Adam Meyer
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:10 PM]
Clemson (-4.5 Points) vs. Michigan
Clemson has a distinct advantage at the guard position as both Michigan starters are freshmen. Clemson also boasts the best big man in this game, Trevor Booker, who averages 15.3 ppg and almost 10 rpg. That inside play of Booker’s and steadier guard play down the stretch gives Clemson a nice win tonight.
Play: Clemson (-4.5 Points)
Roy Jackson
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:10 PM]
Minnesota (+5 Points) vs. Texas
As their records indicate, these two teams are evenly matched. Clearly strong defense is what has given the Golden Gophers their success this season. They give up only 61.1 PPG . While Texas can put up points on the board, look for Minnesota head coach, Tubby Smith, a wily veteran, to devise a defense to keep Texas stars A.J. Abrams and Damion James in check tonight.
Play: Minnesota (+5 Points)
Steve Liebman
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:20 PM]
Villanova (-16 Points) vs. American
While American has a nice 24-7 record it certainly is against MUCH weaker opposition than Villanova. They have been trounced by at least 24 points by both Georgetown and Oklahoma. Villanova is a very good and experienced team that has a chance to go deep into the March Madness Tournament. Look for Scotty Reynolds and company to win this one by at least 20 points. Villanova is much better than American in every aspect of the game.
Play: Villanova (-16 Points)<!-- / message -->
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:10 PM]
Clemson (-4.5 Points) vs. Michigan
Clemson has a distinct advantage at the guard position as both Michigan starters are freshmen. Clemson also boasts the best big man in this game, Trevor Booker, who averages 15.3 ppg and almost 10 rpg. That inside play of Booker’s and steadier guard play down the stretch gives Clemson a nice win tonight.
Play: Clemson (-4.5 Points)
Roy Jackson
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:10 PM]
Minnesota (+5 Points) vs. Texas
As their records indicate, these two teams are evenly matched. Clearly strong defense is what has given the Golden Gophers their success this season. They give up only 61.1 PPG . While Texas can put up points on the board, look for Minnesota head coach, Tubby Smith, a wily veteran, to devise a defense to keep Texas stars A.J. Abrams and Damion James in check tonight.
Play: Minnesota (+5 Points)
Steve Liebman
[Thursday, March 19, 2009 at 7:20 PM]
Villanova (-16 Points) vs. American
While American has a nice 24-7 record it certainly is against MUCH weaker opposition than Villanova. They have been trounced by at least 24 points by both Georgetown and Oklahoma. Villanova is a very good and experienced team that has a chance to go deep into the March Madness Tournament. Look for Scotty Reynolds and company to win this one by at least 20 points. Villanova is much better than American in every aspect of the game.
Play: Villanova (-16 Points)<!-- / message -->
NSA's Selection
CBB Texas A&M vs BYU 12:30 PM EST 20* BYU -2.5
CBB VCU vs UCLA 9:50 PM EST 20* UCLA -7.5
CBB Morgan St vs Oklahoma 9:40 PM EST 20* Morgan St +16.5
CBB Maryland vs California 2:55 PM EST 20* California -1.5
CBB No Iowa vs Purdue 2:30 PM EST 20* No Iowa +8.5
CBB Butler vs LSU 12:20 PM EST 10* LSU -1.5
CBB Western Kentucky vs Illinois 9:55 PM EST 10* Western Kentucky +5
CBB Miss ST vs Washington 5:00 PM EST 10* Washington -6
CBB Akron vs Gonzaga 7:25 PM EST 10* Akron +13.5
CBB Minnesota vs Texas 7:10 PM EST 10* Minnesota +5
CBB Radford vs North Carolina 2:50 PM EST (Opinion) North Carolina -25
CBB American vs Villanova 7:20 PM EST (Opinion) Villanova -16.5
CBB Binghamton vs Duke 9:40 PM EST (Opinion) Binghamton +20.5
CBB Michigan vs Clemson 7:10 PM EST (Opinion) Michigan +5
CBB Tenn Chat vs Connecticut 3:00 PM EST (Opinion) Connecticut -20.5
CBB CS Northridge vs Memphis 12:20 PM EST (Opinion) Memphis -19.5
More added
<!-- / message -->
CBB Texas A&M vs BYU 12:30 PM EST 20* BYU -2.5
CBB VCU vs UCLA 9:50 PM EST 20* UCLA -7.5
CBB Morgan St vs Oklahoma 9:40 PM EST 20* Morgan St +16.5
CBB Maryland vs California 2:55 PM EST 20* California -1.5
CBB No Iowa vs Purdue 2:30 PM EST 20* No Iowa +8.5
CBB Butler vs LSU 12:20 PM EST 10* LSU -1.5
CBB Western Kentucky vs Illinois 9:55 PM EST 10* Western Kentucky +5
CBB Miss ST vs Washington 5:00 PM EST 10* Washington -6
CBB Akron vs Gonzaga 7:25 PM EST 10* Akron +13.5
CBB Minnesota vs Texas 7:10 PM EST 10* Minnesota +5
CBB Radford vs North Carolina 2:50 PM EST (Opinion) North Carolina -25
CBB American vs Villanova 7:20 PM EST (Opinion) Villanova -16.5
CBB Binghamton vs Duke 9:40 PM EST (Opinion) Binghamton +20.5
CBB Michigan vs Clemson 7:10 PM EST (Opinion) Michigan +5
CBB Tenn Chat vs Connecticut 3:00 PM EST (Opinion) Connecticut -20.5
CBB CS Northridge vs Memphis 12:20 PM EST (Opinion) Memphis -19.5
More added
<!-- / message -->
Jason Johnson
VCU vs. UCLA
Pick: VCU +7.5
There are an awful lot of people calling an outright VCU upset here and while its difficult for me to go that far, I do believe the Rams will give UCLA all they can handle. Guard Eric Maynor is a veteran who provides the leadership both on and off the court. He's averaging 22.4 ppg. along with 6.2 apg.Because the Bruins shoot well enough to offset the strength of VCU's defense, this should be a close game down to the wire. Regardless of who wins, take the points for our purpose and cover the number.
<!-- / message -->
VCU vs. UCLA
Pick: VCU +7.5
There are an awful lot of people calling an outright VCU upset here and while its difficult for me to go that far, I do believe the Rams will give UCLA all they can handle. Guard Eric Maynor is a veteran who provides the leadership both on and off the court. He's averaging 22.4 ppg. along with 6.2 apg.Because the Bruins shoot well enough to offset the strength of VCU's defense, this should be a close game down to the wire. Regardless of who wins, take the points for our purpose and cover the number.
<!-- / message -->
glad to be back boys!!!! I thought for a moment I was banned -
courtesy of other members:
fatman stu feiner -
Mississippi State (149) vs Washington (-6) @ Portland - 5 p.m. EST
Mississippi State seems to be a public play, but I love the Pac-10 champion Huskies to cover this number later today in Portland. Washington had won six straight and nine of 10 before being knocked off by a quality Arizona State team last Friday in the conference tournament. That early exit allowed UW to rest up and re-focus for the Big Dance. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs experienced an emotional ride in having to win four games in four days culminating with last Sunday’s SEC Tournament title win over Tennessee in Tampa. Then it was back to Starkville and now all the way out to Portland, where a pro Washington crowd will be on-hand at the Rose Garden. The Dogs went 4-5 ATS in non-conference games and they’ll come crashing down against a balanced Washington club. Look for the Huskies to attack MSU big man Jarvis Varnado inside. If Jon Brockman, Isaiah Thomas, Justin Dentmon and Venoy Overton can keep coming at the MSU big fella and get him in foul trouble,
then the Dogs’ chances are toast. Remember, this is a 25-win Washington team that has won and covered six straight as a neutral court favorite of 3 ½ to 6 points. Mississippi State had a magical run last weekend, but this is just too difficult a turnaround spot for MSU as a better rested and more balanced Washington team pulls away and wins this by at least a dozen points.
WASHINGTON (-6) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #2
Minnesota (+4) vs Texas (127') @ Greensboro, NC - 7:10 p.m. EST
Minnesota is the better defensive club in this match-up and I love the Golden Gophers to use their defensive prowess to upend this Texas team that has really never pulled it altogether in a season after the club lost point guard D.J. Augustin early to the NBA draft. The Longhorns went just 7-7 SU in its final 14 games and went 7-8 SU and 5-9 ATS down the stretch versus teams with winning records. Texas, 1-5-1 ATS last seven games, also failed to win or cover in both games this year when installed as a neutral court chalk of 3 ½ to 6 points. Furthermore, this team has failed to cover in seven of its last eight outside of Austin and has negative spread marks both overall and when laying points. Minnesota went 12-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in non-conference games and this Minnesota team is glad to be in this spot. They believe in Tubby Smith, a championship winning coach who knows what to do this time of year. Look for the Gophers with Jamal Abu-Shamala and
Klawrence Westbrook leading the defensive charge to frustrate the Horns and steal this outright win tonight.
MINNESOTA (+4) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #3
Michigan (+5') vs Clemson (137') @ Kansas City - 7:10 p.m. EST Clemson’s press is not working and the slumping Tigers will give up loads of dunks and layups tonight as Michigan wins this one outright. The Wolverines have committed fewer than 10 turnovers in four of their last five games as Jim Beilein’s club had been on runs of 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS before falling to Illinois in the Big Ten tournament. This team believes in its second-year coach with his quirky offense and unorthodox 1-3-1 zone defense. Clemson finished the year on a 1-4 SU/ATS slide with the lone victory coming over lowly Virginia at home. They have negative spread marks overall, as a chalk, in non-conference games as well as being 1-3 ATS this year in neutral court affairs. Meanwhile, Michigan has beaten both Duke and UCLA this season and this solid outside shooting team should be able drain treys against a Tiger team that finished last in three-point shooting defense.. The Wolverines went 10-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in non-conference games and 4-0 SU and
2-0 ATS playing on five or six days rest. Clemson is struggling while DeShawn Sims, Manny Harris and the Wolverines are not as Michigan wins outright..
MICHIGAN (+5') 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #4American (+17) vs Villanova (130) @ Philadelphia - 7:20 p.m. EST
This is a confident American team that will easily stay inside this bloated price tonight in Philly. The Patriot League champs easily stayed inside the number in last year’s respectable first round loss to Tennessee in a game the Eagles felt they should’ve won. Now with essentially the same returning cast back and riding a 13-game win streak (19-1 SU last 20), American will give the Wildcats all they can handle. Villanova has failed to cover in six of its last nine overall and is on further negative spread skids of 1-4 in neutral court games and 1-3 when laying more than 12 ½ points in neutral court contests. American starts five seniors and has an effective inside-outside combo of guard Garrison Carr and forward Brian Gilmore. They’ve already faced the likes of Oklahoma, Maryland and Georgetown this year and have covered five of their last eight neutral court games. Yes this game is in Philly, but look for the crowd to be rooting for the underdog as Scottie Reynolds and Villanova will be in for a fight and American easily scores this ATS win.
AMERICAN (+17) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #5Morgan State (+16) vs Oklahoma (136) @ Kansas City - 9:40 pm EST
Morgan State, the MEAC champs coached by former Cal coach Todd Bozeman, will no doubt stay inside this large spread tonight in Kansas City. The Bears won at Maryland this season as well as DePaul and Marshall and were competitive in losses at Ole Miss, Washington, Saint Mary’s and La Salle. Meanwhile, the Sooners finished on a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS swoon as the Sooners don’t have a deep bench and appear to be wearing down. They’ve also failed to cover in all three games this year playing on five or six days rest. Yes Blake Griffin will have a big game, but the Bears have a big man in Kevin Thompson who can take up room in the paint. The three-guard lineup that Bozeman relies on can make plays from the outside and it must be noted that MEAC teams have covered nine straight first-round Big Dance games (not including play-in games). The Bears are a solid defensive club (62 ppg, 40% shooting) and they’ll sag back on Griffin and force the cold-shooting Sooner guards to make shots from the outside. Morgan State point guard Jermaine Bolden is quick enough to handle the OU press and the Bears will stay inside the number tonight.
MORGAN STATE (+16) 2500 Dime High Roller
courtesy of other members:
fatman stu feiner -
Mississippi State (149) vs Washington (-6) @ Portland - 5 p.m. EST
Mississippi State seems to be a public play, but I love the Pac-10 champion Huskies to cover this number later today in Portland. Washington had won six straight and nine of 10 before being knocked off by a quality Arizona State team last Friday in the conference tournament. That early exit allowed UW to rest up and re-focus for the Big Dance. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs experienced an emotional ride in having to win four games in four days culminating with last Sunday’s SEC Tournament title win over Tennessee in Tampa. Then it was back to Starkville and now all the way out to Portland, where a pro Washington crowd will be on-hand at the Rose Garden. The Dogs went 4-5 ATS in non-conference games and they’ll come crashing down against a balanced Washington club. Look for the Huskies to attack MSU big man Jarvis Varnado inside. If Jon Brockman, Isaiah Thomas, Justin Dentmon and Venoy Overton can keep coming at the MSU big fella and get him in foul trouble,
then the Dogs’ chances are toast. Remember, this is a 25-win Washington team that has won and covered six straight as a neutral court favorite of 3 ½ to 6 points. Mississippi State had a magical run last weekend, but this is just too difficult a turnaround spot for MSU as a better rested and more balanced Washington team pulls away and wins this by at least a dozen points.
WASHINGTON (-6) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #2
Minnesota (+4) vs Texas (127') @ Greensboro, NC - 7:10 p.m. EST
Minnesota is the better defensive club in this match-up and I love the Golden Gophers to use their defensive prowess to upend this Texas team that has really never pulled it altogether in a season after the club lost point guard D.J. Augustin early to the NBA draft. The Longhorns went just 7-7 SU in its final 14 games and went 7-8 SU and 5-9 ATS down the stretch versus teams with winning records. Texas, 1-5-1 ATS last seven games, also failed to win or cover in both games this year when installed as a neutral court chalk of 3 ½ to 6 points. Furthermore, this team has failed to cover in seven of its last eight outside of Austin and has negative spread marks both overall and when laying points. Minnesota went 12-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in non-conference games and this Minnesota team is glad to be in this spot. They believe in Tubby Smith, a championship winning coach who knows what to do this time of year. Look for the Gophers with Jamal Abu-Shamala and
Klawrence Westbrook leading the defensive charge to frustrate the Horns and steal this outright win tonight.
MINNESOTA (+4) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #3
Michigan (+5') vs Clemson (137') @ Kansas City - 7:10 p.m. EST Clemson’s press is not working and the slumping Tigers will give up loads of dunks and layups tonight as Michigan wins this one outright. The Wolverines have committed fewer than 10 turnovers in four of their last five games as Jim Beilein’s club had been on runs of 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS before falling to Illinois in the Big Ten tournament. This team believes in its second-year coach with his quirky offense and unorthodox 1-3-1 zone defense. Clemson finished the year on a 1-4 SU/ATS slide with the lone victory coming over lowly Virginia at home. They have negative spread marks overall, as a chalk, in non-conference games as well as being 1-3 ATS this year in neutral court affairs. Meanwhile, Michigan has beaten both Duke and UCLA this season and this solid outside shooting team should be able drain treys against a Tiger team that finished last in three-point shooting defense.. The Wolverines went 10-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in non-conference games and 4-0 SU and
2-0 ATS playing on five or six days rest. Clemson is struggling while DeShawn Sims, Manny Harris and the Wolverines are not as Michigan wins outright..
MICHIGAN (+5') 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #4American (+17) vs Villanova (130) @ Philadelphia - 7:20 p.m. EST
This is a confident American team that will easily stay inside this bloated price tonight in Philly. The Patriot League champs easily stayed inside the number in last year’s respectable first round loss to Tennessee in a game the Eagles felt they should’ve won. Now with essentially the same returning cast back and riding a 13-game win streak (19-1 SU last 20), American will give the Wildcats all they can handle. Villanova has failed to cover in six of its last nine overall and is on further negative spread skids of 1-4 in neutral court games and 1-3 when laying more than 12 ½ points in neutral court contests. American starts five seniors and has an effective inside-outside combo of guard Garrison Carr and forward Brian Gilmore. They’ve already faced the likes of Oklahoma, Maryland and Georgetown this year and have covered five of their last eight neutral court games. Yes this game is in Philly, but look for the crowd to be rooting for the underdog as Scottie Reynolds and Villanova will be in for a fight and American easily scores this ATS win.
AMERICAN (+17) 2500 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 2500 Dime High Roller Double Digit Cover #5Morgan State (+16) vs Oklahoma (136) @ Kansas City - 9:40 pm EST
Morgan State, the MEAC champs coached by former Cal coach Todd Bozeman, will no doubt stay inside this large spread tonight in Kansas City. The Bears won at Maryland this season as well as DePaul and Marshall and were competitive in losses at Ole Miss, Washington, Saint Mary’s and La Salle. Meanwhile, the Sooners finished on a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS swoon as the Sooners don’t have a deep bench and appear to be wearing down. They’ve also failed to cover in all three games this year playing on five or six days rest. Yes Blake Griffin will have a big game, but the Bears have a big man in Kevin Thompson who can take up room in the paint. The three-guard lineup that Bozeman relies on can make plays from the outside and it must be noted that MEAC teams have covered nine straight first-round Big Dance games (not including play-in games). The Bears are a solid defensive club (62 ppg, 40% shooting) and they’ll sag back on Griffin and force the cold-shooting Sooner guards to make shots from the outside. Morgan State point guard Jermaine Bolden is quick enough to handle the OU press and the Bears will stay inside the number tonight.
MORGAN STATE (+16) 2500 Dime High Roller
helmut
3/19/09 CBB Oklahoma Over 134.5 -110 (728)
ANALYSIS: The Sooner’s were a great offensive team in their non-conference portion of the schedule scoring at least 70 points in every game. It’s not like they played all cupcakes either in games against the weaker competition they put up an average offensive efficiency of 1.22 averaging 88 ppg. The Bears have shown a willingness to play up-tempo, as their bracket buster game against Towson was fast pace as well as several non-conference games against up-tempo teams. The Bears did play some tough teams (Mississippi, Washington and Maryland) earlier in the season and they did manage to put up at least 65 points in each of these games. I think this game is going to be played to a pretty good pace and the Sooner’s should have no issues scoring here and Morgan State looks to have enough offense to get this one up and over the total.
3/19/09 CBB Notre Dame Over 146.5 -110 (740)
ANALYSIS: I realize that the Irish have now played 9 out of the last 10 under the total but this one looks much too low. The first thing that stands out to me is that I think we will get a really fast pace to this game. The Lobo’s are just coming off a game against Nebraska that played to 152 total possessions. Most of the Lobo games in the non-conference schedule against up-tempo opponents were really fast paced games and no reason to think this game against the Irish will not be as well considering the teams have very little time to prepare a defensive game plan and are both really solid offensive teams. With a 150+ possession game one of these teams is really going to have an off shooting night for this to stay under the total.
3/19/09 CBB Oklahoma Over 134.5 -110 (728)
ANALYSIS: The Sooner’s were a great offensive team in their non-conference portion of the schedule scoring at least 70 points in every game. It’s not like they played all cupcakes either in games against the weaker competition they put up an average offensive efficiency of 1.22 averaging 88 ppg. The Bears have shown a willingness to play up-tempo, as their bracket buster game against Towson was fast pace as well as several non-conference games against up-tempo teams. The Bears did play some tough teams (Mississippi, Washington and Maryland) earlier in the season and they did manage to put up at least 65 points in each of these games. I think this game is going to be played to a pretty good pace and the Sooner’s should have no issues scoring here and Morgan State looks to have enough offense to get this one up and over the total.
3/19/09 CBB Notre Dame Over 146.5 -110 (740)
ANALYSIS: I realize that the Irish have now played 9 out of the last 10 under the total but this one looks much too low. The first thing that stands out to me is that I think we will get a really fast pace to this game. The Lobo’s are just coming off a game against Nebraska that played to 152 total possessions. Most of the Lobo games in the non-conference schedule against up-tempo opponents were really fast paced games and no reason to think this game against the Irish will not be as well considering the teams have very little time to prepare a defensive game plan and are both really solid offensive teams. With a 150+ possession game one of these teams is really going to have an off shooting night for this to stay under the total.
Kanesline
NCAAB
CBS
Michigan Wolverines at Clemson Tigers
Projected Spread: Clemson Tigers by 3
Projected Total:139
Projected Score:
Michigan Wolverines 68
Clemson Tigers 71
System Pick: Take Michigan Wolverines +5.50
Trend to Watch:
The Michigan Wolverines are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 thursday games.
NCAAB
CBS
Minnesota Gophers at Texas Longhorns
Projected Spread: Texas Longhorns by 1
Projected Total:123
Projected Score:
Minnesota Gophers 66
Texas Longhorns 67
System Pick: Take Minnesota Gophers +4
Trends to watch:
The Minnesota Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
NBA
TNT
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers
Projected Spread: Los Angeles Lakers by 10
Projected Total: 212
Projected Score:
Golden State Warriors 101
Los Angeles Lakers 111
System Pick: Take Golden State Warriors +13
Trend to Watch:
The Golden State Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
We like the Michigan Wolverines +5.5, the Minnesota Gophers +4, and the Golden State Warriors +13 for thursday.
NCAAB
CBS
Michigan Wolverines at Clemson Tigers
Projected Spread: Clemson Tigers by 3
Projected Total:139
Projected Score:
Michigan Wolverines 68
Clemson Tigers 71
System Pick: Take Michigan Wolverines +5.50
Trend to Watch:
The Michigan Wolverines are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 thursday games.
NCAAB
CBS
Minnesota Gophers at Texas Longhorns
Projected Spread: Texas Longhorns by 1
Projected Total:123
Projected Score:
Minnesota Gophers 66
Texas Longhorns 67
System Pick: Take Minnesota Gophers +4
Trends to watch:
The Minnesota Gophers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
NBA
TNT
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers
Projected Spread: Los Angeles Lakers by 10
Projected Total: 212
Projected Score:
Golden State Warriors 101
Los Angeles Lakers 111
System Pick: Take Golden State Warriors +13
Trend to Watch:
The Golden State Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
We like the Michigan Wolverines +5.5, the Minnesota Gophers +4, and the Golden State Warriors +13 for thursday.
