Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Hornets/Mavericks OVER 200
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over":
Dallas and New Orleans (31-28) have split two games this season, and the Mavericks have won 15 of the last 16 regular-season home matchups. Hornets forward David West is averaging 13.3 points on 38.9 percent shooting in seven career starts at Dallas.
West, however, enters off a dominant performance Friday with 40 points and 10 boards in a 100-93 home win over Orlando. He had gone 12 straight games without a double-double.
Rookie point guard Darren Collison, starting for an injured Chris Paul, is averaging 22.7 points and 8.7 assists in his last nine games.
It's important to point out that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the posted number in 17 of 29 road games and in 5 of 9 vs. division opponents.
On the other side of the court: Dallas (38-21) is seeking its first seven-game win streak since Dec. 29, 2007-Jan. 12, 2008, and has clearly been bolstered by adding Brendan Haywood, Caron Butler and DeShawn Stevenson from the trade with Washington. Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 27.7 points in seven games since the deal.
Jason Kidd is also playing well in that span with averages of 14.9 points, 10.1 assists and 7.7 boards while shooting 44.0 percent on 3-pointers; The 36-year-old point guard was magnificent in Friday’s 111-103 overtime victory at Atlanta. Kidd had 19 points, 17 assists and 16 rebounds for his first triple-double this season and 104th of his career.
Filling in for an injured Erick Dampier, Haywood recorded his third double-double in four games with 11 points and 11 boards. He’s got 11 blocks in his last three games.
“He’s had double-doubles since he’s been on the team,” Kidd said. “He understands how to play and I think it’s worked out for us.”
Suffice to say I expect this team to continue to excel on the offensive end; it's interesting to note that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the posted number in 7 of 10 as a home favorite of 6 1/2 to 9 points.
Bottom line: The Mav's have also seen the total go "over" the posted number in 16 of 28 home games; when taking all of the above factors into consideration, the sharp money in this one is indeed on the OVER!
*10* "BOOKIEKILLER" OVER.