Service Plays Thursday 09/03/09

[steelers7]

Bob Valentino THURSDAY'S 30 DIME COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER ... 30 DIME -- UTAH STATE plus the points over Utah

NOTE: As of Thursday afternoon, this number was sitting at 20 1/2. If that number holds, I want you to buy the 1/2-point with Utah State and grab the 21 as insurance. No sense getting beat by the hook when you can get a key number like 21.

Also, as always, shop around to get the best of the number. Never lay more on a favorite than you have to, or take back more on an underdog than you can.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Sports Advisors

MLB
Atlanta listing Hanson -115

NCAAF
Troy
NC State

 

[Born2Booze]

Northcoast College Plays
3 * Boise St

Small College Plays
3* North Texas
2 * Troy

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stan Sharp GOY

Oakland Raiders +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

gaming today - sid diamond - san fran -1.5 florida +112 tampa bay over 9 , oakland under 8.5

college south car +5 troy -7

 

[Lt.Dan]

RAS Totals:

#208 Col. UNDER 54 ... 2 Units

#194 UCLA UNDER 50 ... 1 Unit

#177 Auburn OVER 44 ... 1 Unit

 

[BetToWin33]

ANYONE GOT THIS


$15,000 College Football
Non Conference Opening
Lock of the Year

Oregon at Boise State

56-23-2 Overall last Season

 

[fredlynn]

34paytonplace

ncaa
3u ball st. -16
2u utah st/utah under 52

 

[icethekicker]

This is what I have so far... up to the last post

SC 11111 (sid diamond ,Brett Maverick, NSA, Dave Malinsky, seabass (only 20*))
NCst 11111111 (Primetime Sports Advisors , Tony Bruno, Dunkel, Drew Gordon 100,000dime, Jimmy Boyd, SafeWagers, Dave Cokin, Charlie, Cappers access)
Over 111 (Dunkel, Apache, Lance’s Lock )
Under 111 (Ron Raymond, Cobrawins, Sports Advisers)

Troy 111111111111111 (sid diamond, Dunkel, Charlie, Mike Ryan, Savannah Sports, Drew Gordon, norm hitzges, apache, scott ferrel, chris Johnson, Arthur ralf, Carolina sports, Primetime Sports Advisors, troy)
BG ()
Over 11 (Dunke, c-star sportsl, )
Under ()

North Texas 111111 (northcoast, Bryan leonardsSpoerts bet now, Insider Sports, apache, Dunkel)
Ball St 1111 (Wunderdog, Johnny Guild, charlie, Dr. K)
Over 1 (Charlie, )
Under 111 (Dunkel, wunderdog, Lt Dan)

Utah St 11111 (Bob Valention 30*, Burns, NSA, ATS lock Club, silver key pick(free), )
Utah 1111 (Mr A’s, wunderdog, Dr. K, Charlie (free), )
Over ()
Under 1 (CKO)

Oregon 111111 (C-stars, joe wiz, Cappers Access, Big Al, Dunkel, seabass)
Boise St 1111111111 (northcoast, ats lock club, sportsbetnow, charlie, Johnny Guild, Dr K, Carolina Sports, frank patron 20,000 unit, apache, NSA)
Over 1111 (Sprots advisors, Dunkel, Dr K, CKO)
Under 111 (Charlie, Insider Sports, Burns (main event) )

 

[PDBLING]

Trace Adams

1500* - NC State Wolfpack, 500* - Tampa Bay w/Price over Buchholz
The luster has worn off the legend of Steve Spurrier, as his Gamecock career has been a bit streaky at best the last few years.



No issue laying the home lumber with the Wolfpack, as NC State was humiliated last year on opening night in Columbia, 34-0! Do note that starting QB Russell Wilson left that game with an injury, and while I don't think it made a shits worth of difference, it is a fact.



That game came well before head coach Tom O'Brien found his rhythm with his players, and it certainly showed.



The same may be true for South Carolina early this year, as Spurrier has brought in 6 new coaches to help mold this year's team that has already seen a pair of QB's leave for other schools!



NC State begins the campaign with a ton of promise, as Russell Wilson came into his own last season under center, and were it not for an injury in the Wolfpack's bowl game, they very well could have closed the season with 5 wins in a row.



Sure, that was last year, but with 14 starters returning from last year's team, I expect the Pack to howl in their home opener.



Lay the points, as this is a solid TD win for State.



1000♦ - NC State Wolfpack



Lone baseball release this Thursday is to go with Tampa over Boston.



You saw the Red Sox take the 6-5 lead into the bottom of the 8th last night, only to see the pen cough up 3 runs to the Rays in an 8-5 loss.



That makes it a 3-14 regular season mark at the Trop for Boston since last season.



I don't expect that mark to improve, as Tampa starter David Price has been a different hurler at home this year. Price is just 1-4 with a 6.81 road ERA this year, but at home he is 6-2 with a 2.96 ERA! That includes an August 5th win over Boston in which he went 6 innings, and allowed 2 runs to cross.



Nothing against Clay Buchholz, as he has been on the up-and-up for the most part for Tito Francona's club, but if he can't deliver a complete game, then I have my doubts about Boston's bullpen, and I certainly can't go with the Sox in this critical rubber game on the road.



500♦ - Tampa Bay w/Price over Buchholz



♦♦♦NOTE: Both

 

[icethekicker]

Wayne Root

vegas legend tampa bay devilrays

millionaire boise state broncos

 

[MartyMar]

SuperSportsGroup - 9/3

NCAAF


Thursday Sep 3rd
PICK: Boise St -3 Game (7*)
PICK: Boise St -2 1H (3*)


MLB
NY v. Toronto 7pm
PICK: Yankees ML -126 (7*)

 

[MartyMar]

Sid Paradise - 9/3

**NEW to the scene**

South Carolina vs. North Carolina St -5 (-105) (700pm et)


NCST will be looking for a bit of revenge after last years season opening beat down at the hands of these same Gamecocks. 5 points is a lot to give an SEC opponent even on the road but picking a side in the one is a bit of a crap shoot. The play to take in this one is UNDER 47. USC plays tough defense and their offense may be sloppy after losing many key skill players to go along with erratic but talented QB Stephen Garcia. NCST should have sound QB play from Russell Wilson. Wilson had 17 TD to 1 INT last season and will look to continue that success. Early season matchups of this kind tend to be more on the low scoring end so the under looks nice for a small play.
Pick- UNDER 47 (-115) 3* play

Utah St vs. Utah -21 (-110) (900pm et)
This game should be a breeze for Utah. They year after year beat up on their lesser state rival winning 11 straight at this point. Laying the points is a tough thing to do however. Utah isn't sure of their QB situation, which could make for some unforced errors. You can guarantee that Utah St will play from whistle to whistle and could catch back door cover late vs the 2nd stringers. My angle on this one is take the OVER 52. Utah will undoubtedly put up some points and may even score enough to cover the total by themselves as seen last year with their 58-10 stomping. I feel that this one will play out more like 2 years ago, the last time Utah St visited. Utah won by a healthy margin but no where near the expected outcome. Utah went OVER 10 of 12 times last year and they will surely be looking to put points on the board in this rivalry game.
Pick- OVER 52 (-110) 4* play

Oregon vs. Boise St -3.5 (+105) (1015pm et)
Injuries took their toll on the Ducks in last seasons match-up vs. Boise. This years game posses a different threat... Playing on the blue turf of Broncos Stadium! Boise is very tough at home and has won 18 of their last 20 SU (12-6 ATS). Broncos QB, Kellen Moore, should be able to pick apart the Ducks defense despite losing most of his receivers from a year ago. He boasted a 69.4 completion percentage as a freshman throwing mostly short to intermediate routes so the lack of experienced receivers shouldn't be that big of a concern. Boise also returns their entire secondary, which should be able to contain a streaky thrower in Ducks QB JeremiahMasoli. Masoli is also a threat to run but Boise is well coached and should be able to limit the big plays.
Pick- Boise St -3.5 (+105) 5* play

 

[mjag21]

Street Rosenthal of Handicappingtrends

*200 Utah State +21
Take Utah State to cover in this heated rivalary tonight. Most will remember Utah whiping Bama in the Sugar Bowl. That wasn't the Bama seen earlier in the season. Utah St will have their hands full tonight, but will keep it within the 21 needed to cover.

*300 Oregon Ducks +3.5
I am taking Oregon with the points tonight. I have Oregon as 13-1 ATS as an Away Dog in games 1-3. We can tighten that down if Oregon is an Away Dog in games 1-3 and line less than 8 they are 9-0 ATS. I think the Ducks come out fighting tonight to get their first win of the season.

200* Carolina Panthers -3
Write ups to be posted later

200* Denver Broncos +3
Write ups to be posted later

*300 Tampa Bay Rays -128
I am taking the Rays at Home tonight. I have the Red Sox as 5-19 SU since 2005 as a road dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. I also have the Red Sox as 0-12 SU since 2007 as a road dog after a loss and it is the last game of a series. Finally, I have the Rays as 36-8 SU since 2005 as a home favorite after a win in which they had fewer team left on base than their opponent. Take the Rays for the Win.

*200 St. Louis Cardinals -180
I am taking the Cardinals for another win today. I have a nice starter trend on Cardinals Starter John Smoltz that is 14-0 SU and several starter trends against Manny Para that total 3-20 SU for his team when he starts. I also have the Brewers as 3-23 SU since 2004 as a road 170+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Finally, I have the Cardinals as 25-4 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Cardinals for the Win.
__________________

 

[Dubya]

6 Unit Play. # 128. Take NC State -5 over South Carolina (Thursday @ 7pm est). NC State was a team that came a long way at the end of last year. This team started off the season rough by getting spanked to South Carolina 0-34 on August 28th of last year. It was their first game of the season and undoubtedly this team still has sour memories of that contest. NC State has come a long way since the beginning of last season including going 9-1 ATS over their last 10 ten games. Heck, this team took Rutgers to the limit when Rutgers was finishing the season strong and lost 23-29. This team led that game 17-6 at the break before Rutgers had to make a huge comeback just to win the contest. O'Brien has done a great job of coaching this team and I believe this team will pick up right where they left off. O'Brien can coach a little league team to victory as his coaching style is solid and his players have bought into. This team went into UNC last year and won 41-10 covering outright as 11 point underdogs. This team lost to Maryland by just a field goal on the road and once again, closed the year defeating Miami 38-28, UNC 41-10, Wake Forrest 21-17 and Duke 27-17 on the road. With South Carolina still having uncertainties at quarterback, I like NC State to make a quick statement on national television right out of the gates here. Revenge can be sweet especially for a team that was not in sync at the beginning of last year, but came into sync at the end of last year.



4 Unit Play. # 177. Take Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). I know that Auburn is looking to rebuild from last year's disappointment - but I expect them to struggle in this game. The Tigers were a dismal 2-9 ATS last year. I just don’t see the Tigers magically improving this year. After all, there are still questions regarding the quarterback situation of this team as both Burns and Todd have their faults. First year coach Malzahn has a lot of pressure to produce results as if the Tigers are willing to get rid of a coach who went 75-27, certainly, they will can the new guy if he has subpart performance early. Louisiana Tech returns quite a bit of starters from last year and this team moved the ball well last year. In fact, La Tech should be able to move the ball very effectively as this team is familiar with the system they run as compared to Auburn who is trying to get used Malzahn's way of doing things. I expect La Tech to be in sync earlier in the game and consequently to fall within the spread and even have a shot at winning this game outright.



4 Unit Play. # 156. Take Oklahoma State -5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I just don't buy into the University of Georgia - yet. With a new quarterback and running attack, this team will find it tough in Oklahoma State. OSU is extremely well coached and this is a big game for their program. By handling the Bulldogs, this team can pave the way for what looks to be a very promising season. This team had a tough loss against Oregon in their last contest that they would like to forget and certainly this team has wonderful new facilities at their disposal. Heck, when Boone Pickens throws money down on your school, he expects a return. The Cowboys ended last season 6-0 ATS as a home favorite and are 15-6-1 ATS as favorites by this margin. I'm a fan of Coach Mark, but I just don't see his team being in sync this early on as I feel like they simply have too many holes to fill.



1 Unit Play. Baltimore vs. Atlanta Over 38 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). If you saw Chris Redman close out last week’s game, you would have thought this team had won the Super Bowl as they defeated San Diego 27-24. With a nice mix of young and veteran receivers, the Falcons are doing very well as it relates to the flow of their offense scoring 26 points against Detroit, 20 on the road at St. Louis and most recently 24 points against San Diego. I expect Baltimore to continue their winning ways this preseason as they are 3-0 currently and for them to be an active dog likely sending this game over the posted total. I expect this game to have a regular season type atmosphere similar to the San Diego game which went over near the end of the contest.



1 Unit Play. Oakland vs. Seattle Over 36 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). Oakland has suprisingly put up some points this offseason. This team put up 31 points against the Cowboys at home, 20 points against San Fran losing by 1 point and come off getting spanked at the hands of the Saints 7-45 at home. I suspect this team will have some pride despite this game being a preseason contest as this team looks to head into the regular season on a positive note. Mora's team has done well early on as he has complete control of the reins this year. This team has won all of its preseason games and certainly with two experienced quarterbacks at his disposal the offense has a nice sync to it. I expect Seattle to put up some points on the porous defense of Oakland and Oakland to keep relative pace as this game likely goes over 40 points.



1 Unit Play. #137. Take Houston Texans +3 against the Tampa Bay Bucs (Friday @ 7pm est). I cannot believe the Bucs are likely to start the bum known as Byron Leftwich. The guy is a has been and this team actually thinks he has talent. Good luck and good riddance. Houston is extremely well coached and usually and I expect their coaching staff to have this team ready to go as they come off back to back losses to New Orleans and Minnesota. Schaub and Orlovsky have looked this good preseason thus far and with a steady dose of Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels while Steve Slaton and Chris Brown run the ball, I believe the Texans have a likely shot at winning this game outright.


Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

 

[Dubya]

6-Unit Play. Take #167 Minnesota (-6.5) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 5)
This is my Game of the Week. The Golden Gophers are one of the most experienced teams in the country and should be able to take advantage of a Syracuse team that is still trying to find its way. Syracuse has a new coach and a whole new system that they are working on and they are just 2-7 ATS in nonconference games and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS on the road. They are a much more solid and stable team and they should take care of business here. Syracuse lost 30-10 to big 10 foe Northwestern last year. I can see a similar outcome in this game.

4-Unit Play. Take #164 UAB (-5.5) over Rice (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
I’m playing the Blazers in this one mainly because they are at home. The home team is 2-0 in this series and I like the experience that UAB brings to the table here. UAB finished last year on a 4-1 ATS run and I think that they will carry over some momentum and get off to a fast start here.

3-Unit Play. Take #156 Oklahoma State (-4.5) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
Oklahoma State is looking forward to making a big impression in their opener. They have one of the best offenses in the country and they are looking forward to sticking it to an SEC team. Mark Richt has been great in opposing stadiums over the last few years but Oklahoma State has revenge from their opener in Athens two years ago (35-14 UGA win). Georgia has a new starting quarterback and running back and Stillwater is still a tough place for even experienced teams to win. I think this one will be close for a half but the playmakers on Oklahoma State are too much.

2-Unit Play. Take #152 Ohio (+3.5) over Connecticut (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
Connecticut has been really banged up this month and I think that they might be taking Ohio a little too lightly. The Bobcats played some BCS teams tough last year. They only lost to Ohio State by 12 and to Northwestern by 8. They get this one close to home and are 6-3 ATS as a home underdog over the last few years.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 53.5 LSU at Washington (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)
The LSU defense is still one of the fastest and strongest defenses in the country. Usually early in the season the defense is well ahead of the offenses and it results in sloppy play. The Tigers have been a really strong ‘over’ play over the last couple years but I think that the oddsmakers have overadjusted this early in the season. LSU quarterback Jordan Jefferson is not really a proven guy and I could see him struggling. On the other side, Jake Locker is more of a runner than a thrower. I see LSU in the 20’s and Washington in the 10’s and this one staying well ‘under’.


Allen Eastman

 

[Dubya]

4 Unit Pick #132 Take Boise State (-3) over Oregon (September 3rd, 10:15)

With these lines out for week’s now we have seen some large movements with early betting and this game is one of them. This game opened as high as six in most places and here we are with Boise at a three point favorite at most spots in the market. The money has poured in on this Oregon team that was up ended vs. the Broncos at home 37-32 as a closing (10.5) point favorite. Oregon has been running their mouth who that lost was “Embarrassing” and they owe the Broncos a “ass kicking” but this Oregon team has some serious question marks having to rebuild their offensive line in front of their starting quarterback who was fifth on the depth chart to start last year. Don’t get me wrong Oregon quarterback Jeremiah Mazola has talent but this team is up against a lot tonight with a whole new outlook. Boise State returns eleven starter’s to Oregon nine and one of those starters back is quarterback Kellen Moore who was WAC freshman of the year in 2008 and shredded this Oregon defense for 386 yards and three touchdowns last year. This is the biggest game on Boise schedule and their will be a big crowd tonight, with all said I think in this spot Boise is the better and I want top thank everybody that has allowed me to take them minus (3) here.

1 Unit Pick Take Under (57.5) North Texas at Ball State (September 3rd, 7:30)

The 2008 Ball State Cardinals averaged 36.61 points a game but a lot has changed from last year to this this year. Gone is head coach Brady Hoke, gone is high profile quarterback Nate Davis in fact the Cardinals are only returning four starter’s back from last year. One of those four is standout running back MiQuale Lewis and with the Cardinals welcoming a new quarterback he will be getting a lot of carries tonight. North Texas has a lot of returning starter’s coming back from a 1-11 team in 2008 but they will also be starting a new quarterback. This should be a ugly game as far as offense goes and get us under this total.

3 Unit Pick #152 Take Ohio U (+3.5) over Connecticut (September 5th, 7:00)

Year five of the Frank Solich era begins in the home doggie role vs. Connecticut and this might be the best time to face the Huskies in the opener. Connecticut has to replace their quarterback plus their star running back plus they’re installing a new offensive bringing in the no huddle. Something like that could take some time for them to run even half good. While Connecticut defense was sixth in the nation in 2008 and return six starter’s on they defensive unit they will have to face Ohio offense that had a quarterback battle in the spring and return all their wide outs and running backs. I made this game a pick by my numbers and to be able to put (3.5) points in my pocket is something I can’t pass up.

1 Unit Pick #170 Eastern Michigan (-5.5) over Army (September 5th, 7:00)

Both teams have hired new head coaches with Army bringing in Rich Ellerson a triple option expert who has coach and had great success at Cal Poly for the last eight years. Eastern Michigan brings in former Michigan and Louisville defensive coordinator Ron English who inherits 16 returning starters from last year with standout quarterback Andy Schmitt and all-Mac receiver Jacory Stone. These two teams played at West Point last year with Army coming out on top with a 17-13 win as a (2.5) point favorite, I think the second time around for Eastern Michigan defense of seeing the option and they amount of depth this team returns we have some value in the home opener.

3 Unit Pick #206 Take Memphis (+17) over Mississippi (September 6th, 3:30)

Whew, is this baby high. These two teams opened up last year in Mississippi with the oddsmaker opening the Rebels as a (10) point favorite before money betting down the closing number to (-8.5) Mississippi win. The Rebels when on to go 9-4 and win a bowl game while Memphis went 6-7 and lost a bowl game. A lot can be said about Memphis last year, they started the season 0-3 and battled back to make a bowl game. This Memphis team is a little older and better, their strong at the quarterback position and have a good returning back with Curtis Steele along with a defensive that improved last year and has seven returning starters this year. I know the Rebels are good and deep with the offense and even with no real home field advantage with these two schools so close, this line is just to high and I expect Memphis to hang around.

Thanks and Good Luck-Dave

 

[Dubya]

who is Dave?

Dave Busk

 

[ilikeaction]

I found these guys online, and thought that I would give them a try for a month, we'll see how it goes.

College Bettor

South Carolina +5

Oregon +3.5

 

[Dubya]

Executive
150 Boise
150 Mia Dolphins
Comp Car