Jeff benton sunday
0-1 yesterday...HE LOST 50 DIMES ON THE RED SOX...THE BIGGEST PLAY OF HIS CAREER IN MLB AND HE LOST. overall, 37-42-3 MINUS 45 dimes.
Jeff Benton Sunday's Winner 20 DIME: ORLANDO MAGIC
Magic
You think I’m going to go against a team that’s won 14 games in a row (by an average of nearly 17 points per game), including all eight of its contests in these playoffs?
You think I’m going to go against a team that’s cashed in 13 of those 14 wins, including the last seven in a row?
You think I’m going to go against a team that just swept a 53-win Atlanta Hawks squad, posting four double-digit victories by a combined 101 points (setting a record for the largest point differential in a seven-game playoff series)?
You think I’m going to go against a team that’s won 17 of its last 18 home games (13-4-1 ATS) – including its last 11 consecutively (8-2-1 ATS) – a team that’s beating opponents by better than 12 ppg on its own floor this season?
You think I’m going to go against a team that’s 42-8 SU over the last four months, with a ridiculous 28 double-digit wins during this stretch?
Finally, you think I’m going to go against a team that’s had six full days to rest up an opponent today that A) just finished a mentally and physically grueling six-game series against LeBron James and the Cavaliers; and B) lost to the Magic in a seven-game Eastern Conference series last spring, including losing Game 7 at home by 19 points?
Look, I realize the Magic’s first two opponents (Charlotte and Atlanta) aren’t in the Celtics’ league when it comes to talent or playoff experience. I also acknowledge that because of what Orlando has done so far in the postseason that we’re dealing with an inflated pointspread here. Doesn’t matter. You don’t make money in this business fading teams that have won 14 in a row and 42 of their last 50 games. You don’t make money in this business fading teams that have cashed in 13 of 14 games overall and 13 of 18 at home.
No, I’m not going to predict the Magic will score their third straight playoff sweep – Boston is too good to let that happen. However, it doesn’t take an NBA expert to see that Orlando has been the best team in the playoffs to this point, and it’s not even close. So why go against them?
As for the matchups on the floor, consider this: While Boston didn’t have All-Star forward Kevin Garnett in last year’s conference semifinal playoff series, the Magic didn’t have floor leader Jameer Nelson. Nelson (20.5 ppg in the playoffs) has made all difference for Orlando this spring, and I’m talking about on both ends of the court. Yes, Boston point guard Rajon Rondo completely destroyed the Cavaliers in the last round, but Cleveland doesn’t have anybody on its roster who’s as good as Nelson. Trust me: The days of 18-rebound and 20-plus assist games are gone for Rondo – there’s just no way that’s happening against Nelson.
Bottom line: Obviously, I made a lot of money backing Boston in the last round against Cleveland (my last three plays in that series were winners with the Celts in Games 2, 5 and 6). But I also cashed in the final three Magic-Hawks blowouts. And the simple fact is the Celtics were a bad matchup for the Cavaliers – just as the Magic are a bad matchup for Boston (Orlando has won five of the last six meetings, going 4-2 ATS).
Simply put, I’m not about to stand in front of the Magic freight train until someone proves they can stop them. Lay the chalk with the home team.