MTI Sports
4.5* New England at Denver OVER 56.5 - When referring to this game, Broncos executive vice president of football operations John Elway said "It's going to a barnburner." We agree.
There are many interesting stats from last week's game that indicate a breakout game from the Broncos here. Demaryius Thomas caught eight passes but NONE were for ten-plus yards. Is this a ploy to get the Patriots' DB to play closer to the line of scrimmiage? Well. In franchise history, the Broncos are a perfect 9-0 OU at home after a game in which Demaryius Thomas caught at least one pass, but had none that were 20-plus yards. The SDQL text is:
H and Broncosemaryius Thomas:longest reception<20 and Broncosemaryius Thomas:receptions>0
The Broncos have gone over the total by an average of 13.8 ppg in this spot
Also, The Broncos are 17-0 OU since late in Moreno's first season in the league with more than three days rest when they are off a game in which he had at least 15 yards rushing and less than 25 receiving yards. The SDQL text is:
Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:rushing yards>15 and Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:receiving yards<25 and rest>3 and date>=20091220
Note that each of their last seven in this spot have gone over by more than a TD and the Broncos have gone over by an average of 17.0 ppg over the 17 games. Wow.
Last week the Broncos rushed the ball 34 times and averaged 3.9yards per carry. Since Manning joined the Broncos in 2012, they are 8-0 OU after any game in which they rushed the ball more than 32 times and averaged better than 3.5 yards per attempt. With the Broncos, their rushing attack is a decoy for their passing game.
The Patriots scored 43 points last week and Tom Brady had NO touchdowns. Neither Ridley or Blount caught a pass out of the backfield. New England is The Patriots are 8-0 OU (+13.25 ppg) after a game in which Stevan Ridley had fewer than 1 receptions and 6-0 OU (+9.42 ppg) after a game in which LeGarrette Blount had fewer than 10 receiving yards.
Finally we have the classic duel between Manning and Brady. These two have faced each other 14 times in their careers. When Brady was the dog, they are a perfect 7-0, eclipsing the total by an average of 16.7 ppg. The average final score has been Brady 34.7, Manning 29.7 with the average OU line at 47.7.
We can't imagine these two great quarterbacks spending the afternoon handing the ball off. Take the OVER.
4.5* New England at Denver OVER 56.5 - When referring to this game, Broncos executive vice president of football operations John Elway said "It's going to a barnburner." We agree.
There are many interesting stats from last week's game that indicate a breakout game from the Broncos here. Demaryius Thomas caught eight passes but NONE were for ten-plus yards. Is this a ploy to get the Patriots' DB to play closer to the line of scrimmiage? Well. In franchise history, the Broncos are a perfect 9-0 OU at home after a game in which Demaryius Thomas caught at least one pass, but had none that were 20-plus yards. The SDQL text is:
H and Broncosemaryius Thomas:longest reception<20 and Broncosemaryius Thomas:receptions>0
The Broncos have gone over the total by an average of 13.8 ppg in this spot
Also, The Broncos are 17-0 OU since late in Moreno's first season in the league with more than three days rest when they are off a game in which he had at least 15 yards rushing and less than 25 receiving yards. The SDQL text is:
Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:rushing yards>15 and Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:receiving yards<25 and rest>3 and date>=20091220
Note that each of their last seven in this spot have gone over by more than a TD and the Broncos have gone over by an average of 17.0 ppg over the 17 games. Wow.
Last week the Broncos rushed the ball 34 times and averaged 3.9yards per carry. Since Manning joined the Broncos in 2012, they are 8-0 OU after any game in which they rushed the ball more than 32 times and averaged better than 3.5 yards per attempt. With the Broncos, their rushing attack is a decoy for their passing game.
The Patriots scored 43 points last week and Tom Brady had NO touchdowns. Neither Ridley or Blount caught a pass out of the backfield. New England is The Patriots are 8-0 OU (+13.25 ppg) after a game in which Stevan Ridley had fewer than 1 receptions and 6-0 OU (+9.42 ppg) after a game in which LeGarrette Blount had fewer than 10 receiving yards.
Finally we have the classic duel between Manning and Brady. These two have faced each other 14 times in their careers. When Brady was the dog, they are a perfect 7-0, eclipsing the total by an average of 16.7 ppg. The average final score has been Brady 34.7, Manning 29.7 with the average OU line at 47.7.
We can't imagine these two great quarterbacks spending the afternoon handing the ball off. Take the OVER.
Y>=300 and p:W and season>=2005 and pounts<5
