Street Rosenthal
*200 St. Louis Cardinals -180
I am taking the Cardinals for another win today. I have a nice starter trend on Cardinals Starter John Smoltz that is 14-0 SU and several starter trends against Manny Para that total 3-20 SU for his team when he starts. I also have the Brewers as 3-23 SU since 2004 as a road 170+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Finally, I have the Cardinals as 25-4 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Cardinals for the Win.
Good Luck!! Yanks
*200 St. Louis Cardinals -180
I am taking the Cardinals for another win today. I have a nice starter trend on Cardinals Starter John Smoltz that is 14-0 SU and several starter trends against Manny Para that total 3-20 SU for his team when he starts. I also have the Brewers as 3-23 SU since 2004 as a road 170+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Finally, I have the Cardinals as 25-4 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Cardinals for the Win.
Good Luck!! Yanks
KELSO's HIGHROLLERS MLB PICK for TODAY
Highrollers Baseball
Thursday, September 03, 2009
15 UnitsDevilrays {D.Price} (-120) over Redsox {C.Buchholz}
7:08 PM -- Tropicana Field
TAMPA BAY RAYS (72-60) -120 over Boston Red Sox (77-55) Pitching for Tampa Bay: LH David Price (7-6, 4.63) Pitching for Boston: RH Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.48) Rays Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Won 1, Home: 43-22, Against RHP: 47-35. Red Sox Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Lost 1, Road: 32-34, Against LHP: 25-20. Starting Time: 7:08 TV: New England Sports Network, Fox Sports Florida
Highrollers Baseball
Thursday, September 03, 2009
15 UnitsDevilrays {D.Price} (-120) over Redsox {C.Buchholz}
7:08 PM -- Tropicana Field
TAMPA BAY RAYS (72-60) -120 over Boston Red Sox (77-55) Pitching for Tampa Bay: LH David Price (7-6, 4.63) Pitching for Boston: RH Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.48) Rays Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Won 1, Home: 43-22, Against RHP: 47-35. Red Sox Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Lost 1, Road: 32-34, Against LHP: 25-20. Starting Time: 7:08 TV: New England Sports Network, Fox Sports Florida
Jim Feist - Early Walkoff Wipeout! For monitoring purposes
(961) CLEVELAND INDIANS (+1.5, ov9.5)
(962) DETROIT TIGERS (-1.5, un9.5)
Thursday, Sep 03 2009, 10:05 AM PST
Take " (962) DETROIT TIGERS "
Since last Friday, Cleveland has been smacked around a lot, a team going nowhere packing in the long season. They gave up 13 runs to Baltimore, 8 to Detroit Tuesday and 5 on Sunday. Fausto Carmona (3-9, 6.20 ERA) continues to be erratic, walking too many batters. The Detroit offense has had a great week and starter Nate Robertson will make his second start of the season here. Armando Galarraga is expected back this weekend, but manager Jim Leyland still hasn't committed to Robertson's role past Thursday's turn in the rotation. Robertson pitched well the last start, with 1 run allowed in 4 innings. He doesn't walk anyone, which is a big plus in a great pitcher's park like this. Detroit has big edges in the bullpen, as well. Play the Tigers.
(961) CLEVELAND INDIANS (+1.5, ov9.5)
(962) DETROIT TIGERS (-1.5, un9.5)
Thursday, Sep 03 2009, 10:05 AM PST
Take " (962) DETROIT TIGERS "
Since last Friday, Cleveland has been smacked around a lot, a team going nowhere packing in the long season. They gave up 13 runs to Baltimore, 8 to Detroit Tuesday and 5 on Sunday. Fausto Carmona (3-9, 6.20 ERA) continues to be erratic, walking too many batters. The Detroit offense has had a great week and starter Nate Robertson will make his second start of the season here. Armando Galarraga is expected back this weekend, but manager Jim Leyland still hasn't committed to Robertson's role past Thursday's turn in the rotation. Robertson pitched well the last start, with 1 run allowed in 4 innings. He doesn't walk anyone, which is a big plus in a great pitcher's park like this. Detroit has big edges in the bullpen, as well. Play the Tigers.
Chris Jordans pick for today
5-0 last five,time to get back aboard
100♦ TROY TROJANS - The Trojans are picked to win the Sun Belt Conference, they’ve got eight starters back on a dangerous offensive unit and continue to sport one of the nation’s most underrated defenses. Sure, there are some holes to fill with this team, but there is so much talent, I don’t see how it won’t run away with the conference title.
The offensive firepower will be led by quarterback Levi Brown, running back DeJuan Harris, receivers Jerrel Jernigan and Cornelius Williams as well as three returning starters on the offensive line. Quite frankly, that’s plenty for an offense that ranked 26th in the nation in scoring and 27th overall on offense. All we’re talking about with the O is to replace a pair of tackles, and it’s not as if coach Larry Blakeney is plugging the holes with freshmen … two upper classmen will be in those spots.
Defensively, only five starters are back, I know this, but linebacker Boris Lee is an all-conference performer who has been the Trojan’s top tackler the past two years. He'll get plenty of help from standout ends Brandon Lang (NO! Not the goof you’re thinking of) and Cameron Sheffield. There’s plenty of experience in the secondary, as the Trojans have plenty of upper classmen to join senior Jorrick Calvin, the team’s lone returner in the defensive backfield.
So what about Bowling Green you’re asking? The Falcons are in off a 6-6 season and will be led by new head coach Dave Clawson, who served as Tennessee's offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach last season. And while I’d assume his focus will be on offense, I don’t see the defense that returns a mere three starters challenging the aforementioned high-potent offense.
Lay the road chalk tonight with Troy.
5-0 last five,time to get back aboard
100♦ TROY TROJANS - The Trojans are picked to win the Sun Belt Conference, they’ve got eight starters back on a dangerous offensive unit and continue to sport one of the nation’s most underrated defenses. Sure, there are some holes to fill with this team, but there is so much talent, I don’t see how it won’t run away with the conference title.
The offensive firepower will be led by quarterback Levi Brown, running back DeJuan Harris, receivers Jerrel Jernigan and Cornelius Williams as well as three returning starters on the offensive line. Quite frankly, that’s plenty for an offense that ranked 26th in the nation in scoring and 27th overall on offense. All we’re talking about with the O is to replace a pair of tackles, and it’s not as if coach Larry Blakeney is plugging the holes with freshmen … two upper classmen will be in those spots.
Defensively, only five starters are back, I know this, but linebacker Boris Lee is an all-conference performer who has been the Trojan’s top tackler the past two years. He'll get plenty of help from standout ends Brandon Lang (NO! Not the goof you’re thinking of) and Cameron Sheffield. There’s plenty of experience in the secondary, as the Trojans have plenty of upper classmen to join senior Jorrick Calvin, the team’s lone returner in the defensive backfield.
So what about Bowling Green you’re asking? The Falcons are in off a 6-6 season and will be led by new head coach Dave Clawson, who served as Tennessee's offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach last season. And while I’d assume his focus will be on offense, I don’t see the defense that returns a mere three starters challenging the aforementioned high-potent offense.
Lay the road chalk tonight with Troy.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 10 between NY Mets @ Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 3:10pm est). Misch has been solid in his starts this season but the Mets just haven't been able to get him a victory. Despite giving up just 1 run in his last 11 innings and having a mid 3 era, Misch is one of just two pitchers in baseball history to go through twelve starts without picking up a win. I like the fact he is continuing to search for his first win. Heck, he went four innings against the Phillies without yielding a run and did very well against the Cubs. Tack that on with the fact Maquis is on a bounce-back today as he yielded five runs in San Fran as he comes off a loss and I look for him to be sharp as well. The last time he yielded five runs, he came back to pitch brilliantly and gave up just one run in seven innings to the Pirates. But, with Misch pitching very well right now, I would rather take the Under here rather than the run-line, although I do think the Rockies likely hit the run-line. I like the double-digit number here and I look for this game to likely dip under.
Good luck,
IC
Good luck,
IC
Unlocked Sports
We did well going 3-0 on the diamond yesterday. Our MLB record is now 21-17-1 & +18.67 units over the past 3 weeks. We have 1 play today.
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Tampa Bay (4 units ML & 1 unit RL)
Although many consider the Red Sox to be one of the league's most dominant powerhouses, they are no better than an average team on the road with a road record of 32-34. Lately they have had a real tough time away from home against tough opponents. Boston is 2-12 in its last 14 road games versus a team with a home winning record above 0.600 and 1-10 in their last 11 as a road underdog. Tampa also has the advantage in this pitching matchup featuring Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.38) and David Price (7-6, 4.63). Price has been solid at home going 6-2 with an ERA of 2.96. Boston is 0-8 in Buchholz's last 8 road starts versus a team with a winning home record. Tampa is 5-1 in Price's last 6 home starts.
Lay 4 units on Tampa moneyline and 1 unit runline.
We did well going 3-0 on the diamond yesterday. Our MLB record is now 21-17-1 & +18.67 units over the past 3 weeks. We have 1 play today.
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Tampa Bay (4 units ML & 1 unit RL)
Although many consider the Red Sox to be one of the league's most dominant powerhouses, they are no better than an average team on the road with a road record of 32-34. Lately they have had a real tough time away from home against tough opponents. Boston is 2-12 in its last 14 road games versus a team with a home winning record above 0.600 and 1-10 in their last 11 as a road underdog. Tampa also has the advantage in this pitching matchup featuring Clay Buchholz (3-3, 4.38) and David Price (7-6, 4.63). Price has been solid at home going 6-2 with an ERA of 2.96. Boston is 0-8 in Buchholz's last 8 road starts versus a team with a winning home record. Tampa is 5-1 in Price's last 6 home starts.
Lay 4 units on Tampa moneyline and 1 unit runline.
4 Unit Pick #957 Take Atlanta (-1.20) over Florida (September 3rd, 7:10)
Big game tonight down in South Florida with the Braves four games of Colorado for the wild card and the Marlins right behind them with five games of the mark. I said a couple of weeks ago that I thought the Braves could make a move here and they have taken two of the first three in this series and almost came back from a four run deficit tying the game in the ninth before a Florida walk off homerun. Tonight we get won of Atlanta’s best with Tommy Hanson to the hill off a tough luck lose at Philadelphia where he gave up one run before his start was cut short by rain. We get to benefit from that start where he only threw twenty nine pitches, so he should be nice and fresh with a long outing against a lineup he already beat on August 22nd seven innings giving up three runs while striking out seven. The Marlins send Ricky Nolasco to the bump and he has a little history vs. the Braves and it hasn’t been good with a 1-4 record and a 5.29 era in nine career start’s vs. the Braves, give me Atlanta tonight.
2 Unit Pick #951 Take Milwaukee (+1.60) over St. Louis (September 3rd, 2:15)
John Smotlz has been good in his first two starts for the red birds but this line is a little out of hand for the 42 year old pitcher. We get Manny Parra here off a very poor outing in which he had some words with reporters mainly out if frustration. Parra has been good vs. St. Louis, in his last thirty innings vs. the Cardinals he has given up just nine runs while striking out twenty seven. Smotlz will go about six innings and I can’t pass up on this inflated number.
Thanks and Good Luck-Dave
Big game tonight down in South Florida with the Braves four games of Colorado for the wild card and the Marlins right behind them with five games of the mark. I said a couple of weeks ago that I thought the Braves could make a move here and they have taken two of the first three in this series and almost came back from a four run deficit tying the game in the ninth before a Florida walk off homerun. Tonight we get won of Atlanta’s best with Tommy Hanson to the hill off a tough luck lose at Philadelphia where he gave up one run before his start was cut short by rain. We get to benefit from that start where he only threw twenty nine pitches, so he should be nice and fresh with a long outing against a lineup he already beat on August 22nd seven innings giving up three runs while striking out seven. The Marlins send Ricky Nolasco to the bump and he has a little history vs. the Braves and it hasn’t been good with a 1-4 record and a 5.29 era in nine career start’s vs. the Braves, give me Atlanta tonight.
2 Unit Pick #951 Take Milwaukee (+1.60) over St. Louis (September 3rd, 2:15)
John Smotlz has been good in his first two starts for the red birds but this line is a little out of hand for the 42 year old pitcher. We get Manny Parra here off a very poor outing in which he had some words with reporters mainly out if frustration. Parra has been good vs. St. Louis, in his last thirty innings vs. the Cardinals he has given up just nine runs while striking out twenty seven. Smotlz will go about six innings and I can’t pass up on this inflated number.
Thanks and Good Luck-Dave
SC vs NCst
Game 127-128: South Carolina at North Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 90.665; North Carolina State 99.866
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 9; 49
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (-3 1/2); Over
Jimmy Boyd
South Carolina vs NC State NC State
-5-109 at 5dimes
3* 2009 NCAAF Season Opener (ESPN) on N.C. State -5
This one has revenge written all over it for the Wolfpack after getting thumped 34-0 at South Carolina last season. I expect 1st-Team All-ACC QB Russell Wilson to be the difference maker. The Pack return plenty of fire power with wide receivers Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams as well. This core group of guys gives NC State the edge against an S.C. team that lost a lot on both sides of the football. SC's defense carried the team last season and I don't expect it to be as good. While QB Stephen Garcia should be better, he has less to work with. Last season we saw the offense put up the worst numbers in the Spurrier era; 20.9 points per game, 94.1 rushing yards per game, 27 interceptions, and it could be worse this season. The Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games while the Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Lay the points.
Tony Bruno Wins
Nc State 20x
Dave Malinsky
4* South Carolina
charlie
college football. nc st-5 (30*)
Seabass
20* South Carolina
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 837-724-31
Current streak: 2 wins
Todays play: Over 46' NC State/South Carolina
The Gold Sheet
South Carolina 24 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 23
Dr. K
South Carolina (+3.5) (+155) 24
NC State (U 46) 23
Brett Mavericks
big 10 star lock south carolina
Cappers Access
NC St
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
South Carolina kicks off its fifth season under coach Steve Spurrier as it travels to across state lines to battle the Wolfpack as these teams open up against each other for the second straight year.
The Gamecocks began 2008 with a 34-0 rout of North Carolina State as a 14-point home favorite which propelled them to a 7-3 start (6-3 ATS). However, South Carolina fell hard from there, losing its final three games by scores of 56-6 (at Florida), 31-14 (at Clemson) and 31-10 (vs. Iowa in the Outback Bowl), never threatening to cover in any of those contests to end the year 7-6 SU and 6-6 ATS.
After getting blitzed at South Carolina to start last season, North Carolina State went on to be the best bet in college football, covering the spread in 10 of its final 11 lined games, including the last eight in a row. The Wolfpack finished the regular season with four consecutive ACC victories (4-0 ATS) before losing to Rutgers 29-23 as a seven-point underdog in the Papajohns.com Bowl.
Both teams return their starting quarterbacks from a year ago. N.C. State redshirt freshman Russell Wilson completed 54.5 percent of his passes for 1,955 yards with a remarkable 17-1 touchdown to interception ratio, and he enters this game having thrown 249 passes without getting picked off. He leads an offense that averaged 23.5 points per game overall last year, while the defense surrendered 26.3 ppg.
South Carolina’s Stephen Garcia took over the starting QB chores in the middle of last season and finished completing just 53.3 percent of his throws for 832 yards with six TDs but eight INTs. The Gamecocks put up 20.8 ppg and defensively, they gave up an average of 15.6 points in the first 10 games but 39.3 in the final three.
In addition to cashing in its final eight contests last year, N.C. State is on a 15-4 ATS roll overall. However, the Wolfpack are otherwise in pointspread slumps of 2-7-1 in non-conference play, 7-19 as a favorite, 3-11 as a home chalk since 2004 and 3-9 in September. Meanwhile, South Carolina also carries negative ATS trends of 5-11-2 overall, 2-6 on the road, 2-5 in non-conference play and 0-4 as an underdog, but it is 8-4-1 ATS as a road pup since Spurrier took over.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Gamecocks’ last six roadies, but otherwise the team is on “under” runs of 6-1 in non-conference play, 5-2 versus the ACC, 5-1-1 in September and 5-2-1 on Thursday. Likewise, N.C. State is on “under” runs of 8-3-2 in non-league action, 10-2-1 as a favorite and 7-1 on Thursday. Finally, last year’s season-opening clash between these schools stayed well under the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Troy vs Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 88.330; Bowling Green 80.939
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Troy by 6; 59
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-6); Over
The Gold Sheet
Troy 35 - BOWLING GREEN 24
charlie
college football. troy-7 (20*)
Norm Hitzges
Troy -7 vs Bowling Green
C-Stars Sports
1000 Units Top Play Troy/Bowling Green Over the total
Scott Ferrall
TROY -6 ½ (1)
Bowling Green
Chris Johnson
100? TROY TROJANS - The Trojans are picked to win the Sun Belt Conference, they’ve got eight starters back on a dangerous offensive unit and continue to sport one of the nation’s most underrated defenses. Sure, there are some holes to fill with this team, but there is so much talent, I don’t see how it won’t run away with the conference title.
The offensive firepower will be led by quarterback Levi Brown, running back DeJuan Harris, receivers Jerrel Jernigan and Cornelius Williams as well as three returning starters on the offensive line. Quite frankly, that’s plenty for an offense that ranked 26th in the nation in scoring and 27th overall on offense. All we’re talking about with the O is to replace a pair of tackles, and it’s not as if coach Larry Blakeney is plugging the holes with freshmen … two upper classmen will be in those spots.
Defensively, only five starters are back, I know this, but linebacker Boris Lee is an all-conference performer who has been the Trojan’s top tackler the past two years. He'll get plenty of help from standout ends Brandon Lang (NO! Not the goof you’re thinking of) and Cameron Sheffield. There’s plenty of experience in the secondary, as the Trojans have plenty of upper classmen to join senior Jorrick Calvin, the team’s lone returner in the defensive backfield.
So what about Bowling Green you’re asking? The Falcons are in off a 6-6 season and will be led by new head coach Dave Clawson, who served as Tennessee's offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach last season. And while I’d assume his focus will be on offense, I don’t see the defense that returns a mere three starters challenging the aforementioned high-potent offense.
Lay the road chalk tonight with Troy.
Dr. K
Troy St (-6.5) 31
Bowling Green (U 56.5) (+215) 24
Arthur Ralph Sports
Troy College FB -7
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Troy -7
Villanova vs Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 79.510; Temple 77.262
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 2
Coastal Carolina vs Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 47.359; Kent State 77.810
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 30 1/2
North Texas vs Ball St
The Gold Sheet
BALL STATE 42 - North Texas 17
Insider Sports Report
4* N. Texas +17 over Ball St.
Johnny Guild
North Texas Mean Green (0-0) at Ball State Cardinals (0-0)
Ball State Stadium, Muncie, Indiana
Ball State sound offense of 2008 is departed, off to the NFL, including quarterback Nate Davis, but North Texas defense hasn’t changed. The Mean Green defense could be ranked last in the nation for the third year straight. Take the Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals - 16
sportsbetsnow - 57% L30D
North Texas +16.5 1 unit
charlie
500* north texas @ ball st over 58
charlie
college football. ball st-16' (10*)
Dr. K
North Texas (O 59) 17
Ball St (-17) (-1250) 47
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 61.380; Ball State 77.241
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 16; 55
Vegas Line: Ball State by 17 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Under
WUNDERDOG NCAAF
Pick: 4 units on Ball State -17 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 59.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Ball State Cardinals put themselves on the map last season winning 12 games and a national ranking. The Cards lost a lot on offense and have just four starters returning. But, that includes RB MiQuale Lewis who ran for 1,736 yards last year and 22 TDs, and WR Briggs Orsbon who caught 68 balls a year ago. The Cardinals will be breaking in a new QB, so I'd look for the offense to be dominated by Lewis running a lot here, especially against a poor North Texas defense. The strength of the Cardinals may be on the defensive front line as they have all four starters from a good unit coming back. North Texas has gone just 3-21 over their last three years and went 1-11 a year ago. In the early going last season, they were especially bad, losing each of their first five games by 30 points or more. Even with a lot of returnees, there is just such a mountain to climb here. Despite the losses, Ball State is still light years ahead of this North Texas team and I like them to run away with this one. I also like the UNDER here. The Mean Green will also be breaking in a new QB in this one, so both teams could be pounding the ball and passing short. With two brand new QB's I expect a conservative approach in the opener, and a lot of running. I have a system that features early-season games with inexperienced QBs that has gone UNDER to the tune of 33-16 the past five years. I like this one to come in under 60 points.
From Lt. Dan
UNDER 59'... 1 Unit
Bryan Leonard's NCAA Opening Night Gridiron Gold
135/136 North Texas at Ball State
A popular theory in handicapping the first week of the college football season is to back teams with a significant edge in returning starters. Our old friend Mike Lee who has since passed was the originator of this theory. Despite it's common thought process in these days the theory continues to make sense and money, especially if you jump on it early. While this game opened higher it's still a value at plus 17 or more as we expect this line to close in the 15 range.
North Texas returns 16 starters from a football team that won just once a season ago. But now coach Todd Dodge is in his key third year in the program and his son who also happens to be the signal caller has a firm grasp on it's intricacies. Riley Dodge grew up under his dad's tutelage as his father was a coaching legend in the high school ranks. Leading rusher Cam Montgomery from a season ago really came on at the end of the year to give this team a terrific run/pass combination.
Ball State had a breakout season a year ago under coach Brady Hoke but the losses are huge. Three year starting quarterback Nate Davis was drafted, four starting offensive linemen have departed as well as the top four receivers including Darius Hill who was outstanding. This team brings back just 11 starters and a completely new coaching staff as Hoke took advantage of the career year to go to San Diego State. His parallel move tells us all we need to know about this Cardinal program. Hoke knew the writing was on the wall as this Ball State team is in for a terrible fall this season. This now becomes a young team without any proven leaders. Not only must they win this game but they must do so by close to a three touchdown margin. The differences from the MAC and the Sun Belt are not nearly that large as we take advantage of new coach Stan Parrish and his young overrated squad in the season opener.
PLAY NORTH TEXAS
North Dakota St vs Iowa St
North Dakota State at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 73.764; Iowa State 78.457
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2
Eastern Kentucky vs Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 62.186; Indiana 79.435
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 17
Utah st vs Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 80.805; Utah 100.492
Dunkel Line: Utah by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 21; 52
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+21); Under
WUNDERDOG NCAAF
Pick: 4 units on Utah -20.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Utah was a perfect 13-0 a year ago. Despite losing a lot of talent to graduation, this is a team with a lot of depth and excellent recruiting every year. So the drop is not a huge one. They have to replace the best QB in school history but there are three viable candidates, and the offense returns many talented skill players at RB and WR. The defense is good and loaded with talent, especially at linebacker. It will be the defense that carries the team this time around. We go from one of the Mountain West's annual powers, to one of the WAC's annual losers, and the weak sister in the state. The Aggies finished just 3-9 a year ago and have a lot of returning players, but the problem is that the talent level here vs. the Utes is a very wide gap. That disparity is quite big as evidenced by the fact that the last five years these teams have met, the scores add up to 219-41 for Utah, or an average win of 34 points per game. There have been three games decided by 40+ points in the last five years. Utah is the choice in this one.
Dr. K
Utah St (O 52.5) 14
Utah (-20.5) (-2500) 41
ATS Lock Club
4 Utah St
charlie
college football. utah-20' (10*) Bonus Play
Free Silver Key Pick for Thursday NCAA Football
Utah State +21.5 Over UTAH (9 et)
charlie
college football. utah @ utah st over 52 (20*)
Mr. A’s
Utah Utes -21
Burns
Utah St
The Gold Sheet
UTAH 30 - Utah State 14
CKO
UNDER (52) in the Utah State-Utah game
Oregon vs Boise St
Big Al Thursday Night Game of the Year
At 10:15 pm, our Thursday Night Game of the Year is on the 16th-ranked Oregon Ducks plus the points over 14th-ranked Boise State, as Oregon falls into two revenge systems of mine that are 38-13 and 57-24 ATS since 1980. And our 57-24 ATS system is on a 12-0 ATS run since September 5, 2004! Last year, Boise went into Eugene as 10-point underdogs and upset the Ducks 37-32. But you know what they say about "paybacks!" In last year's game, Oregon was forced to use three quarterbacks due to injuries sustained against Boise State. That, however, shouldn't be a problem on Thursday. And, speaking of quarterbacks, Oregon has a great one, in junior Jeremiah Masoli, who fits new coach Chip Kelly's spread system perfectly. Indeed, Masoli might just be the best QB in the Pac-10. Also, no conference performs better as underdogs than the Pac-10, as its teams are a solid 188-135 as underdogs vs. non-conference foes since 1980, including an eye-popping 79-39 ATS when our Pac-10 team is NOT a losing team, and it's a competitive game where the pointspread is less than 7 points. Oregon, itself, is 23-12 ATS its last 35 as underdogs, including 9-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes. Take the points. Thursday Night Game of the Year on the Oregon Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my big winners on Saturday in College Football, or my NFL and Baseball Winners, as we're having a great season thus far (including 78% in the Preseason)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 109.912; Boise State 105.588
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Boise State by 6; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+6); Over
Dr. K
Oregon (O 63.5) (+170) 30
Boise St (-5) 35
Cappers Access
Oregon
The Gold Sheet
BOISE STATE 34 - Oregon 32
CKO
OVER (64) in the Oregon-Boise State game
Burns Main Event
Under Oregon/Boise St
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
One of the most intriguing matchups of college football’s opening weekend comes from Bronco Stadium, where No. 14 Boise State looks for its 50th straight regular-season win on the blue turf as it hosts the 16th-ranked Ducks and new coach Chip Kelly.
The Broncos started last season with 12 consecutive wins, including a 37-32 upset victory at Oregon on Sept. 20. But after steamrolling to their sixth consecutive Western Athletic Conference title and climbing to No. 9 in the polls, they failed to gain a berth in a BCS Bowl. Boise State ended up settling for the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego, where it fell 17-16 to 11th-ranked TCU, cashing as a three-point underdog to finish the year 12-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS.
In what was expected to be a rebuilding season in 2008, Oregon ended up tied for second place in the Pac-10 standings and finished 10-3 overall (7-6 ATS) in longtime coach Mike Bellotti’s final year. After losing to Boise State, the Ducks won six of their final eight games, including the last four in a row, capped by a 42-31 victory over Oklahoma State as a 2½-point underdog in the Holiday Bowl.
In last year’s meeting in Eugene, Ore., Boise State jumped out to a 37-13 lead after three quarters then withstood a furious Ducks rally to hold on for the 37-32 win as a 10½-point road underdog. The game featured 888 yards of total offense and six turnovers (four by Oregon).
The Broncos averaged 37.6 points and 440.8 yards per game last year, and they ranked third in the nation in scoring defense (12.6 ppg allowed). QB Kellen Moore, who threw for 386 yards and three TDs in the win at Oregon, is one of 12 returning starters for Boise State (six offense, six defense). Moore last year completed 69 percent of his passes for 3,486 yards, 25 TDs and 10 INTs.
Kelly was the offensive coordinator the last two seasons under Bellotti and last year guided a unit that ranked seven nationally in scoring (42 ppg) and second in rushing (280.1 ypg). Junior QB Jeremiah Masoli (57 percent, 1,744 yards, 13 TDs, 5 INTs; 718 rushing yards, 10 TDs last year) is one of just 10 returning starters for the Ducks.
Boise State cashed in its final three games last year and went 2-2-1 ATS in its five lined home games, but it is 40-17-2 ATS in its last 59 at Bronco Stadium. In fact, the Broncos have won 49 consecutive regular-season games on the Smurf Turf dating to Sept. 8, 2001, though they did lose to Boston College in the 2005 Humanitarian Bowl on their home field. Additionally, Boise is on ATS surges of 4-1-1 against the Pac-10, 5-1 on Thursday and 15-3 when laying 10 points or less.
Oregon is 8-1 in its last nine non-conference games (6-1 ATS in lined action), the lone loss coming to the Broncos last year. Also, under Bellotti, the Ducks were 13-6 ATS in its last 19 as a road ‘dog, and they’re on further pointspread runs of 13-5 in September, 4-1 against the WAC and 14-6 on artificial turf.
The Ducks are on “over” runs of 7-3-2 overall, 16-5-2 in September, 6-0 against the WAC and 6-1-1 on artificial turf. However, the under is 8-3 in Boise State’s last 11 in September and 11-4 in its last 15 non-league games. Finally, last year’s 37-32 shootout easily cleared the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Insider Sports Report
4* Oregon/Boise St. UNDER 64
Burns
Oregon Under
Johnny Guild
Boise State Broncos -3
CAROLINA SPORTS
Opinion: Boise State -3
sportsbetsnow - 57% L30D
Boise St -3 1 unit
charlie
500* oregon @ boise st under 64'
500* boise st-3
ATS Lock Club
3 Boise St
Seabass
20* Oregon
C-Stars Sports
50 Units Oregon Plus the points over Boise State
Joe Wiz
Oregon Ducks
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #147 Akron +27
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #170 E Mich -5
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #183 ID +3
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #199 MTSU +19'
From another forum and not confirmed.
Dr. Bob
Best Bet
Ole Miss
Opinions
Missouri
Cinnci
UCLA under
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Akron vs Penn State Penn State
-26-108 at 5dimes
5* NCAAF Non-Conference GOTY on Penn State -26
The Nittany Lions dominated their non-conference schedule last season and I fully expect that to be the case again. They started off the year with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina and they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate that they are every bit as good as last year's team. Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster lead the offense, but I expect Penn State's defense to be the key here. The Nittany Lions ranked 8th in the nation last year in both total and scoring defense and I expect them to be even better this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MAC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Toledo vs Purdue Toledo
+10½-110 at 5dimes
4* Major Week 1 Underdog Shocker on Toledo +10.5
Toledo beat a Michigan team last season that was better than the Purdue team they will face Saturday. Plus, this Toledo team, which returns 16 starters is expected to be greatly improved as well. The Boilermakers will be a bottom of the barrel type team in the Big Ten this season. No Curtis Painter and no Kory Sheets equals no offense. The Boilermakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the MAC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (4:00p)
Rice vs UAB UAB
-5-110 at bodog
4* Major Conference USA Game of the Month on UAB -5
UAB returns all 11 offensive starters, and I expect this unit, led by QB Joe Webb to torch a Rice defense which allowed 33.0 ppg last season. The Owls won 10 games last year but lost all of their offense and won't be able to answer the call. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blazers are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. UAB finished the season with 3 wins in its last 5 games, and nearly beat Conference USA champ East Carolina. Look for UAB to be jacked up to start the year at home and in conference play.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (7:00p)
Ul Monroe vs Texas Texas
-40½-102 at 5dimes
3* SMASH on Texas -40.5
IL Monroe is one of the worst football teams in the country. The Longhorns opened up last football season with a 42-point win over a much better FAU squad. They then posted 42-point wins in their next two home non-conference games. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the S-Belt. Plus, UL Monroe is 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Texas will win by as much as they want to and that should be good enough for a cover here.
DET vs BUF
Game 101-102: Detroit at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.810; Buffalo 124.679
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 30
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 33
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
DETROIT (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Wunderdog
Game: Detroit at Buffalo (Thursday 9/03 6:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit +3.5 (-120)
The Lions did not win a game last year in the regular season. But, they did run the table in the preseason. They have already won two games this preseason and it's becoming evident that this team is about winning in the NFLX. The Lions may have an advantage in this game thanks to the continuing QB battle between rookie Matthew Stafford and veteran Dante Culpepper. In a game that usually sees starters rested, each of these top two QBs will likely see more time than the typical game four. The Bills coach Dick Juaron has never had a winning preseason as coach of the Bills and he will likely just run the clock and let the game pass. Juaron is just 13-22 in his 35 preseason coached games and that number is even worse in game four as he is just 2-6. I look for the Lions to at the very least cover this one, if not come away with the outright win.
?
Detroit Lions +3
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Detroit +3
PHIL vs NYJ
igz1 sports
3* Over 38 (-110) Philadelphia vs NY Jets
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL Philadelphia +3
Trushel
eagles
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Philadelphia
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Philadelphia (1-2, 0-3 ATS) at N.Y. Jets (1-2, 2-1 ATS)
The Jets look to continue their Week 4 preseason dominance of the Eagles and avoid their first losing summer since 1996 as these teams close out the exhibition campaign against each other for the ninth straight year.
Philadelphia rallied from deficits off 17-3, 27-13 and 30-20 against the Jaguars a week ago, pulling out a 33-32 victory, never threatening to cover as a seven-point home favorite. Michael Vick made his much-hyped debut in the contest, going 4-for-4 for 19 yards and rushing once for a yard as he played six first-half snaps.
Eagles coach Andy Reid said QB Donovan McNabb, RB Brian Westbrook and many of his starters will sit this game out. Backup QB Kevin Kolb will start, with Vick going under center late in the first half and starting the second half at quarterback. A.J. Feeley would follow Vick.
The Jets held off the Giants in their annual Week 3 preseason battle on Saturday, eking out a 27-25 victory as a three-point underdog. New York coach Rex Ryan said rookie QBMark Sanchez and the rest of his starters will play just one series. Backup Kellen Clemens should follow, but expect rookie Erik Ainge to see the bulk of the action.
New York is 8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS since the start of the 2007 preseason, but it is just 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine at the Meadowlands (including neutral-site games against the Giants). The Jets have also failed to cash in five of their last six when laying points in the preseason.
Not only have the Eagles failed to cover in four straight preseason games, they’re 3-8 ATS in exhibition action since the start of 2007 and they’re 1-6 SU (2-5 ATS) as a preseason visitor since 2006. They’ve also dropped seven consecutive Week 4 meetings against the Jets and they’re 2-6 ATS in this preseason rivalry since 2001. Four of those eight battles were decided by three points or less.
Philadelphia has gone over the posted price in six straight preseason games and 10 of its last 11, while New York has topped the total in four straight exhibition outings going back to last year’s 27-20 win over the Eagles. In fact, the over is 4-1 in the last five summer meetings between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS and OVER
Game 103-104: Philadelphia at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.773; NY Jets 123.094
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY JETS (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.
NY JETS are 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Philadelphia Eagles +3
WAS vs JAX
igz1 sports
4* Washington +5 (-115)
Game 107-108: Washington at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.722; Jacksonville 123.920
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 8; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 5; 35
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-5); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
bettingjesus
10-2 run Bonus Play Washington +5 (-115)
?
Washington Redskins +6
Norm Hitzges
Jacksonville -6.5 vs Washington
NYG vs NE
Game 105-106: NY Giants at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 121.337; New England 120.829
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 34
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
ny giants
NFL LONG SHEET
NY GIANTS (1 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
New England Patriots +3
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* New England
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* NY Giants -3
IND vs CIN
Game 111-112: Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 115.508; Cincinnati 120.542
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Over
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Cinci -3.5
NFL LONG SHEET
INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Norm Hitzges
Cincinnati -3.5 vs Indy
?
Cincinnati Bengals -3½
BALT vs ATL
Game 109-110: Baltimore at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 121.431; Atlanta 123.467
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
BALTIMORE (3 - 0) at ATLANTA (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in dome games since 1993.
ATLANTA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Atlanta Falcons -2½
CLE vs CHI
Game 115-116: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.866; Chicago 121.298
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL Cleveland +3
NFL LONG SHEET
CLEVELAND (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Chicago Bears -2½
ATS Lock Club
3 Bears
MIAMI vs NO
Game 117-118: Miami at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.426; New Orleans 125.812
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over
Burns
Dolphins Under
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Miami
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Miami (3-0, 2-0-1 ATS) at New Orleans (3-0 SU and ATS)
For the third straight year, the Dolphins and Saints – both of whom are gunning for their first perfect summer this decade – end the exhibition campaign with a battle at the Superdome.
Miami rallied for a 10-6 victory at Tampa Bay last Thursday, covering in a pick-em contest in a game delayed for an hour in the first half because of a lightning storm. Coach Tony Sparano didn’t tip his hand with regard to playing time tonight, but in last year’s preseason finale against the Saints, starting QB Chad Penning threw just four passes, with backup Chad Henne playing the majority of the game. Expect the same tonight, with Henne followed by rookie Pat White.
New Orleans is coming off the most dominating performance of any NFL team this preseason, plastering the Raiders 45-7 as a three-point road chalk. Saints coach Sean Payton, whose team has won its three games by a combined score of 100-28, said his first-string units will probably play just one series. However, QB Drew Brees (14-for-17, 179 yards, 2 TDs in less than a half vs. Oakland) may sit out as he did last year in Week 4. Mark Brunell will either start or replace Brees, but the bulk of the QB playing time will likely go to third-stringer Joey Harrington.
Since beginning the Sparano era with a 17-6 loss to Tampa Bay last year, the Dolphins have now won six consecutive preseason games (6-0 ATS), going 3-0 SU and ATS on the road during this stretch. That includes a 14-10 win in New Orleans as a one-point road pup to end the 2008 preseason. Since 2007, Miami is on a 4-1 ATS roll as an underdog, and it is 4-2 SU and ATS in its last six Week 4 contests, including 3-1 SU and ATS against the Saints.
Although it scored a 17-7 Week 1 win and spread-cover over the Bengals at the Superdome, New Orleans remains just 2-5 SU and ATS at home since Payton took over. The Saints are also 1-5 SU and ATS in preseason finales since 2003.
These teams have met in preseason play seven times since 1999, with the visitor going 6-1 SU and ATS. Also, the underdog cashed in all seven games.
The Saints have topped the total the last two weeks, following a 9-2 “under” run in exhibition play. Miami has stayed low in eight of Miami’s last 10 summer contests, including six of the last seven. Finally, the under is 3-1 in the last four Saints-Dolphins preseason battles and 5-1 in New Orleans’ last six preseason finales.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
NFL LONG SHEET
MIAMI (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in dome games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
igz1 sports
4* Miami +3.5 (-110)
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New Orleans Saints -3
GB vs TENN
igz1 sports
3* Tennessee -3.5 (-110)
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
gb/tenn under
Game 119-120: Green Bay at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.127; Tennessee 126.537
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at TENNESSEE (2 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Norm Hitzges
Green Bay +3.5 vs Tennessee
Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd
5* NFLX Blowout of the Year on Titans -3
Green Bay (3-0) has nothing left to prove this preseason and because of that Aaron Rodgers is only expected to play one series. Backup QB Matt Flynn is not 100% and that means Brian Brohm, who has looked horrible, should see most of the snaps. The Titans are coming of back-to-back losses on the road and I expect them to bounce back at home here to build some momentum for the regular season. Tennessee has the superior QB depth with Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey. Green Bay's defense gave up 37 points on the road last week and cornerbacks Al Harris and Charles Woodson may not even make the trip, and certainly won't play much, if at all, if they do. Lay the points.
?
Green Bay Packers +3½
KC vs STL
Game 121-122: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.201; St. Louis 121.980
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over
NFL LONG SHEET
KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL 20* Superplay: Kansas City -1
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St. Louis Rams +1
PITT vs CAR
Game 113-114: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 120.717; Carolina 121.481
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Over
NFL LONG SHEET
PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
igz1 sports
4* Under 34 (-110) Pittsburgh vs Carolina
Norm Hitzges
Carolina/Pittsburgh Under 34
Burns
Panthers (GOY)
igz1 sports
3* Pittsburgh +3.5 (-110)
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Pittsburgh (2-1 SU and ATS) at Carolina (0-3 SU and ATS)
The Panthers attempt to avoid their first winless preseason since 2000 as they close out the summer against the Steelers for the seventh straight year.
Ben Roethlisberger returned to action Saturday and completed 15 of 19 passes for 168 yards while the defense allowed just 135 total yards as the Steelers blitzed the Bills 17-0, cashing as a six-point home favorite. If coach Mike Tomlin sticks with his previous Week 4 game plans, Roethlisberger will play very little if at all tonight (he didn’t play against Carolina last summer and threw just two passes in 2007). Look for veteran backup Charlie Batch to see most of the first-half action, followed by rookie Mike Reilly. No. 3 QB Dennis Dixon remains out with an injury.
Carolina’s lackluster preseason continued with Saturday’s 17-13 loss to Baltimore as a 3½-point home favorite, getting outgained 421-281. John Fox said if his starters go at all tonight, they’ll only be on the field for one or two series, though QB Jake Delhomme has sat out the exhibition finale against Pittsburgh each of the last two years. If that trend continues, look for Matt Moore (who didn’t play last week) to get the bulk of the work, with rookie Hunter Cantwell also seeing action. Delhomme’s backup – veteran Josh McCown – probably won’t play.
The Panthers are mired in a 2-8 SU and ATS preseason funk, going 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS at home in this span and 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
The Steelers are 3-10 ATS in its last 13 preseason road games, but two of the spread-covers came in Carolina in 2005 and 2007, both outright upsets. In fact, Pittsburgh and Carolina have capped the preseason against one another the last six years, with the Steelers going 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four. Also, the ‘dog is 5-0 ATS (3-2 SU) in the last five exhibition meetings, with four of those decided by four points or fewer.
The under is 14-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 16 preseason games (3-0 this year) and 7-1 in its last eight away from home. Also, the under is 5-2 in Carolina’s last seven summer home contests, and the last three preseason clashes between these teams have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
?
Carolina Panthers -3
ARI vs DEN
Game 123-124: Arizona at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 117.433; Denver 120.604
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NFL LONG SHEET
ARIZONA (0 - 3) at DENVER (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Insider Sports Report
3* Arizona Cardinals-3.5 over Denver Broncos
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Denver
?
Denver Broncos +3½
OAK vs SEA
Game 125-126: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.336; Seattle 126.628
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
raiders/sea under
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Oakland
NFL LONG SHEET
OAKLAND (1 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1993.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Seattle Seahawks -3
Burns
Raiders
I WILL GIVE A BETTER BREAK DOWN AS THE GAMES GET CLOSER
Game 127-128: South Carolina at North Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 90.665; North Carolina State 99.866
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 9; 49
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (-3 1/2); Over
Jimmy Boyd
South Carolina vs NC State NC State
-5-109 at 5dimes
3* 2009 NCAAF Season Opener (ESPN) on N.C. State -5
This one has revenge written all over it for the Wolfpack after getting thumped 34-0 at South Carolina last season. I expect 1st-Team All-ACC QB Russell Wilson to be the difference maker. The Pack return plenty of fire power with wide receivers Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams as well. This core group of guys gives NC State the edge against an S.C. team that lost a lot on both sides of the football. SC's defense carried the team last season and I don't expect it to be as good. While QB Stephen Garcia should be better, he has less to work with. Last season we saw the offense put up the worst numbers in the Spurrier era; 20.9 points per game, 94.1 rushing yards per game, 27 interceptions, and it could be worse this season. The Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games while the Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Lay the points.
Tony Bruno Wins
Nc State 20x
Dave Malinsky
4* South Carolina
charlie
college football. nc st-5 (30*)
Seabass
20* South Carolina
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 837-724-31
Current streak: 2 wins
Todays play: Over 46' NC State/South Carolina
The Gold Sheet
South Carolina 24 - NORTH CAROLINA STATE 23
Dr. K
South Carolina (+3.5) (+155) 24
NC State (U 46) 23
Brett Mavericks
big 10 star lock south carolina
Cappers Access
NC St
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
South Carolina kicks off its fifth season under coach Steve Spurrier as it travels to across state lines to battle the Wolfpack as these teams open up against each other for the second straight year.
The Gamecocks began 2008 with a 34-0 rout of North Carolina State as a 14-point home favorite which propelled them to a 7-3 start (6-3 ATS). However, South Carolina fell hard from there, losing its final three games by scores of 56-6 (at Florida), 31-14 (at Clemson) and 31-10 (vs. Iowa in the Outback Bowl), never threatening to cover in any of those contests to end the year 7-6 SU and 6-6 ATS.
After getting blitzed at South Carolina to start last season, North Carolina State went on to be the best bet in college football, covering the spread in 10 of its final 11 lined games, including the last eight in a row. The Wolfpack finished the regular season with four consecutive ACC victories (4-0 ATS) before losing to Rutgers 29-23 as a seven-point underdog in the Papajohns.com Bowl.
Both teams return their starting quarterbacks from a year ago. N.C. State redshirt freshman Russell Wilson completed 54.5 percent of his passes for 1,955 yards with a remarkable 17-1 touchdown to interception ratio, and he enters this game having thrown 249 passes without getting picked off. He leads an offense that averaged 23.5 points per game overall last year, while the defense surrendered 26.3 ppg.
South Carolina’s Stephen Garcia took over the starting QB chores in the middle of last season and finished completing just 53.3 percent of his throws for 832 yards with six TDs but eight INTs. The Gamecocks put up 20.8 ppg and defensively, they gave up an average of 15.6 points in the first 10 games but 39.3 in the final three.
In addition to cashing in its final eight contests last year, N.C. State is on a 15-4 ATS roll overall. However, the Wolfpack are otherwise in pointspread slumps of 2-7-1 in non-conference play, 7-19 as a favorite, 3-11 as a home chalk since 2004 and 3-9 in September. Meanwhile, South Carolina also carries negative ATS trends of 5-11-2 overall, 2-6 on the road, 2-5 in non-conference play and 0-4 as an underdog, but it is 8-4-1 ATS as a road pup since Spurrier took over.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Gamecocks’ last six roadies, but otherwise the team is on “under” runs of 6-1 in non-conference play, 5-2 versus the ACC, 5-1-1 in September and 5-2-1 on Thursday. Likewise, N.C. State is on “under” runs of 8-3-2 in non-league action, 10-2-1 as a favorite and 7-1 on Thursday. Finally, last year’s season-opening clash between these schools stayed well under the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Troy vs Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 88.330; Bowling Green 80.939
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Troy by 6; 59
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-6); Over
The Gold Sheet
Troy 35 - BOWLING GREEN 24
charlie
college football. troy-7 (20*)
Norm Hitzges
Troy -7 vs Bowling Green
C-Stars Sports
1000 Units Top Play Troy/Bowling Green Over the total
Scott Ferrall
TROY -6 ½ (1)
Bowling Green
Chris Johnson
100? TROY TROJANS - The Trojans are picked to win the Sun Belt Conference, they’ve got eight starters back on a dangerous offensive unit and continue to sport one of the nation’s most underrated defenses. Sure, there are some holes to fill with this team, but there is so much talent, I don’t see how it won’t run away with the conference title.
The offensive firepower will be led by quarterback Levi Brown, running back DeJuan Harris, receivers Jerrel Jernigan and Cornelius Williams as well as three returning starters on the offensive line. Quite frankly, that’s plenty for an offense that ranked 26th in the nation in scoring and 27th overall on offense. All we’re talking about with the O is to replace a pair of tackles, and it’s not as if coach Larry Blakeney is plugging the holes with freshmen … two upper classmen will be in those spots.
Defensively, only five starters are back, I know this, but linebacker Boris Lee is an all-conference performer who has been the Trojan’s top tackler the past two years. He'll get plenty of help from standout ends Brandon Lang (NO! Not the goof you’re thinking of) and Cameron Sheffield. There’s plenty of experience in the secondary, as the Trojans have plenty of upper classmen to join senior Jorrick Calvin, the team’s lone returner in the defensive backfield.
So what about Bowling Green you’re asking? The Falcons are in off a 6-6 season and will be led by new head coach Dave Clawson, who served as Tennessee's offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach last season. And while I’d assume his focus will be on offense, I don’t see the defense that returns a mere three starters challenging the aforementioned high-potent offense.
Lay the road chalk tonight with Troy.
Dr. K
Troy St (-6.5) 31
Bowling Green (U 56.5) (+215) 24
Arthur Ralph Sports
Troy College FB -7
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Troy -7
Villanova vs Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 79.510; Temple 77.262
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 2
Coastal Carolina vs Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 47.359; Kent State 77.810
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 30 1/2
North Texas vs Ball St
The Gold Sheet
BALL STATE 42 - North Texas 17
Insider Sports Report
4* N. Texas +17 over Ball St.
Johnny Guild
North Texas Mean Green (0-0) at Ball State Cardinals (0-0)
Ball State Stadium, Muncie, Indiana
Ball State sound offense of 2008 is departed, off to the NFL, including quarterback Nate Davis, but North Texas defense hasn’t changed. The Mean Green defense could be ranked last in the nation for the third year straight. Take the Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals - 16
sportsbetsnow - 57% L30D
North Texas +16.5 1 unit
charlie
500* north texas @ ball st over 58
charlie
college football. ball st-16' (10*)
Dr. K
North Texas (O 59) 17
Ball St (-17) (-1250) 47
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 61.380; Ball State 77.241
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 16; 55
Vegas Line: Ball State by 17 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Under
WUNDERDOG NCAAF
Pick: 4 units on Ball State -17 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 59.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Ball State Cardinals put themselves on the map last season winning 12 games and a national ranking. The Cards lost a lot on offense and have just four starters returning. But, that includes RB MiQuale Lewis who ran for 1,736 yards last year and 22 TDs, and WR Briggs Orsbon who caught 68 balls a year ago. The Cardinals will be breaking in a new QB, so I'd look for the offense to be dominated by Lewis running a lot here, especially against a poor North Texas defense. The strength of the Cardinals may be on the defensive front line as they have all four starters from a good unit coming back. North Texas has gone just 3-21 over their last three years and went 1-11 a year ago. In the early going last season, they were especially bad, losing each of their first five games by 30 points or more. Even with a lot of returnees, there is just such a mountain to climb here. Despite the losses, Ball State is still light years ahead of this North Texas team and I like them to run away with this one. I also like the UNDER here. The Mean Green will also be breaking in a new QB in this one, so both teams could be pounding the ball and passing short. With two brand new QB's I expect a conservative approach in the opener, and a lot of running. I have a system that features early-season games with inexperienced QBs that has gone UNDER to the tune of 33-16 the past five years. I like this one to come in under 60 points.
From Lt. Dan
UNDER 59'... 1 Unit
Bryan Leonard's NCAA Opening Night Gridiron Gold
135/136 North Texas at Ball State
A popular theory in handicapping the first week of the college football season is to back teams with a significant edge in returning starters. Our old friend Mike Lee who has since passed was the originator of this theory. Despite it's common thought process in these days the theory continues to make sense and money, especially if you jump on it early. While this game opened higher it's still a value at plus 17 or more as we expect this line to close in the 15 range.
North Texas returns 16 starters from a football team that won just once a season ago. But now coach Todd Dodge is in his key third year in the program and his son who also happens to be the signal caller has a firm grasp on it's intricacies. Riley Dodge grew up under his dad's tutelage as his father was a coaching legend in the high school ranks. Leading rusher Cam Montgomery from a season ago really came on at the end of the year to give this team a terrific run/pass combination.
Ball State had a breakout season a year ago under coach Brady Hoke but the losses are huge. Three year starting quarterback Nate Davis was drafted, four starting offensive linemen have departed as well as the top four receivers including Darius Hill who was outstanding. This team brings back just 11 starters and a completely new coaching staff as Hoke took advantage of the career year to go to San Diego State. His parallel move tells us all we need to know about this Cardinal program. Hoke knew the writing was on the wall as this Ball State team is in for a terrible fall this season. This now becomes a young team without any proven leaders. Not only must they win this game but they must do so by close to a three touchdown margin. The differences from the MAC and the Sun Belt are not nearly that large as we take advantage of new coach Stan Parrish and his young overrated squad in the season opener.
PLAY NORTH TEXAS
North Dakota St vs Iowa St
North Dakota State at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 73.764; Iowa State 78.457
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4 1/2
Eastern Kentucky vs Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 62.186; Indiana 79.435
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 17
Utah st vs Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 80.805; Utah 100.492
Dunkel Line: Utah by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 21; 52
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+21); Under
WUNDERDOG NCAAF
Pick: 4 units on Utah -20.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Utah was a perfect 13-0 a year ago. Despite losing a lot of talent to graduation, this is a team with a lot of depth and excellent recruiting every year. So the drop is not a huge one. They have to replace the best QB in school history but there are three viable candidates, and the offense returns many talented skill players at RB and WR. The defense is good and loaded with talent, especially at linebacker. It will be the defense that carries the team this time around. We go from one of the Mountain West's annual powers, to one of the WAC's annual losers, and the weak sister in the state. The Aggies finished just 3-9 a year ago and have a lot of returning players, but the problem is that the talent level here vs. the Utes is a very wide gap. That disparity is quite big as evidenced by the fact that the last five years these teams have met, the scores add up to 219-41 for Utah, or an average win of 34 points per game. There have been three games decided by 40+ points in the last five years. Utah is the choice in this one.
Dr. K
Utah St (O 52.5) 14
Utah (-20.5) (-2500) 41
ATS Lock Club
4 Utah St
charlie
college football. utah-20' (10*) Bonus Play
Free Silver Key Pick for Thursday NCAA Football
Utah State +21.5 Over UTAH (9 et)
charlie
college football. utah @ utah st over 52 (20*)
Mr. A’s
Utah Utes -21
Burns
Utah St
The Gold Sheet
UTAH 30 - Utah State 14
CKO
UNDER (52) in the Utah State-Utah game
Oregon vs Boise St
Big Al Thursday Night Game of the Year
At 10:15 pm, our Thursday Night Game of the Year is on the 16th-ranked Oregon Ducks plus the points over 14th-ranked Boise State, as Oregon falls into two revenge systems of mine that are 38-13 and 57-24 ATS since 1980. And our 57-24 ATS system is on a 12-0 ATS run since September 5, 2004! Last year, Boise went into Eugene as 10-point underdogs and upset the Ducks 37-32. But you know what they say about "paybacks!" In last year's game, Oregon was forced to use three quarterbacks due to injuries sustained against Boise State. That, however, shouldn't be a problem on Thursday. And, speaking of quarterbacks, Oregon has a great one, in junior Jeremiah Masoli, who fits new coach Chip Kelly's spread system perfectly. Indeed, Masoli might just be the best QB in the Pac-10. Also, no conference performs better as underdogs than the Pac-10, as its teams are a solid 188-135 as underdogs vs. non-conference foes since 1980, including an eye-popping 79-39 ATS when our Pac-10 team is NOT a losing team, and it's a competitive game where the pointspread is less than 7 points. Oregon, itself, is 23-12 ATS its last 35 as underdogs, including 9-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes. Take the points. Thursday Night Game of the Year on the Oregon Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my big winners on Saturday in College Football, or my NFL and Baseball Winners, as we're having a great season thus far (including 78% in the Preseason)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 109.912; Boise State 105.588
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Boise State by 6; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+6); Over
Dr. K
Oregon (O 63.5) (+170) 30
Boise St (-5) 35
Cappers Access
Oregon
The Gold Sheet
BOISE STATE 34 - Oregon 32
CKO
OVER (64) in the Oregon-Boise State game
Burns Main Event
Under Oregon/Boise St
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
One of the most intriguing matchups of college football’s opening weekend comes from Bronco Stadium, where No. 14 Boise State looks for its 50th straight regular-season win on the blue turf as it hosts the 16th-ranked Ducks and new coach Chip Kelly.
The Broncos started last season with 12 consecutive wins, including a 37-32 upset victory at Oregon on Sept. 20. But after steamrolling to their sixth consecutive Western Athletic Conference title and climbing to No. 9 in the polls, they failed to gain a berth in a BCS Bowl. Boise State ended up settling for the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego, where it fell 17-16 to 11th-ranked TCU, cashing as a three-point underdog to finish the year 12-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS.
In what was expected to be a rebuilding season in 2008, Oregon ended up tied for second place in the Pac-10 standings and finished 10-3 overall (7-6 ATS) in longtime coach Mike Bellotti’s final year. After losing to Boise State, the Ducks won six of their final eight games, including the last four in a row, capped by a 42-31 victory over Oklahoma State as a 2½-point underdog in the Holiday Bowl.
In last year’s meeting in Eugene, Ore., Boise State jumped out to a 37-13 lead after three quarters then withstood a furious Ducks rally to hold on for the 37-32 win as a 10½-point road underdog. The game featured 888 yards of total offense and six turnovers (four by Oregon).
The Broncos averaged 37.6 points and 440.8 yards per game last year, and they ranked third in the nation in scoring defense (12.6 ppg allowed). QB Kellen Moore, who threw for 386 yards and three TDs in the win at Oregon, is one of 12 returning starters for Boise State (six offense, six defense). Moore last year completed 69 percent of his passes for 3,486 yards, 25 TDs and 10 INTs.
Kelly was the offensive coordinator the last two seasons under Bellotti and last year guided a unit that ranked seven nationally in scoring (42 ppg) and second in rushing (280.1 ypg). Junior QB Jeremiah Masoli (57 percent, 1,744 yards, 13 TDs, 5 INTs; 718 rushing yards, 10 TDs last year) is one of just 10 returning starters for the Ducks.
Boise State cashed in its final three games last year and went 2-2-1 ATS in its five lined home games, but it is 40-17-2 ATS in its last 59 at Bronco Stadium. In fact, the Broncos have won 49 consecutive regular-season games on the Smurf Turf dating to Sept. 8, 2001, though they did lose to Boston College in the 2005 Humanitarian Bowl on their home field. Additionally, Boise is on ATS surges of 4-1-1 against the Pac-10, 5-1 on Thursday and 15-3 when laying 10 points or less.
Oregon is 8-1 in its last nine non-conference games (6-1 ATS in lined action), the lone loss coming to the Broncos last year. Also, under Bellotti, the Ducks were 13-6 ATS in its last 19 as a road ‘dog, and they’re on further pointspread runs of 13-5 in September, 4-1 against the WAC and 14-6 on artificial turf.
The Ducks are on “over” runs of 7-3-2 overall, 16-5-2 in September, 6-0 against the WAC and 6-1-1 on artificial turf. However, the under is 8-3 in Boise State’s last 11 in September and 11-4 in its last 15 non-league games. Finally, last year’s 37-32 shootout easily cleared the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Insider Sports Report
4* Oregon/Boise St. UNDER 64
Burns
Oregon Under
Johnny Guild
Boise State Broncos -3
CAROLINA SPORTS
Opinion: Boise State -3
sportsbetsnow - 57% L30D
Boise St -3 1 unit
charlie
500* oregon @ boise st under 64'
500* boise st-3
ATS Lock Club
3 Boise St
Seabass
20* Oregon
C-Stars Sports
50 Units Oregon Plus the points over Boise State
Joe Wiz
Oregon Ducks
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #147 Akron +27
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #170 E Mich -5
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #183 ID +3
From Lt. Dan
1 unit #199 MTSU +19'
From another forum and not confirmed.
Dr. Bob
Best Bet
Ole Miss
Opinions
Missouri
Cinnci
UCLA under
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Akron vs Penn State Penn State
-26-108 at 5dimes
5* NCAAF Non-Conference GOTY on Penn State -26
The Nittany Lions dominated their non-conference schedule last season and I fully expect that to be the case again. They started off the year with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina and they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate that they are every bit as good as last year's team. Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster lead the offense, but I expect Penn State's defense to be the key here. The Nittany Lions ranked 8th in the nation last year in both total and scoring defense and I expect them to be even better this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MAC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Toledo vs Purdue Toledo
+10½-110 at 5dimes
4* Major Week 1 Underdog Shocker on Toledo +10.5
Toledo beat a Michigan team last season that was better than the Purdue team they will face Saturday. Plus, this Toledo team, which returns 16 starters is expected to be greatly improved as well. The Boilermakers will be a bottom of the barrel type team in the Big Ten this season. No Curtis Painter and no Kory Sheets equals no offense. The Boilermakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the MAC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (4:00p)
Rice vs UAB UAB
-5-110 at bodog
4* Major Conference USA Game of the Month on UAB -5
UAB returns all 11 offensive starters, and I expect this unit, led by QB Joe Webb to torch a Rice defense which allowed 33.0 ppg last season. The Owls won 10 games last year but lost all of their offense and won't be able to answer the call. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blazers are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. UAB finished the season with 3 wins in its last 5 games, and nearly beat Conference USA champ East Carolina. Look for UAB to be jacked up to start the year at home and in conference play.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (7:00p)
Ul Monroe vs Texas Texas
-40½-102 at 5dimes
3* SMASH on Texas -40.5
IL Monroe is one of the worst football teams in the country. The Longhorns opened up last football season with a 42-point win over a much better FAU squad. They then posted 42-point wins in their next two home non-conference games. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the S-Belt. Plus, UL Monroe is 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Texas will win by as much as they want to and that should be good enough for a cover here.
DET vs BUF
Game 101-102: Detroit at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.810; Buffalo 124.679
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 30
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 33
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
DETROIT (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Wunderdog
Game: Detroit at Buffalo (Thursday 9/03 6:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit +3.5 (-120)
The Lions did not win a game last year in the regular season. But, they did run the table in the preseason. They have already won two games this preseason and it's becoming evident that this team is about winning in the NFLX. The Lions may have an advantage in this game thanks to the continuing QB battle between rookie Matthew Stafford and veteran Dante Culpepper. In a game that usually sees starters rested, each of these top two QBs will likely see more time than the typical game four. The Bills coach Dick Juaron has never had a winning preseason as coach of the Bills and he will likely just run the clock and let the game pass. Juaron is just 13-22 in his 35 preseason coached games and that number is even worse in game four as he is just 2-6. I look for the Lions to at the very least cover this one, if not come away with the outright win.
?
Detroit Lions +3
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Detroit +3
PHIL vs NYJ
igz1 sports
3* Over 38 (-110) Philadelphia vs NY Jets
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL Philadelphia +3
Trushel
eagles
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Philadelphia
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Philadelphia (1-2, 0-3 ATS) at N.Y. Jets (1-2, 2-1 ATS)
The Jets look to continue their Week 4 preseason dominance of the Eagles and avoid their first losing summer since 1996 as these teams close out the exhibition campaign against each other for the ninth straight year.
Philadelphia rallied from deficits off 17-3, 27-13 and 30-20 against the Jaguars a week ago, pulling out a 33-32 victory, never threatening to cover as a seven-point home favorite. Michael Vick made his much-hyped debut in the contest, going 4-for-4 for 19 yards and rushing once for a yard as he played six first-half snaps.
Eagles coach Andy Reid said QB Donovan McNabb, RB Brian Westbrook and many of his starters will sit this game out. Backup QB Kevin Kolb will start, with Vick going under center late in the first half and starting the second half at quarterback. A.J. Feeley would follow Vick.
The Jets held off the Giants in their annual Week 3 preseason battle on Saturday, eking out a 27-25 victory as a three-point underdog. New York coach Rex Ryan said rookie QBMark Sanchez and the rest of his starters will play just one series. Backup Kellen Clemens should follow, but expect rookie Erik Ainge to see the bulk of the action.
New York is 8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS since the start of the 2007 preseason, but it is just 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine at the Meadowlands (including neutral-site games against the Giants). The Jets have also failed to cash in five of their last six when laying points in the preseason.
Not only have the Eagles failed to cover in four straight preseason games, they’re 3-8 ATS in exhibition action since the start of 2007 and they’re 1-6 SU (2-5 ATS) as a preseason visitor since 2006. They’ve also dropped seven consecutive Week 4 meetings against the Jets and they’re 2-6 ATS in this preseason rivalry since 2001. Four of those eight battles were decided by three points or less.
Philadelphia has gone over the posted price in six straight preseason games and 10 of its last 11, while New York has topped the total in four straight exhibition outings going back to last year’s 27-20 win over the Eagles. In fact, the over is 4-1 in the last five summer meetings between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS and OVER
Game 103-104: Philadelphia at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.773; NY Jets 123.094
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY JETS (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.
NY JETS are 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Philadelphia Eagles +3
WAS vs JAX
igz1 sports
4* Washington +5 (-115)
Game 107-108: Washington at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.722; Jacksonville 123.920
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 8; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 5; 35
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-5); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
bettingjesus
10-2 run Bonus Play Washington +5 (-115)
?
Washington Redskins +6
Norm Hitzges
Jacksonville -6.5 vs Washington
NYG vs NE
Game 105-106: NY Giants at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 121.337; New England 120.829
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 34
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
ny giants
NFL LONG SHEET
NY GIANTS (1 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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New England Patriots +3
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* New England
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* NY Giants -3
IND vs CIN
Game 111-112: Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 115.508; Cincinnati 120.542
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Over
CAROLINA SPORTS
3* Cinci -3.5
NFL LONG SHEET
INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Norm Hitzges
Cincinnati -3.5 vs Indy
?
Cincinnati Bengals -3½
BALT vs ATL
Game 109-110: Baltimore at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 121.431; Atlanta 123.467
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
BALTIMORE (3 - 0) at ATLANTA (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in dome games since 1993.
ATLANTA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Atlanta Falcons -2½
CLE vs CHI
Game 115-116: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.866; Chicago 121.298
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL Cleveland +3
NFL LONG SHEET
CLEVELAND (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Chicago Bears -2½
ATS Lock Club
3 Bears
MIAMI vs NO
Game 117-118: Miami at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.426; New Orleans 125.812
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over
Burns
Dolphins Under
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Miami
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Miami (3-0, 2-0-1 ATS) at New Orleans (3-0 SU and ATS)
For the third straight year, the Dolphins and Saints – both of whom are gunning for their first perfect summer this decade – end the exhibition campaign with a battle at the Superdome.
Miami rallied for a 10-6 victory at Tampa Bay last Thursday, covering in a pick-em contest in a game delayed for an hour in the first half because of a lightning storm. Coach Tony Sparano didn’t tip his hand with regard to playing time tonight, but in last year’s preseason finale against the Saints, starting QB Chad Penning threw just four passes, with backup Chad Henne playing the majority of the game. Expect the same tonight, with Henne followed by rookie Pat White.
New Orleans is coming off the most dominating performance of any NFL team this preseason, plastering the Raiders 45-7 as a three-point road chalk. Saints coach Sean Payton, whose team has won its three games by a combined score of 100-28, said his first-string units will probably play just one series. However, QB Drew Brees (14-for-17, 179 yards, 2 TDs in less than a half vs. Oakland) may sit out as he did last year in Week 4. Mark Brunell will either start or replace Brees, but the bulk of the QB playing time will likely go to third-stringer Joey Harrington.
Since beginning the Sparano era with a 17-6 loss to Tampa Bay last year, the Dolphins have now won six consecutive preseason games (6-0 ATS), going 3-0 SU and ATS on the road during this stretch. That includes a 14-10 win in New Orleans as a one-point road pup to end the 2008 preseason. Since 2007, Miami is on a 4-1 ATS roll as an underdog, and it is 4-2 SU and ATS in its last six Week 4 contests, including 3-1 SU and ATS against the Saints.
Although it scored a 17-7 Week 1 win and spread-cover over the Bengals at the Superdome, New Orleans remains just 2-5 SU and ATS at home since Payton took over. The Saints are also 1-5 SU and ATS in preseason finales since 2003.
These teams have met in preseason play seven times since 1999, with the visitor going 6-1 SU and ATS. Also, the underdog cashed in all seven games.
The Saints have topped the total the last two weeks, following a 9-2 “under” run in exhibition play. Miami has stayed low in eight of Miami’s last 10 summer contests, including six of the last seven. Finally, the under is 3-1 in the last four Saints-Dolphins preseason battles and 5-1 in New Orleans’ last six preseason finales.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI and UNDER
NFL LONG SHEET
MIAMI (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in dome games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1993.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
igz1 sports
4* Miami +3.5 (-110)
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New Orleans Saints -3
GB vs TENN
igz1 sports
3* Tennessee -3.5 (-110)
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
gb/tenn under
Game 119-120: Green Bay at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.127; Tennessee 126.537
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under
NFL LONG SHEET
GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at TENNESSEE (2 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Norm Hitzges
Green Bay +3.5 vs Tennessee
Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd
5* NFLX Blowout of the Year on Titans -3
Green Bay (3-0) has nothing left to prove this preseason and because of that Aaron Rodgers is only expected to play one series. Backup QB Matt Flynn is not 100% and that means Brian Brohm, who has looked horrible, should see most of the snaps. The Titans are coming of back-to-back losses on the road and I expect them to bounce back at home here to build some momentum for the regular season. Tennessee has the superior QB depth with Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey. Green Bay's defense gave up 37 points on the road last week and cornerbacks Al Harris and Charles Woodson may not even make the trip, and certainly won't play much, if at all, if they do. Lay the points.
?
Green Bay Packers +3½
KC vs STL
Game 121-122: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.201; St. Louis 121.980
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over
NFL LONG SHEET
KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ALATEX NFLX
9/3/09 NFL 20* Superplay: Kansas City -1
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St. Louis Rams +1
PITT vs CAR
Game 113-114: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 120.717; Carolina 121.481
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Over
NFL LONG SHEET
PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
igz1 sports
4* Under 34 (-110) Pittsburgh vs Carolina
Norm Hitzges
Carolina/Pittsburgh Under 34
Burns
Panthers (GOY)
igz1 sports
3* Pittsburgh +3.5 (-110)
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Pittsburgh (2-1 SU and ATS) at Carolina (0-3 SU and ATS)
The Panthers attempt to avoid their first winless preseason since 2000 as they close out the summer against the Steelers for the seventh straight year.
Ben Roethlisberger returned to action Saturday and completed 15 of 19 passes for 168 yards while the defense allowed just 135 total yards as the Steelers blitzed the Bills 17-0, cashing as a six-point home favorite. If coach Mike Tomlin sticks with his previous Week 4 game plans, Roethlisberger will play very little if at all tonight (he didn’t play against Carolina last summer and threw just two passes in 2007). Look for veteran backup Charlie Batch to see most of the first-half action, followed by rookie Mike Reilly. No. 3 QB Dennis Dixon remains out with an injury.
Carolina’s lackluster preseason continued with Saturday’s 17-13 loss to Baltimore as a 3½-point home favorite, getting outgained 421-281. John Fox said if his starters go at all tonight, they’ll only be on the field for one or two series, though QB Jake Delhomme has sat out the exhibition finale against Pittsburgh each of the last two years. If that trend continues, look for Matt Moore (who didn’t play last week) to get the bulk of the work, with rookie Hunter Cantwell also seeing action. Delhomme’s backup – veteran Josh McCown – probably won’t play.
The Panthers are mired in a 2-8 SU and ATS preseason funk, going 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS at home in this span and 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
The Steelers are 3-10 ATS in its last 13 preseason road games, but two of the spread-covers came in Carolina in 2005 and 2007, both outright upsets. In fact, Pittsburgh and Carolina have capped the preseason against one another the last six years, with the Steelers going 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four. Also, the ‘dog is 5-0 ATS (3-2 SU) in the last five exhibition meetings, with four of those decided by four points or fewer.
The under is 14-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 16 preseason games (3-0 this year) and 7-1 in its last eight away from home. Also, the under is 5-2 in Carolina’s last seven summer home contests, and the last three preseason clashes between these teams have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
?
Carolina Panthers -3
ARI vs DEN
Game 123-124: Arizona at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 117.433; Denver 120.604
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NFL LONG SHEET
ARIZONA (0 - 3) at DENVER (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Insider Sports Report
3* Arizona Cardinals-3.5 over Denver Broncos
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Denver
?
Denver Broncos +3½
OAK vs SEA
Game 125-126: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.336; Seattle 126.628
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under
Joe wiz Bonus Plays
raiders/sea under
Pointwise NFLX Phone selections...
2* Oakland
NFL LONG SHEET
OAKLAND (1 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1993.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
?
Seattle Seahawks -3
Burns
Raiders
I WILL GIVE A BETTER BREAK DOWN AS THE GAMES GET CLOSER
Jim Ashland
NCAAF Week 1
New guy on Sam Clayton's site...
25 dime - Eastern Michigan -5.5
Eastern Michigan
This team is going to be better than they have been in previous years. Now I’m not talking about bowl contention, but I do think they will be more competitive in the MAC this year. Andy Schmitt’s back and he is a big quarterback at 6’4". Last year he threw for 2,644 and 15 touchdowns with 8 picks. Those numbers will improve with 7 receivers returning with game experience including Jacory Stone and Josh Leduc is a strong tight end. Also, the offensive line returns 4 guys that have had either started or have game experience. On defense there are some questions, linebackers will be some what of a problem with the departure of Daniel Holtzclaw but the defensive line is bringing in Junior College transfer to fill the spots and the secondary is returning 3 starters. Yes, this is a unit that gave up 27 touchdowns through the air, however, you must remember Eastern Mich is playing Army, a notorious running team.
Army
Army’s offense has a lot of work to do they only threw 3, yes only 3, touchdown passes last year and only attempted 10 passes per game. In a normal college football game you usually play in between 65-70 snaps that means one out of every 7 offensive plays they tried to throw the ball. That’s horrible. Army has a new coach in from Cal Poly. While he was there they ran the triple option to perfection. However, this isn't Cal Poly and Army isn’t very good. In college when you play against a team that runs this sort of offense in the middle of the season it can be very difficult to prepare for because it has a lot of motions and fakes. But seeing that Eastern Michigan has been preparing all summer for this I think they get the job done. Also there is not one projected offensive lineman on Army’s team who has started a game.
Final Thoughts
Eastern Michigan is the better team. This is also week 1 Eastern Michigan is going to be excited to play especially at home. I like this game because Army will not be able to expose Eastern Michigan’s secondary because they can’t throw the ball at all. And Eastern Michigan's offense will be able to score at will against the weak Army 'D'.
Army 17
Eastern Michigan 31
--
15 dime - Illinois -6.5
Illinois
This is a very important season for Ron Zook. This Illinois team needs to play well early. On offense there isn’t much of a problem, they have probably the second best WR unit in the nation behind only the Irish. Daniel Dufrene and Jason Ford will both take carries and are both capable of breaking the game open. Also having Dufrene back as a senior I think is very important. The offensive line returns three starters from last year’s team. And when the Juice is on he’s as good as anyone. He's entering his senior season, it’s time to grow up and I think he will with a lot of the supporting cast back. The defensive unit is a little bit of a mystery. Martez Wilson returns but is going to play middle and they return three starters in the secondary. I’m very interested in how the front seven will play as a lot of guys on defense have game experience but NO returning starters. It is very important for the Illini to stop the run this year.
Missouri
On offense a ton of questions will be answered as Blaine Gabbert will take the reigns from Chase Daniel. Blaine will be starting his first collegiate football game. Jeremy Maclin is not here anymore, who is going to be their down field threat? Derrick Washington is back at running back and he is a tough player runs hard and is physical. But he's only one player. The offensive line returns three starters and that is a plus. I know how Missouri is going to come out -- they are going to run first and throw second -- they are not going to put a lot of pressure on Gabbert. I just do not see this offense being as explosive as they were last year. Onto the defense... Sean Weatherspoon is one of the best if not the best linebacker in the nation. But they only return four starters return on a defense that was BRUTAL against the pass last year. This secondary gave up on average of 286.6 yards through the air, good enough for dead last in the Big XII.
Final Thoughts
Illinois' offense has the potential to put up a lot of points this year and it's so important that the Illini get off to a fast start. The defense is a question but if they can clamp down on the run early, I think that Illinois can jump out to a nice lead. Last year Jeremy Maclin had 234 all purpose yards and had 2 scores on special teams, a punt for 45 yards and a kickoff for 99 yards. HE IS GONE. I just cannot see Missouri winning this game. Missouri has to replace Chase Daniel, Jeremy Maclin, Chase Coffman, Ziggy Hood, William Moore and Stryker Sulak. All have moved on to the NFL. Not to mention Missouri has to replace three players in the defensive backfield and they were BAD. Also, Mizzou head coach Gary Pinkel said in an interview that he will play 5 true freshman on Saturday. That doesn’t sound good at all.
Illinois 41
Missouri 21
NCAAF Week 1
New guy on Sam Clayton's site...
25 dime - Eastern Michigan -5.5
Eastern Michigan
This team is going to be better than they have been in previous years. Now I’m not talking about bowl contention, but I do think they will be more competitive in the MAC this year. Andy Schmitt’s back and he is a big quarterback at 6’4". Last year he threw for 2,644 and 15 touchdowns with 8 picks. Those numbers will improve with 7 receivers returning with game experience including Jacory Stone and Josh Leduc is a strong tight end. Also, the offensive line returns 4 guys that have had either started or have game experience. On defense there are some questions, linebackers will be some what of a problem with the departure of Daniel Holtzclaw but the defensive line is bringing in Junior College transfer to fill the spots and the secondary is returning 3 starters. Yes, this is a unit that gave up 27 touchdowns through the air, however, you must remember Eastern Mich is playing Army, a notorious running team.
Army
Army’s offense has a lot of work to do they only threw 3, yes only 3, touchdown passes last year and only attempted 10 passes per game. In a normal college football game you usually play in between 65-70 snaps that means one out of every 7 offensive plays they tried to throw the ball. That’s horrible. Army has a new coach in from Cal Poly. While he was there they ran the triple option to perfection. However, this isn't Cal Poly and Army isn’t very good. In college when you play against a team that runs this sort of offense in the middle of the season it can be very difficult to prepare for because it has a lot of motions and fakes. But seeing that Eastern Michigan has been preparing all summer for this I think they get the job done. Also there is not one projected offensive lineman on Army’s team who has started a game.
Final Thoughts
Eastern Michigan is the better team. This is also week 1 Eastern Michigan is going to be excited to play especially at home. I like this game because Army will not be able to expose Eastern Michigan’s secondary because they can’t throw the ball at all. And Eastern Michigan's offense will be able to score at will against the weak Army 'D'.
Army 17
Eastern Michigan 31
--
15 dime - Illinois -6.5
Illinois
This is a very important season for Ron Zook. This Illinois team needs to play well early. On offense there isn’t much of a problem, they have probably the second best WR unit in the nation behind only the Irish. Daniel Dufrene and Jason Ford will both take carries and are both capable of breaking the game open. Also having Dufrene back as a senior I think is very important. The offensive line returns three starters from last year’s team. And when the Juice is on he’s as good as anyone. He's entering his senior season, it’s time to grow up and I think he will with a lot of the supporting cast back. The defensive unit is a little bit of a mystery. Martez Wilson returns but is going to play middle and they return three starters in the secondary. I’m very interested in how the front seven will play as a lot of guys on defense have game experience but NO returning starters. It is very important for the Illini to stop the run this year.
Missouri
On offense a ton of questions will be answered as Blaine Gabbert will take the reigns from Chase Daniel. Blaine will be starting his first collegiate football game. Jeremy Maclin is not here anymore, who is going to be their down field threat? Derrick Washington is back at running back and he is a tough player runs hard and is physical. But he's only one player. The offensive line returns three starters and that is a plus. I know how Missouri is going to come out -- they are going to run first and throw second -- they are not going to put a lot of pressure on Gabbert. I just do not see this offense being as explosive as they were last year. Onto the defense... Sean Weatherspoon is one of the best if not the best linebacker in the nation. But they only return four starters return on a defense that was BRUTAL against the pass last year. This secondary gave up on average of 286.6 yards through the air, good enough for dead last in the Big XII.
Final Thoughts
Illinois' offense has the potential to put up a lot of points this year and it's so important that the Illini get off to a fast start. The defense is a question but if they can clamp down on the run early, I think that Illinois can jump out to a nice lead. Last year Jeremy Maclin had 234 all purpose yards and had 2 scores on special teams, a punt for 45 yards and a kickoff for 99 yards. HE IS GONE. I just cannot see Missouri winning this game. Missouri has to replace Chase Daniel, Jeremy Maclin, Chase Coffman, Ziggy Hood, William Moore and Stryker Sulak. All have moved on to the NFL. Not to mention Missouri has to replace three players in the defensive backfield and they were BAD. Also, Mizzou head coach Gary Pinkel said in an interview that he will play 5 true freshman on Saturday. That doesn’t sound good at all.
Illinois 41
Missouri 21
