STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, APRIL 20th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Sunday, 4/20/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Miller is 1-1, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Colorado won all three Nicasio starts (2-0, 3.50).
-- Erlin is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts this season.
-- Peavy is 0-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts this season.
-- Ross is 1-0, 1.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Chavez is 0-0, 2.25 in three starts, all won by Oakland's bullpen.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 7.29 in four starts this season.
-- Hale is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts this season. Wheeler is 1-2, 4.67 in his three starts this season.
-- Estrada is 1-1, 3.57 in three starts this month. Cole is 1-1, 6.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Bailey is 0-1, 8.16 in his first three starts. Villanueva is 1-1, 11.25 in two starts this season.
-- Hernandez has a 4.41 RA in his first three '14 starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-1, 7.20 in three starts this season.
-- Collmenter allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first '14 start, his first one since 2012. Beckett is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts this month.
-- Scherzer is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts this year. Santiago is 0-2, 4.96 in his first three starts this year.
-- Carrasco is 0-2, 8.71 in two starts this season. Morrow is 1-1, 4.30 in three starts this season.
-- Tillman is 0-3, 7.31 in his first three starts for Baltimore.
-- Nuno is making first '14 start; he was 1-1, 2.12 in three starts LY. Ramos allowed four runs in two IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hughes is 0-2, 7.20 in his first three starts for Minnesota.
-- Johnson is 0-1, 6.35 in three starts this season.
-- Peacock is making first '14 start; he was 2-1, 3.65 in last four starts LY, has a 7.45 RA in four relief appearances this year.
-- Slowey has made 104 MLB starts; he was 3-6, 4.11 in 14 starts for Miami last season; he has a 5.11 RA in four relief stints this month. Maurer is making first '14 start; he was 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts LY.
•Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis road games.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of eleven Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last twelve Philly games went over total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona road games went over total.
-- 12 of 16 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last four Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six New York road games stayed under.
-- 13 of 18 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 18 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 13 of 17 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last seven home games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Oakland games.
-- Eight of Miami's last ten games went over total.
•Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
-- Washington won five of its last seven home games. Cardinals won six of last eight games overall.
-- Brewers won eight of their nine road games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Colorado won six of its eight home games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last ten games.
-- Angels are 5-3 on the road this season.
-- Blue Jays won seven of last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last seven home games.
-- Boston won three of last four games. Orioles won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City won its last five games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.
-- Miami won its last two games, scoring 15 runs.
•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 16 games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mets lost six of their eight home games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- San Francisco lost its last three games, scoring one run in each game.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last eight games. Dodgers lost four of seven at home.
-- Detroit lost three of its last five home games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Yankees lost last two games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Twins lost five of their eight road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their eight road games.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Seattle lost seven of their last eight games.
•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Wsh-- All four Gibson games this season stayed under.
-- Cin-Chi-- Five of last seven Blaser games stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Nine of last eleven Culbreth games stayed under.
-- Atl-NY-- Last five Wegner games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Col-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Segal.
-- Az-LA-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Pattillo.
-- SF-SD-- Seven of last eight Dimuro games stayed under.
-- Tor-Cle-- Underdogs won eight of last twelve Kulpa games.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last fourteen Knight games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Nine of last twelve TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Min-KC-- Seven of last nine Gorman games went over total.
-- Hst-A's-- Six of last eight Fletcher games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Visiting team won last five Fagan games.
-- Chi-Tex-- 12 of last 14 Hoye games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under total.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
•NY METS are 1-11 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 3.1, OPPONENT 6.1.
•DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.
•KANSAS CITY is 18-4 (+15.2 Units) against the run line in home games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
•CARLOS CARRASCO is 1-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CARRASCO 2.4, OPPONENT 6.8.
•BRANDON MORROW is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MORROW 6.6, OPPONENT 5.4.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Any team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (National League) against opponent with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL).
(52-18 since 1997.) (74.3%, +34.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-26)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6, money line price: +101
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 37 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +7.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5, +7.9 units).
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SUNDAY, APRIL 20th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Sunday, 4/20/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________
Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Miller is 1-1, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Colorado won all three Nicasio starts (2-0, 3.50).
-- Erlin is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts this season.
-- Peavy is 0-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts this season.
-- Ross is 1-0, 1.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Chavez is 0-0, 2.25 in three starts, all won by Oakland's bullpen.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Strasburg is 1-2, 7.29 in four starts this season.
-- Hale is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts this season. Wheeler is 1-2, 4.67 in his three starts this season.
-- Estrada is 1-1, 3.57 in three starts this month. Cole is 1-1, 6.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Bailey is 0-1, 8.16 in his first three starts. Villanueva is 1-1, 11.25 in two starts this season.
-- Hernandez has a 4.41 RA in his first three '14 starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-1, 7.20 in three starts this season.
-- Collmenter allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first '14 start, his first one since 2012. Beckett is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts this month.
-- Scherzer is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts this year. Santiago is 0-2, 4.96 in his first three starts this year.
-- Carrasco is 0-2, 8.71 in two starts this season. Morrow is 1-1, 4.30 in three starts this season.
-- Tillman is 0-3, 7.31 in his first three starts for Baltimore.
-- Nuno is making first '14 start; he was 1-1, 2.12 in three starts LY. Ramos allowed four runs in two IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hughes is 0-2, 7.20 in his first three starts for Minnesota.
-- Johnson is 0-1, 6.35 in three starts this season.
-- Peacock is making first '14 start; he was 2-1, 3.65 in last four starts LY, has a 7.45 RA in four relief appearances this year.
-- Slowey has made 104 MLB starts; he was 3-6, 4.11 in 14 starts for Miami last season; he has a 5.11 RA in four relief stints this month. Maurer is making first '14 start; he was 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts LY.
•Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis road games.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Eight of eleven Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last twelve Philly games went over total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona road games went over total.
-- 12 of 16 Angel games went over the total.
-- Last four Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six New York road games stayed under.
-- 13 of 18 Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of 18 White Sox games went over the total.
-- 13 of 17 Minnesota games went over the total. Five of Royals' last seven home games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Oakland games.
-- Eight of Miami's last ten games went over total.
•Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
-- Washington won five of its last seven home games. Cardinals won six of last eight games overall.
-- Brewers won eight of their nine road games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Colorado won six of its eight home games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last ten games.
-- Angels are 5-3 on the road this season.
-- Blue Jays won seven of last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last seven home games.
-- Boston won three of last four games. Orioles won four of their last six.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City won its last five games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.
-- Miami won its last two games, scoring 15 runs.
•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 16 games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mets lost six of their eight home games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- San Francisco lost its last three games, scoring one run in each game.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last eight games. Dodgers lost four of seven at home.
-- Detroit lost three of its last five home games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Yankees lost last two games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Twins lost five of their eight road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their eight road games.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Seattle lost seven of their last eight games.
•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Wsh-- All four Gibson games this season stayed under.
-- Cin-Chi-- Five of last seven Blaser games stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Nine of last eleven Culbreth games stayed under.
-- Atl-NY-- Last five Wegner games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Col-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Segal.
-- Az-LA-- This is second MLB game behind plate for rookie Pattillo.
-- SF-SD-- Seven of last eight Dimuro games stayed under.
-- Tor-Cle-- Underdogs won eight of last twelve Kulpa games.
-- LA-Det-- Underdogs won nine of last fourteen Knight games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Nine of last twelve TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Min-KC-- Seven of last nine Gorman games went over total.
-- Hst-A's-- Six of last eight Fletcher games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Visiting team won last five Fagan games.
-- Chi-Tex-- 12 of last 14 Hoye games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Mia-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under total.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
•NY METS are 1-11 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 3.1, OPPONENT 6.1.
•DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+13.1 Units) in home games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.
•KANSAS CITY is 18-4 (+15.2 Units) against the run line in home games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.2.
•CARLOS CARRASCO is 1-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997.
The average score was CARRASCO 2.4, OPPONENT 6.8.
•BRANDON MORROW is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MORROW 6.6, OPPONENT 5.4.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Any team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (National League) against opponent with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL).
(52-18 since 1997.) (74.3%, +34.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-26)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6, money line price: +101
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 37 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +7.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5, +7.9 units).
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Today's MLB Picks
Baltimore at Boston
The Orioles look to bounce back from yesterday's 4-2 loss to the Red Sox and come into tonight's contest with a 4-0 record in their last 4 games following a defeat. Baltimore is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150). Here are all of today's picks.
Baltimore at Boston
The Orioles look to bounce back from yesterday's 4-2 loss to the Red Sox and come into tonight's contest with a 4-0 record in their last 4 games following a defeat. Baltimore is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150). Here are all of today's picks.
| SUNDAY, APRIL 20 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST |
| Game 901-902: Atlanta at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hale) 16.562; NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.154 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under |
| Game 903-904: St. Louis at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 16.153; Washington (Strasburg) 15.253 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120); Over |
| Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.855; Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.035 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105); Over |
| Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.164; Cubs (Villanueva) 14.559 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); No Total Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); N/A |
| Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 14.212; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.759 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over |
| Game 911-912: Arizona at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 14.735; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 13.869 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135); Under |
| Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.899; San Diego (Erlin) 14.784 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under |
| Game 915-916: LA Angels at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santiago) 14.794; Detroit (Porcello) 16.226 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Over |
| Game 917-918: Toronto at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 15.525; Cleveland (Carrasco) 13.982 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under |
| Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nuno) 14.925; Tampa Bay (Ramos) 14.593 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+110); Over |
| Game 921-922: Minnesota at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 15.151; Kansas City (Ventura) 16.601 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-210); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-210); Over |
| Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Johnson) 15.630; Texas (Ross) 14.502 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-185); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+165); Under |
| Game 925-926: Houston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 13.130; Oakland (Chavez) 16.786 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland (-235); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-235); Over |
| Game 927-928: Baltimore at Boston (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.266; Boston (Peavy) 15.078 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under |
| Game 929-930: Seattle at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Maurer) 15.787; Miami (Slowey) 14.963 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under |
Today's NHL Picks
Los Angeles at San Jose
The Kings look to bounce back from their 6-3 loss to the Sharks in Game 1 and come into tonight's contest with a 17-8 record in their last 22 games following a defeat by 3 or more goals. Los Angeles is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+125). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
Los Angeles at San Jose
The Kings look to bounce back from their 6-3 loss to the Sharks in Game 1 and come into tonight's contest with a 17-8 record in their last 22 games following a defeat by 3 or more goals. Los Angeles is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+125). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
| SUNDAY, APRIL 20 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 77-78: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.843; NY Rangers 10.754 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Over |
| Game 79-80: Detroit at Boston (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.599; Boston 12.978 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-240); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-240); Under |
| Game 81-82: Tampa Bay at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.661; Montreal 12.122 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-160); Over |
| Game 83-84: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.339; San Jose 11.266 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+125); Under |
NBA
Sunday, April 20
Mavericks are trying beat Spurs best-of-7, team they've lost to last nine in a row (2-7 vs spread). Dallas won five of last seven games, is 27-14 vs spread on road this year- they won NBA title in 2011, but haven't won playoff series since. San Antonio has veteran nucleus that has four rings; last of which was in 2007; they're 14-3 last 17 first round series. Spurs were just 3-4 in their last seven games, as they readied for this-- Dallas lost its last seven visits to Alamo.
Are Bobcats just happy to be in playoffs, or will they compete against Miami team thats beaten them 15 times in row (Heat covered eight of last ten in series)? This is Charlotte's second winning season out of 10 in NBA- they got swept 4-0 by Orlando in only other appearance (2010). Bobcats are 23-16-2 vs spread on road; five of their last seven games stayed under total. Miami coasted to 11-14 finish in last 25 games; only two teams have won NBA title after being under .500 in last 25 games- '95 Rockets were last team to do that.
Washington is in playoffs for first time since '08; their last series win was in '05, but with John Wall playing 82 games, they're good. Wizards won two of three vs Chicago this season, is 5-3 in last eight meetings, as 13 of last 16 series games stayed under total. Chicago is in playoffs for 9th time in last 10 years; they're 3-5 in last eight first round series. Noah is playing with heavy heart after his mentor/second dad passed away this week. Wizards are 26-15 vs spread on road this season; they split last four visits to United Center.
Portland missed playoffs last two years, lost last six first round series; last time they won playoff series was 2000. Blazers won nine of last ten games; they're 25-16 vs spread on road this season; Portland lost five of last six games with Rockets-- last seven tilts in series went over total. Portland lost its last three visits to Houston by 15-13-5 points. Rockets are 1-7 in first round series since losing finals in '97- they're 22-17-1 vs spread at home this season. This is only second time Houston has been in playoffs in last five years, so pair of hungry franchises in this series.
Sunday, April 20
Mavericks are trying beat Spurs best-of-7, team they've lost to last nine in a row (2-7 vs spread). Dallas won five of last seven games, is 27-14 vs spread on road this year- they won NBA title in 2011, but haven't won playoff series since. San Antonio has veteran nucleus that has four rings; last of which was in 2007; they're 14-3 last 17 first round series. Spurs were just 3-4 in their last seven games, as they readied for this-- Dallas lost its last seven visits to Alamo.
Are Bobcats just happy to be in playoffs, or will they compete against Miami team thats beaten them 15 times in row (Heat covered eight of last ten in series)? This is Charlotte's second winning season out of 10 in NBA- they got swept 4-0 by Orlando in only other appearance (2010). Bobcats are 23-16-2 vs spread on road; five of their last seven games stayed under total. Miami coasted to 11-14 finish in last 25 games; only two teams have won NBA title after being under .500 in last 25 games- '95 Rockets were last team to do that.
Washington is in playoffs for first time since '08; their last series win was in '05, but with John Wall playing 82 games, they're good. Wizards won two of three vs Chicago this season, is 5-3 in last eight meetings, as 13 of last 16 series games stayed under total. Chicago is in playoffs for 9th time in last 10 years; they're 3-5 in last eight first round series. Noah is playing with heavy heart after his mentor/second dad passed away this week. Wizards are 26-15 vs spread on road this season; they split last four visits to United Center.
Portland missed playoffs last two years, lost last six first round series; last time they won playoff series was 2000. Blazers won nine of last ten games; they're 25-16 vs spread on road this season; Portland lost five of last six games with Rockets-- last seven tilts in series went over total. Portland lost its last three visits to Houston by 15-13-5 points. Rockets are 1-7 in first round series since losing finals in '97- they're 22-17-1 vs spread at home this season. This is only second time Houston has been in playoffs in last five years, so pair of hungry franchises in this series.
NHL
Sunday, April 20
Home side won all five Ranger-Flyer games this season; Philly lost last nine visits to MSG. Rangers won five of last six home games; they scored twice in 0:47 span of third period in Gamne 1, when they were 2-6 on power play, Flyers just 0-1. Under is 5-0-2 in New York's last seven games. Flyers lost three of last four and eight of last 12 games- they were outshot 13-1 in third period of Game 1, 36-15 for game. Over is 6-0-1 in Philly's last seven games.
Detroit is 23-19 on road this season after 1-0 win in Game 1, when they scored with 3:01 to play, in game with only three penalties, 44 faceoffs (average thru Friday's games was 72.0); they've won four of five with Boston this season, winning last four games after Bruins won first meeting 4-1. Top-seed Boston is 31-11 at home- they lost six of their last eight games. Obviously, pressure on Bruins to win and avoid going to Motor City down 2-0.
Montreal won first two series games in St Pete, despite going 0-6 on power play and being -10 on faceoffs; they scored nine goals in first two games, after Lightning had given up four in winning last four regular season games. Montreal won nine of last twelve games overall; they've won five of last seven at home, are 26-15 at home this season. Tampa Bay gave up pair of third period goals in each game so far, but they've won four of last six road games.
San Jose is 31-11 at home this season, but they split six games with Los Angeles this year; Kings lost 11 of last 12 visits to this building. Sharks won four of last five home games- they coasted in Game 1, taking 5-0 lead into third period. Kings lost five of last six games, scoring total of 14 goals- they've lost four of last five away games. Five of LA's last seven games went over the total. League-wide, over is 9-2-2 in playoff games so far this week.
Sunday, April 20
Home side won all five Ranger-Flyer games this season; Philly lost last nine visits to MSG. Rangers won five of last six home games; they scored twice in 0:47 span of third period in Gamne 1, when they were 2-6 on power play, Flyers just 0-1. Under is 5-0-2 in New York's last seven games. Flyers lost three of last four and eight of last 12 games- they were outshot 13-1 in third period of Game 1, 36-15 for game. Over is 6-0-1 in Philly's last seven games.
Detroit is 23-19 on road this season after 1-0 win in Game 1, when they scored with 3:01 to play, in game with only three penalties, 44 faceoffs (average thru Friday's games was 72.0); they've won four of five with Boston this season, winning last four games after Bruins won first meeting 4-1. Top-seed Boston is 31-11 at home- they lost six of their last eight games. Obviously, pressure on Bruins to win and avoid going to Motor City down 2-0.
Montreal won first two series games in St Pete, despite going 0-6 on power play and being -10 on faceoffs; they scored nine goals in first two games, after Lightning had given up four in winning last four regular season games. Montreal won nine of last twelve games overall; they've won five of last seven at home, are 26-15 at home this season. Tampa Bay gave up pair of third period goals in each game so far, but they've won four of last six road games.
San Jose is 31-11 at home this season, but they split six games with Los Angeles this year; Kings lost 11 of last 12 visits to this building. Sharks won four of last five home games- they coasted in Game 1, taking 5-0 lead into third period. Kings lost five of last six games, scoring total of 14 goals- they've lost four of last five away games. Five of LA's last seven games went over the total. League-wide, over is 9-2-2 in playoff games so far this week.
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SUNDAY, APRIL 20th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 ATLANTA @ #902 NY METS - 1:10 PM
•Braves RH David Hale (0-0, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.822) - Hale impressed with five shutout innings against Washington in his first start, but produced a shaky 4 1/3 innings in his fourth career outing April 10 against the Mets, surrendering three earned runs on five hits with five walks. The right-hander’s scheduled start Tuesday at Philadelphia was rained out and the Braves elected to skip his turn in the rotation. Hale’s time in the Atlanta rotation could be nearing an end as Mike Minor continues rehabbing in the minor leagues.
•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-2, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Wheeler, who grew up in the Atlanta suburbs and made his major-league debut in Atlanta last summer, allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings in an April 9 loss to the Braves. The 23-year-old rebounded in his last outing Monday at Arizona, holding the Diamondbacks to two runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings. Wheeler has made four of his 20 career starts against the Braves, going 3-1 with a 3.80 ERA with 23 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings.
#903 ST LOUIS @ #904 WASHINGTON - 1:35 PM
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (1-2, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.443) - After collecting victories in each of last three decisions in 2013, Miller secured his first win in three tries this season with six strong innings during Tuesday’s 6-1 triumph over the Milwaukee Brewers. The 23-year-old Texas native allowed season lows in runs (one) and hits (three) while striking out a season-high seven, but has surrendered at least one homer in each turn. Miller made his only two career starts versus the Nationals last season, going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA.
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (1-2, 6.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.571) - Strasburg followed up his best outing of the season versus Miami on April 10 with his worst against the Marlins in Tuesday’s 11-2 setback. The 2012 All-Star gave up six runs for only the fifth time in his career on eight hits and three walks in four frames. Strasburg, who has yielded 14 earned runs on 24 hits in 21 innings, is still in search of his first victory entering his third career start versus the Cardinals despite a 2.08 ERA after taking the loss in his only turn against them last year.
#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 PITTSBURGH - 1:35 PM
•Brewers RH Marco Estrada (1-1, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.132) - Estrada is 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in 11 career appearances - eight starts - against Pittsburgh and has held the Pirates to a .182 average over the years. He was outstanding on the road in 2013, going 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA in contrast to his home numbers (2-2, 6.62). The Brewers have won both of Estrada's road starts this season, although his last appearance was a 6-1 home defeat to St. Louis in which he yielded three runs over six innings.
•Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (2-1, 4.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.421) - Cole has allowed more runs in each of his three starts this season, capped by a five-run effort over six innings of Tuesday's loss to the Reds. The 23-year-old had won six straight regular-season starts dating to last year and had not absorbed a defeat since Milwaukee topped Pittsburgh 4-0 back on Aug. 29. The current Brewers players own a collective .333 lifetime average against Cole, who is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee.
#907 CINCINNATI @ #908 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Reds RH Homer Bailey (0-1, 8.16 ERA, WHIP: 2.024) - Bailey has hardly lived up to the hefty contract extension he signed in the offseason, failing to pitch past the fifth inning in any of his first three starts. His last outing was puzzling, as he racked up nine strikeouts but also surrendered four home runs while taking a no-decision against Pittsburgh. Bailey is 7-2 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 starts against the Cubs, including a 4-1 mark and a 2.95 ERA in six outings at Wrigley Field.
•Cubs RH Carlos Villanueva (1-3, 11.57 ERA, WHIP: 2.151) - Villanueva's transition to the rotation took a nasty turn in his last outing, as he was tagged for nine runs and 10 hits over three-plus innings in a loss at St. Louis. The 30-year-old is 2-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 25 games (seven starts) against Cincinnati, and he hasn't beaten the Reds since earning a win in relief in 2010. Villanueva is pitching at home for only the second time this season — he beat Philadelphia with five innings of one-run ball in his first start at Wrigley.
#909 PHILADELPHIA @ #910 COLORADO - 4:10 PM
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (1-0, 3.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.347) - Hernandez allowed two runs, four hits and six walks in six innings and wasn't around for the decision when Philadelphia lost to Atlanta 9-6 on Monday. The 33-year-old Dominican Republic native has 17 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings this season, with the nine he recorded against Milwaukee on April 9 his most since 2007. Hernandez, who is 60-82 with a 4.66 ERA in a career that started in 2006 with Cleveland, won his first start in a Phillies uniform 7-2 over the Cubs in Chicago on April 4.
•Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (2-0, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.222) - With Jhoulys Chacin (shoulder) some two weeks away from joining the rotation and Brett Anderson out with a broken finger, Colorado desperately needs Nicasio to continue his solid start. The 27-year-old Dominican Republic native threw 31 of his 99 pitches and gave up both runs in the first inning before settling down and yielding only two hits in his final five frames of the Rockies' 3-2 victory at San Diego on Tuesday. Nicasio earned no-decisions in both career starts against the Phillies.
#911 ARIZONA @ #912 LA DODGERS - 4:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (0-1, 3.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.417) - Collmenter moved into the starting rotation Monday against the New York Mets and allowed three runs and five hits in four innings, good enough to get another shot against the Dodgers. Collmenter has a lot of experience against Los Angeles without much success, making 12 appearances, including four starts, and posting a 3-5 record and 5.06 ERA. He came out of the bullpen last month and pitched to seven Dodgers during their season-opening doubleheader in Australia, allowing three hits and two walks in the 7-5 loss.
•Dodgers RH Josh Beckett (0-0, 4.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.444) - Beckett will try to build off his last start, when he threw five scoreless innings and allowed two hits and five walks in a 12-inning loss to the San Francisco Giants. Beckett made two quality starts against Arizona in his injury-shortened 2013 season, allowing one run and six hits in 8 1/3 innings last April, but losing 1-0 on a walk-off single by Goldschmidt in the ninth. He took on Arizona three weeks later at Dodger Stadium and wasn’t as effective, giving up three runs and nine hits in six innings of a 5-3 loss.
#913 SAN FRANCISCO @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 4:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (0-1, 7.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.400) - Lincecum has worked five or fewer innings in each of his last two starts and has allowed five homers in just 15 innings. He has struck out 17 and walked just one but opposing hitters are batting .313 against him. Lincecum went 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA in four starts against the Padres last season and has a 2.40 ERA in 26 career outings against the Padres.
•Padres LH Robbie Erlin (1-1, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 0.973) - Erlin is making his third start of the season and suffered a loss to Colorado in his last outing. He gave up three runs and six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Rockies while striking out seven and walking one. Erlin gave up two runs and six hits in 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against San Francisco last September.
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SUNDAY, APRIL 20th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 ATLANTA @ #902 NY METS - 1:10 PM
•Braves RH David Hale (0-0, 2.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.822) - Hale impressed with five shutout innings against Washington in his first start, but produced a shaky 4 1/3 innings in his fourth career outing April 10 against the Mets, surrendering three earned runs on five hits with five walks. The right-hander’s scheduled start Tuesday at Philadelphia was rained out and the Braves elected to skip his turn in the rotation. Hale’s time in the Atlanta rotation could be nearing an end as Mike Minor continues rehabbing in the minor leagues.
•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-2, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Wheeler, who grew up in the Atlanta suburbs and made his major-league debut in Atlanta last summer, allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings in an April 9 loss to the Braves. The 23-year-old rebounded in his last outing Monday at Arizona, holding the Diamondbacks to two runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings. Wheeler has made four of his 20 career starts against the Braves, going 3-1 with a 3.80 ERA with 23 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings.
#903 ST LOUIS @ #904 WASHINGTON - 1:35 PM
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (1-2, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.443) - After collecting victories in each of last three decisions in 2013, Miller secured his first win in three tries this season with six strong innings during Tuesday’s 6-1 triumph over the Milwaukee Brewers. The 23-year-old Texas native allowed season lows in runs (one) and hits (three) while striking out a season-high seven, but has surrendered at least one homer in each turn. Miller made his only two career starts versus the Nationals last season, going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA.
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (1-2, 6.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.571) - Strasburg followed up his best outing of the season versus Miami on April 10 with his worst against the Marlins in Tuesday’s 11-2 setback. The 2012 All-Star gave up six runs for only the fifth time in his career on eight hits and three walks in four frames. Strasburg, who has yielded 14 earned runs on 24 hits in 21 innings, is still in search of his first victory entering his third career start versus the Cardinals despite a 2.08 ERA after taking the loss in his only turn against them last year.
#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 PITTSBURGH - 1:35 PM
•Brewers RH Marco Estrada (1-1, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.132) - Estrada is 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in 11 career appearances - eight starts - against Pittsburgh and has held the Pirates to a .182 average over the years. He was outstanding on the road in 2013, going 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA in contrast to his home numbers (2-2, 6.62). The Brewers have won both of Estrada's road starts this season, although his last appearance was a 6-1 home defeat to St. Louis in which he yielded three runs over six innings.
•Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (2-1, 4.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.421) - Cole has allowed more runs in each of his three starts this season, capped by a five-run effort over six innings of Tuesday's loss to the Reds. The 23-year-old had won six straight regular-season starts dating to last year and had not absorbed a defeat since Milwaukee topped Pittsburgh 4-0 back on Aug. 29. The current Brewers players own a collective .333 lifetime average against Cole, who is 1-1 with a 3.72 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee.
#907 CINCINNATI @ #908 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Reds RH Homer Bailey (0-1, 8.16 ERA, WHIP: 2.024) - Bailey has hardly lived up to the hefty contract extension he signed in the offseason, failing to pitch past the fifth inning in any of his first three starts. His last outing was puzzling, as he racked up nine strikeouts but also surrendered four home runs while taking a no-decision against Pittsburgh. Bailey is 7-2 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 starts against the Cubs, including a 4-1 mark and a 2.95 ERA in six outings at Wrigley Field.
•Cubs RH Carlos Villanueva (1-3, 11.57 ERA, WHIP: 2.151) - Villanueva's transition to the rotation took a nasty turn in his last outing, as he was tagged for nine runs and 10 hits over three-plus innings in a loss at St. Louis. The 30-year-old is 2-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 25 games (seven starts) against Cincinnati, and he hasn't beaten the Reds since earning a win in relief in 2010. Villanueva is pitching at home for only the second time this season — he beat Philadelphia with five innings of one-run ball in his first start at Wrigley.
#909 PHILADELPHIA @ #910 COLORADO - 4:10 PM
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (1-0, 3.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.347) - Hernandez allowed two runs, four hits and six walks in six innings and wasn't around for the decision when Philadelphia lost to Atlanta 9-6 on Monday. The 33-year-old Dominican Republic native has 17 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings this season, with the nine he recorded against Milwaukee on April 9 his most since 2007. Hernandez, who is 60-82 with a 4.66 ERA in a career that started in 2006 with Cleveland, won his first start in a Phillies uniform 7-2 over the Cubs in Chicago on April 4.
•Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (2-0, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.222) - With Jhoulys Chacin (shoulder) some two weeks away from joining the rotation and Brett Anderson out with a broken finger, Colorado desperately needs Nicasio to continue his solid start. The 27-year-old Dominican Republic native threw 31 of his 99 pitches and gave up both runs in the first inning before settling down and yielding only two hits in his final five frames of the Rockies' 3-2 victory at San Diego on Tuesday. Nicasio earned no-decisions in both career starts against the Phillies.
#911 ARIZONA @ #912 LA DODGERS - 4:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (0-1, 3.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.417) - Collmenter moved into the starting rotation Monday against the New York Mets and allowed three runs and five hits in four innings, good enough to get another shot against the Dodgers. Collmenter has a lot of experience against Los Angeles without much success, making 12 appearances, including four starts, and posting a 3-5 record and 5.06 ERA. He came out of the bullpen last month and pitched to seven Dodgers during their season-opening doubleheader in Australia, allowing three hits and two walks in the 7-5 loss.
•Dodgers RH Josh Beckett (0-0, 4.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.444) - Beckett will try to build off his last start, when he threw five scoreless innings and allowed two hits and five walks in a 12-inning loss to the San Francisco Giants. Beckett made two quality starts against Arizona in his injury-shortened 2013 season, allowing one run and six hits in 8 1/3 innings last April, but losing 1-0 on a walk-off single by Goldschmidt in the ninth. He took on Arizona three weeks later at Dodger Stadium and wasn’t as effective, giving up three runs and nine hits in six innings of a 5-3 loss.
#913 SAN FRANCISCO @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 4:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (0-1, 7.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.400) - Lincecum has worked five or fewer innings in each of his last two starts and has allowed five homers in just 15 innings. He has struck out 17 and walked just one but opposing hitters are batting .313 against him. Lincecum went 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA in four starts against the Padres last season and has a 2.40 ERA in 26 career outings against the Padres.
•Padres LH Robbie Erlin (1-1, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 0.973) - Erlin is making his third start of the season and suffered a loss to Colorado in his last outing. He gave up three runs and six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Rockies while striking out seven and walking one. Erlin gave up two runs and six hits in 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against San Francisco last September.
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