Davis
100 Dime Winner for Sunday is the Dallas Cowboys as the home underdog against the Seattle Seahawks. At 5:30 am eastern time, the Cowboys are +4 1/2 point underdogs both in Vegas and offshore. Special note: if your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 points to +4 points, buy the half point up on Dallas.
100 Dime Winner for Sunday is the Dallas Cowboys as the home underdog against the Seattle Seahawks. At 5:30 am eastern time, the Cowboys are +4 1/2 point underdogs both in Vegas and offshore. Special note: if your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 points to +4 points, buy the half point up on Dallas.
Mike Handzelek
NFL Deep Six Premium Package
Sunday, November 01, 2015
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs (NFL)
9:30 AM EST
Detroit Lions
Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Up She Rises Out Of The Fog
Play Selected: Point Spread: 3.5/-115
Analysis: Appropriately titled, it’ll be the London fog where the Lions will awake from a slumber that’s lasted for the majority of the season. What stands out for me has to be the ineptitude of the Kansas City offense in putting TD’s on the board (only 4 in their last 4 games). Detroit QB Matt Stafford didn’t look too shabby with a 126.4 passer rating versus Minnesota. Even though he was sacked 7 times, he now faces a Chiefs’ “D” that averages around 2 sacks per game. In comparison, KC QB Alex Smith has actually been sacked 9 more times (25 this season) than Stafford thus far. Certainly to make an impact has to be the Lions shaking up a few things this week by firing their OC Joe Lombardi (Bob Cooter takes over), OL Coach Jeremiah Washburn & assistant line coach Terry Heffernan. I feel this road trip clears the air (last road game 4 weeks ago) to ignite their offense in a positive way. Stafford has more weapons at his disposal with WR Calvin “Megatron” Johnson (43 catches, 574 yards, 13.3 YPC & 3 TD’s), WR Golden Tate (34 catches, 318 yards, 9.4 YPC & 1 TD) & RB Theo Riddick ( 36 catches, 318 yards, 8.8 YPC & 2 TD’s). For those with a short-term memory, Detroit is no stranger to England. Last year, they came out firing from a 21-0 deficit in the second half to come back & shock Atlanta 22-21. In a game where passing should win it, I give the nod to the “Motor City Boys” with international experience over the (averaging under 17 PPG over the last 3) offensively-challenged Chiefs. My bottom line says DC Teryl Austin should be able to get his 4-3 defense rolling today (11 turnovers forced this year). The last time this defense was on the road, they held Seattle to 13 points. Let’s head to Wembley Stadium in London to play the Detroit Lions + 3 1/2 as my 8 Star Up She Rises Out Of The Fog Play!
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Premium Pick
Play Title: 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner
Play Selected: Money Line: -160
Analysis: Many people feel that New York Giants QB Eli Manning will be pumped & ready heading home to where he was born & raised. I’ll note that & then forget about it. Eli has been here before and the last 2 results were a 49-24 MNF pounding in 2011 & a 48-27 beating back in 2009 (Saints Super Bowl year) as he watched Drew Brees throw for a combined 8 TD’s & 782 yards passing. Now let’s shift the conversation over to the Saints. After a 6-game home losing skein, they’ve responded their last 2 Superdome home dates by beating Dallas 26-20 & more recently, a Thursday night 31-21 win over Atlanta. I feel dialing up Drew Brees & New Orleans one more time is warranted. Why? Because the Giants’ defensive front was outplayed by Dallas OL. Yes, this is the same “D” (ranked 30th versus the pass & 29th overall) that has been carved up for 460 yards by the Cowboys & for 428 yards by Philadelphia in succession. The G-Men defense has just 9 sacks good for a 31st ranking. Don’t look now but this 1-2 SU on the road Giants squad go up against a Saints team in hyper-drive winning 3 of 4 SU & 4 of 5 ATS. My bottom line says HC Sean Payton has New York’s number with a 3-0 SU career mark. His team is more in desperation mode with a strong NFC South to catch with Carolina & Atlanta. New Orleans will look to RB Mark Ingram (450 rushing yards, 4.4 YPC & 4 TD’s) again after chalking up 143 rushing yards versus Indy. The Saints defense do give up a high 26.4 PPG but also rank in the top 5 in 3rd down conversions yielded with 33.7%. With a weak schedule overall ahead, don’t count the boys from Mardi Gras land out just yet. I’m heading to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to play the New Orleans Saints as my 9 Star Headliner Moneyliner!
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Chicago Bears Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Day
Play Selected: Point Spread: 1.5/-110
Analysis: What? You’re giving the 2-4 Bears consideration? Yes, that’s what I’m saying. Can anyone tell me exactly what is Minnesota’s SU divisional road record their last 9 tries? Try an Antarctic 1-7-1 with their lone win coming last week @ Detroit. I like the fact they have to face a rested Bears squad who have beaten the Vikings 7 times in a row @ Soldier Field. Chicago gets a gigantic boost since QB Jay Cutler (7/4 TD/INT ratio, 86.2 passer rating) has healthy playmaker & WR Alshon Jeffery (13 receptions for 225, 17.3 YPC & 1 TD) back in the lineup coming off a hamstring injury. With Jeffery, my passing edge goes to Cutler & the Bears downfield passing attack. They rate the edge over 2nd-year Minny QB Teddy Bridgewater (5/4 TD/INT ratio, 87.7 passer rating) who might find it more than difficult to pass efficiently in the swirling winds @ Soldier Field. My bottom line says even though Ex-Bears skipper Marc Tressman struggled after bye weeks, it’s been the opposite for new Chicago HC John Fox. In 13 seasons, Fox has a very solid 10-3 SU record added to his credentials. My bottom line says Bears DC Vic Fangio’s 3-4 scheme should find enough success versus Minnesota’s 30th-ranked defense to give their offense an opportunity for the “W”. The Windy City squad with RB Matt Forte shows up with their “A” game today. Just when it was starting to look like the Vikings were turning into a covering machine (10-2 ATS their last 12), one will show up against the grain. I’m heading to Soldier Field to grab the Chicago Bears + 1 1/2 as my 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Day!
San Diego Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Baltimore Ravens Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Overdue Chalk Play
Play Selected: Money Line: -180
Analysis: The Baltimore Ravens may look like they’ve packed it in @ 1-6 approaching the mid-way point. However, they’ve been in every game with the highest winning margin in any of their games being 8. I feel that the outcomes like QB Joe Flacco throwing a game-ending INT’s in the end zone start going the other way. San Diego will no doubt try to air it out against the Baltimore “D”. However, the health status of recently-returned TE Antonio Gates remains a question mark. This game between 2 equal teams with 3 combined wins will be decided by turnovers. So far this season, it’s been the Chargers leading that category between the 2 with 13. The Ravens also have the opportunity to control the clock by facing a San Diego defense that ranks 31st versus the run. That’s a perfect set-up for Baltimore RB Justin Forsett (116 rushes for 493 yards, 4.2 yards a pop & 2 TD’s). In fact, the Chargers’ defense have given up a minimum of 24 points in all 7 contests. Their 2 victories came against 2 lower-echelon teams versus Detroit & Cleveland by a combined 8 points. The lone Ravens’ win came against a tough Steelers’ squad @ Pittsburgh. My bottom line says that San Diego has become one-dimensional. They’re also making that tough west-to-east coast trip for an early start. They have been no-shows versus AFC competition by going an Antarctic 1-12 SU their last 13 tries. I also feel this John Harbaugh-coached team rises up in the middle of the season and bunches together some wins starting right now. They should be able to get to SD QB Philip Rivers (sacked 18 times thus far) with a “D” that’s registered 20 sacks coming in. My 8 Star Overdue Chalk Play heads to M&T Bank Stadium in Inner Harbor to play the Baltimore Ravens!
New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL)
4:05 PM EST
New York Jets Premium Pick
Play Title: 9 Star Defense Reigns Heidi Bowl Reversal
Play Selected: Money Line: -145
Analysis: It’s been 47 years since appropriately-named NBC supervisor Dick Cline made an irrational decision @ 7 PM to cut to air a Disney movie called “Heidi” with 65 seconds left and the Jets up 3, 32-29. Unfortunately, only those who had their $5.50 reserved ticket & those with strong enough radios got to see or hear Daryl Lamonica & the Oakland special teams out-duel Joe Namath for a 43-32 win in the waning moments. NBC became famous that night for their switchboard fails & human error excuses. They remained with egg on their faces when they wound up scrolling the final score 20 minutes into the Heidi movie. Switching into the present, I feel that Oakland has made strides under 1st-year HC Jack Del Rio as they come in with a 3-3 record. They now come in to face a traveling coast-to-coast Jets team that looks strong under their 1st-year HC Todd Bowles (who looks better than his predecessor, the attention-getting Rex Ryan. In pivotal games thus far, New York has beaten the Colts in Indy by 13 & went toe-to-toe with New England surprisingly well before losing by 7. The Raiders have been blown out @ home by 20 versus the Bengals & then played a close game @ home versus the offensively-challenged Broncos. My bottom line says that the Jets’ defense will reign during crunch time but this telecast won’t be lost when the game goes beyond 7 PM Eastern Time @ crunch time. The Black N’ Silver QB Derek Carr will look like a breather compared to Brady last week. They have more defensive playmakers with Revis & Cromartie who can stop a 23rd-ranked Oakland ground game which will turn them one-dimensional. DC Kacy Rodgers will successfully employ a 3-4 defense (holding foes to 18 PPG) with smothering press man coverage that the Raiders will have a tough time answering versus the NFL’s 2nd-ranked defense. On the flip side of the coin, the New York offense has enough talent led by steady QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (11/7 TD/INT ratio, 61.4% completions & a 45.3% 3rd-down conversion rate) and talented RB Chris Ivory (100 rushes for 501 yards, 5 yards a pop, 4 TD’s) in the backfield. Remember, the Jets were good enough to beat Oakland twice the last 2 years by a combined 15 points with turnover machine Geno Smith at the helm. Fitzpatrick should have more success finding the tandem of WR’s Brandon Marshall & Eric Decker up against DC Ken Norton Jr’s 4-3 with his feast or famine man coverages in the secondary. It’ll be interesting to see how 18th-year veteran & pushing 40 – FS Charles Woodson stacks up against them. By the way, the Raiders are dead last in the NFL versus the pass. Are you ready? Let’s invade Oakland-Alameda Coliseum to play the New York Jets as my 9 Star Defense Reigns Heidi Bowl Reversal Play!
Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos (NFL)
8:30 PM EST
Green Bay Packers Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Late-Night Barn-Burner Survivor
Play Selected: Money Line: -138
Analysis: This battle between 2 unbeaten 6-0 teams has been hyped up to be the best game of the weekend. This is a rare matchup that represents just the 4th time in NFL history where 2 undefeated teams face each other with 6 or more wins. So whose the real contender here? Let’s look at Denver first. You have a good defensive team (1st versus overall & 1st against the pass) that has bailed out an inept offense more on frequent occasions throughout this young season. DC Wade Phillips switching to a transitional 3-4 alignment from last year’s hybrid 4-3 has paid big dividends. They’ve forced an NFL-high 17 turnovers along with registering 25 sacks along the way. Now let’s look @ the down side. Their offense (averaging 23.2 PPG versus a weaker schedule) has lacked a decent ground attack with leading rushers Ronnie Hillman, C.J. Anderson & Co. combining for just 3.6 YPC. Pushing 40 & future HOF QB Peyton Manning has looked pedestrian by lacking arm-strength on throws periodically that’s led to a career-low & 31st-ranked 72.5 passer rating along with a 7/10 TD/INT ratio. Losing the TE tandem of Julius Thomas & Jacob Tamme has taken its toll. Their replacements, Owen Daniels & Virgil Green have failed in comparison. They now face the diverse 3-4 and ball-hawking defense of DC Dom Capers led by LB’s Julius Peppers & Clay Matthews who have registered 10 of 23 team sacks. They’ve held their last 3 opponents to an impressive 11 PPG. This 27.3 PPG offense, despite losing playmaking TE Jordy Nelson, is led by mobile QB Aaron Rodgers (15/2 TD/INT ratio, 115.9 passer rating with 68.1% completions & averages 1.8 yards more than manning per pass attempt). He’s complimented by a ground game featuring RB’s James Starks & Eddie Lacy who average 1 more yard per rush than Denver. My bottom line says this is all about turnovers. Green Bay has given it away 4 times in 6 games compared to 11 for the Broncos. I like the way a Mike McCarthy responds to a bye week. They’ve come out with a SU win 10 of 12 times. I feel that the winning with smoke n’ mirrors Denver squad will catch up with them. After the adrenalin rush clears, the Packers should make a solid 2nd-half move & notch the “W” in the end. I’m ready to go to sports Authority filed @ Mile High to play the Green Bay Packers as my 8 Star Late-night Barn-Burner Survivor!
NFL Deep Six Premium Package
Sunday, November 01, 2015
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs (NFL)
9:30 AM EST
Detroit Lions
Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Up She Rises Out Of The Fog
Play Selected: Point Spread: 3.5/-115
Analysis: Appropriately titled, it’ll be the London fog where the Lions will awake from a slumber that’s lasted for the majority of the season. What stands out for me has to be the ineptitude of the Kansas City offense in putting TD’s on the board (only 4 in their last 4 games). Detroit QB Matt Stafford didn’t look too shabby with a 126.4 passer rating versus Minnesota. Even though he was sacked 7 times, he now faces a Chiefs’ “D” that averages around 2 sacks per game. In comparison, KC QB Alex Smith has actually been sacked 9 more times (25 this season) than Stafford thus far. Certainly to make an impact has to be the Lions shaking up a few things this week by firing their OC Joe Lombardi (Bob Cooter takes over), OL Coach Jeremiah Washburn & assistant line coach Terry Heffernan. I feel this road trip clears the air (last road game 4 weeks ago) to ignite their offense in a positive way. Stafford has more weapons at his disposal with WR Calvin “Megatron” Johnson (43 catches, 574 yards, 13.3 YPC & 3 TD’s), WR Golden Tate (34 catches, 318 yards, 9.4 YPC & 1 TD) & RB Theo Riddick ( 36 catches, 318 yards, 8.8 YPC & 2 TD’s). For those with a short-term memory, Detroit is no stranger to England. Last year, they came out firing from a 21-0 deficit in the second half to come back & shock Atlanta 22-21. In a game where passing should win it, I give the nod to the “Motor City Boys” with international experience over the (averaging under 17 PPG over the last 3) offensively-challenged Chiefs. My bottom line says DC Teryl Austin should be able to get his 4-3 defense rolling today (11 turnovers forced this year). The last time this defense was on the road, they held Seattle to 13 points. Let’s head to Wembley Stadium in London to play the Detroit Lions + 3 1/2 as my 8 Star Up She Rises Out Of The Fog Play!
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Premium Pick
Play Title: 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner
Play Selected: Money Line: -160
Analysis: Many people feel that New York Giants QB Eli Manning will be pumped & ready heading home to where he was born & raised. I’ll note that & then forget about it. Eli has been here before and the last 2 results were a 49-24 MNF pounding in 2011 & a 48-27 beating back in 2009 (Saints Super Bowl year) as he watched Drew Brees throw for a combined 8 TD’s & 782 yards passing. Now let’s shift the conversation over to the Saints. After a 6-game home losing skein, they’ve responded their last 2 Superdome home dates by beating Dallas 26-20 & more recently, a Thursday night 31-21 win over Atlanta. I feel dialing up Drew Brees & New Orleans one more time is warranted. Why? Because the Giants’ defensive front was outplayed by Dallas OL. Yes, this is the same “D” (ranked 30th versus the pass & 29th overall) that has been carved up for 460 yards by the Cowboys & for 428 yards by Philadelphia in succession. The G-Men defense has just 9 sacks good for a 31st ranking. Don’t look now but this 1-2 SU on the road Giants squad go up against a Saints team in hyper-drive winning 3 of 4 SU & 4 of 5 ATS. My bottom line says HC Sean Payton has New York’s number with a 3-0 SU career mark. His team is more in desperation mode with a strong NFC South to catch with Carolina & Atlanta. New Orleans will look to RB Mark Ingram (450 rushing yards, 4.4 YPC & 4 TD’s) again after chalking up 143 rushing yards versus Indy. The Saints defense do give up a high 26.4 PPG but also rank in the top 5 in 3rd down conversions yielded with 33.7%. With a weak schedule overall ahead, don’t count the boys from Mardi Gras land out just yet. I’m heading to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to play the New Orleans Saints as my 9 Star Headliner Moneyliner!
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Chicago Bears Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Day
Play Selected: Point Spread: 1.5/-110
Analysis: What? You’re giving the 2-4 Bears consideration? Yes, that’s what I’m saying. Can anyone tell me exactly what is Minnesota’s SU divisional road record their last 9 tries? Try an Antarctic 1-7-1 with their lone win coming last week @ Detroit. I like the fact they have to face a rested Bears squad who have beaten the Vikings 7 times in a row @ Soldier Field. Chicago gets a gigantic boost since QB Jay Cutler (7/4 TD/INT ratio, 86.2 passer rating) has healthy playmaker & WR Alshon Jeffery (13 receptions for 225, 17.3 YPC & 1 TD) back in the lineup coming off a hamstring injury. With Jeffery, my passing edge goes to Cutler & the Bears downfield passing attack. They rate the edge over 2nd-year Minny QB Teddy Bridgewater (5/4 TD/INT ratio, 87.7 passer rating) who might find it more than difficult to pass efficiently in the swirling winds @ Soldier Field. My bottom line says even though Ex-Bears skipper Marc Tressman struggled after bye weeks, it’s been the opposite for new Chicago HC John Fox. In 13 seasons, Fox has a very solid 10-3 SU record added to his credentials. My bottom line says Bears DC Vic Fangio’s 3-4 scheme should find enough success versus Minnesota’s 30th-ranked defense to give their offense an opportunity for the “W”. The Windy City squad with RB Matt Forte shows up with their “A” game today. Just when it was starting to look like the Vikings were turning into a covering machine (10-2 ATS their last 12), one will show up against the grain. I’m heading to Soldier Field to grab the Chicago Bears + 1 1/2 as my 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Day!
San Diego Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Baltimore Ravens Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Overdue Chalk Play
Play Selected: Money Line: -180
Analysis: The Baltimore Ravens may look like they’ve packed it in @ 1-6 approaching the mid-way point. However, they’ve been in every game with the highest winning margin in any of their games being 8. I feel that the outcomes like QB Joe Flacco throwing a game-ending INT’s in the end zone start going the other way. San Diego will no doubt try to air it out against the Baltimore “D”. However, the health status of recently-returned TE Antonio Gates remains a question mark. This game between 2 equal teams with 3 combined wins will be decided by turnovers. So far this season, it’s been the Chargers leading that category between the 2 with 13. The Ravens also have the opportunity to control the clock by facing a San Diego defense that ranks 31st versus the run. That’s a perfect set-up for Baltimore RB Justin Forsett (116 rushes for 493 yards, 4.2 yards a pop & 2 TD’s). In fact, the Chargers’ defense have given up a minimum of 24 points in all 7 contests. Their 2 victories came against 2 lower-echelon teams versus Detroit & Cleveland by a combined 8 points. The lone Ravens’ win came against a tough Steelers’ squad @ Pittsburgh. My bottom line says that San Diego has become one-dimensional. They’re also making that tough west-to-east coast trip for an early start. They have been no-shows versus AFC competition by going an Antarctic 1-12 SU their last 13 tries. I also feel this John Harbaugh-coached team rises up in the middle of the season and bunches together some wins starting right now. They should be able to get to SD QB Philip Rivers (sacked 18 times thus far) with a “D” that’s registered 20 sacks coming in. My 8 Star Overdue Chalk Play heads to M&T Bank Stadium in Inner Harbor to play the Baltimore Ravens!
New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL)
4:05 PM EST
New York Jets Premium Pick
Play Title: 9 Star Defense Reigns Heidi Bowl Reversal
Play Selected: Money Line: -145
Analysis: It’s been 47 years since appropriately-named NBC supervisor Dick Cline made an irrational decision @ 7 PM to cut to air a Disney movie called “Heidi” with 65 seconds left and the Jets up 3, 32-29. Unfortunately, only those who had their $5.50 reserved ticket & those with strong enough radios got to see or hear Daryl Lamonica & the Oakland special teams out-duel Joe Namath for a 43-32 win in the waning moments. NBC became famous that night for their switchboard fails & human error excuses. They remained with egg on their faces when they wound up scrolling the final score 20 minutes into the Heidi movie. Switching into the present, I feel that Oakland has made strides under 1st-year HC Jack Del Rio as they come in with a 3-3 record. They now come in to face a traveling coast-to-coast Jets team that looks strong under their 1st-year HC Todd Bowles (who looks better than his predecessor, the attention-getting Rex Ryan. In pivotal games thus far, New York has beaten the Colts in Indy by 13 & went toe-to-toe with New England surprisingly well before losing by 7. The Raiders have been blown out @ home by 20 versus the Bengals & then played a close game @ home versus the offensively-challenged Broncos. My bottom line says that the Jets’ defense will reign during crunch time but this telecast won’t be lost when the game goes beyond 7 PM Eastern Time @ crunch time. The Black N’ Silver QB Derek Carr will look like a breather compared to Brady last week. They have more defensive playmakers with Revis & Cromartie who can stop a 23rd-ranked Oakland ground game which will turn them one-dimensional. DC Kacy Rodgers will successfully employ a 3-4 defense (holding foes to 18 PPG) with smothering press man coverage that the Raiders will have a tough time answering versus the NFL’s 2nd-ranked defense. On the flip side of the coin, the New York offense has enough talent led by steady QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (11/7 TD/INT ratio, 61.4% completions & a 45.3% 3rd-down conversion rate) and talented RB Chris Ivory (100 rushes for 501 yards, 5 yards a pop, 4 TD’s) in the backfield. Remember, the Jets were good enough to beat Oakland twice the last 2 years by a combined 15 points with turnover machine Geno Smith at the helm. Fitzpatrick should have more success finding the tandem of WR’s Brandon Marshall & Eric Decker up against DC Ken Norton Jr’s 4-3 with his feast or famine man coverages in the secondary. It’ll be interesting to see how 18th-year veteran & pushing 40 – FS Charles Woodson stacks up against them. By the way, the Raiders are dead last in the NFL versus the pass. Are you ready? Let’s invade Oakland-Alameda Coliseum to play the New York Jets as my 9 Star Defense Reigns Heidi Bowl Reversal Play!
Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos (NFL)
8:30 PM EST
Green Bay Packers Premium Pick
Play Title: 8 Star Late-Night Barn-Burner Survivor
Play Selected: Money Line: -138
Analysis: This battle between 2 unbeaten 6-0 teams has been hyped up to be the best game of the weekend. This is a rare matchup that represents just the 4th time in NFL history where 2 undefeated teams face each other with 6 or more wins. So whose the real contender here? Let’s look at Denver first. You have a good defensive team (1st versus overall & 1st against the pass) that has bailed out an inept offense more on frequent occasions throughout this young season. DC Wade Phillips switching to a transitional 3-4 alignment from last year’s hybrid 4-3 has paid big dividends. They’ve forced an NFL-high 17 turnovers along with registering 25 sacks along the way. Now let’s look @ the down side. Their offense (averaging 23.2 PPG versus a weaker schedule) has lacked a decent ground attack with leading rushers Ronnie Hillman, C.J. Anderson & Co. combining for just 3.6 YPC. Pushing 40 & future HOF QB Peyton Manning has looked pedestrian by lacking arm-strength on throws periodically that’s led to a career-low & 31st-ranked 72.5 passer rating along with a 7/10 TD/INT ratio. Losing the TE tandem of Julius Thomas & Jacob Tamme has taken its toll. Their replacements, Owen Daniels & Virgil Green have failed in comparison. They now face the diverse 3-4 and ball-hawking defense of DC Dom Capers led by LB’s Julius Peppers & Clay Matthews who have registered 10 of 23 team sacks. They’ve held their last 3 opponents to an impressive 11 PPG. This 27.3 PPG offense, despite losing playmaking TE Jordy Nelson, is led by mobile QB Aaron Rodgers (15/2 TD/INT ratio, 115.9 passer rating with 68.1% completions & averages 1.8 yards more than manning per pass attempt). He’s complimented by a ground game featuring RB’s James Starks & Eddie Lacy who average 1 more yard per rush than Denver. My bottom line says this is all about turnovers. Green Bay has given it away 4 times in 6 games compared to 11 for the Broncos. I like the way a Mike McCarthy responds to a bye week. They’ve come out with a SU win 10 of 12 times. I feel that the winning with smoke n’ mirrors Denver squad will catch up with them. After the adrenalin rush clears, the Packers should make a solid 2nd-half move & notch the “W” in the end. I’m ready to go to sports Authority filed @ Mile High to play the Green Bay Packers as my 8 Star Late-night Barn-Burner Survivor!
