Today's NBA Picks
Atlanta at Cleveland
The Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 11 points or more, while the Cavs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Cleveland is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 715-716: Atlanta at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.485; Cleveland 132.847
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 15 1/2; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 13; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13); Under
Atlanta at Cleveland
The Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 11 points or more, while the Cavs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Cleveland is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 715-716: Atlanta at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.485; Cleveland 132.847
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 15 1/2; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 13; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13); Under
Today's NHL Picks
Detroit at Anaheim
The Ducks come off a 2-1 win in Game Three and look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 25-26: Vancouver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.788; Chicago 12.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-165); Over
Game 27-28: Detroit at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.451; Anaheim 11.863
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130); Under
Detroit at Anaheim
The Ducks come off a 2-1 win in Game Three and look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 25-26: Vancouver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.788; Chicago 12.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-165); Over
Game 27-28: Detroit at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.451; Anaheim 11.863
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+130); Under
Today's MLB Picks
Arizona at San Diego
The Padres look to bounce back from yesterday's defeat against an Arizona team that is just 2-9 in its last 11 games following a win. San Diego is the underdog pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115). Here are all of today's games
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.746; Florida (Sanchez) 14.505
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Over
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.967; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 13.766
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-190); Under
Game 955-956: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.650; Colorado (Marquis) 14.659
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over
Game 957-958: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 13.737; San Diego (Young) 14.335
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Under
Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 15.581; Cincinnati (Owings) 15.966
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over
Game 961-962: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 14.495; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.132
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Over
Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 16.094; Houston (Ortiz) 14.648
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); Over
Game 965-966: Washington at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmerman) 15.968; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.169
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155); Under
Game 967-968: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 15.942; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.579
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Over
Game 969-970: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 15.001; Oakland (Cahill) 16.059
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over
Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.190; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.865
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Over
Game 973-974: Minnesota at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 15.105; Baltimore (Bergeson) 16.287
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 14.793; Boston (Wakefield) 16.383
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over
Game 977-978: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 14.464; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.553
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under
Game 979-980: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Ray) 15.693; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.447
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under
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Arizona at San Diego
The Padres look to bounce back from yesterday's defeat against an Arizona team that is just 2-9 in its last 11 games following a win. San Diego is the underdog pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115). Here are all of today's games
THURSDAY, MAY 7
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.746; Florida (Sanchez) 14.505
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Over
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.967; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 13.766
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-190); Under
Game 955-956: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.650; Colorado (Marquis) 14.659
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over
Game 957-958: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 13.737; San Diego (Young) 14.335
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Under
Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 15.581; Cincinnati (Owings) 15.966
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over
Game 961-962: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 14.495; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.132
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Over
Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 16.094; Houston (Ortiz) 14.648
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); Over
Game 965-966: Washington at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmerman) 15.968; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.169
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155); Under
Game 967-968: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 15.942; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.579
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Over
Game 969-970: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 15.001; Oakland (Cahill) 16.059
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over
Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.190; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.865
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Over
Game 973-974: Minnesota at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 15.105; Baltimore (Bergeson) 16.287
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 14.793; Boston (Wakefield) 16.383
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over
Game 977-978: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 14.464; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.553
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under
Game 979-980: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Ray) 15.693; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.447
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA PLAYOFFS
EASTERN CONFERENCE
(4) Atlanta (4-4 SU and ATS) at (1) Cleveland (5-0 SU and ATS)
The Cavaliers, who quickly found their form in Game 1 after an eight-day break between the first and second rounds, aim to take a 2-0 lead over the Hawks when this best-of-7 conference semifinal series resumes at Quicken Loans Arena.
Cleveland hammered Atlanta 99-72 Tuesday night as a heavy 11½-point home chalk, using stifling defense in allowing just 28 second-half points, including 11 in the fourth quarter. LeBron James was on fire from the outset, scoring 22 of his 34 points in the first half, and he added 10 rebounds, four steals and three assists. Mo Williams chipped in 21 points, and the Cavs forced 17 turnovers while committing just seven.
Josh Smith had 22 points and Mike Bibby 19 for Atlanta, but nobody else really got going, and the Hawks made just 9 of 18 free throws, while Cleveland went 17 of 24 from the line. Atlanta also had a 41-33 deficit on the boards, allowing the Cavs to snatch 15 offensive rebounds.
Cleveland, allowing a suffocating 76.8 ppg in the playoffs while scoring 94.6, is now 4-1 SU (2-3 ATS) in the season series with Atlanta, and Tuesday’s cover snapped the Hawks’ three-game spread-covering run in this rivalry. The favorite has cashed in 17 of the last 25 meetings, and the home team is on a 4-1 ATS uptick.
Cleveland is an NBA-best 42-2 SU (31-13 ATS) at home this season, while Atlanta is just 17-28 SU (22-23 ATS) on the highway.
The Cavaliers, who went a league-leading 50-32 ATS in the regular season, are on pointspread rolls of 9-0 overall, 37-16 at home, 8-0 after a SU win, 6-0 in second-round playoff games and 15-3 as a playoff chalk.
The Hawks are still 12-3 ATS in their last 15 starts against Central Division foes, but they carry negative ATS streaks of 1-7 as an underdog, 5-13 on the road against teams with a winning home record and 0-6 catching more than 10 points.
The under for Cleveland is on a bundle of runs, including 8-2-1 at home, 15-4 in conference semifinal games and 6-1 when favored in the postseason. Likewise, the under for Atlanta is on tears of 8-2 overall, 5-0 on the road, 11-2 against winning teams and 5-0 with the Hawks as a playoff pup.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Philadelphia (14-10) at N.Y. Mets (12-13)
The Mets and Phillies conclude a quick two-game series at new Citi Field, with Philadelphia’s Jamie Moyer (3-1, 5.65 ERA) set to oppose Mike Pelfrey (3-0, 6.00).
New York rode another Johan Santana pitching gem to Wednesday’s 1-0 win over the Phillies, giving the Mets their first three-game winning streak of the season. New York has also won four of its last five and is 9-3 in its last 12 Thursday contests, but it’s still 3-7 in its last 10 when facing opponents with a winning record.
The Phillies had their three-game overall and five-game road winning streaks halted with last night’s setback. Still, going back to last season’s run to the world championship, Philadelphia is on runs of 38-17 overall (8-3 in the last 11), 19-8 on the road and 16-6 as an underdog, and Charlie Manuel’s squad is also on upticks of 5-1 against right-handed starters and 6-3 against N.L. East foes.
Moyer gave up five runs in 5 2/3 innings in Saturday’s home start against the Mets, but got bailed out as Philadelphia prevailed 6-5 at home in 10 innings. The 46-year-old southpaw has just one quality outing in his five starts this season, but he’s 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two road outings. Also, including Saturday’s outing, Moyer is 7-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 18 career starts against New York.
Pelfrey is coming off Friday’s 7-4 win at Philadelphia, as he surrendered three runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings. He’s now 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA in five career starts against Philadelphia, giving up three earned runs or fewer in four of those contests but he’s lasted longer than 5 1/3 innings just once. The right-hander has made two starts at Citi Field this season, going 1-0 with a 5.91 ERA.
With Moyer pitching, Philadelphia is on stretches of 4-0 overall, 8-2 on the highway, 27-8 against the N.L. East, 6-2 on Thursday and 7-3 against New York, including 4-1 on the road. Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in Pelfrey’s last 25 starts overall and 10-4 in his last 14 at home.
The Phillies carry “over” trends of 14-7-2 overall, 8-2-1 on the road, 6-2 as an underdog, 7-3-2 against the N.L. East and 4-0 with Moyer on the mound. However, the under is 11-5 in Moyer’s last 16 road starts, 13-4-1 in Moyer’s last 18 as an underdog, 8-3 in his last 11 starts against the Mets and 6-0 in his last six in New York. For New York, the under is on runs of 8-1-1 at home, 9-1-1 as a favorite and 11-4-2 against the N.L. East, but the over is 21-7-1 in their last 29 Thursday games and 6-2-1 in Pelfrey’s last nine home outings.
Finally, with last night’s one-run game, the under is now 12-5-1 in the last 18 head-to-head clashes in New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (13-16) at N.Y. Yankees (13-14)
Andy Pettitte (2-1, 3.82) is scheduled to take the ball for the Yankees as they wrap up a two-game series against the Rays, who will counter with rookie Jeff Niemann (2-3, 1.66).
Tampa Bay got a 10th-inning home run from Carlos Pena to knock off New York 4-3 on Wednesday. The Rays have followed up a 4-11 slump by going 5-2 in their last seven, but they’re still in funks of 5-8 on the road, 5-17 against lefty starters and 35-74 on the road versus southpaws.
New York has lost four in a row (all at home) and eight of its last 12, scoring four runs or fewer in seven of those eight defeats. On the bright side, the Yanks are on hot streaks of 14-7 at home, 5-2 against losing teams and 17-9 as a favorite.
Going back to last year, New York is on an 8-4 roll in this rivalry. Also, Tampa Bay remains just 22-53 in its last 75 games in the Bronx.
New York is 5-1 in Pettitte’s last six starts overall, 5-0 in his last five as a favorite, 70-32 in his last 102 at home, 37-18 in his last 55 outings versus the A.L. East. Also, they’ve won 15 of his last 20 starts against the Rays, including seven of his last 10 in New York.
Pettitte’s string of four consecutive quality starts to being 2009 ended Friday against the Angels when he got tagged for five runs on nine hits and four walks in a season-low 5 2/3 innings. However, the Yankees rallied for a 10-9 victory, improving to 4-1 in Pettitte’s five outings this season, including 2-0 at home where the veteran lefty has a 4.97 ERA.
Pettitte is 15-4 with a 3.63 ERA in 26 career appearances (25 starts) versus the Rays, including a no-decision on April 15 in Tampa Bay when he allowed three runs in 7 1/3 innings, with New York eking out a 4-3 victory.
With Pettitte pitching, the under is on stretches of 37-14-1 overall, 17-7-1 at home, 19-7-1 against A.L. East foes, 6-0 when he faces the Rays and 8-2 when pitching against Tampa Bay in the Bronx.
Neiman gave up six runs (five earned) and lasted a season-low three innings in Saturday’s home effort against the Red Sox, losing 10-6. Prior to that, the rookie had posted two solid road starts, beating the Mariners 9-3 and the Twins 7-1 while yielding a combined three earned runs and six hits in 11 innings. The right-hander, who will face the Yankees for the first time tonight, is 2-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three starts on the highway.
The Rays are on “under” streaks of 5-1 on the road, 11-3 as an underdog, 8-3 when playing on grass and 18-6-1 on the highway against lefty starters. Conversely, the over for the Yankees is on streaks of 6-1-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 7-4-1 against divisional rivals, 6-0 on Thursday and 5-1 as a favorite. Finally, seven of the nine Rays-Yankees meetings in the Bronx have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER
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NBA PLAYOFFS
EASTERN CONFERENCE
(4) Atlanta (4-4 SU and ATS) at (1) Cleveland (5-0 SU and ATS)
The Cavaliers, who quickly found their form in Game 1 after an eight-day break between the first and second rounds, aim to take a 2-0 lead over the Hawks when this best-of-7 conference semifinal series resumes at Quicken Loans Arena.
Cleveland hammered Atlanta 99-72 Tuesday night as a heavy 11½-point home chalk, using stifling defense in allowing just 28 second-half points, including 11 in the fourth quarter. LeBron James was on fire from the outset, scoring 22 of his 34 points in the first half, and he added 10 rebounds, four steals and three assists. Mo Williams chipped in 21 points, and the Cavs forced 17 turnovers while committing just seven.
Josh Smith had 22 points and Mike Bibby 19 for Atlanta, but nobody else really got going, and the Hawks made just 9 of 18 free throws, while Cleveland went 17 of 24 from the line. Atlanta also had a 41-33 deficit on the boards, allowing the Cavs to snatch 15 offensive rebounds.
Cleveland, allowing a suffocating 76.8 ppg in the playoffs while scoring 94.6, is now 4-1 SU (2-3 ATS) in the season series with Atlanta, and Tuesday’s cover snapped the Hawks’ three-game spread-covering run in this rivalry. The favorite has cashed in 17 of the last 25 meetings, and the home team is on a 4-1 ATS uptick.
Cleveland is an NBA-best 42-2 SU (31-13 ATS) at home this season, while Atlanta is just 17-28 SU (22-23 ATS) on the highway.
The Cavaliers, who went a league-leading 50-32 ATS in the regular season, are on pointspread rolls of 9-0 overall, 37-16 at home, 8-0 after a SU win, 6-0 in second-round playoff games and 15-3 as a playoff chalk.
The Hawks are still 12-3 ATS in their last 15 starts against Central Division foes, but they carry negative ATS streaks of 1-7 as an underdog, 5-13 on the road against teams with a winning home record and 0-6 catching more than 10 points.
The under for Cleveland is on a bundle of runs, including 8-2-1 at home, 15-4 in conference semifinal games and 6-1 when favored in the postseason. Likewise, the under for Atlanta is on tears of 8-2 overall, 5-0 on the road, 11-2 against winning teams and 5-0 with the Hawks as a playoff pup.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Philadelphia (14-10) at N.Y. Mets (12-13)
The Mets and Phillies conclude a quick two-game series at new Citi Field, with Philadelphia’s Jamie Moyer (3-1, 5.65 ERA) set to oppose Mike Pelfrey (3-0, 6.00).
New York rode another Johan Santana pitching gem to Wednesday’s 1-0 win over the Phillies, giving the Mets their first three-game winning streak of the season. New York has also won four of its last five and is 9-3 in its last 12 Thursday contests, but it’s still 3-7 in its last 10 when facing opponents with a winning record.
The Phillies had their three-game overall and five-game road winning streaks halted with last night’s setback. Still, going back to last season’s run to the world championship, Philadelphia is on runs of 38-17 overall (8-3 in the last 11), 19-8 on the road and 16-6 as an underdog, and Charlie Manuel’s squad is also on upticks of 5-1 against right-handed starters and 6-3 against N.L. East foes.
Moyer gave up five runs in 5 2/3 innings in Saturday’s home start against the Mets, but got bailed out as Philadelphia prevailed 6-5 at home in 10 innings. The 46-year-old southpaw has just one quality outing in his five starts this season, but he’s 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two road outings. Also, including Saturday’s outing, Moyer is 7-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 18 career starts against New York.
Pelfrey is coming off Friday’s 7-4 win at Philadelphia, as he surrendered three runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings. He’s now 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA in five career starts against Philadelphia, giving up three earned runs or fewer in four of those contests but he’s lasted longer than 5 1/3 innings just once. The right-hander has made two starts at Citi Field this season, going 1-0 with a 5.91 ERA.
With Moyer pitching, Philadelphia is on stretches of 4-0 overall, 8-2 on the highway, 27-8 against the N.L. East, 6-2 on Thursday and 7-3 against New York, including 4-1 on the road. Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in Pelfrey’s last 25 starts overall and 10-4 in his last 14 at home.
The Phillies carry “over” trends of 14-7-2 overall, 8-2-1 on the road, 6-2 as an underdog, 7-3-2 against the N.L. East and 4-0 with Moyer on the mound. However, the under is 11-5 in Moyer’s last 16 road starts, 13-4-1 in Moyer’s last 18 as an underdog, 8-3 in his last 11 starts against the Mets and 6-0 in his last six in New York. For New York, the under is on runs of 8-1-1 at home, 9-1-1 as a favorite and 11-4-2 against the N.L. East, but the over is 21-7-1 in their last 29 Thursday games and 6-2-1 in Pelfrey’s last nine home outings.
Finally, with last night’s one-run game, the under is now 12-5-1 in the last 18 head-to-head clashes in New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (13-16) at N.Y. Yankees (13-14)
Andy Pettitte (2-1, 3.82) is scheduled to take the ball for the Yankees as they wrap up a two-game series against the Rays, who will counter with rookie Jeff Niemann (2-3, 1.66).
Tampa Bay got a 10th-inning home run from Carlos Pena to knock off New York 4-3 on Wednesday. The Rays have followed up a 4-11 slump by going 5-2 in their last seven, but they’re still in funks of 5-8 on the road, 5-17 against lefty starters and 35-74 on the road versus southpaws.
New York has lost four in a row (all at home) and eight of its last 12, scoring four runs or fewer in seven of those eight defeats. On the bright side, the Yanks are on hot streaks of 14-7 at home, 5-2 against losing teams and 17-9 as a favorite.
Going back to last year, New York is on an 8-4 roll in this rivalry. Also, Tampa Bay remains just 22-53 in its last 75 games in the Bronx.
New York is 5-1 in Pettitte’s last six starts overall, 5-0 in his last five as a favorite, 70-32 in his last 102 at home, 37-18 in his last 55 outings versus the A.L. East. Also, they’ve won 15 of his last 20 starts against the Rays, including seven of his last 10 in New York.
Pettitte’s string of four consecutive quality starts to being 2009 ended Friday against the Angels when he got tagged for five runs on nine hits and four walks in a season-low 5 2/3 innings. However, the Yankees rallied for a 10-9 victory, improving to 4-1 in Pettitte’s five outings this season, including 2-0 at home where the veteran lefty has a 4.97 ERA.
Pettitte is 15-4 with a 3.63 ERA in 26 career appearances (25 starts) versus the Rays, including a no-decision on April 15 in Tampa Bay when he allowed three runs in 7 1/3 innings, with New York eking out a 4-3 victory.
With Pettitte pitching, the under is on stretches of 37-14-1 overall, 17-7-1 at home, 19-7-1 against A.L. East foes, 6-0 when he faces the Rays and 8-2 when pitching against Tampa Bay in the Bronx.
Neiman gave up six runs (five earned) and lasted a season-low three innings in Saturday’s home effort against the Red Sox, losing 10-6. Prior to that, the rookie had posted two solid road starts, beating the Mariners 9-3 and the Twins 7-1 while yielding a combined three earned runs and six hits in 11 innings. The right-hander, who will face the Yankees for the first time tonight, is 2-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three starts on the highway.
The Rays are on “under” streaks of 5-1 on the road, 11-3 as an underdog, 8-3 when playing on grass and 18-6-1 on the highway against lefty starters. Conversely, the over for the Yankees is on streaks of 6-1-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 7-4-1 against divisional rivals, 6-0 on Thursday and 5-1 as a favorite. Finally, seven of the nine Rays-Yankees meetings in the Bronx have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER
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Gina
Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Go with the Cleveland Cavaliers at Quicken Loans Arena. Expect Cleveland to continue playing potent defense, as well as the dominant play of King James to crush the Hawks again at home in Game 2. The Cavaliers are 42-2 straight up and 30-14 against the spread at home this season and have covered the spread in ten of its last 11 games.
Cleveland Cavaliers -13
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Go with the hot Dodgers to grab their 14th straight home win tonight against the struggling Nationals. Los Angeles is 11-4 in the last 15 games versus Washington and Dodgers' lefthander Randy Wolf is 9-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 19 career starts against them.
Los Angeles Dodgers -165
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Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Go with the Cleveland Cavaliers at Quicken Loans Arena. Expect Cleveland to continue playing potent defense, as well as the dominant play of King James to crush the Hawks again at home in Game 2. The Cavaliers are 42-2 straight up and 30-14 against the spread at home this season and have covered the spread in ten of its last 11 games.
Cleveland Cavaliers -13
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
Go with the hot Dodgers to grab their 14th straight home win tonight against the struggling Nationals. Los Angeles is 11-4 in the last 15 games versus Washington and Dodgers' lefthander Randy Wolf is 9-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 19 career starts against them.
Los Angeles Dodgers -165
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Bob Valentino
Bob Valentino Thursday's NBA Playoffs winner ... 25 DIME -- ATLANTA HAWKS (plus the points vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)
NOTE: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY KJCOLBY1978 AND MYSELF------------------------GL GUYS
Bob Valentino Thursday's NBA Playoffs winner ... 25 DIME -- ATLANTA HAWKS (plus the points vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)
NOTE: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY KJCOLBY1978 AND MYSELF------------------------GL GUYS
