Tom Freese Blue
Atlanta at Oakland (4:15pm)
Atlanta is 9-1 UNDER in road games off one or more straight Unders and they are 13-4 UNDER UNDER as road favorites of 3 or less points. The Falcons are 20-8 UNDER in November and they are 41-19-2 UNDER after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. Oakland is 13-5-1 UNDER after scoring less than 15 points in their last game and they are 41-18-2 UNDER their last 61 games vs. winning teams. The Raiders are 4-1-1 UNDER in Week 9 and they are 5-1 UNDER after rushing for less than 90 yards in their last game. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Atlanta at Oakland (4:15pm)
Atlanta is 9-1 UNDER in road games off one or more straight Unders and they are 13-4 UNDER UNDER as road favorites of 3 or less points. The Falcons are 20-8 UNDER in November and they are 41-19-2 UNDER after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. Oakland is 13-5-1 UNDER after scoring less than 15 points in their last game and they are 41-18-2 UNDER their last 61 games vs. winning teams. The Raiders are 4-1-1 UNDER in Week 9 and they are 5-1 UNDER after rushing for less than 90 yards in their last game. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Jimmy The Moose
Arizona is averaging 28.6 PPG and their D is allowing 24.4 PPG this season making the over a profitable 5-2 on the year. In the Cardinals last 54 road games the over is a profitable 39-15. In their last 17 games following an ATS win the over is 14-3. The over is 36-17 in their last 53 games overall. Under Haslett St. Louis has finally found their offense. The Rams have played over the total in their last 6 home games. In their last 11 games following a SU loss the over is 9-2. St. Louis has played the over in 6 of their last 8 vs. NFC team's. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-1 in the Cardinals lst 6 visits to St. Louis. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall between the clubs. Look for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Play the over.
Arizona is averaging 28.6 PPG and their D is allowing 24.4 PPG this season making the over a profitable 5-2 on the year. In the Cardinals last 54 road games the over is a profitable 39-15. In their last 17 games following an ATS win the over is 14-3. The over is 36-17 in their last 53 games overall. Under Haslett St. Louis has finally found their offense. The Rams have played over the total in their last 6 home games. In their last 11 games following a SU loss the over is 9-2. St. Louis has played the over in 6 of their last 8 vs. NFC team's. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-1 in the Cardinals lst 6 visits to St. Louis. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall between the clubs. Look for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Play the over.
Cajun
2*
Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday November 2
Game: Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders
Line Origin: BetCris @ 1:24 EST October 30
Grade / Prediction: 2* Atlanta Falcons / Oakland Raiders UNDER 41
Analysis:
The Atlanta Falcons head west to face the Oakland Raiders on Sunday afternoon. Both teams enter off of SU road losses in Week Eight and both are searching for answers on both sides of the ball.
The Raiders ground game once the team’s strength has not lived up to preseason expectations. With rookie RB Darren McFadden out nursing the all too familiar turf toe last week they only managed 47 yards on 19 carries.
The Raiders definitely need their rushing attack to be successful as they do not want to put the game into the hands of QB JaMarcus Russell. Our sources out of the Raiders camp still tell us he is not ready to run an NFL offense and his play certainly supports their evaluation.
The Falcons have struggled on the road this season giving up 24, 24, 24 and 27 points in their four road contests. We also know that the Falcons are a miserable 1-6 both SU and ATS on the road dating back to last season averaging only 15 points per game in the process.
Projections for both offenses in this contest have this game falling well below the posted total. The total is currently 41 and our NFL Model has a total point’s range of 34 to 37 points which cashes the ticket for us on Sunday.
We also have strong technical support for our selection in team angles and league wide systems. The Falcons are 12-32 Under on the road. The Falcons are 0-8 Under within 3 of pick on the road versus any team with fewer wins. The Falcons are 1-10 Under on the road versus a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under as a road favorite versus a non-divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under within 3 of pick when their ATS margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Raiders are 4-21 Under within 3 of pick versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 9-25 Under versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 4-14 Under as a dog after playing as a TD+ dog. The Raiders are 8-20-1 Under as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30. The Raiders are 0-9 Under within 3 of pick after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time.
The League is 6-19 Under on the road when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 on the road as a TD+ dog. The League is 14-23-2 Under at home when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a non-divisional opponent.
With both offenses having trouble putting points on the board and strong technical and situational support for the Under we will make this our 2* NFL Free Total Play of the Week.
GRADED PREDICTION: 2* Atlanta / Oakland UNDER 41
2*
Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday November 2
Game: Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders
Line Origin: BetCris @ 1:24 EST October 30
Grade / Prediction: 2* Atlanta Falcons / Oakland Raiders UNDER 41
Analysis:
The Atlanta Falcons head west to face the Oakland Raiders on Sunday afternoon. Both teams enter off of SU road losses in Week Eight and both are searching for answers on both sides of the ball.
The Raiders ground game once the team’s strength has not lived up to preseason expectations. With rookie RB Darren McFadden out nursing the all too familiar turf toe last week they only managed 47 yards on 19 carries.
The Raiders definitely need their rushing attack to be successful as they do not want to put the game into the hands of QB JaMarcus Russell. Our sources out of the Raiders camp still tell us he is not ready to run an NFL offense and his play certainly supports their evaluation.
The Falcons have struggled on the road this season giving up 24, 24, 24 and 27 points in their four road contests. We also know that the Falcons are a miserable 1-6 both SU and ATS on the road dating back to last season averaging only 15 points per game in the process.
Projections for both offenses in this contest have this game falling well below the posted total. The total is currently 41 and our NFL Model has a total point’s range of 34 to 37 points which cashes the ticket for us on Sunday.
We also have strong technical support for our selection in team angles and league wide systems. The Falcons are 12-32 Under on the road. The Falcons are 0-8 Under within 3 of pick on the road versus any team with fewer wins. The Falcons are 1-10 Under on the road versus a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under as a road favorite versus a non-divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under within 3 of pick when their ATS margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Raiders are 4-21 Under within 3 of pick versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 9-25 Under versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 4-14 Under as a dog after playing as a TD+ dog. The Raiders are 8-20-1 Under as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30. The Raiders are 0-9 Under within 3 of pick after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time.
The League is 6-19 Under on the road when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 on the road as a TD+ dog. The League is 14-23-2 Under at home when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a non-divisional opponent.
With both offenses having trouble putting points on the board and strong technical and situational support for the Under we will make this our 2* NFL Free Total Play of the Week.
GRADED PREDICTION: 2* Atlanta / Oakland UNDER 41
Players of America
Today's Selections
MIA vs. DEN
Sport: NFL
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
The Play: Denver Broncos -3.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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NE vs. IND
Sport: NFL
Game: New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Play: Indianapolis Colts -6.5
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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BAL vs. CLE
Sport: NFL
Game: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
The Play: Cleveland Browns -1.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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Today's Selections
MIA vs. DEN
Sport: NFL
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
The Play: Denver Broncos -3.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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NE vs. IND
Sport: NFL
Game: New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Play: Indianapolis Colts -6.5
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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BAL vs. CLE
Sport: NFL
Game: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
The Play: Cleveland Browns -1.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A
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DOC
THIS ONE IS A COMP
116 Take Denver -3 over Miami (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS)
The Broncos still sit atop the AFC West, one of the worst divisions in football along with the NFC West. They currently hold a two game lead in the loss column and will welcome in the Miami Dolphins to Invesco Field on Sunday. The Broncos are coming off of a bye and have traditional been a great team in this spot going 15-4 ATS. They got blown out by New England and their bye could not have come at a better time. The Dolphins have shown improvement of late, but are still just 1-2 away from South Beach. Denver has trouble stopping teams, but Miami does not light-up the scoreboard, instead they play a ball control style of offense. Denver needs this victory and we will come along for the winning ride.
THIS ONE IS A COMP
116 Take Denver -3 over Miami (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS)
The Broncos still sit atop the AFC West, one of the worst divisions in football along with the NFC West. They currently hold a two game lead in the loss column and will welcome in the Miami Dolphins to Invesco Field on Sunday. The Broncos are coming off of a bye and have traditional been a great team in this spot going 15-4 ATS. They got blown out by New England and their bye could not have come at a better time. The Dolphins have shown improvement of late, but are still just 1-2 away from South Beach. Denver has trouble stopping teams, but Miami does not light-up the scoreboard, instead they play a ball control style of offense. Denver needs this victory and we will come along for the winning ride.
