SuperSportsGroup
Sunday NFL 12/12
Oakland v. Jacksonville 1pm
PICK: UNDER 42.5 Game )
Green Bay v. Detroit 1pm
PICK: Detroit +7 game
PICK: OVER 46.5 Game Best bet of the day #2
PICK: OVER 23.5 1H
Atlanta v. Carolina 1pm
PICK: Atlanta -7 Game
St Louis v. New Orleans 4:05pm
PICK: OVER 23.5 1H
New England v. Chicago 4;15pm
PICK: Chicago +3 Game Game of the week
KC v. San Diego 4:15pm
PICK: KC +9.5 Game
PICK: UNDER 46 Game
Sunday NFL 12/12
Oakland v. Jacksonville 1pm
PICK: UNDER 42.5 Game )
Green Bay v. Detroit 1pm
PICK: Detroit +7 game
PICK: OVER 46.5 Game Best bet of the day #2
PICK: OVER 23.5 1H
Atlanta v. Carolina 1pm
PICK: Atlanta -7 Game
St Louis v. New Orleans 4:05pm
PICK: OVER 23.5 1H
New England v. Chicago 4;15pm
PICK: Chicago +3 Game Game of the week
KC v. San Diego 4:15pm
PICK: KC +9.5 Game
PICK: UNDER 46 Game
LENNY DEL GENIO
Cleveland +1
The Browns were a big winner for us as an Oddsmaker Mismatch play LW, winning outright at Miami 13-10 (as five-point dogs) in a game that featured very little offense. This game shapes up very similarly and quite frankly we can't believe the Bills would be actually favored. Believe it or not, but Buffalo has actually been favored in a pair of games TY and has gone 0-1-1 ATS, losing outright to Jacksonville and pushing in their first win of the season over Detroit. The Bills were a good play for us a couple of weeks ago when they beat Cincinnati 49-31 outright as four-point pups, which they followed up with an OT loss (and ATS win) at home vs. Pittsburgh, their third OT loss this yr and fourth loss by a FG in six games. Then, they got completely exposed LW in a 38-14 loss to the Vikings. The Bills run defense ranks dead last in the league and was run over LW by the Vikings for the tune of 210 yards. This week they face Peyton Hillis, who will become the first white RB (whatever that's worth) to rush for 1000 yds since Craig James did it in '85 and will also be the first Browns RB to run for 11 TD's since Jim Brown and Leroy Kelly! Cleveland doesn't have a loss anywhere near as bad as Buffalo's last week. They always play tough. They are 4-2 SU the last six weeks with the only losses to the Jets (in OT) and Jaguars (at the gun) by a combined 10 pts. They are 13-5 ATS their last 18 conference games and are 6-0 ATS their last six on turf. Bad weather is expected for this game which favors the run heavy Browns. These teams have played each of the last two years here in Buffalo and the weather has not been good either time. Cleveland won and covered both times. Except for the explosion against Cincinnati, Buffalo has scored 19 points or less five of the last six weeks. Take Cleveland.
Tampa Bay/Washington Over 41
Tampa Bay has absolutely broken our hearts each of the last two weeks, first sneaking in through the back door in a 20-14 loss at Baltimore (were +7) and then LW blowing a 10 pt 4th quarter lead at home to Atlanta, losing 28-24 as three-point dogs. They are 6-0 ATS on the road this season and are now actually favored at Washington this week. Meanwhile, we played the total in the Skins game last week and won with Under 43 as they lost to the Giants 31-7. It was the third straight Washington game that went Under the total, but we had to keep our fingers crossed as QB McNabb was leading the team down the field for a garbage time TD before throwing an INT at the Giants 20 in the final minute. These teams played last year and went Under the total with a 16-13 final in favor of Washington. We buck convention here and side with the Over. Why? No team passes more the Washington, who runs it only 37.3% of the time. Not surprisingly, McNabb leads the league in incompletions at 18 per game. Tampa Bay has lost a starter in the secondary each of the last two weeks, so they could be susceptible against a pass-happy offense. Meanwhile, the Redskins defense is allowing 25.5 PPG at home this season. Take Over Tampa Bay/Washington.
Miami +6
This is a huge letdown spot for the Jets, who crashed and burned big time on Monday night losing to the hated rival Patriots 45-3 in humiliating fashion. On a short week, it will be very difficult to get up for yet another division game, particularly as a big favorite, this one against the division rival Dolphins. We played New York the first time these teams met, back in Week 3, when they won outright in South Beach on a Sunday night. That was a big play - a "VEGAS ICON" for us. Now we will go the other way noting that the Jets are 11-24 ATS off a division road loss. They are 37-63 ATS at home off a road game period. The Fins have a strong home/road dichotomy this season, but its probably the opposite of what you think. They are 5-1 SU/ATS on the road this season, but 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS at home. We went against them LW hosting Cleveland as they lost outright to the Browns 13-10 as five-point chalk. Taking Miami with the points is the way to go as they are 12-4 ATS as a road dog for HC Sparano. Overall, they are 14-8 SU away from home during his tenure. Don't forget that Cleveland also beat New England and took the Jets outright, so we're not too worried about LW's loss for Miami. Before losing to the Patriots LW, New York beat Cincinnati on Thanksgiving night. Prior to that, they beat Denver, Cleveland, Detroit and Houston by a combined 14 points and had a 9-0 home loss to Green Bay. Take Miami.
Cleveland +1
The Browns were a big winner for us as an Oddsmaker Mismatch play LW, winning outright at Miami 13-10 (as five-point dogs) in a game that featured very little offense. This game shapes up very similarly and quite frankly we can't believe the Bills would be actually favored. Believe it or not, but Buffalo has actually been favored in a pair of games TY and has gone 0-1-1 ATS, losing outright to Jacksonville and pushing in their first win of the season over Detroit. The Bills were a good play for us a couple of weeks ago when they beat Cincinnati 49-31 outright as four-point pups, which they followed up with an OT loss (and ATS win) at home vs. Pittsburgh, their third OT loss this yr and fourth loss by a FG in six games. Then, they got completely exposed LW in a 38-14 loss to the Vikings. The Bills run defense ranks dead last in the league and was run over LW by the Vikings for the tune of 210 yards. This week they face Peyton Hillis, who will become the first white RB (whatever that's worth) to rush for 1000 yds since Craig James did it in '85 and will also be the first Browns RB to run for 11 TD's since Jim Brown and Leroy Kelly! Cleveland doesn't have a loss anywhere near as bad as Buffalo's last week. They always play tough. They are 4-2 SU the last six weeks with the only losses to the Jets (in OT) and Jaguars (at the gun) by a combined 10 pts. They are 13-5 ATS their last 18 conference games and are 6-0 ATS their last six on turf. Bad weather is expected for this game which favors the run heavy Browns. These teams have played each of the last two years here in Buffalo and the weather has not been good either time. Cleveland won and covered both times. Except for the explosion against Cincinnati, Buffalo has scored 19 points or less five of the last six weeks. Take Cleveland.
Tampa Bay/Washington Over 41
Tampa Bay has absolutely broken our hearts each of the last two weeks, first sneaking in through the back door in a 20-14 loss at Baltimore (were +7) and then LW blowing a 10 pt 4th quarter lead at home to Atlanta, losing 28-24 as three-point dogs. They are 6-0 ATS on the road this season and are now actually favored at Washington this week. Meanwhile, we played the total in the Skins game last week and won with Under 43 as they lost to the Giants 31-7. It was the third straight Washington game that went Under the total, but we had to keep our fingers crossed as QB McNabb was leading the team down the field for a garbage time TD before throwing an INT at the Giants 20 in the final minute. These teams played last year and went Under the total with a 16-13 final in favor of Washington. We buck convention here and side with the Over. Why? No team passes more the Washington, who runs it only 37.3% of the time. Not surprisingly, McNabb leads the league in incompletions at 18 per game. Tampa Bay has lost a starter in the secondary each of the last two weeks, so they could be susceptible against a pass-happy offense. Meanwhile, the Redskins defense is allowing 25.5 PPG at home this season. Take Over Tampa Bay/Washington.
Miami +6
This is a huge letdown spot for the Jets, who crashed and burned big time on Monday night losing to the hated rival Patriots 45-3 in humiliating fashion. On a short week, it will be very difficult to get up for yet another division game, particularly as a big favorite, this one against the division rival Dolphins. We played New York the first time these teams met, back in Week 3, when they won outright in South Beach on a Sunday night. That was a big play - a "VEGAS ICON" for us. Now we will go the other way noting that the Jets are 11-24 ATS off a division road loss. They are 37-63 ATS at home off a road game period. The Fins have a strong home/road dichotomy this season, but its probably the opposite of what you think. They are 5-1 SU/ATS on the road this season, but 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS at home. We went against them LW hosting Cleveland as they lost outright to the Browns 13-10 as five-point chalk. Taking Miami with the points is the way to go as they are 12-4 ATS as a road dog for HC Sparano. Overall, they are 14-8 SU away from home during his tenure. Don't forget that Cleveland also beat New England and took the Jets outright, so we're not too worried about LW's loss for Miami. Before losing to the Patriots LW, New York beat Cincinnati on Thanksgiving night. Prior to that, they beat Denver, Cleveland, Detroit and Houston by a combined 14 points and had a 9-0 home loss to Green Bay. Take Miami.
