Service Plays Sunday 12/20/09

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Charley Sutton

SUNDAY'S PLAYS

200 Unit Chargers

50 Unit Browns


Bengals at Chargers

CHARGERS - The San Diego Chargers come into today’s game against the visiting Cincinnati Bengals arguably the best team in the NFL. The Chargers are riding an 8-game SU winning streak and have gone 6-2 ATS in that stretch. San Diego is riding a 2-game home winning streak SU and ATS, beating the Chiefs and Eagles by an average of 18.5 points per game. Now they battle a Bengals team that’s in the midst of a 4-game ATS losing streak and is coming off a 20-point loss on the road at the hands of the Vikings. The Chargers, during this game streak, have beaten their opponents by an average of 14.3 points per game and will cruise to another easy victory.



Browns at Chiefs

BROWNS - The Cleveland Browns have been showing signs of life lately, covering in 4 straight games coming into tonight, including last week’s 13-6 outright victory over the Steelers in a game Cleveland was installed as a 9 1/2 point underdog. Now the Browns battle a Chiefs team that’s in the midst of a 3-game SU and ATS losing streak and has lost each of its last two home games by an average of 18.5 points per game. The Browns will stay hot and cash in today at Arrowhead.
 
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Kelso

100 UnitsTexans (-14) over Rams

1:00 PM -- Edward Jones Dome
Houston Texas (6-7) -14 over ST. LOUIS RAMS (1-12) Prediction: Houston by 35 Starting Time: 1:00 TV: CBS, DirecTV 706
 
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34PAYTONPLACE

(Top play 10-3-1 +102.5units)

(YTD +23.2units)

Alright guys bad nite tonite but if we won them all it would not be as much fun (Pause) wait a minute hell yes it would lol!!!!!! Ok week #15 lets get to it once again we had what we believe is 2 really good choices to be the top play this week......

5unit- Seattle -6.5

Nither team has anything to play for but coach mora has prided himself in the past at finishing strong and this seahawks team plays well at home......With the first selection in 2010 draft the tampa bay bucs select defensive tackle ndamukong suh the defensive starts to rebuild....

5unit- Bears/Ravens under 39

The bad weather has not only pushed this game back but the bears are having trouble getting there....

8unit- Oakland +14

I'm hearing charlie frye may start here for the raiders i do not think it matters because are the broncos 14 points better than anybody i know they will be in the playoffs but i do not trust orton enough to lay 14 points......

8unit- Kansas city -1

Well this is there 3rd straight home game they have dropped the previous 2 and i know the browns have had 10 days to prepare but they are off there super bowl type moment in beating the steelers at home.....

10unit- Pittsburgh -1

This was very close to being the top play.....Let me ask you all a question who has won 5 straight and who has lost 5 straight who is dealing with injuries and the loss of maybe there mvp on defense who is fighting internally questioning one another now who is playing what alot consider great football and playing wonderful defense and a Qb that has been atleast in discussion for the mvp award......Okay now why is pittsburgh the favorite is it because vegas and the books just feel like giving away frree money they know a line like this and people are going to pound the team who is playing better football it is just a no brainer are is it......I like the steelers here they have always been good to me when at home and less than a fieldgoal favorite!!!!!!

15unit- Baltimore -11 (Top play)

The bears sat on the run way for 3 hours on board then were told the flight was cancelled and then were trying to get away tonite and everyone knows about the bad weather in baltimore....Then there are the ravens who now hold down the 6seed and control there on destiny to get into the playoffs.....Now who here believes that when the bears do show up that there going to give and all out effort not me there bodies maybe there but that team will be looking to get back home as quick as possible.......If the bears score more than 7 points i will be completely shocked.......Lets back the hungry ravens club who has alot to play for against a bears team looking to go into hibernation!!!!!!



GL Guys......The wagers have been placed and the windows are open and i look foward once again to seeing all of you at the cashiers cage.....BOL to all!!!!
 

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duemig sunday

Sunday sweep
40 Dime - 2-Team Teaser: Green Bay & Philadelphia

(Make the Packers a bigger underdog at Pittsburgh while reducing the price you're laying with the Eagles at home versus San Francisco)

There is no better time to play a teaser than this one because of a couple of major factors. First we have the struggling Steelers who the oddsmakers are showing no respect, opening them up at -1 which is less than the standard field goal HFA if these two teams were considered equal. With the opening line as it was the oddsmakers is telling us that they consider GB the better team here, so why not move them up to an even bigger favorite. Secondly we have the Eagles who are red hot, playing at home and there is a major winter storm on hand. Now we have SF after playing on a Monday night, having to come all the way EAST!!!! The only positive is that the game has been moved to a 4;15 eastern start which would be more similar to their body clocks for a home game in California. So we will move the Eagles down though 3 key numbers the 7, 4 and 3 to 1.5. This is vital when considering teasers. You want to cross as many key numbers as you can when moving the line in a teaser by 6 points. The main numbers in doing that which will allow you to cross that many numbers.

10 Dime - Southern Miss

This line opened at 3 and moved immediately to 3.5 which means early and big support for the favorite. Takes a bunch to come off a key number of 3. There has been no movement of this line either so that means that no one has attempted to buy back the hook. That further strengthens our stance that there is major support on S.Miss

5 Dime - Broncos

Lets face it. We will normally not ever support teams laying this many points but whenever we see a third string QB starting against a superior defense, you MUST jump on it. This is simply a case where all the sharp money will support Denver here and probably the public will join them in this one. There is no chance for Gradkowski to play here and Oakland has told Russell to stay on the bench, so they will go with Charlie Frye who has done nothing this year but run scout team. Denver still trying to hang with the Chargers will not have any mercy on the Raiders in this one. Get on this one early and even thought you aren't getting the best number you want to get the best one available to you before everyone else gets to it. you could find a 13.5 out there but I don't see any danger in this one unless Denver plays like Arizona did last week and commit 8 turnovers.

5 Dime - Ravens

Baltimore continues to drive for a playoff spot and the Bears keep sinking lower than the low. Then you have the problems that the Bears faced in travel, not even getting there until the day of the game and this one has all the signs of a major blowout.
 

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$300.00 Take #309 New England (-7) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Patriots have dominated this series against the Bills and have been at their best in Buffalo. The have covered five straight trips to Orchard Park and the visitor is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings overall. Buffalo simply isn’t a very good team and New England is gearing up for a playoff push. This number is about three points light.

$800.00 Take #316 New York Jets (-6.5) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Falcons are due for a letdown after their game with their big rivals, New Orleans, last week. They should again be without their starting quarterback and running back and since they have already been knocked out of the playoff picture they don’t really have anything to play for. The Jets are still in the thick of things in the AFC. And with their pressure defense and their strong running game they will be a tough team to beat over the next few weeks.

$300.00 Take #329 Minnesota (-9) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Vikings won by 10 points last year when they met Carolina. That was a much better Panthers team and the Vikings had Gus Frerotte at the quarterback position. Minnesota still wants to lock up that first round bye and if New Orleans happens to lose on Saturday then the Vikings will be right back in the race for home field advantage. Their defense should be able to shut down the Panthers running game and I don’t think that Matt Moore will be able to beat them.

$600.00 Take #305 Green Bay (+2) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
This play is from my 99 System. The Packers continue to play very good football and are trying to solidify their spot in the playoffs. They won a big road game last week and now have to face a Pittsburgh team that has lost five straight games. This Steelers team is nowhere near the level of the team that won the Super Bowl in January but the betting public is having a hard time letting go. The Packers are 18-7-1 ATS on the road and they are 10-4-1 ATS as a road dog. I think that they drive a nail through Pittsburgh’s season and get us a big score.

$300.00 Take #313 San Francisco (+8.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
San Francisco has been great in the role of big underdog this year. They almost beat Minnesota in Minnesota and almost beat the Colts in Indianapolis already this year. They have two wins over Arizona and only lost by six at Green Bay. They play their best football against the best teams in the NFL. I think that this line is an overreaction to two blowout wins by the Eagles over two bad teams. San Fran is 8-1-2 ATS in its last 11 games against teams with a winning record.

$300.00 Take #318 Baltimore (-11) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
Chicago has nothing to play for and could get blown out by the Ravens this week. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six games and just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games. Chicago is 1-10 ATS as an underdog and 5-15-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Ravens blew out Detroit last week and showed no mercy. They will do the same this week.

$600.00 Take #331 New York Giants (-3) over Washington (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 21)
This is part of the 99 system. The Giants have owned this series recently and have won six of the last seven meetings. And of all of those games that they have won none were closer than six points. Washington has covered some spreads but they are still just 2-7 SU in their last nine games. This is another team that doesn’t have anything to play for and I think that the Giants will continue to play hard. The favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Giants are 22-7 ATS in road games.
 

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday 20th

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

4* Best Bet = New England
3* = Pittsburgh
2* = Arizona
2* = Minnesota
-------------------------
3* = Southern Mississippi
 

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ATS Football Financial Package

Atlanta +8 4 Units
Philly -7 1/2 4 Units
Green Bay +2 4 Units
 

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FWIW for Cincy/SDiego players--Ocho from Twitter:

"e have made some major adjustments after this lost,this will be a awesome game coming up sunday-we want this bye week b4 playoffs. 9:24 AM Dec 16th from twidroid "
 

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Al DeMarco's Double-Digit Blowout of the Year
Kicks off after 4:00 P.M. Eastern
RAVENS
 

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Kelso:
100 unit Texans
15 units Bills
5 units Vikings
4 units Packers
3 units 49ers/Eagles under 40.5

I am working on his 100 unit Parlay
 

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