern
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #511 CONNECTICUT HUSKIES -12/-115 over St John's Red Storm
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #516 NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN -7/-125 over Denver Pioneers
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #521 XAVIER MUSKATEERS PICK/-120 over Rhode Island Rams
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #530 WESTERN KENTUCKY -3/-115 over Middle Tennessee State
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #538 GONZAGA BULLDOGS -18/-125 over Santa Clara Broncos
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #564 UCLA BRUINS -11/-110 over Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #570 TENNESSEE CHATTANOOGA -4/-125 over Appalachian State
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #581 WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS -1/-110 over Samford
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #564 ARIZONA/UCLA GAME TOTAL OVER 131/-115
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #565 FAIRFIELD STAGS -6/-120 over St Peter's Peacocks
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #577 RIDER BRONCOS -1/-125 over Canisius Golden Griffins
Dominic Brando's Sports 2008-09 NCAA Basketball High Volume Program Records Grid:
NCAA 107-75-6 for +2,077.50 Units (Special 150 Units 8-2, Top 100 Units 97-72-6, Regular 50 Units 2-1)
Thursday NCAA College Basketball High Volume Program Report #2:
NCAA Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #509 PURDUE BOILERMAKERS -3/-125 over Northwestern
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #511 CONNECTICUT HUSKIES -12/-115 over St John's Red Storm
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #516 NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN -7/-125 over Denver Pioneers
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #521 XAVIER MUSKATEERS PICK/-120 over Rhode Island Rams
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #530 WESTERN KENTUCKY -3/-115 over Middle Tennessee State
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #538 GONZAGA BULLDOGS -18/-125 over Santa Clara Broncos
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #564 UCLA BRUINS -11/-110 over Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #570 TENNESSEE CHATTANOOGA -4/-125 over Appalachian State
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #581 WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS -1/-110 over Samford
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #564 ARIZONA/UCLA GAME TOTAL OVER 131/-115
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #565 FAIRFIELD STAGS -6/-120 over St Peter's Peacocks
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #577 RIDER BRONCOS -1/-125 over Canisius Golden Griffins
How much for a.....
6 month subsription to this sure fire service?????
-
Paid and Confirmed Leo "scoop" Skorupa is on the following all situational plays
5* Wisconsin
5* USC
5* Rhode Island
These plays fall into scoops home team giving points or receiving under 5 points when playing against a ranked appointed. I personally talked to scoop and he loves these 3 plays....He is 14-5 this years on SP.
6 month subsription to this sure fire service?????
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