You would think it would be money; however, it might make good sense to include Cinci in a teaser for added security-just can't see them doing anything in this spot. GL
Ya Michigan Lost as a 15* yesterday. First loss under that system in 10 years or something. Now it's cinci, you would think the Bengals would be money wouldn't you?? Lets seeI might take it for small
jeff benton
0-2 yesterday MINUS 60 dimes Minus $660
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton SUNDAY'S ACTION
50 DIME selection on the Browns plus the points at home against the Jets. Clevaland is a solid three-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore, though the juice suggests that money is coming in on New York and I woluldn’t be surprised to see this line hit 3½ by kickoff. Regardless, if you have the ability, I want you to buy the half-point if the number is either 3 or 3½, so you’re pushing Cleveland to a 3½ or 4-point underdog.
15 DIME selection on the Browns on the money-line over the Jets. The money-line odds range from Cleveland at +150 to +160, with the prevalling number being +155.
BROWNS (plus the points
BROWNS (on the money-line)
Damn right I’m backing Cleveland for the second straight week as a home underdog against an overrated AFC East foe!
Last week, the Browns not only covered as a 4-point home pup against the Patriots; they jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never loaked back, rolling to a wire-to-wire 34-14 victory. Now Cleveland entertains the Jets, who were beyond lucky to escape with a win at Detroit last week (New York trailed 20-10 with less than four minutes to play but rallied to tie it – thanks to some questionable clock-management by the Lions – and then won it 23-20 in overtime).
Not only is this New York’s second straight road game but it’s the team’s fifth trip in the last seven games. On the other hand, the Browns followed up consecutive road games at Pittsburgh and New Orleans (30-17 win) with a bye week before last week’s home contest against New England. So the situation clearly favors the Browns (home for the third straight week if you include the bye) over New York (back-to-back roadies, five of the last seven on the highway).
You’re likely aware that this game is full of subplots. You’ve got Browns coach Eric Mangini facing the team that fired him two years ago; you’ve got Browns castoff WR Braylon Edwards returning to Cleveland (he made some ridiculous comments this week about wanting to stick it to the Browns this week, so I fully expect Edwards – always a me-first guy – to play outside the team concept today); and you’ve got Jets coach Rex Ryan going up against his brother, Cleveland defensive coordinator Rob Ryan.
Both brothers are defensive gurus, but in my opinion, Rob Ryan isn’t getting enough credit for the job he’s done with the Browns. Only two teams have scored more than 20 points against the Browns this season – Pittsburgh put up 28; Baltimore put up 24, and both those teams were at home. Eliminate those two contests, and the Browns have surrendered 17.3 ppg. And in the last two contests, Cleveland has held Drew Brees and the Saints and Tom Brady and the Patriots to 17 and 14 points, respectively.
Now here comes Mark Sanchez and the Jets’ offense, which I think we’d all aglree is far less explosive than either the Saints or Patriots. In fact, with a few rare exceptions, Sanchez has shown no signs of progress to me. Here we are in Week 9 and only once has Sanchez finished a game where he’s completed more than 58 percent of his passes, and that was against New England, whose secondary is way below average.
Push that Patriots game to the side, and Sanchez is completing just 51 percent of his throws for an average of 210 yards with 7 TDs vs. 5 INTs and an incredibly weak 6.6 yards per pass attempt. By comparison, blossoming rookie QB Colt McCoy has completed 67.7 percent of his throws since taking over as the Browns’ starter, and he’s averaging 7.8 yards per pass. And unlike Sanchez, McCoy brings the added dimension of being mobile (he ran for a 16-yard TD vs. the Patriots last week).
True, McCoy will have his work cut out for him today against an outstanding Jets defense. But he’s got a security blanket behind him in emerging RB Peyton Hillis, who last week gashed New England for 184 yards (averaging 6.3 yards per carry).
Bottom line here: As I said last week when I backed the Browns, they’re much better than their 3-5 record indicates, and in fact have had a second-half lead in all but one game this season (28-10 loss at the Steelers, which was McCoy’s first start). Also, I noted last week that Cleveland has been tremerdous at covering pointspreads. An update of those numbers: The Browns are ATS runs of 11-4 overall, 6-2 at home, 9-2 against AFC opponents, 9-3 as an underdog, 4-1 as a home underdog.
Meanwhile, New York has failed to cover in four of its last five when favored by three points or less, nine of 13 when coming off an ATS setback and five of its last six in November. Note this trend, too: The last eight road favorites that played an overtime game then went back on the road as a chalk the next week have just one spread-cover.
For the second straight week, I’m telling you the Browns are being underrated by the oddsmakers, who aren’t taking into account all the road trips the Jets have been taking lately. And you know every player in that Cleveland locker room wants this game BADLY for their head coach.
I say the Browns get it, 20-17.
0-2 yesterday MINUS 60 dimes Minus $660
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton SUNDAY'S ACTION
50 DIME selection on the Browns plus the points at home against the Jets. Clevaland is a solid three-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore, though the juice suggests that money is coming in on New York and I woluldn’t be surprised to see this line hit 3½ by kickoff. Regardless, if you have the ability, I want you to buy the half-point if the number is either 3 or 3½, so you’re pushing Cleveland to a 3½ or 4-point underdog.
15 DIME selection on the Browns on the money-line over the Jets. The money-line odds range from Cleveland at +150 to +160, with the prevalling number being +155.
BROWNS (plus the points
BROWNS (on the money-line)
Damn right I’m backing Cleveland for the second straight week as a home underdog against an overrated AFC East foe!
Last week, the Browns not only covered as a 4-point home pup against the Patriots; they jumped out to a 10-0 lead and never loaked back, rolling to a wire-to-wire 34-14 victory. Now Cleveland entertains the Jets, who were beyond lucky to escape with a win at Detroit last week (New York trailed 20-10 with less than four minutes to play but rallied to tie it – thanks to some questionable clock-management by the Lions – and then won it 23-20 in overtime).
Not only is this New York’s second straight road game but it’s the team’s fifth trip in the last seven games. On the other hand, the Browns followed up consecutive road games at Pittsburgh and New Orleans (30-17 win) with a bye week before last week’s home contest against New England. So the situation clearly favors the Browns (home for the third straight week if you include the bye) over New York (back-to-back roadies, five of the last seven on the highway).
You’re likely aware that this game is full of subplots. You’ve got Browns coach Eric Mangini facing the team that fired him two years ago; you’ve got Browns castoff WR Braylon Edwards returning to Cleveland (he made some ridiculous comments this week about wanting to stick it to the Browns this week, so I fully expect Edwards – always a me-first guy – to play outside the team concept today); and you’ve got Jets coach Rex Ryan going up against his brother, Cleveland defensive coordinator Rob Ryan.
Both brothers are defensive gurus, but in my opinion, Rob Ryan isn’t getting enough credit for the job he’s done with the Browns. Only two teams have scored more than 20 points against the Browns this season – Pittsburgh put up 28; Baltimore put up 24, and both those teams were at home. Eliminate those two contests, and the Browns have surrendered 17.3 ppg. And in the last two contests, Cleveland has held Drew Brees and the Saints and Tom Brady and the Patriots to 17 and 14 points, respectively.
Now here comes Mark Sanchez and the Jets’ offense, which I think we’d all aglree is far less explosive than either the Saints or Patriots. In fact, with a few rare exceptions, Sanchez has shown no signs of progress to me. Here we are in Week 9 and only once has Sanchez finished a game where he’s completed more than 58 percent of his passes, and that was against New England, whose secondary is way below average.
Push that Patriots game to the side, and Sanchez is completing just 51 percent of his throws for an average of 210 yards with 7 TDs vs. 5 INTs and an incredibly weak 6.6 yards per pass attempt. By comparison, blossoming rookie QB Colt McCoy has completed 67.7 percent of his throws since taking over as the Browns’ starter, and he’s averaging 7.8 yards per pass. And unlike Sanchez, McCoy brings the added dimension of being mobile (he ran for a 16-yard TD vs. the Patriots last week).
True, McCoy will have his work cut out for him today against an outstanding Jets defense. But he’s got a security blanket behind him in emerging RB Peyton Hillis, who last week gashed New England for 184 yards (averaging 6.3 yards per carry).
Bottom line here: As I said last week when I backed the Browns, they’re much better than their 3-5 record indicates, and in fact have had a second-half lead in all but one game this season (28-10 loss at the Steelers, which was McCoy’s first start). Also, I noted last week that Cleveland has been tremerdous at covering pointspreads. An update of those numbers: The Browns are ATS runs of 11-4 overall, 6-2 at home, 9-2 against AFC opponents, 9-3 as an underdog, 4-1 as a home underdog.
Meanwhile, New York has failed to cover in four of its last five when favored by three points or less, nine of 13 when coming off an ATS setback and five of its last six in November. Note this trend, too: The last eight road favorites that played an overtime game then went back on the road as a chalk the next week have just one spread-cover.
For the second straight week, I’m telling you the Browns are being underrated by the oddsmakers, who aren’t taking into account all the road trips the Jets have been taking lately. And you know every player in that Cleveland locker room wants this game BADLY for their head coach.
I say the Browns get it, 20-17.
401ksports top rated NCAABB play for SUNDAY
Here is their other play
NCAABB 6-0 +12.1 ytd
2* Arizona -20.5 over Idaho st(5pm)
- I am not a fan of laying huge chalk on a regular basis. If there is a time to do it though, it is early in the season in coll hoops or football. These schools don't ever want to risk an upset so they basically schedule scrimmages against sisters of the poor teams rather than scrimmage themselves. The ironic thing is the scrimmages against themselves might be better games.
Arizona is returning most of their team. They were a young team last year but the team grew up fast last year and now will contend with Washington for the PAC-10 title. It all starts with the PAC-10 frosh of the year Derrick Williams. Williams was named as a preseason Wooden(player of the year) candidate. The Wildcats are also deep in the backcourt w/Junior Lavender, who is the 3 ball sharpshooter and sophomore pg Parrom. Also top 25 recruit Jordan Mays will see significant time. While the starters will wear down Idaho with speed, when the back ups come in they are there to wear down the opponent. They have a twin towers combo of 7' Jacobson and 6'11" Russian Natyazhko. These guys aren't big scorers, but do a number on teams physically.
Idaho st is returning 10 players from a team that finished 9-22 a year ago. Other than PG Gilchrist, none of the other 9 players averaged more than 5 min a game last year. This will probably be another long year for them in the big sky. A team not very deep and one who is working in 4 new starters to begin with, is at a serious disadvantage when playing a top flight BCS school like Arizona.
This one will be much like the Michigan st game Friday night. Arizona will wear them down throughout the whole game with superior depth. Arizona 96 - Idaho state 59
Here is their other play
NCAABB 6-0 +12.1 ytd
2* Arizona -20.5 over Idaho st(5pm)
- I am not a fan of laying huge chalk on a regular basis. If there is a time to do it though, it is early in the season in coll hoops or football. These schools don't ever want to risk an upset so they basically schedule scrimmages against sisters of the poor teams rather than scrimmage themselves. The ironic thing is the scrimmages against themselves might be better games.
Arizona is returning most of their team. They were a young team last year but the team grew up fast last year and now will contend with Washington for the PAC-10 title. It all starts with the PAC-10 frosh of the year Derrick Williams. Williams was named as a preseason Wooden(player of the year) candidate. The Wildcats are also deep in the backcourt w/Junior Lavender, who is the 3 ball sharpshooter and sophomore pg Parrom. Also top 25 recruit Jordan Mays will see significant time. While the starters will wear down Idaho with speed, when the back ups come in they are there to wear down the opponent. They have a twin towers combo of 7' Jacobson and 6'11" Russian Natyazhko. These guys aren't big scorers, but do a number on teams physically.
Idaho st is returning 10 players from a team that finished 9-22 a year ago. Other than PG Gilchrist, none of the other 9 players averaged more than 5 min a game last year. This will probably be another long year for them in the big sky. A team not very deep and one who is working in 4 new starters to begin with, is at a serious disadvantage when playing a top flight BCS school like Arizona.
This one will be much like the Michigan st game Friday night. Arizona will wear them down throughout the whole game with superior depth. Arizona 96 - Idaho state 59
401ksports.com sunday NFL play for 11/14
Sat Recap 2-1 +3.8 units
Sun NFL 8-1-1 L10
4* HOUSTON +1(+105) over Jacksonville (1pm ET)
I know the jags are coming off their bye week and they looked good when they defeated the Cowboys before the bye week. Realize it was the Cowboys and we all know what kind of mess the Cowboys are. Before that win, the jags lost their previous two games prior by 20+ points Three of their wins have come against Dallas 1-7, Buffalo 0-8, Denver 2-6....The Jags are just 2-12 ATS last 14 at home as a favorite and are just 5-11 ATS versus Houston... The Texans in the last four weeks have faced three division leaders and the #1 offensive team in the Chargers. They did not play badly especially on defense where they held the Chargers to below their season average on offense. The Texans are in a must win here. After that ball went thru the hands and off the knee of wide out AAndre Johnson, cost the Texans a win last week, look for him to bounce back in a strong way here versus the #28 defense against the pass and #28 overall. I know the Texans defense has been bad but this Jags offense is just #23 overall. That is after facing two really bad defenses so their offense maybe even worse than #23....I just believe the Texans after facing four straight quality opponents bounce back here and get a much needed win against a team they have had some success with ATS.........Houston 31 Jacksonville 23!!!
As usual if there is anymore I will post it
Let's Cash!!
ZAGS
Marc Lawrence 11/14
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Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - BEST BET
Philadelphia over WASHINGTON by 14
Houston over JACKSONVILLE by 11
Cincinnati over INDIANAPOLIS by 3
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - BEST BET
Bears OVER - Cardinals OVER - Steelers OVER
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - THE MIDWEEK BEST BETS
MIAMI over Tennessee by 10
Marc Lawrence's Economy Club
Houston - MIAMI
Marc Lawrence's Weekend Update Phone
Cleveland Browns
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Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - BEST BET
Philadelphia over WASHINGTON by 14
Houston over JACKSONVILLE by 11
Cincinnati over INDIANAPOLIS by 3
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - BEST BET
Bears OVER - Cardinals OVER - Steelers OVER
Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter - THE MIDWEEK BEST BETS
MIAMI over Tennessee by 10
Marc Lawrence's Economy Club
Houston - MIAMI
Marc Lawrence's Weekend Update Phone
Cleveland Browns
ATS NFL Free EMail
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225); background-color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Brad Childress was given a reprieve from what seems to be an inevitable divorce from the Minnesota Vikings this past week, but the embattled head coach still has plenty of work to do before he finds himself off the hot seat.
The same can be said for Childress' team, which will once again find itself competing under a sense of desperation when it heads to historic Soldier Field this Sunday for a pivotal mid-November showdown with the rival Chicago Bears.
With its season -- and Childress' immediate future as well -- possibly hanging in the balance, Minnesota staged a stirring fourth-quarter comeback to get past the Arizona Cardinals in a 27-24 overtime thriller last weekend. The reigning NFC North champions scored a pair of touchdowns in the final 3:34 of regulation to force an extra period, then came up with a key defensive stop in additional time before moving into range for kicker Ryan Longwell's deciding 35-yard field goal.
In this week's battle of teams needing to win the Vikings are in need of one more here and will get it on the ground.
ATS Consultants Predicted Outcome: Vikings 26, Bears 20
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225); background-color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Brad Childress was given a reprieve from what seems to be an inevitable divorce from the Minnesota Vikings this past week, but the embattled head coach still has plenty of work to do before he finds himself off the hot seat.
The same can be said for Childress' team, which will once again find itself competing under a sense of desperation when it heads to historic Soldier Field this Sunday for a pivotal mid-November showdown with the rival Chicago Bears.
With its season -- and Childress' immediate future as well -- possibly hanging in the balance, Minnesota staged a stirring fourth-quarter comeback to get past the Arizona Cardinals in a 27-24 overtime thriller last weekend. The reigning NFC North champions scored a pair of touchdowns in the final 3:34 of regulation to force an extra period, then came up with a key defensive stop in additional time before moving into range for kicker Ryan Longwell's deciding 35-yard field goal.
In this week's battle of teams needing to win the Vikings are in need of one more here and will get it on the ground.
ATS Consultants Predicted Outcome: Vikings 26, Bears 20
NHL DUNKEL
Anaheim at Chicago
The Ducks look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games as a home favorite from -150 to -200. Anaheim is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+140)
Game 51-52: Edmonton at NY Rangers (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.967; NY Rangers 11.422
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-200); Under
Game 53-54: Atlanta at Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 12.001; Washington 11.359
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-270); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+230); Over
Game 55-56: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.549; Tampa Bay 11.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over
Game 57-58: Anaheim at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.889; Chicago 10.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+140); Under
<!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
Anaheim at Chicago
The Ducks look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games as a home favorite from -150 to -200. Anaheim is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+140)
Game 51-52: Edmonton at NY Rangers (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.967; NY Rangers 11.422
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-200); Under
Game 53-54: Atlanta at Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 12.001; Washington 11.359
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-270); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+230); Over
Game 55-56: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.549; Tampa Bay 11.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over
Game 57-58: Anaheim at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.889; Chicago 10.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+140); Under
<!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
NCAAB DUNKEL
Cornell at Seton Hall
The Pirates look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Ivy League. Seton Hall is the pick (-13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-13 1/2)
Game 711-712: Cornell at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 55.048; Seton Hall 70.332
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-13 1/2)
Game 713-714: AR-Little Rock at St. Bonaventure (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 50.685; St. Bonaventure 54.771
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 4
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 6
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+6)
Game 715-716: Toledo at Temple (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 41.783; Temple 67.711
Dunkel Line: Temple by 26
Vegas Line: Temple by 29 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+29 1/2)
Game 717-718: Princeton at Duke (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 56.649; Duke 83.697
Dunkel Line: Duke by 27
Vegas Line: Duke by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-23 1/2)
Game 719-720: Wright State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 57.124; Indiana 60.074
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 3
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+5)
Game 721-722: Iona vs. Bryant (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 55.102; Bryant 32.450
Dunkel Line: Iona by 22 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 723-724: Kent State at Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.588; Cleveland State 59.007
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 725-726: Eastern Kentucky vs. Indiana State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 49.440; Indiana State 56.680
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 7
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 727-728: TX-Pan American at Loyola-Chicago (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Pan American 39.551; Loyola-Chicago 57.373
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 18
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 729-730: Denver vs. North Dakota State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 51.390; North Dakota State 50.421
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 731-732: UC-Santa Barbara at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.992; Oregon 61.555
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 733-734: UC Davis vs. WI-Milwaukee (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 47.879; WI-Milwaukee 55.125
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 7
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 735-736: Florida Atlantic at Portland (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 52.364; Portland 64.782
Dunkel Line: Portland by 12 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 737-738: Northern Arizona at Creighton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 53.225; Creighton 60.194
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 7
Vegas Line: Creighton by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+9 1/2)
Game 739-740: Idaho State at Arizona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 45.038; Arizona 67.054
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 22
Vegas Line: Arizona by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-20 1/2)
Game 741-742: Canisius at Syracuse (3:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.207; Syracuse 73.634
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+21 1/2)
Game 743-744: Eastern Illinois at Ball State (3:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 50.400; Ball State 53.798
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+5 1/2)
Game 745-746: Florida State at NC-Greensboro (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 67.903; NC-Greensboro 50.257
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-15)
Game 751-752: South Dakota State at Iowa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 51.054; Iowa 61.634
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 10 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 753-754: IUPUI at Gonzaga (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 56.987; Gonzaga 70.587
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 13 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Cornell at Seton Hall
The Pirates look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Ivy League. Seton Hall is the pick (-13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-13 1/2)
Game 711-712: Cornell at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 55.048; Seton Hall 70.332
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-13 1/2)
Game 713-714: AR-Little Rock at St. Bonaventure (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 50.685; St. Bonaventure 54.771
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 4
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 6
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+6)
Game 715-716: Toledo at Temple (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 41.783; Temple 67.711
Dunkel Line: Temple by 26
Vegas Line: Temple by 29 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+29 1/2)
Game 717-718: Princeton at Duke (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 56.649; Duke 83.697
Dunkel Line: Duke by 27
Vegas Line: Duke by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-23 1/2)
Game 719-720: Wright State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 57.124; Indiana 60.074
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 3
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+5)
Game 721-722: Iona vs. Bryant (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 55.102; Bryant 32.450
Dunkel Line: Iona by 22 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 723-724: Kent State at Cleveland State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.588; Cleveland State 59.007
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 725-726: Eastern Kentucky vs. Indiana State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 49.440; Indiana State 56.680
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 7
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 727-728: TX-Pan American at Loyola-Chicago (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Pan American 39.551; Loyola-Chicago 57.373
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 18
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 729-730: Denver vs. North Dakota State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 51.390; North Dakota State 50.421
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 731-732: UC-Santa Barbara at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.992; Oregon 61.555
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 733-734: UC Davis vs. WI-Milwaukee (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 47.879; WI-Milwaukee 55.125
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 7
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 735-736: Florida Atlantic at Portland (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 52.364; Portland 64.782
Dunkel Line: Portland by 12 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 737-738: Northern Arizona at Creighton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 53.225; Creighton 60.194
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 7
Vegas Line: Creighton by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+9 1/2)
Game 739-740: Idaho State at Arizona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 45.038; Arizona 67.054
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 22
Vegas Line: Arizona by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-20 1/2)
Game 741-742: Canisius at Syracuse (3:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.207; Syracuse 73.634
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+21 1/2)
Game 743-744: Eastern Illinois at Ball State (3:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 50.400; Ball State 53.798
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+5 1/2)
Game 745-746: Florida State at NC-Greensboro (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 67.903; NC-Greensboro 50.257
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-15)
Game 751-752: South Dakota State at Iowa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 51.054; Iowa 61.634
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 10 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Game 753-754: IUPUI at Gonzaga (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 56.987; Gonzaga 70.587
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 13 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:
Sports Insights
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This week's selection is one of the most lopsided-bet games of the week. Just 18% of the bets are landing on the visiting Carolina Panthers, with a huge number of bettors putting their hard-earned money on the 5-3 Bucs. We'll "bet against the Public" and go with the "ugly" play -- and the 1-7 Panthers.
The sports marketplace for this game also reflects "reverse line movement," which our readers know we like as an indicator of "big, smart, money." Even with almost every bet taking the Bucs, the line has moved from its opener of Bucs -7 to Bucs -6.5. One of our offshore contacts circled this game and verified that his, "sports book is taking a large number of bets on Tampa Bay -- but a few of the sharper bettors are taking Carolina."
Our readers know that we like to "bet against the Public" while following the "smart money." In addition, we like this play on Carolina for several other reasons:
* If you shop around, several books are starting to move Carolina back to a big +7 points.
* This is a divisional match-up, which teams often "get up" for.
* Although Tampa Bay is 5-3, their margin of "points for" minus "points against" is a mediocre -33.
* Tampa Bay has had one blowout win (although over Carolina!), with their other four wins coming by a maximum margin of 3 points as follows: 3, 3, 1, 3.
Currently, several books have moved the line back to Carolina +7, but remember to shop around for the best line and best odds.
Carolina Panthers +7
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Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This week's selection is one of the most lopsided-bet games of the week. Just 18% of the bets are landing on the visiting Carolina Panthers, with a huge number of bettors putting their hard-earned money on the 5-3 Bucs. We'll "bet against the Public" and go with the "ugly" play -- and the 1-7 Panthers.
The sports marketplace for this game also reflects "reverse line movement," which our readers know we like as an indicator of "big, smart, money." Even with almost every bet taking the Bucs, the line has moved from its opener of Bucs -7 to Bucs -6.5. One of our offshore contacts circled this game and verified that his, "sports book is taking a large number of bets on Tampa Bay -- but a few of the sharper bettors are taking Carolina."
Our readers know that we like to "bet against the Public" while following the "smart money." In addition, we like this play on Carolina for several other reasons:
* If you shop around, several books are starting to move Carolina back to a big +7 points.
* This is a divisional match-up, which teams often "get up" for.
* Although Tampa Bay is 5-3, their margin of "points for" minus "points against" is a mediocre -33.
* Tampa Bay has had one blowout win (although over Carolina!), with their other four wins coming by a maximum margin of 3 points as follows: 3, 3, 1, 3.
Currently, several books have moved the line back to Carolina +7, but remember to shop around for the best line and best odds.
Carolina Panthers +7
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