Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd
College Football Premium Picks
NCAA-F | Sep 03 '09 (7:00p)
South Carolina vs NC State NC State
-5-109 at 5dimes
3* 2009 NCAAF Season Opener (ESPN) on N.C. State -5
This one has revenge written all over it for the Wolfpack after getting thumped 34-0 at South Carolina last season. I expect 1st-Team All-ACC QB Russell Wilson to be the difference maker. The Pack return plenty of fire power with wide receivers Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams as well. This core group of guys gives NC State the edge against an S.C. team that lost a lot on both sides of the football. SC's defense carried the team last season and I don't expect it to be as good. While QB Stephen Garcia should be better, he has less to work with. Last season we saw the offense put up the worst numbers in the Spurrier era; 20.9 points per game, 94.1 rushing yards per game, 27 interceptions, and it could be worse this season. The Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games while the Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Lay the points.
-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Akron vs Penn State Penn State
-26-108 at 5dimes
5* NCAAF Non-Conference GOTY on Penn State -26
The Nittany Lions dominated their non-conference schedule last season and I fully expect that to be the case again. They started off the year with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina and they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate that they are every bit as good as last year's team. Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster lead the offense, but I expect Penn State's defense to be the key here. The Nittany Lions ranked 8th in the nation last year in both total and scoring defense and I expect them to be even better this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MAC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Toledo vs Purdue Toledo
+10½-110 at 5dimes
4* Major Week 1 Underdog Shocker on Toledo +10.5
Toledo beat a Michigan team last season that was better than the Purdue team they will face Saturday. Plus, this Toledo team, which returns 16 starters is expected to be greatly improved as well. The Boilermakers will be a bottom of the barrel type team in the Big Ten this season. No Curtis Painter and no Kory Sheets equals no offense. The Boilermakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the MAC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (4:00p)
Rice vs UAB UAB
-5-110 at bodog
4* Major Conference USA Game of the Month on UAB -5
UAB returns all 11 offensive starters, and I expect this unit, led by QB Joe Webb to torch a Rice defense which allowed 33.0 ppg last season. The Owls won 10 games last year but lost all of their offense and won't be able to answer the call. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blazers are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. UAB finished the season with 3 wins in its last 5 games, and nearly beat Conference USA champ East Carolina. Look for UAB to be jacked up to start the year at home and in conference play.
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (7:00p)
Ul Monroe vs Texas Texas
-40½-102 at 5dimes
3* SMASH on Texas -40.5
IL Monroe is one of the worst football teams in the country. The Longhorns opened up last football season with a 42-point win over a much better FAU squad. They then posted 42-point wins in their next two home non-conference games. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the S-Belt. Plus, UL Monroe is 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Texas will win by as much as they want to and that should be good enough for a cover here.
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NFL Football Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-
NFL | Sep 03 '09 (8:00p)
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
-3-110 at bodog
5* NFLX Blowout of the Year on Titans -3
Green Bay (3-0) has nothing left to prove this preseason and because of that Aaron Rodgers is only expected to play one series. Backup QB Matt Flynn is not 100% and that means Brian Brohm, who has looked horrible, should see most of the snaps. The Titans are coming of back-to-back losses on the road and I expect them to bounce back at home here to build some momentum for the regular season. Tennessee has the superior QB depth with Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey. Green Bay's defense gave up 37 points on the road last week and cornerbacks Al Harris and Charles Woodson may not even make the trip, and certainly won't play much, if at all, if they do. Lay the points.