Service Plays Sunday 5/16/10

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HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 16th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

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2* Action
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[972] Detroit |5*|+120|B+0|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST

[956] Ari/Atl Under 8 |2*|-110|B+0|Network N/A|1:35 pm EST

[966] Phi/Mil Under 10 |2*|-110|B+0|ESPN|8:00 pm EST





HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 16th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

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[704] Orlando |5*|-3|B+3|ABC|3:30 pm EST
 

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Jeff benton sunday

0-1 yesterday...HE LOST 50 DIMES ON THE RED SOX...THE BIGGEST PLAY OF HIS CAREER IN MLB AND HE LOST. overall, 37-42-3 MINUS 45 dimes.

Jeff Benton Sunday's Winner 20 DIME: ORLANDO MAGIC


Magic

You think I’m going to go against a team that’s won 14 games in a row (by an average of nearly 17 points per game), including all eight of its contests in these playoffs?

You think I’m going to go against a team that’s cashed in 13 of those 14 wins, including the last seven in a row?

You think I’m going to go against a team that just swept a 53-win Atlanta Hawks squad, posting four double-digit victories by a combined 101 points (setting a record for the largest point differential in a seven-game playoff series)?

You think I’m going to go against a team that’s won 17 of its last 18 home games (13-4-1 ATS) – including its last 11 consecutively (8-2-1 ATS) – a team that’s beating opponents by better than 12 ppg on its own floor this season?

You think I’m going to go against a team that’s 42-8 SU over the last four months, with a ridiculous 28 double-digit wins during this stretch?

Finally, you think I’m going to go against a team that’s had six full days to rest up an opponent today that A) just finished a mentally and physically grueling six-game series against LeBron James and the Cavaliers; and B) lost to the Magic in a seven-game Eastern Conference series last spring, including losing Game 7 at home by 19 points?

Look, I realize the Magic’s first two opponents (Charlotte and Atlanta) aren’t in the Celtics’ league when it comes to talent or playoff experience. I also acknowledge that because of what Orlando has done so far in the postseason that we’re dealing with an inflated pointspread here. Doesn’t matter. You don’t make money in this business fading teams that have won 14 in a row and 42 of their last 50 games. You don’t make money in this business fading teams that have cashed in 13 of 14 games overall and 13 of 18 at home.

No, I’m not going to predict the Magic will score their third straight playoff sweep – Boston is too good to let that happen. However, it doesn’t take an NBA expert to see that Orlando has been the best team in the playoffs to this point, and it’s not even close. So why go against them?

As for the matchups on the floor, consider this: While Boston didn’t have All-Star forward Kevin Garnett in last year’s conference semifinal playoff series, the Magic didn’t have floor leader Jameer Nelson. Nelson (20.5 ppg in the playoffs) has made all difference for Orlando this spring, and I’m talking about on both ends of the court. Yes, Boston point guard Rajon Rondo completely destroyed the Cavaliers in the last round, but Cleveland doesn’t have anybody on its roster who’s as good as Nelson. Trust me: The days of 18-rebound and 20-plus assist games are gone for Rondo – there’s just no way that’s happening against Nelson.

Bottom line: Obviously, I made a lot of money backing Boston in the last round against Cleveland (my last three plays in that series were winners with the Celts in Games 2, 5 and 6). But I also cashed in the final three Magic-Hawks blowouts. And the simple fact is the Celtics were a bad matchup for the Cavaliers – just as the Magic are a bad matchup for Boston (Orlando has won five of the last six meetings, going 4-2 ATS).

Simply put, I’m not about to stand in front of the Magic freight train until someone proves they can stop them. Lay the chalk with the home team.
 
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KIKI SPORTS

Sunday May 16th

1 unit Orlando Magic -6.5

2 units St. Louis -135
3 units Arizona +120
1 unit Seattle/ Tampa Bay UNDER 7
 
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FOM (Friends of Mike Lee)

Yesterday 4-2

Florida -165
LA Dodgers -105
Philly -141
Toronto + 107
LA Angels -155
 

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OffshoreInsiders GodsTips

LA DODGERS (BILLINGSLEY -108) San Diego (LeBlanc)


LA has won six straight for +6.9 units. They’ve also won 8-of-9. LA is hitting a spectacular .281 inside the division with a .358 OBP. They are 11-3 for +8.1 units to the NL West.


The Fathers are hitting an impotent .197 in their last seven games with a mere .285 OBP. Heck, for the year, they are hitting just .237.

Yes, Wade LeBlanc has been a nice surprise, but he will come back to earth against a team that is 3-1 against him. LeBlanc’s career numbers are an ERA of 6.27 with a WHIP of 1.821.


San Diego has lost five straight to right-handers. LA has won 5-of-6 with Billingsley versus San Diego.

GodsTips sports pick: LA Dodgers
 

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anyone got dr bobs play today?
Dr. Bob

3 Star Selection
ORLANDO (-6) over Boston
16-May-10 12:30 PM Pacific Time
I'll take Orlando in a 3-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 2-Stars at -7 1/2 or -8 points.

Play Strength: 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars up to -8
 

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Matt Rivers, of OffshoreInsiders says take the Minnesota Twins in the Bronx.
There is no doubt that the Yankees at home always seem to beat the Twins. Arod and the Bombers are great and clearly superior but it’s never easy to sweep any team no less a very good one which Minnesota is and Sergio Mitre laying a pretty penny to Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau is just wrong in any circle.
Nick Blackburn has had some issues this season but the righty has been a little better of late and even if he doesn’t hurl a gem should be better than Mitre. The Yankee Italian righthander has that sinker that really hasn’t sunk in years. When on the Marlins Mitre appeared to be a blossoming young talent but things went south thanks in part to injuries and right now the guy is lucky to be in the big leagues and even luckier that he is given a shot on the best team in the game.
Minnesota is always an extremely fundamentally sound club coached by one of the best in Ron Gardenhire and is going to come out today to win no matter how many times they lose to these Yankees at the Stadium. This team has top notch lefty bats and should get to Mitre the way the Tigers did in that last start and pull this thing out.
Matt Rivers MLB picks: Minnesota
 

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Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line
Free pick 967 TEX -120 vs 968 TOR

Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line
Free pick 961 LOS -105 vs 962 SDP
 
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Johnny Guild

Sunday, May 16th, 2010 3:30 PM EST.Boston Celtics (58-35) at (67-23) The Magic have won 11 straight at home, going 8-2-1 ATS and three of four clashes against the Celtics this season. Look for Orlando's stingy defense to be a tough task for the Celtics. Take the Magic to seize a victory in Game 1 of the Conference Finals in Beantown. Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home and the total has gone ‘under’ in 7 of the last 8 meetings, 9 of the last 12 in Orlando.


Orlando Magic -6.5
Under - 189.5
 
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Nick BookieKiller" Parsons 5/16
MLB
Oakland vs. Angels
3:35 EST

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Trevor Cahill gets the nod for the A's; Cahill has been unremarkable so far this year and got a no-decision his last time out; he allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks with one K Tuesday vs. the Rangers; he's 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA.

He's made three starts for Oakland; last year Cahill went 3-6 on the road with a 5.10 ERA.

In the other dugout: Joel Pineiro heads to the mound for the Angels; after starting slowly, Pineiro bounced back in his last outing and I expect the right-hander to build off that performance.

Pineiro allowed no runs on five hits and one walk in 6 1/3 innings with seven K's.

He has five quality starts in seven attempts this year but his team has let him down; he's 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA thus far.

Bottom line: The Angels are looking to complete the 3-game sweep; Pineiro gets to face a club thats produced just five total runs during its second four game losing streak of the season.

Cahill vs. Pineiro = advantage ANGELS; *6* "PUNISHER" ANGELS.
 

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Marc Lawrence

ORLANDO MAGIC -6.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]We recommend a 3-unit play on Orlando.[/FONT]
 

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Lenny Del Genio

ORLANDO MAGIC -6.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Celtics are in Orlando to take on the Magic in Game 1 of the EC Finals. Boston was dismissed by most as Cleveland was supposed to be here facing Orlando. But the Celtics dumped the Cavs in six games. Orlando has swept through the first two games of the playoffs winning eight straight games and covering the point spread in seven of the eight games. It’s been over a month since this Magic team lost a ball game as they have reeled off 15 straight wins and beat the line in 14 of those 15 contests. The Celtics and Magic have played four times this season with Orlando winning three of the four. The only Boston win was here in Orlando on Christmas afternoon when the Celtics upset the Magic 86-77. Three of the four have been low scoring games with three of the four going under the number. Do the Celtics have a chance to stop this powerful Orlando squad? They shut down the Cleveland offense by allowing the Cavs to shot 41% or less in four of the six games. However, this Orlando team has too many weapons and we think the Celtics won’t be able to stop them in this opening game. Orlando is shooting 49% from the field in the playoffs and scoring 101 points. There defense has been suffocating as they are allowing opponents to hit only 41% from the floor and only 84 points per game. That margin of victory in the playoffs is a whopping 17 points per game. Boston has been playing good, but Orlando have their way with them today. Play on Orlando. [/FONT]
 

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Rocketman

SAN DIEGO PADRES +105

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]San Diego has been very surprising this year with a 22-13 overall record. LA Dodgers is 3-7 this year against left handed starters. San Diego is 9-1 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. LA Dodgers is scoring only 3.6 runs per game against left handed starters this year. San Diego is a decent 11-6 at home this year. San Diego bullpen has been very good with a 2.79 ERA overall this year and a 2.53 ERA at home this season. Wade LeBlanc is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA overall this year, 1-0 with a 1.56 ERA at home and 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll play San Diego for 4 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]
 

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