Service Plays Sunday 9/8/13

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NFL Betting 25 Tidbits for Kickoff Sunday

Below is a list of 25 betting tidbits around the NFL for Sunday's action.

- The Patriots averaged 44.5 points in their two games versus the Bills last year, both of which went over the total. Number is currently 51.

- Bills WR Stevie Johnson recently stated that he felt no Patriots DB could cover him. He had eight catches for 109 yards in their two meetings last season.

- The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 10-straight home openers. The Steelers are 7-point favorites against the Titans.

- The Titans like to keep the scoring to a minimum in their Week 1 games. The under is 5-1 in their last six season openers.

- The Saints have done well against the spread at home in recent history, posting a 16-5 ATS mark in New Orleans. 3-point home faves Sunday.

- The Falcons have a new face at running back with Steven Jackson. Jackson has rushed for 1,000 yards in eight-straight seasons. The Falcons didn't have a running back eclipse 1,000 last season.

- Buccaneers CB Darrelle Revis faces his old team Sunday and with Santonio Holmes unsure if he'll play, Jeremy Kerley or Stephen Hill could be lined up against the cornerback.

- Jets rookie QB Geno Smith starts against Tampa Bay. The rook, at least, gets to face the league's worst pass defense (297.4 yards per game) last season. The Jets are 3.5-point home dogs versus Tampa Bay.

- Jags running back Maurice Jones-Drew recently told Jaguars.com that he mulled retirement during training camp and that he felt he "couldn't do this anymore". He's ready to roll know, however, and said he'll carry the rock "as many times as it takes" Sunday. Jags are 3.5-point home dogs versus the Kansas City Chiefs.

- There are many new faces on the Chiefs and hopefully that changes their opening week ATS record of late. The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven Week 1 games.

- The Seattle Seahawks held the Carolina Panthers to a season-low 190 yards in a 16-12 win on Oct. 7. Seahawks are 3-point road faves in Carolina.

- Carolina closed last season out very strong, posting records of 4-0 SU and ATS to end 2012.

- The Bengals fare well on the road against NFC opponents as they have been victorious in five of the last six games. Cincy is a 3-point road dog in Chicago.

- Bears QB Jay Cutler has combined to throw for 1017 yards and six TDs in the past three season openers.

- Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill only managed three touchdowns to wide receivers last season. No excuses now that big-play threat Mike Wallace in the squad.

- The Browns are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Week 1 games. This game versus Miami is listed as a pick 'em at most books.

- Vikings running back Adrian Peterson has vowed to shatter the single season rushing mark. He collected 273 yards in two games versus the Lions last season.

- The Detroit Lions closed 2012 going 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS. They were 0-2 ATS versus Minny last season. The Lions are 4-point home faves versus the Vikes Sunday.

- The Raiders will need RB Darren McFadden to get over the 100-yard mark. The Raiders are 10-2 when he does.

- The Colts were 7-1 ATS at home last season, and finished 6-0 ATS in their final six home games. Indy is favored by 10.5 at home against the Raiders.

- The 49ers allowed an NFC-low 294.4 yards per game last season. The 9ers are 4.5-point home faves versus Green Bay.

- The Pack fare well ATS in San Fran, going 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at Candlestick.

- The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Arizona Cardinals and the St. Louis Rams. Total currently 41.5 for Sunday's game at St. Lou.

- The New York Giants finished 2012 going 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. The G-Men are 3.5-point road dogs in Dallas Sunday night.

- All eyes will be on Dallas QB Tony Romo who was awarded with a massive contract extension despite tossing a career high 19 picks in 2012.
 
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NFL Week 1 Injury Watch

Here is a quick look some players who are probable, questionable, doubtful, and guys that are carrying knocks into action for Sunday's NFL schedule.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+10, 51)

Patriots

- WR Danny Amendola is nursing a groin injury but is probable Sunday
- WR Aaron Dobson has a hamstring injury and is questionable Sunday
- TE Rob Gronkowski underwent surgeries on his left forearm and also on his back during the offseason but returned to practice September 1st with full pads on. He isn't expected to be ready for Sunday's game

Bills

- QB EJ Manuel was shelved midway through the preseason due to knee surgery, but will reportedly make the start for the Bills
- S Jairus Byrd is dealing with plantar fasciitis and is not expected to play

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, 42)

Titans

- LB Akeem Ayers has an ankle injury and is probable Sunday
- WR Kendall Wright is dealing with a sprained knee but is expected to play
- T David Stewart is dealing with a calf injury but is expected to play

Steelers

- FB Will Johnson has some hamstring soreness but should play
- RB Isaac Redman is dealing with a stinger but is expected to play
- DE Brett Keisel was limited in practice Friday but is expected to play

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-3, 55)

Falcons

- CB Asante Samuel has quad injury which limited his practice time this week, but is expected to play
- LB Stephen Nicholas is also suffering from a quad injury but is expected to play
- K Matt Bryant has a back injury but expects to play

Saints

- WR Marques Colston has a foot injury but expects to play
- LB Martez Wilson is nursing an elbow injury but is expected to play

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets (+3.5, 39.5)

Bucs

- CB Darrelle Revis has reportedly recovered from a torn ACL and is expected to play
- RB Mike James has an eye injury and is questionable
- TE Tom Crabtree suffered a high ankle sprain and is expected to miss Sunday's game

Jets

- WR Santonio Holmes is dealing with a foot injury but is expected to play
- QB Mark Sanchez suffered a right shoulder injury during preseason and is not available Sunday
- CB Antonio Cromartie has a hip injury and was limited in practice but is expected to play
- DT Kenrick Ellis is dealing with back injuries and is questionable

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5, 42.5)

Chiefs

- RB Jamaal Charles has a mild strain in his right foot but is expected to play
- TE Travis Kelce has a knee injury and is questionable
- OL Jon Asamoah did not practice due to a calf injury and is questionable
- LB Nico Johnson did not practice due to an ankle injury and is not expected to play
- DE Allen Bailey is dealing with personal issues and is questionable
- S Husain Abdullah has a foot injury and is questionable

Jaguars

- QB Blaine Gabbert has a hairline fracture in his right thumb but is expected to start
- G Will Rackley has an ankle injury and is questionable
- RB Justin Forsett was limited in practice Thursday and is questionable
- T Luke Joeckel suffered a hip flexor and is questionable
- TE Marcedes Lewis is suffering from a calf injury and did not practice this week and is reportedly ruled out
- LB Russell Allen has ankle soreness but is expected to play
- SS Johnathan Cyprien is dealing with some leg discomfort but is expected to play

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (+3.5, 45)

Seahawks

- WR Sidney Rice is dealing with a nagging knee injury but is expected to play Sunday
- WR Stephen Williams is dealing with a concussion but is expected to play Sunday
- TE Zach Miller continues to be hampered by a foot injury but is expected to be ready for Sunday
- DT Brandon Mebane has a groin injury but is expeteded to be ready
- DT Tony McDaniel was suffering from a groin injury but is expected to play
- DE Cliff Avril is dealing with an aggravated hamstring injury and is questionable
- DB Brandon Browner is questionable with a hamstring injury
- DE Chris Clemons is recovering from January 17th surgery to repair a torn ACL and meniscus in his left knee and is expected to miss Sunday's game

Panthers

- WR Domenik Hixon is dealing with a hamstring injury and is questionable to play Sunday
- WR Armanti Edwards is dealing with a hamstring injury but is expected to play Sunday
- FB Michael Tolbert has a hamstring injury but practiced fully Thursday and is expected to play Sunday
- G Amini Silatolu is dealing with a hamstring injury and is questionable
- RB Kenjon Barner has an ankle injury and is doubtful
- LB Jon Beason did not practice this week due to a knee injury but is expected to play
- DT Dwan Edwards is dealing with a thigh injury and is questionable
- CB Captain Munnerlyn is questionable to play Sunday due to a hand injury
- S Mike Mitchell has a calf injury and is doubtful
- CB James Dockery is expected to miss Sunday's game against the Seahawks with a thumb injury

Cincinnati Bengals at Chicago Bears (-3, 41.5)

Bengals

- T Andre Smith is recovering from a knee injury and is expected to play Sunday
- T Andrew Whitworth did not practice this week due to a knee injury and is doubtful to play Sunday
- G Mike Pollak has a knee injury and is not expected to play
- DE Carlos Dunlap has been recovering from a concussion but is expected to play

Bears

- WR Earl Bennett missed the entire preseason due to a concussion he sustained on August 2nd but is expected to play
- LB D.J. Williams is nursing a calf injury but is expected to play

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (Pick, 41)

Dolphins

- G Nate Garner underwent arthroscopic shoulder surgery in mid-August and is questionable to play
- CB Dimitri Patterson is dealing with a leg injury and is questionable to play

Browns

- RB Trent Richardson is still dealing with nagging shin injury but is fully expected to play
- TE Jordan Cameron is dealing with some groin discomfort but is expected to play
- OL Shawn Lauvao underwent arthroscopic surgery on his left ankle on August 9 and will be out
- DL Ahtyba Rubin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is questionable to play
- CB Buster Skrine has a shoulder injury and is questionable
- LB Barkevious Mingo is dealing with a bruised lung and is not expected to play

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-4.5, 47)

Vikings

- T Phil Loadholt is dealing with a knee injury but is expected to play
- DT Kevin Williams suffered a minor right knee injury in preseason action and is ruled out
- LB Erin Henderson is nursing a heel injury but is expected to play
- DT Letroy Guion is dealing with a finger injury but expects to play

Lions

- DE Ezekiel Ansah did not practice this week due to a concussion but is expected to play
- DE Jason Jones has a knee injury but is expected to play
- S Louis Delmas continues to rehab his surgically-repaired left knee but is expected to play

Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5, 47)

Raiders

- QB Matt Flynn is dealing with tendinitis in his elbow and is not expected to play
- K Sebastian Janikowski did not practice Wednesday due to a right calf injury but is expected to play
- TE David Ausberry is nursing a shoulder injury and is doubtful to play
- T Menelik Watson is dealing with a knee injury and is not expected to play
- LB Sio Moore is dealing with a foot injury and is questionable to play

Colts

- WR Reggie Wayne is dealing with a personal matter but is expected to play
- RB Ahmad Bradshaw is nursing a foot injury but will play Sunday
- TE Dwayne Allen is dealing with a foot injury but expects to play Sunday
- TE Coby Fleener suffered a sprained knee during the preseason but is expected to be ready
- T Anthony Castonzo is dealing with a knee sprain but expects to play
- LB Pat Angerer was diagnosed with a concussion on Thursday and is doubtful
- DE Fili Moala is nursing an injured foot but is expected to play
- LB Kavell Conner is dealing with an ankle injury and is doubtful

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5, 49)

Packers

- WR Jordy Nelson has undergone knee surgery to clean up a lingering problem but is expected to be ready
- WR Randall Cobb is nursing a biceps injury but expects to play
- LB Brad Jones is dealing with a hamstring injury and is questionable
- S Morgan Burnett has a hamstring injury and is questionable
- CB Tramon Williams is dealing with a knee injury and is questionable
- CB Casey Hayward has a hamstring injury and is expected to miss Sunday's game

49ers

- RB LaMichael James suffered a sprained MCL and will be sidelined for an indefinite amount of time
- CB Nnamdi Asomugha has a collarbone injury but is expected to play
- LB Patrick Willis underwent surgery to repair a slight fracture in his right hand and should be ready to go

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (-4.5, 41.5)

Cardinals

- RB Rashard Mendenhall suffered a minor knee sprain in preseason action but is expected to play
- WR Andre Roberts has a Quadricep injury and is questionable
- S Rashad Johnson is nursing a knee injury and is expected to play
- CB Javier Arenas is dealing with hip discomfort but is expected to play
- DE Calais Campbell is dealing with a bruised thigh and is questionable

Rams

- DE Chris Long is dealing with a knee injury but is expected to play
- S Darian Stewart is dealing with thigh discomfort and is doubtful
- DB Quinton Pointer is dealing with thigh discomfort and is doubtful

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 50)

Giants

- WR Hakeem Nicks is dealing with some groin discomfort but is expected to be ready
- WR Victor Cruz suffered a heel contusion in a preseason game but has shed his walking boot and is expected to play
- FB Henry Hynoski is questionable to play in Sunday's game against the Cowboys due to an undisclosed injury
- C David Baas is suffering from a sprained left MCL and is questionable
- S Antrel Rolle suffered a sprained right ankle during a one-on-one drill in practice but is expected to play
- DE Jason Pierre-Paul has undergone back surgery and is questionable

Cowboys

- RB Lance Dunbar did not practice Wednesday due to a foot injury and is not expected to play
- G Ronald Leary suffered a knee injury during the preseason but has returned to practice and is expected to play
- DE Anthony Spencer is doubtful after undergoing surgery on his left knee
- S Danny McCray is dealing with a hamstring injury and is doubtful
- DT Ben Bass is dealing with a shoulder injury and is expected to miss two-to-four weeks
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Oregon (-23) on Saturday and likes the Patriots on Sunday.

The deficit is 1268 sirignanos.
 
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Sunday Night Football: Giants at Cowboys

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 50)

The New York Giants attempt to continue their dominance at AT&T Stadium when they visit the Dallas Cowboys inr the season opener for both teams Sunday night. New York has won all four of its games in Dallas' new stadium since it opened in 2009, including a 29-24 triumph on Oct. 28. The Giants have captured six of the last eight overall meetings between the NFC East rivals.

New York hopes to have Victor Cruz in the lineup as the wide receiver suffered a bruised heel in the second week of the preseason and just returned to practice on Monday. Dallas, which has missed the playoffs each of the last three seasons, looks to improve upon the 19th-ranked defense in the league in 2012. In an effort to accomplish this goal, the club replaced defensive coordinator Rob Ryan with Monte Kiffin and switched to a 4-3 alignment.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: The Cowboys opened at -3 and have been bet up to -3.5.

WEATHER: N/A

ABOUT THE GIANTS (2012: 9-7, second NFC East): For the second straight season, running back Andre Brown was placed in the injured reserve/designated to return list - this time with a cracked bone in his left leg. Brown, who missed all of 2012 with a fractured left leg, is eligible to play on Nov. 10 against Oakland - putting plenty of pressure on David Wilson in the meantime. While Andre Brown may return at some point, safety Stevie Brown was lost for the season after suffering a torn anterior cruciate ligament in the team's third preseason game.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2012: 8-8, third NFC East): Tony Romo will be under the microscope like never before, as he was signed to a six-year, $108 million contract extension in the offseason despite tying a career high with 19 interceptions in 2012. Offensive coordinator Bill Callahan will succeed head coach Jason Garrett as the play-caller in an effort to help Romo improve upon his career-worst 90.5 passer rating from last season. Romo did, however, set franchise records in passing yards (4,903) and completions (425) last season.

TRENDS:

* The Cowboys are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 versus the NFC East.
* The Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Dallas.
* The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. New York QB Eli Manning has started 135 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league. He is the only signal-caller in team history to pass for 3,000 yards and 20 touchdowns in eight straight seasons.

2. High-scoring games have been the norm of late in the all-time series. The Giants have scored at least 20 points in seven of the last eight meetings, while the Cowboys have done the same in eight of the last nine matchups.

3. Giants DE Jason Pierre-Paul is questionable for the season opener. Pierre-Paul did not play in the preseason after undergoing back surgery in June.
 
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Sunday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's American League games:

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-108, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda is 0-3 over his last four starts, surrendering 23 runs over 23 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: New York OF Vernon Wells has just seven hits in 41 at-bats lifetime against Boston left-hander Jon Lester.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-2 in Kuroda's last eight starts against Boston.


Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-190, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Bud Norris is 4-1 in seven starts and one relief appearance since joining Baltimore in a trade with the Houston Astros.

Hot batting stat: Baltimore C Matt Wieters was the hero in Saturday's 4-3 victory, singling home a pair of runs in the bottom of the 10th innings.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings.


Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins (-108, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins right-hander Andrew Albers is winless in his last four starts, allowing 18 runs in 21 1/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Minnesota C Ryan Doumit is 3-for-9 in his career against Toronto starter Esmil Rogers.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Toronto is 0-5 in Rogers' last five outings following a quality start in his previous appearance.


Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (+111, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister was at his best in his previous encounter, limiting Boston to four hits and four walks over seven scoreless innings in a 3-0 win.

Hot batting stat: Detroit 3B Miguel Cabrera has dominated Royals starter Bruce Chen, going 15-for-34 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and nine walks against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Detroit is 60-28 in its last 88 Sunday games.


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-113, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Angels left-hander Jason Vargas was roughed up in his previous outing, allowing five runs on 10 hits over four innings in a 7-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Cold batting stat: Rangers 3B Adrian Beltre has just three hits in 24 at-bats against Vargas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s under clear skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 16-4-1 in the Rangers' last 21 Sunday games.


Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics (-270, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Bartolo Colon is winless in his last five starts, including a loss to Houston on Aug. 13 in which he surrendered five runs on seven hits over four innings.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Oakland roster are hitting a combined 3-for-26 against Astros starter Paul Clemens.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Oakland is 12-3 in Colon's last 15 starts against teams with losing records.


Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners (+133, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Matt Moore is 7-0 with a 2.03 ERA and just two home runs allowed over his previous eight starts.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay 2B Ben Zobrist is 3-for-4 with a pair of homers in his career against Seattle starter Erasmo Ramirez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Tampa Bay is 11-2 in Moore's last 13 road starts.


Interleague

New York Mets at Cleveland Indians (-225, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka is 4-2 with a 2.72 ERA in six career starts against the Indians.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland OF Jason Kubel has seven hits in 13 at-bats versus Matsuzaka.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 14 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Cleveland.


** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:50 p.m. ET Saturday.
 
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Sunday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's National League games:

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (+156, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg tossed six innings of two-hit ball with 10 strikeouts in his previous outing against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Hot batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is a career .389 hitter with two homers and five RBIs in 18 at-bats against Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms, so the roof at Marlins Park may be closed. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Miami is 1-8 in starter Jacob Turner's last nine outings.


Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (-130, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels has recorded eight consecutive quality starts, though he's just 2-1 with five no-decisions over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Philadelphia SS Jimmy Rollins is 9-for-28 lifetime against Atlanta starter Paul Maholm.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 8-0-1 in Hamels' last nine starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals (-133, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton has won three consecutive starts, surrendering just two runs over 21 1/3 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Members of the St. Louis roster are a collective .340 with 11 doubles and two homers in 144 at-bats against Morton.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 35 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1 in Pittsburgh's last 10 Sunday games.


Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (+115, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Yovani Gallardo was roughed up in his last start against the Cubs back on July 30, charged with three runs on six hits over 4 2/3 innings.

Cold batting stat: Chicago 2B Darwin Barney has fared miserably against Gallardo in his career, going just 3-for-24 with seven strikeouts.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Milwaukee is 9-3 in Gallardo's last 12 starts against the Cubs.


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-141, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: Giants left-hander Madison Bumgarner is 0-3 over his last six outings, and San Francisco has won just one of his previous nine starts overall.

Hot batting stat: San Francisco C Buster Posey has six hits, including two doubles and a homer, in 12 at-bats against Arizona starter Wade Miley.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-2-2 in Miley's previous 10 starts.


Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres (-154, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Chad Bettis has yet to win in seven career major-league starts and has an 18:19 walk-to-strikeout ratio.

Hot batting stat: Colorado SS Troy Tulowitzki has two doubles and three home runs in 22 career at-bats versus San Diego starter Ian Kennedy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1-1 in Colorado's last nine games with umpire Todd Tichenor behind home plate.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds (+116, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw is coming off his worst start of the season, tagged for five runs on 11 hits over five innings of a 10-8 win over Colorado.

Cold batting stat: Reds 1B Joey Votto is 5-for-20 with 11 strikeouts against Kershaw.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings.


** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:40 p.m. ET Saturday.
 
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SamsWins

NFL
(461) Kansas City -4 @ (462) Jacksonville 1pm et
The Chiefs have a proven veteran quarterback, a solid offensive line, some nice skill players, and a defense stacked with top draft picks and Pro Bowlers. The Jaguars have Blaine Gabbert. And not only do they have Blaine Gabbert, but they have a Gabbert that has a broken thumb (on his throwing hand) and hasn't played in a couple weeks. Gabbert is terrible when he's 100 percent so how is he expected to perform being less than 100%? I will take the Chiefs skill players over the Jags skill players. And I will lay these points in a game that I see Kansas City winning by double-digits.
5* Kansas City -4 gets the Money.

(465) Miami @ (466) Cleveland-1 1pm et
Miami did not impress me at all this preseason and I an absolutely not on the bandwagon. I felt the Dolphins massively overachieved going 7-9 last season. The Dolphins got rid of their two best offensive players, Reggie Bush and Jake Long, and by getting rid of their best cornerback. I just don't know that Miami is a better team this season. But I am sure that Cleveland is a better team. The Browns are excited to start a season with Norv Turner at the offensive helm as he will try to open up the field a bit more. This in turn should make RB Trent Richardson an even better running back, and someone the Dolphins will struggle to contain. Cleveland finally wins a home opener!
5* Cleveland -1 is the play!

(471) Oakland @ (472) Indianapolis -9.5 1pm et
The Colt's are a much better team than the Oakland Raiders, a team that cannot get out of its own way at the moment. Oakland has decided to start Terrelle Pryor at quarterback and he might be just the guy that they have been looking for but he needs experience . I do not see him being very successful in his first start on the road in the dome. The Raiders are 2-8 in last 10 games on field turf. The Colt's had been last season a cover machine at home and I really do not see the Raiders getting in their way in this game. With no true play makers with the exception of the semi healthy Darren McFadden and no foundation in a quarterback, defense or offensive line I see the Raiders just getting rolled over in Indianapolis this weekend. The Colts have established a better line this year to protect 2nd year Quarterback Andrew Luck.
5* Colt's -9.5 is the pick!

(477) NYGiants @ (478) Dallas -3.5 8:30pm et
The Cowboys are going back to the 4-3 defense that they used to play under Landry and Johnson and Switzer. The Cowboys also have some of the best offensive players in the league. The Giants are banged up. Both of their receivers missed time in the preseason and running back Andre Brown broke his leg. The offensive line has also had some injuries. Dallas lost 4 straight at home to the Giants and I see them finally winning and snap the streak to their division foe. I have been to a few casinos on the strip and locally in Henderson and all have the line at -3.5. I would love the -3 but may not come until game day.
5* Dallas -3.5 or -3 is a safe wager.

(459) Tampa Bay @ (460) NYJets 40.5 1pm et
The New York Jets had its fair share of problems scoring last season with an average of 17.6 points a game, but this situation may have actually gotten worse this offseason and training camp with a complete fiasco of decision-making at the quarterback position. The bottom line is that a player that struggled against the better teams in the Big 12 last season will be leading the Jets’ offense on opening day as Geno Smith is getting the starting nod at quarterback. The total has stayed under in eight of Tampa Bay’s last 10 season openers and in four of New York’s last five games overall. I remember about 6 years ago openers in the NFL, the smart money always was on the under for the defense was stronger than offenses. It took teams a couple of games for QB's to get in rhythm with the offense. It certainly has not been that way now for a number of years now. We saw that last night up in Denver and we all were on the Over in a no brainer. However, the Jets and Tampa will not be a score fest thats for sure. Both will have better defenses on the field to keep the number under 40.5.
5* Under 40.5 is the total play for this weekend!
 

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Baseball Crusher
Detroit Tigers -124 over KC Royals
(System Record: 74-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 74-82-2
 

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Football Crusher
Chicago Bears -145 over Cincinnati Bengals
(System Record: 10-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 10-7
 

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Soccer Crusher
Corinthians + Nautico UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 451-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 451-391-59
 

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[h=1]Matt Cronin's Day 14 picks[/h]
b_06SEP13_14726_Azarenka_Pennetta_Phil.jpg

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By Matt Cronin
Saturday, September 7, 2013
WOMEN’S FINAL
No. 1 Serena Williams vs. No. 2 Victoria Azarenka
Real rivalries only come about when both players are having a modicum of success against the other. Serena vs. Vika did not begin to become a legitimate rivalry until the Belarusian won the Doha final in February, as before then, the American had won 11 of their 12 matches. Azarenka had played her extremely tough in the final of the 2012 US Open and actually served for the contest at 5-3 in the third set, yet she still couldn't pull off the victory because she was lacking confidence against one of the all-time greats.
As mentioned, that turned in Doha, when Azarenka was able to deliver her money shots at crunch time. Later in the year Williams crunched her on clay in the final of Rome in May, but when they played last month on hard courts in the Cincinnati final, it was Azarenka once again who played more courageously and accurately in winning the third set tiebreaker.
Serena still owns their head-to-head matchup at 12-3, with Azarenka winning two of out of her last three contests against the 31-year-old this year. That recent success means a lot to her, and to the sport in general: Finally, Serena has a real newer generation rival.
It's easy to be blinded by Williams’ excellent play during certain stages of tournaments and assume that she will always play that well; that the level of competition is so far below her that even if she plays badly, she can win. Yes, when she’s in the zone she’s almost untouchable. But her losses to Sloane Stephens in Australia and to Sabine Lisicki at Wimbledon are proof enough that she can beaten by very good player.
Serena's two losses to the 24-year-old challenger to her US Open title this year show -- as her own coach Patrick Mouratoglou said -- that Azarenka is a very legitimate No. 2.
This is a very complicated match to call because both bring so many positives to the table, so it is unlikely that one or two factors will make the difference. Azarenka is a slightly better defender and, at least in the last year, has had the slight edge in baseline rallies. Serena has a far better first and second serve, is a deeper on-court thinker and more accomplished match manager. They both return viciously and extremely well. Azarenka has been more willing to come to net this season and is becoming an excellent volleyer. Serena has better touch and is more accurate when playing the tight angles.
This contest should be very close, but could get away from Azarenka if she doesn't find a way to spot her serves accurately. It’s hard to remember a time during the past two years when the two-time Australian Open champion has served worse than during this fortnight. She’s been grabbing wins on heart and a searing attack from inside the baseline. If she doesn’t serve well against Serena, she has no chance -- she can’t be broken multiple times like she has in her previous matches and expect to break the world’s most feared and accurate server the same number of times.
Serena is going to be quite upset if she doesn't come away with her fifth US Open title and second major of the year, so she will be very focused and put every ounce of energy into the match. But my gut tells me that Vika is going to bring her A-plus game, defend like a demon, turn defense to offense in a blink of an eye and wear Serena down. This match is pretty much a “pick ‘em,” but I’ll take the apple of pop star RedFoo's eye to win the contest deep in the third set over Williams and capture her first US Open title.
 

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-0, 2.41 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 2-0, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
-- Morton is 3-0, 1.69 in his last three starts. Wacha is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 1.71 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 2-0, 3.63 in his last three starts.
-- Bailey is 5-0, 2.59 in his last seven starts. Kershaw is 4-1, 2.34 in his last five starts.

-- Salazar is 0-1, 1.76 in his last three starts.

-- Lester is 3-1, 1.57 in his last four starts.
-- Norris is 1-0, 1.46 in his last couple starts.
-- Chen is 1-0, 2.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Rogers is 1-0, 2.60 in his last three starts.
-- Vargas is 2-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Moore is 7-0, 2.24 in his last eight starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 1-1, 4.96 in three starts since coming off the DL.
-- Turner is 0-4, 4.80 in his last nine starts.
-- Baker (elbow) is making first start since 8/8/11; he is 63-48, 4.15 in 159 MLB starts, all with Minnesota.
-- Bettis is 0-3, 7.01 in seven starts this season.
-- Bumgarner is 0-3, 4.58 in his last six starts. Miley is 0-2, 4.85 in his last five.

-- Matsuzaka is 0-3, 10.95 in three starts this season.

-- Kuroda is 0-3, 9.27 in his last four starts.
-- Rienzo is 1-1, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Fister is 2-2, 4.40 in his last five starts.
-- Albers is 0-2, 7.59 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 0-3, 8.10 in his last four starts. Clemens is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts this season.
-- Tepesch is 1-2, 7.71 in his last six starts, last of which was July 5.
-- Ramirez has a 6.85 RA in his four home starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Strasburg 5-27 (1 of last 9); Turner 5-17 (4 of last 6)
-- Maholm 6-23 (0 of last 4); Hamels 5-29 (1 of last 7)
-- Morton 2-15 (0 of last 7); Wacha 1-5
-- Gallardo 6-27; Baker 0-0
-- Miley 10-28 (4 of last 5); Bumgarner 3-28 (0 of last 8)
-- Bettis 5-7; Kennedy 9-27 (0 of last 6 with SD)
-- Kershaw 3-29 (1 of last 9); Bailey 3-28 (0 of last 10)

-- Matsuzaka 2-3; Salazar 2-6

-- Rienzo 0-7; Norris 10-28
-- Fister 6-28 (1 of last 10); Chen 2-10
-- Rogers 5-16; Albers 2-6
-- Tepesch 3-17 (1 of last 10); Vargas 2-19
-- Clemens 0-2; Colon 6-26
-- Moore 7-22 (1 of last 8); Ramirez 5-9
-- Lester 8-29 (0 of last 5); Kuroda 8-28

Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Over is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Washington games.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals' last eight games.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over the total. Six of last seven Padre games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games stayed under the total.

-- Five of six Salazar starts stayed under the total.

-- Seven of last eight Bronx games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Norris starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Kansas City games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Angel games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Washington eight of its last eleven games on foreign soil. Marlins won four of their last six games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last eight games. Cincinnati won five of last six.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games. Giants are 6-1 in game after their last seven losses.

-- Indians won five of their last six games.

-- Royals won nine of last twelve games.
-- Red Sox won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Baltimore won six of its last seven home games.
-- Blue Jays won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- A's won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost their last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Cubs are 7-19 in last 26 home games. Brewers lost six of last eight games.
-- Pirates are 11-16 in their last 27 games.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last eleven road games.

-- Mets lost five of their last six games.

-- Bronx lost last three games, allowing 34 runs.
-- White Sox lost their last nine games.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six games.
-- Twins lost their last three games, allowing 23 runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Houston lost nine of its last thirteen games.

Umpires
-- Mil-Chi-- Home team won eight of last ten Foster games.
-- LA-Cin-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Wolf games.
-- Atl-Phil-- Six of last seven Bellino games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Underdogs won last four Cederstrom games; 11 of his last 16 games went over the total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Gonzalez games.
-- Col-SD-- Visiting team won five of last six Tichenor games.
-- Az-SF-- Six of last eight Kulpa games stayed under, with underdogs 4-0 in his last four games behind the plate.

-- NY-Cle-- Underdogs won six of last eight Emmel games; over is 3-1-1 in his last five games.

-- Bos-NY-- Road teams are 13-8 in last 21 Fletcher games.
-- Hst-A's-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Wendelstedt games.
-- Chi-Balt-- Home side won five of last six Reynolds games.
-- Det-KC-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine TBarrett games.
-- Tor-Min-- Five of last seven Reyburn games went over total.
-- Tex-LA-- Underdogs won six of last eight Culbreth games; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven games.
-- TB-Sea-- Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen Schrieber games.
 
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