LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR):
TENNESSEE TITANS vs CHICAGO BEARS
Play: CHICAGO BEARS +3
Undefeated Titans versus a percieved bottom dweller with the unpopular Grossman at QB but only a 3 line? Something doesn't smell right in the kitchen. Lets take a chance on the dog to take a shot at knocking out that perfect Tennessee record.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): ST LOUIS vs NY JETS
Play: NY JETS -9
We were a little late on this one and got penalized with a 2 point rise in the line. Now let us warn you that the stats look good for a Jets blow-out but they are in a sandwhich type game here as they have to play on Thursday. We do have to give props to the Rams for playing with much heart but it only goes so far. Throw in we aren't big fans of Dome teams on the road. Arizona smoked STL and the Jets smoked Arizona. This one could get ugly.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NY GIANTS vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Play: NY GIANTS +3
Until anyone can show us differently, we get one of the best road teams in the biz and getting points as frosting on the cake. There's never any shame in taking the dog. Philly is a good team, but you have to figure on the value of what you are investing on and we are getting a high quality return with the Giants.
TENNESSEE TITANS vs CHICAGO BEARS
Play: CHICAGO BEARS +3
Undefeated Titans versus a percieved bottom dweller with the unpopular Grossman at QB but only a 3 line? Something doesn't smell right in the kitchen. Lets take a chance on the dog to take a shot at knocking out that perfect Tennessee record.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): ST LOUIS vs NY JETS
Play: NY JETS -9
We were a little late on this one and got penalized with a 2 point rise in the line. Now let us warn you that the stats look good for a Jets blow-out but they are in a sandwhich type game here as they have to play on Thursday. We do have to give props to the Rams for playing with much heart but it only goes so far. Throw in we aren't big fans of Dome teams on the road. Arizona smoked STL and the Jets smoked Arizona. This one could get ugly.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NY GIANTS vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Play: NY GIANTS +3
Until anyone can show us differently, we get one of the best road teams in the biz and getting points as frosting on the cake. There's never any shame in taking the dog. Philly is a good team, but you have to figure on the value of what you are investing on and we are getting a high quality return with the Giants.
ASA
Pro Football Picks
11/9/2008
12:00:00 PM UNDER 44,NEW YORK JETS
-vs-St. Louis Rams
ASA - This total is much too high in our opinion. We take the under.
11/9/2008
3:00:00 PM OVER 47,SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
-vs-Kansas City Chiefs
ASA - The Chargers have also gone OVER in 8 of their last 10 games coming off a loss. Two bad defenses is a recipe for disaster and we expect a high-scoring game that is sure to surpass 47.5 points.
11/9/2008
7:00:00 PM New York Giants (+3)
over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
ASA - Take the Giants.
Pro Football Picks
11/9/2008
12:00:00 PM UNDER 44,NEW YORK JETS
-vs-St. Louis Rams
ASA - This total is much too high in our opinion. We take the under.
11/9/2008
3:00:00 PM OVER 47,SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
-vs-Kansas City Chiefs
ASA - The Chargers have also gone OVER in 8 of their last 10 games coming off a loss. Two bad defenses is a recipe for disaster and we expect a high-scoring game that is sure to surpass 47.5 points.
11/9/2008
7:00:00 PM New York Giants (+3)
over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
ASA - Take the Giants.
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MTI
5-Star NEW ENGLAND -3' over Buffalo - After starting 4-0 and looking like they were going to run away with the tough AFC East, the Bills have stumbled recently. Now they are tied at 5-3 with the Patriots and Jets for the division lead. The Patriots are just the team to drive in the stake.
New England is off a road loss at Indianapolis last week in which they suffered a 2-0 turnover margin. This is the Patriots' best spot. They are 8-0 ATS after a straight up loss on the road, covering by an average of 15.8 ppg. They have had one active date this season - their 41-7 demolition of the Broncos on Monday Night football. In addition, the Pats are 7-0 ATS (+11.0 ppg) when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least +2, as long as they are not laying double-digits.
Buffalo has lost two straight to divisional opponents and they looked bad doing so. Last week they had their chance to show what they are made of at home vs the Jets. They revealed that they are a mentally fragile team, losing 26-17 laying 5 points. Buffalo was 1-of-3 red zone attempts and Edwards was sacked five times.
The Bills are a gutless 0-6 ATS on the road when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a divisional opponent, falling short of the linesmakers' expectations by an average of 13.6 ppg. Also, the Bills are 0-6 ATS the week after they attempted at least ten fewer rushes than their season-to-date average as a home favorite and 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) when they are on a two+ game SU and ATS losing streak, as long as they are not getting more than a TD. In addition, the Bills are 0-5 ATS (-12.5 ppg) as a road dog when they failed on at least two red zone attempts as a home favorite last week. Perhaps the most compelling stat of all is that Buffalo is 0-5 ATS as a dog when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 as a favorite. The young Bills simply adopt a defeatist attitude in this situation, losing every single one of the six games by double-digits, and failing to cover by an average of 13.3 ppg.
Buffalo simply does not have the character and mental toughness to compete with the Patriots here. These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Cassell is getting better and more confident with each start and the Bills are falling apart. This is a key divisional matchup. The Patriots have played many important games just like this one. They know what is at stake. They are mentally tough. They are at home. They will man-up. Their defense will crush the Bills' struggling offense.
Over the past two seasons, the Pats have been a home favorite by less than a TD only twice. They won those two games 38-14 and 41-7 respectively. Lay the 3'.
MTi's FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 27 Buffalo 0
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5-Star NEW ENGLAND -3' over Buffalo - After starting 4-0 and looking like they were going to run away with the tough AFC East, the Bills have stumbled recently. Now they are tied at 5-3 with the Patriots and Jets for the division lead. The Patriots are just the team to drive in the stake.
New England is off a road loss at Indianapolis last week in which they suffered a 2-0 turnover margin. This is the Patriots' best spot. They are 8-0 ATS after a straight up loss on the road, covering by an average of 15.8 ppg. They have had one active date this season - their 41-7 demolition of the Broncos on Monday Night football. In addition, the Pats are 7-0 ATS (+11.0 ppg) when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least +2, as long as they are not laying double-digits.
Buffalo has lost two straight to divisional opponents and they looked bad doing so. Last week they had their chance to show what they are made of at home vs the Jets. They revealed that they are a mentally fragile team, losing 26-17 laying 5 points. Buffalo was 1-of-3 red zone attempts and Edwards was sacked five times.
The Bills are a gutless 0-6 ATS on the road when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a divisional opponent, falling short of the linesmakers' expectations by an average of 13.6 ppg. Also, the Bills are 0-6 ATS the week after they attempted at least ten fewer rushes than their season-to-date average as a home favorite and 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) when they are on a two+ game SU and ATS losing streak, as long as they are not getting more than a TD. In addition, the Bills are 0-5 ATS (-12.5 ppg) as a road dog when they failed on at least two red zone attempts as a home favorite last week. Perhaps the most compelling stat of all is that Buffalo is 0-5 ATS as a dog when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 as a favorite. The young Bills simply adopt a defeatist attitude in this situation, losing every single one of the six games by double-digits, and failing to cover by an average of 13.3 ppg.
Buffalo simply does not have the character and mental toughness to compete with the Patriots here. These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Cassell is getting better and more confident with each start and the Bills are falling apart. This is a key divisional matchup. The Patriots have played many important games just like this one. They know what is at stake. They are mentally tough. They are at home. They will man-up. Their defense will crush the Bills' struggling offense.
Over the past two seasons, the Pats have been a home favorite by less than a TD only twice. They won those two games 38-14 and 41-7 respectively. Lay the 3'.
MTi's FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 27 Buffalo 0
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Steve merril
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 37.5/-105 Under
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -112 Houston Texans
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 43/-106 Over
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ANYONE HAVE SCOTT RICKENBACH OR DAVID CHAN???
THANKS!
Sunday, November 09, 2008
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 37.5/-105 Under
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -112 Houston Texans
Handicapper: Steve Merril
Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 43/-106 Over
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
ANYONE HAVE SCOTT RICKENBACH OR DAVID CHAN???
THANKS!
Rocketman
Tennessee / Chicago
Play: 4* Chicago +3
Chicago is scoring 27.9 points per game overall this year and 30.7 points per game at home this season. Chicago is 3-1 SU at home this year and 3-1 SU overall vs Tennessee since 1992. Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 10. Bears are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Bears are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games in November.
Baltimore / Houston
Play: 4* Houston PK
Houston is 3-1 SU at home where they are scoring 29.7 points per game this season. Ravens are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10. Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Ravens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Houston is 7-2 ATS at home when the line is pick to 2 1/2. Baltimore is 11-21 ATS after 3 consecutive Overs. We'll play Houston for 4 units today!
NHL
Florida / Anaheim
Play: 4* Florida +205
Ducks are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Florida is 6-4 before playing the NY Rangers. Florida is 6-3 last 9 against Anaheim. Anaheim is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida. Anaheim allows the most power plays at 5.6 per game. We'll play Florida for 4 units tonight!
Atlanta / Carolina
Play: 3* Atlanta +170
Hurricanes are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Thrashers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Carolina. Road team is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. We'll play Atlanta for 3 units today!
NASCAR
#8 Mark Martin vs #9 Kasey Kahne
Play: 5* #8 Mark Martin -140
Looking at my pick for the 4th spot we turn to Mark Martin. Martin has 1 win, 9 Top 5 finishes and 15 Top 10 finishes in his 23 starts in Phoenix. Martin has an average finish of 9.2 in Phoenix which is the 3rd best among all active drivers. Kasey Kahne has an average finish of only 21.1 here in Phoenix. Kahne has only 1 top 5 finish and 3 top 10 finishes in his 8 races in Phoenix. Earlier this year in Phoenix, Mark Martin finished 5th while Kasey Kahne was way back in 36th position in the 43 car field. We'll play Mark Martin to finish ahead of Kasey Kahne for 5 units today!
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Tennessee / Chicago
Play: 4* Chicago +3
Chicago is scoring 27.9 points per game overall this year and 30.7 points per game at home this season. Chicago is 3-1 SU at home this year and 3-1 SU overall vs Tennessee since 1992. Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 10. Bears are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Bears are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games in November.
Baltimore / Houston
Play: 4* Houston PK
Houston is 3-1 SU at home where they are scoring 29.7 points per game this season. Ravens are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10. Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Ravens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Houston is 7-2 ATS at home when the line is pick to 2 1/2. Baltimore is 11-21 ATS after 3 consecutive Overs. We'll play Houston for 4 units today!
NHL
Florida / Anaheim
Play: 4* Florida +205
Ducks are 2-6 in their last 8 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Florida is 6-4 before playing the NY Rangers. Florida is 6-3 last 9 against Anaheim. Anaheim is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida. Anaheim allows the most power plays at 5.6 per game. We'll play Florida for 4 units tonight!
Atlanta / Carolina
Play: 3* Atlanta +170
Hurricanes are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Thrashers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Carolina. Road team is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. We'll play Atlanta for 3 units today!
NASCAR
#8 Mark Martin vs #9 Kasey Kahne
Play: 5* #8 Mark Martin -140
Looking at my pick for the 4th spot we turn to Mark Martin. Martin has 1 win, 9 Top 5 finishes and 15 Top 10 finishes in his 23 starts in Phoenix. Martin has an average finish of 9.2 in Phoenix which is the 3rd best among all active drivers. Kasey Kahne has an average finish of only 21.1 here in Phoenix. Kahne has only 1 top 5 finish and 3 top 10 finishes in his 8 races in Phoenix. Earlier this year in Phoenix, Mark Martin finished 5th while Kasey Kahne was way back in 36th position in the 43 car field. We'll play Mark Martin to finish ahead of Kasey Kahne for 5 units today!
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VEGAS RUNNER
vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
214 CHI 3.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 213 TEN
Analysis:
** NFL 2* WAGER ** (BUY the 1/2 Pt to +3)
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
215 BUF 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 216 NEP
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
217 NOS (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 218 ATL
Analysis:
*** NFL 2* TOTAL TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***
OVER 43 NO/ATL & UNDER 51 STL/NYJ (2*)...Teaser...
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
220 NYJ -9.0 (-110) SportBet vs 219 STL
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Bonus NASCAR Bet :
1.) CLINT BOWYER (+2000) (1*)...
The obvious choice for today's Phoenix race is Jimmy Johnson, who is also the Chase Leader...He's won the L/2 there and is sitting on the Pole again this afternoon...But at a price of +300 or less, I just can't back him in this spot, because even though it's his to lose...there is just so much on the line that we may see JJ not take the risks he has been prone to in the past...
So I decided to look to another driver, that I feel has the ability to win on this track...and more importantly, is definately priced much higher than his probability of winning warrents...Let's back the "under-the-radar" Bowyer in this one, and see if he can get us a 20-1 Payday...VR
vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
214 CHI 3.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 213 TEN
Analysis:
** NFL 2* WAGER ** (BUY the 1/2 Pt to +3)
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
215 BUF 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 216 NEP
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
217 NOS (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 218 ATL
Analysis:
*** NFL 2* TOTAL TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***
OVER 43 NO/ATL & UNDER 51 STL/NYJ (2*)...Teaser...
Sun, 11/09/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
220 NYJ -9.0 (-110) SportBet vs 219 STL
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Bonus NASCAR Bet :
1.) CLINT BOWYER (+2000) (1*)...
The obvious choice for today's Phoenix race is Jimmy Johnson, who is also the Chase Leader...He's won the L/2 there and is sitting on the Pole again this afternoon...But at a price of +300 or less, I just can't back him in this spot, because even though it's his to lose...there is just so much on the line that we may see JJ not take the risks he has been prone to in the past...
So I decided to look to another driver, that I feel has the ability to win on this track...and more importantly, is definately priced much higher than his probability of winning warrents...Let's back the "under-the-radar" Bowyer in this one, and see if he can get us a 20-1 Payday...VR
