indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. NBA (POD). #504. Take the Chicago Bulls +8.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Thursday @ 8pm est).
2-0 Tuesday: We are doing very well.
*Jazz/OKC Over (Winner)
*Illinois -7 (Winner)
Going for 4 Straight NBA Winning Weeks.
14-7 (66%) last 21 NBA PODs.
Going for Back to Back Winning College Ball Weeks.
Jan NBA: 8-4.
2-1 NBA this week.
2-1 in CBB this week.
I don't make it a habit of going against the Cavaliers and in fact, I am much more inclined on a normal basis to play a Cleveland total rather than a side. But, today I think the situation calls for a play on Chicago. First, let me say that I think the Bulls have a great shot at winning outright today. You might think, but IC, the Bulls stink. But, the Bulls, despite fighting through plenty of injuries during the first half of the season find themselves at 17-22 and that is actually decent in the East as a .500 record will get you to the playoffs in the East. After all, the Hawks took the Celtics to 7 games and they were a sub .500 team when they made it to the playoffs last year as the 8th seed. Cleveland is 26-10 ATS this season. They are one of the ATS darlings throughout the season along with the Magic and Bucks. But, Cleveland runs into a Bulls team that just recently got healthier. In fact, that return to health showed as 72% of the public got burned backing Toronto with the short -4 lay at home only to see the Bulls win that game outright essentially laying claim to that game from start to finish. The Bulls are that much deeper now with the return of two of their key starters in Kirk, Deng and you can toss Gooden into the mix as he is playing more minutes. So, essentially, this team has 3 of its starters back along with the usual suspects of Rose, Gordon, Thomas and Noah. Remember, these two teams have history from the "Ben Wallace" trade that featured the likes of Gooden coming to Chicago and Wallace going to the Cleveland. These two teams do not like each other one bit. The last time they met, Cleveland took it upon them to defeat this team 117-92 when the Bulls were not as healthy. Well, much has changed. The Bulls have their point guard back in Kirk, Rose will move to a shooting guard role, tack on Gordon, Thomas, Noah, Deng, Nocioni and Thabo - you have a team team that will run 8 or 9 deep (Larry Hughes will likely get minutes against his former team here). What you have is a featured game on a limited card in Thursday night NBA with the public likely getting buried here. The Cavs have covered 3 straight but they run into a Bulls team that is healthier, looking for revenge and looking for a big home win after a series of tough losses at home to the Twolves and Thunder (who both are on great ATS runs btw). Bottom line, Bulls likely stay competitive from start to finish as the Cavs are the same team that lost to the Wizards on the road with revenge and will find themselves in a dogfight tonight.
4 Unit Play. #580. Take Marist +8.5 over Siena (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). Today is the day of 8.5 it seems as if you are my NBA client you know what I'm talking about. As per this game, there is no reason why Marist should not be able to hang tough in this conference game. Look, I follow the Big 10, Metro Atlantic and Big East basketball very closely and in particular, I love making selections on the Big 10 and Metro Atlantic games. Metro games are fun to make selections on because of the fact they are an "under the radar" conference. Remember, we rode Niagara for a large portion of the season as well as Fairfield and now we are about to start riding the Marist bandwagon. Do you remember how Marist did in their last game? They defeated the second best team in the conference in Niagara 20 points at home to go 3-3 this year in conference play. They won that huge game over Niagara coming home after tough losses to Rider and Manhattan on the road so they were absolutely fired up for that game. Such is the case in Metro Atlantic play similar to Big10 play, home court is truly a big deal. Remember, these two teams have already hooked up earlier this year back on December 9th when Siena won 77-60. Well, Marist was not playing solid basketball then, but they are now. They have revenge. They are a team that just beat the #2 team in the conference by 20 points at home and now face the #1 team in the conference and you better believe they will be up for this game as will their respective crowd. Don't get me wrong, Siena is a good team. After all, they played Kansas recently and lost to them by 7 points on the road and are a 12-5 overall team. But, teams in the Metro are not intimidated by Siena one bit. Remember, Rider lost to this team by just 10 on the road at Siena, Siena beat Fairfield by just 6 at home and defeated Manhattan by just 4 points on the road. This is a game that Marist will compete extensively in and likely will lose by 3-5 points.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
4 Unit Play. NBA (POD). #504. Take the Chicago Bulls +8.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Thursday @ 8pm est).
2-0 Tuesday: We are doing very well.
*Jazz/OKC Over (Winner)
*Illinois -7 (Winner)
Going for 4 Straight NBA Winning Weeks.
14-7 (66%) last 21 NBA PODs.
Going for Back to Back Winning College Ball Weeks.
Jan NBA: 8-4.
2-1 NBA this week.
2-1 in CBB this week.
I don't make it a habit of going against the Cavaliers and in fact, I am much more inclined on a normal basis to play a Cleveland total rather than a side. But, today I think the situation calls for a play on Chicago. First, let me say that I think the Bulls have a great shot at winning outright today. You might think, but IC, the Bulls stink. But, the Bulls, despite fighting through plenty of injuries during the first half of the season find themselves at 17-22 and that is actually decent in the East as a .500 record will get you to the playoffs in the East. After all, the Hawks took the Celtics to 7 games and they were a sub .500 team when they made it to the playoffs last year as the 8th seed. Cleveland is 26-10 ATS this season. They are one of the ATS darlings throughout the season along with the Magic and Bucks. But, Cleveland runs into a Bulls team that just recently got healthier. In fact, that return to health showed as 72% of the public got burned backing Toronto with the short -4 lay at home only to see the Bulls win that game outright essentially laying claim to that game from start to finish. The Bulls are that much deeper now with the return of two of their key starters in Kirk, Deng and you can toss Gooden into the mix as he is playing more minutes. So, essentially, this team has 3 of its starters back along with the usual suspects of Rose, Gordon, Thomas and Noah. Remember, these two teams have history from the "Ben Wallace" trade that featured the likes of Gooden coming to Chicago and Wallace going to the Cleveland. These two teams do not like each other one bit. The last time they met, Cleveland took it upon them to defeat this team 117-92 when the Bulls were not as healthy. Well, much has changed. The Bulls have their point guard back in Kirk, Rose will move to a shooting guard role, tack on Gordon, Thomas, Noah, Deng, Nocioni and Thabo - you have a team team that will run 8 or 9 deep (Larry Hughes will likely get minutes against his former team here). What you have is a featured game on a limited card in Thursday night NBA with the public likely getting buried here. The Cavs have covered 3 straight but they run into a Bulls team that is healthier, looking for revenge and looking for a big home win after a series of tough losses at home to the Twolves and Thunder (who both are on great ATS runs btw). Bottom line, Bulls likely stay competitive from start to finish as the Cavs are the same team that lost to the Wizards on the road with revenge and will find themselves in a dogfight tonight.
4 Unit Play. #580. Take Marist +8.5 over Siena (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). Today is the day of 8.5 it seems as if you are my NBA client you know what I'm talking about. As per this game, there is no reason why Marist should not be able to hang tough in this conference game. Look, I follow the Big 10, Metro Atlantic and Big East basketball very closely and in particular, I love making selections on the Big 10 and Metro Atlantic games. Metro games are fun to make selections on because of the fact they are an "under the radar" conference. Remember, we rode Niagara for a large portion of the season as well as Fairfield and now we are about to start riding the Marist bandwagon. Do you remember how Marist did in their last game? They defeated the second best team in the conference in Niagara 20 points at home to go 3-3 this year in conference play. They won that huge game over Niagara coming home after tough losses to Rider and Manhattan on the road so they were absolutely fired up for that game. Such is the case in Metro Atlantic play similar to Big10 play, home court is truly a big deal. Remember, these two teams have already hooked up earlier this year back on December 9th when Siena won 77-60. Well, Marist was not playing solid basketball then, but they are now. They have revenge. They are a team that just beat the #2 team in the conference by 20 points at home and now face the #1 team in the conference and you better believe they will be up for this game as will their respective crowd. Don't get me wrong, Siena is a good team. After all, they played Kansas recently and lost to them by 7 points on the road and are a 12-5 overall team. But, teams in the Metro are not intimidated by Siena one bit. Remember, Rider lost to this team by just 10 on the road at Siena, Siena beat Fairfield by just 6 at home and defeated Manhattan by just 4 points on the road. This is a game that Marist will compete extensively in and likely will lose by 3-5 points.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Dr Bob
3 Star Selection
TENN CHATTANOOGA (-5) over Appalachian State
15-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Appalachian State won 43 games the past two seasons and many expected them to be good again this season. Not me. The Mountaineers couldn’t possibly be as good without top player Donte Minter, who averaged 14 points on 59% shooting while pulling down 6 boards per game and blocking 1.5 shots per game. Appalachian also lost all time shot block leader Jeremy Clayton, who averaged an incredible 2.4 blocks per game and also led the team in steals last season. Replacing a top scorer that made 59% of his shots is not easy and Appalachian State is about 9 points worse than they were last season, which is a combination of a less effective offense and bad defense. Chattanooga also was expected to be good this season and the Mocs are starting to play up to expectations after struggling early in the season. The main reason for the good recent play is the presence of F Kevin Goffney, who missed 7 games early on, but has been great in the 9 games he has played this season – averaging 10 points on 53% shooting, averaging 6.0 rebounds, and averaging 1.2 steals per game in just 21 minutes per game. Goffney’s minutes have gone up recently (he’s getting about 30 per game now) and Chattanooga is 4-2 ATS in the games he has played, compared to just 1-5 ATS without him. My ratings favor Chattanooga by 11 points in this game and I’ll take Tennessee Chattanooga in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -7 points based on the line value.
3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars up to -7.
3 Star Selection
Iona (+10) over NIAGARA
15-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Niagara applies to a very negative 20-83-3 ATS situation that is based on their ugly 68-86 loss at Marist and Iona applies to a solid 119-52-6 ATS big road underdog situation. I don’t mind taking an underrated Iona team that is 5-1-1 ATS when their best player Gary Springer starts and finishes a game (he missed 7 ½ games but has been back for the last 4 games). My ratings favor Niagara by 9 ½ points, which is what the line opened at, and I’ll take Iona in a 3-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and for 2-Stars at +9 ½ or +9 points.
3-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars at +9 1/2 or +9.
2 Star Selection
Western Carolina (-1 ½) over SAMFORD
15-Jan-09 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Samford hasn’t beaten a team as good as Western Carolina this season and it’s likely that the Bulldogs will lose tonight given the negative 54-123-2 ATS situation that they apply to. My ratings favor Western Carolina by 2 ½ points and I’ll take Western Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or better.
2-Stars at -2 or better.
3 Star Selection
TENN CHATTANOOGA (-5) over Appalachian State
15-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Appalachian State won 43 games the past two seasons and many expected them to be good again this season. Not me. The Mountaineers couldn’t possibly be as good without top player Donte Minter, who averaged 14 points on 59% shooting while pulling down 6 boards per game and blocking 1.5 shots per game. Appalachian also lost all time shot block leader Jeremy Clayton, who averaged an incredible 2.4 blocks per game and also led the team in steals last season. Replacing a top scorer that made 59% of his shots is not easy and Appalachian State is about 9 points worse than they were last season, which is a combination of a less effective offense and bad defense. Chattanooga also was expected to be good this season and the Mocs are starting to play up to expectations after struggling early in the season. The main reason for the good recent play is the presence of F Kevin Goffney, who missed 7 games early on, but has been great in the 9 games he has played this season – averaging 10 points on 53% shooting, averaging 6.0 rebounds, and averaging 1.2 steals per game in just 21 minutes per game. Goffney’s minutes have gone up recently (he’s getting about 30 per game now) and Chattanooga is 4-2 ATS in the games he has played, compared to just 1-5 ATS without him. My ratings favor Chattanooga by 11 points in this game and I’ll take Tennessee Chattanooga in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -7 points based on the line value.
3-Stars at -5 or less, 2-Stars up to -7.
3 Star Selection
Iona (+10) over NIAGARA
15-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Niagara applies to a very negative 20-83-3 ATS situation that is based on their ugly 68-86 loss at Marist and Iona applies to a solid 119-52-6 ATS big road underdog situation. I don’t mind taking an underrated Iona team that is 5-1-1 ATS when their best player Gary Springer starts and finishes a game (he missed 7 ½ games but has been back for the last 4 games). My ratings favor Niagara by 9 ½ points, which is what the line opened at, and I’ll take Iona in a 3-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and for 2-Stars at +9 ½ or +9 points.
3-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars at +9 1/2 or +9.
2 Star Selection
Western Carolina (-1 ½) over SAMFORD
15-Jan-09 05:00 PM Pacific Time
Samford hasn’t beaten a team as good as Western Carolina this season and it’s likely that the Bulldogs will lose tonight given the negative 54-123-2 ATS situation that they apply to. My ratings favor Western Carolina by 2 ½ points and I’ll take Western Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or better.
2-Stars at -2 or better.
Kanesline
(POD)
NBA
TNT
Cleveland Cavaliers at
Chicago Bulls
Projected Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers by 9
Projected Total: 193
Projected Score:
Cleveland Cavaliers 101
Chicago Bulls 92
Pick: Take 3 point buy Cleveland Cavaliers -5
System Pick: Take Cleveland Cavaliers -8
System Pick: Take UNDER 196.50
Trend to Watch:
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 , when their
opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
System Picks
01/15/09 NCAAB Wofford Terriers +3
01/15/09 NCAAB Fresno State Bulldogs +16
01/15/09 NCCAB Fresno State Bulldogs/Utah State Aggies OVER 134.50
01/15/09 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers -8
01/15/09 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers/Chicago
Bulls UNDER 196.50
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(POD)
NBA
TNT
Cleveland Cavaliers at
Chicago Bulls
Projected Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers by 9
Projected Total: 193
Projected Score:
Cleveland Cavaliers 101
Chicago Bulls 92
Pick: Take 3 point buy Cleveland Cavaliers -5
System Pick: Take Cleveland Cavaliers -8
System Pick: Take UNDER 196.50
Trend to Watch:
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 , when their
opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
System Picks
01/15/09 NCAAB Wofford Terriers +3
01/15/09 NCAAB Fresno State Bulldogs +16
01/15/09 NCCAB Fresno State Bulldogs/Utah State Aggies OVER 134.50
01/15/09 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers -8
01/15/09 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers/Chicago
Bulls UNDER 196.50
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Golden contender
On Thursday night the comp- play is on Montana.Game 595 at 9:05 eastern.Montana is a solid 4-1 this year vs sub 500 teams and covered both times after scoring 80 or more.They shoot better and defend better.Now we get to the poor Idaho.St team that is a terrible 1-10 su vs 500 or better teams,0-5 after allowing 80 or more,1-5 ats at home,1-5 after scoring 60 or less, and 0-4 ats after 3+ spread losses.This could be another long night for Idaho.St.Back Montana on Thursday night.as the comp play for Thursday night action.bol gc-
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On Thursday night the comp- play is on Montana.Game 595 at 9:05 eastern.Montana is a solid 4-1 this year vs sub 500 teams and covered both times after scoring 80 or more.They shoot better and defend better.Now we get to the poor Idaho.St team that is a terrible 1-10 su vs 500 or better teams,0-5 after allowing 80 or more,1-5 ats at home,1-5 after scoring 60 or less, and 0-4 ats after 3+ spread losses.This could be another long night for Idaho.St.Back Montana on Thursday night.as the comp play for Thursday night action.bol gc-
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