Service Plays Sunday 1/17/10

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
GOLD SHEET

Dallas 28 - MINNESOTA 20—Well, maybe it was all just Jessica Simpson’s
fault. Or Carrie Underwood’s. (Sorry, we couldn’t resist!) Whatever, it’s
coincidental that once Tony Romo’s love life stopped making tabloid headlines,
he finally shed his notorious late-season and postseason demons, Dallas wins a
playoff game for the first time since Bill Clinton’s first term in office, and HC Wade
Phillips wins a playoff game for the first time, period. Now, can the Cowboys do
it again, at Minnesota?
Perhaps so. Especially based upon recent results, which indicate the Vikings’
best football of the season was played prior to Thanksgiving, before the team
appeared to lose its edge and drop 3 of 4 games, in ugly fashion, no less, during
December before recovering in the regular-season finale vs. the dispirited Giants.
The many mixed signals from the Twin Cities down the stretch include Brett
Favre’s sideline spat with HC Brad Childress during a 26-7 loss at Carolina Dec.
20, plus subsequent innuendo about diva-like behavior and suspicions that
Favre’s aging arm might have worn out, as it seemed to do late last season with
the Jets when his fastball lost its velocity. Then Favre authored a resurgence in
the Vikes’ last game-and-a-half vs. the Bears and G-Men, when he completed 46
of 62 passes for 601 yards and 6 TDP (with no picks) in his last 5+ quarters of
work, leading that 44-7 romp past the Giants Jan. 3.
But at the moment, Dallas brings a lot more, especially defensively, than either
the Bears or Giants. Phillips’ stop unit has been suffocating the past few weeks,
recording a pair of shutouts, throttling the explosive Eagles twice, and keeping the
potent Saints without a TD until the 4th Q of their game at the Superdome Dec.
19. Its high-octane pass rush featuring DeMarcus Ware has recently made life
miserable for Drew Brees & Donovan McNabb and affords Phillips the luxury of
not having to send his LBs on blitzes to pressure enemy QBs. Indeed, the
banged-up Viking OL might have problems protecting Favre or opening holes for
Adrian Peterson. Meanwhile, Romo (28 TDP & only 9 picks TY) is enjoying a rich
vein of form, complemented by an electric ground game sparked by the coast-tocoast
dimension of now-healthy RB Felix Jones (49 and 73-yard TD runs the last
two weeks). And Minnesota’s “D,” not quite as stifling vs. the run as in the past,
was victimized recently by the likes of Matt Moore & Jay Cutler. After the
Cowboys survived at New Orleans and exorcized demons vs.the Eagles, winning
indoors at Mall of America Field doesn’t seem too hard to imagine.



SAN DIEGO 24 - N.Y. Jets 22—Despite the obvious QB advantage owned by
the Chargers in the person of Philip Rivers (4254 YP, 28 TDs, only 9 ints. TY), the
upstart Jets appear to own enough edges of their own to keep the host nervous.
First, N.Y.’s solid running game (tops in the NFL TY)—propelled by four firstround
OL draft choices—should be able to attack the S.D. defensive front thinned
by injuries, most notably those to run-stuffing NT Jamal Williams and young
backup NT Ogemdi Nwagbuo. Meanwhile, OLB Shawne Merriman (nagging foot
injury; only four sacks TY) has rarely flashed his old, intimidating form. The
Charger rush defense ranked 20th this season.
Meanwhile, the San Diego OL, which battled injuries all season beginning with
its opener in Oakland, must now deal with the multiple stunts of Rex Ryan’s
defense, which is brimming with bravado after 6 wins in its last 7 games while
allowing the fewest points, total yards, and passing yards in the regular season
(albeit due partly to disinterested foes in the Jets’ last two reg.-season games).
Most importantly, third-year CB Darrelle Revis (7 ints. all told) has blossomed into
one of the best cover men in the league and has the long arms to deal singly with
one of the 6-5 Charger WR threats of Vincent Jackson (68 recs., 9 TDs) &
Malcolm Floyd (45 & 1). Of course, the N.Y. defense cannot afford to get careless
in handling TE Antonio Gates (79 recs., 8 TDs) & the lethal screens and draws run
by the super-quick Darren Sproles, who nearly single-handedly sabotaged the
Super Bowl hopes of the red-hot Colts (had won nine straight) last year.
In a game of this magnitude, there is always the chance rookie QB Mark
Sanchez (only 54%, 20 ints. in the reg. season; hails from just up I-5 in Mission
Viejo), will fall victim to false confidence after easier-than-expected victories the
last three weeks. Nevertheless, Sanchez’ improvement under the tutelage of
offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer (former S.D. QB coach and son of
former HC coach Marty) has been impressive, as his passes after misdirection
play fakes in frigid Cincy were nearly flawless. If the Jets get their crunching
ground game going, they should keep things interesting all day.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
PLATINUM SHEET

1/17/10 (113) DALLAS vs. (114) MINNESOTA
Dallas has gone through the peaks and valleys of NFL bettor
perception more than any other team this season. It’s
understandable too, as the Cowboys are a very public
team when it comes to the pulse of the NFL. Everything is
always worse or better than it seems when it comes to
them. Right now, they are on a peak, as many experts are
saying that Dallas is the best team in the NFC, especially
since it finally got the playoff monkey off its back with the
win over Philadelphia last weekend. To me, this is a bit
presumptuous, and oddsmakers may be undervaluing the
full body of work that the Vikings have put in this season.
After all, Minnesota was 12-4, including 8-0 at home, and
the Vikings last three losses came on the road in difficult
pointspread-covering national TV games. Head coach Brad
Childress’ team is built for the postseason, and is capable
of making a run to Miami. They run the ball and pass it
equally effectively, have perhaps the best offensive line in
football, and are able to get after the passer on defense.
Don’t underestimate the Vikings by only looking at what
Dallas has done the last four weeks.
Play: Minnesota -2.5





1/17/10 (115) NY JETS vs. (116) SAN DIEGO
This was a tough game for me to go out on a limb, as I
honestly believe the Jets could pull the upset or lose by 24
points. It really depends on their ability to keep the running
game churning as they have in their drive to the
postseason and in last week’s win. If this comes down to
playing catch up and quarterback Mark Sanchez having to
make big plays through the air, the Chargers will roll. Still,
the Jets run the ball and stop the run far more effectively
than San Diego, and I have to say it once again, are on the
favorable side of our 17-0 ATS Divisional Playoff angle.
Overall, New York has the league’s best defense, and led
by coach Rex Ryan, is brimming with confidence. That has
proven a more effective weapon than anything else in recent
playoff seasons. You have to believe San Diego is also
confident, but I don’t think the difference in these teams
warrants the poinstpread being over a touchdown. I’ll put
my money on the Jets keeping this one tight.
Play: NY Jets +7.5
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
POWERSWEEP


With confidence in hand from the prev wk the Jets took adv of a CIN tm that lacked variety in the pass game holding Ochocinco to 28 yds (14.0). They kept Sanchez on a short leash with just 15 att's and ground out a win behind the #1 rush offense (41 att's). SD presents a diff challenge as they bring more weapons to the table but the Jets run gm is a clear adv here. The Jets are 6-3 SU/ATS on the road with a 331-277 yd edge and 23-15 avg score. SD is 6-2 SU and 3-5 ATS as a host with a 372-325 yd edge (0 TO's) and a 28-22 avg score. TEN, MIA, OAK and CIN are the common foes with SD going 5-0 SU and 2-3 ATS with a 362-302 yd edge (+2 TO's) and 28-18 avg score. The Jets went 4-2 SU/ATS with a 339-237 yd edge (+11 TO's) and 29-15 avg score.
Rex Ryan took the same formula that got the '08 Ravens into the playoffs with a rookie HC and QB by relying on their #1 rush attack and #1 D. Sanchez is the 1st rookie QB to start and win the first 3 gms of a yr (202 ypg, 59%, 4-2) S/'69. He then avg'd 169 ypg (49%) with a 6-14 ratio in his next 7 starts (1-6 SU/ATS) until Ryan got involved with the "color code system." Since then he's avg 131 ypg (59%) with a 2-4 ratio except for the TB gm (knee sprain). The Jets boldly traded for Edwards and he still has a tendency to drop balls (49% catch rate with NYJ). Cotchery is back to being a solid #2 and TE Keller rounds out a decent rec unit. The backbone of the #20 offense is RB Jones who along with SD's Tomlinson and STL's Jackson are the only active RB's with 5 str 1,000 yd seasons. Jones finished 3rd in rushing TY thanks to a formidable OL that has started all 16 together. Over the L6 reg season games the D has held opposing QB's to a comb 33.7 passer rating with 1,054 ypg (43%) and a 1-10 ratio. The Jets are the 1st tm to lead the NFL in scoring D, total D and rush offense since the 1986 Bears. The best NFL CB for '09 is Revis who leads the NFL with 37 pd and hasn't all'd an opposing WR to have more than 50 yds TY. The ILB's are Scott and Harris who didn't miss a beat with the loss of NT ******* in run support. While the Jets are just 18th in sks it's misleading as they own an 8-17 ratio. Shaun Ellis is a rare active pass rushing DE in a 3-4 (hybrid) and has 6.5 sks. Pouha has done a good job taking over at NT since the loss of ******* and NYJ have all'd 93 ypg rush (3.6) since 10/18 (BUF). The Jets ST are an avg group (#14) which isn't bad as they've cycled 7 P's thru since the draft and aren't the same with the loss of Washington.
Norv Turner is a run 1st coach that has adapted SD's strength and that is Philip Rivers. In his L20 reg season gms Rivers avg' 256 ypg (65%) with a 39-10 ratio and a solid 8.7 ypa going 17-3 SU and 12-7-1 ATS. With the NFL fully embracing the reality that it's a pass 1st league now it's not that much of a surprise that the #10 offense is 31st in rushing. Neither Tomlinson or Sproles rushed for 100 yds in a gm TY and the tm only did it once in its L6 (TEN) avg 91 ypg (3.1). Sproles tied for 81st with 45 rec's (11.0) as Turner used the short pass like an extended pitch in the run gm. One of Rivers advantages is that he has very tall targets in WR Jackson (6'5"), TE Gates (6'4") and Floyd (6'5") who pushed Chris Chambers off the roster midseason. Both Jackson and Gates set career highs in rec yds and Jackson's 17.2 ypc is 3rd in NFL while Floyd placed 2nd. Perhaps the luckiest OL in the NFL TY was SD's who lost Ctr Hardwick in Wk 1 (foot) but Scott Mruckowski started the next 13 until he landed on IR (ankle) with Hardwick returning. The OL allowed 20 sks in its 1st 9 but just 6 in the L7 or 1 every 36.7 pass att's. SD's #16 D weathered a huge blow TY when NT Jamal Williams landed on IR in Wk 1 and SD has started 3 diff players at NT to shore up the #20 rush D which has allowed 100 yds rush in 13 gms TY. SD's #15 pass rush isn't as high profile as in prev years with Phillips leading the team with 7 sks but the pressure comes from diff players under DC Rivera as 16 players pulled in a sack TY (1 every 15.2 att). SD's #11 pass D had a slow start with an 8-4 ratio over the 1st 5 but trimmed it down to 15-10 the rest of the year after Rivera shook up the secondary after the 1st DEN gm. SD has our #11 ST's TY with Scifres having an impressive 39.2 net and Kaeding only missed 3 FG's TY all from 40+.
The
Chargers enter as the league's hottest team with 11 straight wins while finishing the season on a 6-2-1 ATS run. While the Jets and their #1 defense deserve credit for their win in Cincinnati they now travel for a second straight week and are on the road for a 5th time in 7 weeks. Jets CB Revis shutdown Cincy's one receiving weapon but with SD able to line up WR Jackson (1167, 17.2), TE Gates (1157, 14.6) and WR Floyd (776, 17.2) the Chargers can stretch the field which Cincy couldn't. Let's also remember that while LT's numbers are down from past seasons he's focused after missing LY's playoff loss and is also rested having just 2 carries in 2 weeks. The Chargers experienced defense will not be as aggressive as the Bengals who were destroyed by the Jets play action. The Chargers are on a 5-1 ATS run in the playoffs and get another cover here.
FORECAST: SAN DIEGO over NY Jets RATING: 2★




DAL purged its playoff demons with a signature win over PHI in its new stadium that wasn't as close as the final score. When DAL went up 34-7 they had a 386-143 yd edge and then changed their defensive scheme allowing PHI to put up some garbage yards and a TD in the final 16:53 of the game. DAL now has to travel vs a rested MIN team that regained its confidence with a 44-7 win vs NYG prior to the bye. MIN is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS at home TY with a 426-273 yd edge (+6 TO's) and 33-16 avg score. DAL is 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road with a 396-320 yd edge (-1 TO's) and 20-17 avg score. GB, SEA, CAR and the NYG are the common foes with MIN going 4-1 SU/ATS with a 369-313 yd edge (+1 TO) and 31-18 avg score. DAL went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS with a 378-325 yd edge (-2 TO's) with a 24-21 avg score.
What makes TY's DAL team better than before is addition by subtraction as the team got rid of distractions. Romo had a banner season breaking his own franchise records for yds, comp's and 300 yd games (8) despite some questionable playcalling by OC Garrett. He also had a career low 9 int with 2 of those being on fluky plays that weren't his fault and he tied Rodgers and Brees for 2nd with 39 passes of 25 or more yds. Fifteen went to Austin who wasn't even a starting WR prior to the KC game. Austin finished 2009 3rd in rec yds and 7th in ypc. Witten remains Romo's fav target and finished 2nd behind Clark for rec's and rec yds by a TE. Crayton is a very fast but inconsistent #3 WR and he made up for his demotion avg 12.1 on PR avg TY. Roy Williams has become a very expensive afterthought and decoy in the DAL system mainly due to his 44% catch rate TY. DAL has one of the deepest RB units in the NFL with Barber being the power back, Jones the spd option and Choice being a balance between the 2. Together they have comb for the #7 rush attack and their 4.8 is tied with CAR for 2nd TY. The OL has only had 2 lineups TY with 4 of the 5 OL starting all 16. The #9 D is built around OLB Ware who tied for 7th with 11 sks TY. DAL was built big at LB which has helped it finish 4th in rush D and only all'd 55 ypg rush (3.0) in its L4 gms. DAL #20 pass D is a bit misleading as while they don't have a true passing Safety they have good CB's and teams have had to air it out more due to the offense. DAL has our #4 special teams TY due to good coverage units, McBriar having a 39.9 net and Crayton on PR's.
In '08 MIN finished 17th in total off, 25th in pass, 12th in pts and was -6 TO's. TY behind a 40 yr old QB they finished 5th in total off, 8th in pass, 2nd in pts and were +6 in TO's. MIN knew they were a veteran QB away from being a serious contender for the Super Bowl. When Favre decided to come out of retirement again they made the highly publicized, but right, move to get him. Favre set a team record with 10 gms of 100+ QBR while personally passing for his most TD's in a season S/'97, had the fewest int (7) and his best comp % (68.4) in his career. Peterson took some heat for a decline in rushing production (-377 yds from LY) as MIN went from 5th to 12th in rushing. This was partially due to the OL but a MIN also had 110 more pass att's TY and he more than doubled his rec's vs LY (21 to 43) which made his overall production +311 yds. Rice benefitted the most out of the addition of Favre with 68 more rec's and 1,171 more yards than '08 as he stayed healthy all yr. Harvin finished 2nd to NYG's Nicks in receiving yds by a rookie and was named Off ROY with a 27.5 KR avg and 2 spec tms TD's. Their OL isn't as good as its reputation due to a 1st year Ctr and rookie RT but their 34 sks (15th) is more a factor of Favre taking a sk rather than risk a TO. MIN's #6 D starts and ends with the DL. Allen finished 2nd in sks as the "Williams Wall" absorbed most of the double tms and allowed him to beat OT's 1 on 1 for most of the yr. MIN's biggest inj of the yr was the loss of MLB Henderson (brkn leg) and while rookie Brinkley is good vs the run he is a weak link in coverage. CB Winfield has played most of the 2H of the yr with a foot inj and while they have a 26-11 ratio overall they only given up 209 ypg (65%) with a 9-6 ratio at home. MIN has our #10 special teams thanks to solid return units (#11 PR/KR) but their KR defense can be exploited (22.6).
Dallas can win in December and the Cowboys can win a playoff game so all seems well in the Lone Star State. The Vikings, meanwhile, in the L5 have lost by 13 to ARZ, by 19 to CAR & by 6 to CHI on National TV. So now you understand why the line is under a FG. That is exactly why we will back the better team at home with rest. The Vikings are a perfect 8-0 SU at home and have covered their L5. They have dominated teams in the Metrodome outgaining them by an avg of 426-273 and outscoring them 33-16. We'll take Favre at home vs Romo on the road, Peterson at home vs the Cowboys trio on the road and a Vikings D that has not allowed over 10 pts in their L5 home gms vs a DAL D that will be overconfident after a couple of season ending shutouts.
FORECAST: MINNESOTA over Dallas RATING: 3★
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SPORTS MEMO


NFC DIVISIONAL
Game - Dallas at Minnesota -2.5 O/U 46.5 (Sunday)
Recommendation: #113 Dallas +8.5 6-point teaser
As the first leg of our Sunday teaser we’ll back the Cowboys +8.5.


AFC DIVISIONAL
Game - NY Jets at San Diego -7.5 O/U 42.5 (Sunday)
Recommendation: #116 San Diego -1.5 6-point teaser
We expect the Chargers to win the
game and will use San Diego at -1.5 as the second leg of this playoff teaser.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
BANG THE BOOK

The Minnesota Vikings will host the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday at the Metrodome in possibly the most popular playoff meeting thus far in the postseason. On one side, you have the legend QB Brett Farve who signed with the Vikings while turning a rushing team into one of the most balanced offenses in the league. The Vikings at many times this season have appeared to be the most complete team in the league, but a few lackluster performances down the stretch has left some doubts on what was such a promising season. The Vikings are in search for their first NFC Championship in over 30 years, but before they have a chance at a Championship they must defend their home turf against the most hated team in America.

The Dallas Cowboys ended all the critics talk of the postseason drought last week as they beat the Eagles for the 2nd straight week in a row to score their first postseason victory since 1996. The Cowboys are suddenly playing extremely well on the defensive side of the ball and also getting help from the offense along the way. The Cowboys now seem to have momentum on their side, something that has been missing for nearly two decades. Still, the Cowboys have a lot of support considered by one of the largest fan bases in sports. For most of those fans, the Cowboys rise to glory has been long overdue. However, a loss to the Vikings this Sunday would make the wait even longer.

The Vikings offense has been a lethal threat to all defenses this season. The primary objective initially was to feed the ball to the sensational running threat of Adrian Peterson and then work the pass in as holes opened in the defense. However, Peterson has not had the incredible season that most would have expected yet has still been effective enough to rack up over 1,300 rushing yards. However as a result, Farve has thrown a lot more passes and WR Sidney Rice has emerged as a star in the passing offense. It will be interesting to see how the Vikings come out and try to establish their offense this week. The Cowboys defensive front has been very strong and just asks Donovan McNabb how well they are playing. Still, even with the Cowboys strong pass rush teams have been able to run the ball. On that note, expect Peterson to set the tone early and depending on their success running the football will decide which pace of offense the Vikings establish.

Expect the Vikings run game to not be as successful early on when emotions are up from kickoff and they will likely turn to Farve rather quickly. I’m sure the Vikings passing attack will have their ups and downs. However, it could be a lot more struggles if the Dallas pass rush continues to dominate. The way the Vikings will get the offense involved is when they go back to the running game with Peterson later. Once the Dallas defense is worn down a bit, Peterson can have a step advantage in the holes and that is where they will find the offensive sparks. It will be up to Farve and the passing game to capitalize on those sparks. One thing is for sure that neither passing team can afford to turnover the ball as this will expectedly be a close game.

The Cowboys offense will surely allow Marion Barber and Felix Jones to have plenty of carries. Both backs have the ability to cause damage, but Jones is appearing to be the star in the making. After busting out a few big plays against the Eagles in the first meeting, Jones rushed for 148 yards and a score on just 16 carries in last week’s win. QB Tony Romo completed 66% throwing for 244 yards and 2 scores. WR Miles Austin was yet again the favorite target catching 7 balls for 82 yards and a touchdown. However, keep an eye on WR Roy Williams. When Williams makes a few grabs it really opens the door for the rest of the receivers. The Cowboys numbers on offense has been pretty solid and they should be able to score some points again. The question is will the Vikings have their way on the offensive side of the ball as they have many times this season or will the Cowboys defense continue to impress?





The New York Jets opportunity to just reach the postseason was considered a big long shot, but they closed out the year winning 5 of their last 6 games while getting help from some of the other teams around the league as well. The Jets backed up their underdog efforts last week with an impressive outing against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-14. The Jets finally are getting tremendous help from their defense and they are proving that they can play with the top teams in the league. However, the Jets will try to tackle the San Diego Chargers this weekend, who are the hottest team in the NFL in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs.

San Diego won 11 games as the hottest team in the league to close out the year earning them a first round bye last week. The well rested Chargers will now attempt to pick up where they left off. The San Diego offense has proven to be unstoppable this season with QB Phillip Rivers under center. Rivers threw for 4,254 yards with 28 touchdowns and just 9 interceptions this season. Those are very solid numbers especially if you consider the lack of run game throughout the year meaning defenses knew the pass was coming but still could not stop it.

The reason it’s hard to stop the Chargers passing attack outside of Rivers dangerous accuracy lies in the receivers. WR Vincent Jackson and tight end Antonio Gates possibly the most lethal duo combination in any passing game. The two have combined for 2,300 plus yards and 17 touchdowns. Jackson is a big wide receiver that has dominated cornerback this year and Gates provides excellent support underneath. Those combinations in the passing game have been deadly, but now they must get the momentum rolling after a week off and also against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL.

The Jets lead the NFL in pass defense holding opponents to a lucrative low 154 yards per game through the air. The entire Jets defense has been even more impressive holding teams to just less than 9 points per game during their last 7 outings. However, the secondary may not have the height advantage to take the ball away from Jackson if he gets a few throws down the field. Jackson single handedly beat the Cowboys, who also have a disadvantage in size in their secondary, late in the regular season and the Jets can not afford to yield any similar results. For the most part, their pass defense has been very solid but will likely need to force a turnover or two quickly before the Chargers will change their attack. If they can keep San Diego out of the end zone early it will be vital to their success. The offense may put more on the arm of Mark Sanchez this week. Sanchez has been used very little considering the offense has ridden running back Thomas Jones over the past few weeks.

However, points will have to be scored in this game as I do not think the Jets running game can absolutely control the game start to finish. They will have to get help from Sanchez who completed 12 of 15 for 182 yards last week against the Bengals. If Sanchez can repeat on those numbers and produce some points then they will have a shot at the upset. Thomas Jones has been the workhouse over the past few weeks and they will give him the ball often again. Jones needs a few solid runs out of the gate to set the tone for the offense so that they can try to give him the ball 20 plus times. However, as stated before Sanchez and the passing offense will have to give support at some time in this game. If the Jets can not score at least 20 points they will not win.

Pick – Chargers roll
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
YourProLocks (2-0 yesterday)


Game: Jets vs. San Diego
Pick: 50 Dime San Diego (-7)


Game: Dallas vs Minnesota
Pick: 20 Dime Dallas (+3)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Lang

75- Jets
F - Vikes


Brandon Lang


75 DIME - NEW YORK JETS - (IF LINE IS 7 YOU BUY THE 1/2, AND GET 7 1/2. VALUE IN THE UNDERDOG) - I said it last week and I will say it this week.

You give me the # 1 defense in the NFL and the # 1 rush offense in the NFL, and I will gladly take the points anywhere on planet earth.

I know the Chargers are great, and have been great, but fact of the matter is the strength of this Jets team is their offensive line while the weakness of San Diego is their defensive line.

The Jets will attack the Chargers the same way they attacked the Bengals both offensively and defensively.

Establish the run, get Sanchez in very manageable 3rd downs and keep the chains moving.

New York faced what I felt was a better all around defense in the Bengals last week, and their offensive gameplan was brilliant and I credit offensive coordinator Schottenheimer for his play calling.

I see much of the same here.

It is very hard to blowout a team that brings the # 1 defense and # 1 run game in the NFL as long as they play error free football, and if the Jets win the turnover battle, they do have a chance to shock the world.

Now if you don't turn the ball over in 10 degree weather against the 5th best overall defense in Cincinnati, I just don't see you turning it over in 75 degree weather in sunny San Diego against the 16th ranked defense.

Do the Chargers scare me? Absolutely, but again I didn't see anything from the Jets last week against Cincy that leads me to believe Sanchez is going to play this game like a deer caught in the headlights.

In fact, he came of age last week in Cincy. He looked very comfortable, but folks any QB would feel comfortable when you have a rush attack like the Jets.

Once Rex Ryan and his staff stop asking Sanchez to win games, and started having him manage games, this team became dangerous, very dangerous.

People can say Indy rested players but it was a 15-10 game 3rd quarter when they sat their starters, and Jets ball so I don't want to hear that.

This team is playing with a lot of confidence and catching more than a TD is value I can't pass up today.

75 dime # 4 in a row - JETS.

FREE SELECTION - MINNESOTA VIKINGS
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Wayne Root


3* Vikings (-2½) over Cowboys
1:00 PM -- NFC Divisional Playoffs - Hubert H. Humphrey Metro

Game is being played in a dome.


6* Chargers (-7) over Ny Jets
4:40 PM -- AFC Divisional Playoffs - Qualcomm Stadium

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

DALLAS COWBOYS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS -3

The Minnesota Vikings will host the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday at the Metrodome in possibly the most popular playoff meeting thus far in the postseason. On one side, you have the legend QB Brett Farve who signed with the Vikings while turning a rushing team into one of the most balanced offenses in the league. The Vikings at many times this season have appeared to be the most complete team in the league, but a few lackluster performances down the stretch has left some doubts on what was such a promising season. The Vikings are in search for their first NFC Championship in over 30 years, but before they have a chance at a Championship they must defend their home turf against the most hated team in America.
The Dallas Cowboys ended all the critics talk of the postseason drought last week as they beat the Eagles for the 2nd straight week in a row to score their first postseason victory since 1996. The Cowboys are suddenly playing extremely well on the defensive side of the ball and also getting help from the offense along the way. The Cowboys now seem to have momentum on their side, something that has been missing for nearly two decades. Still, the Cowboys have a lot of support considered by one of the largest fan bases in sports. For most of those fans, the Cowboys rise to glory has been long overdue. However, a loss to the Vikings this Sunday would make the wait even longer.
The Vikings offense has been a lethal threat to all defenses this season. The primary objective initially was to feed the ball to the sensational running threat of Adrian Peterson and then work the pass in as holes opened in the defense. However, Peterson has not had the incredible season that most would have expected yet has still been effective enough to rack up over 1,300 rushing yards. However as a result, Farve has thrown a lot more passes and WR Sidney Rice has emerged as a star in the passing offense. It will be interesting to see how the Vikings come out and try to establish their offense this week. The Cowboys defensive front has been very strong and just asks Donovan McNabb how well they are playing. Still, even with the Cowboys strong pass rush teams have been able to run the ball. On that note, expect Peterson to set the tone early and depending on their success running the football will decide which pace of offense the Vikings establish.
Expect the Vikings run game to not be as successful early on when emotions are up from kickoff and they will likely turn to Farve rather quickly. I’m sure the Vikings passing attack will have their ups and downs. However, it could be a lot more struggles if the Dallas pass rush continues to dominate. The way the Vikings will get the offense involved is when they go back to the running game with Peterson later. Once the Dallas defense is worn down a bit, Peterson can have a step advantage in the holes and that is where they will find the offensive sparks. It will be up to Farve and the passing game to capitalize on those sparks. One thing is for sure that neither passing team can afford to turnover the ball as this will expectedly be a close game.
The Cowboys offense will surely allow Marion Barber and Felix Jones to have plenty of carries. Both backs have the ability to cause damage, but Jones is appearing to be the star in the making. After busting out a few big plays against the Eagles in the first meeting, Jones rushed for 148 yards and a score on just 16 carries in last week’s win. QB Tony Romo completed 66% throwing for 244 yards and 2 scores. WR Miles Austin was yet again the favorite target catching 7 balls for 82 yards and a touchdown. However, keep an eye on WR Roy Williams. When Williams makes a few grabs it really opens the door for the rest of the receivers. The Cowboys numbers on offense has been pretty solid and they should be able to score some points again. The question is will the Vikings have their way on the offensive side of the ball as they have many times this season or will the Cowboys defense continue to impress?

WAR'S ANSWER IS THAT THE OFFENSIVE BALANCE THAT THE VIKINGS HAVE AND WITH FARVE'S PLAYOFF LEADERSHIP....THE VIKINGS WILL PREVAIL. THIS IS WAR'S VEGAS LEGEND TAKING MINNESOTA.




6* Chargers (-7) over Ny Jets

NEW YORK JETS vs. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -7

The New York Jets opportunity to just reach the postseason was considered a big long shot, but they closed out the year winning 5 of their last 6 games while getting help from some of the other teams around the league as well. The Jets backed up their underdog efforts last week with an impressive outing against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-14. The Jets finally are getting tremendous help from their defense and they are proving that they can play with the top teams in the league. However, the Jets will try to tackle the San Diego Chargers this weekend, who are the hottest team in the NFL in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs.
San Diego won 11 games as the hottest team in the league to close out the year earning them a first round bye last week. The well rested Chargers will now attempt to pick up where they left off. The San Diego offense has proven to be unstoppable this season with QB Phillip Rivers under center. Rivers threw for 4,254 yards with 28 touchdowns and just 9 interceptions this season. Those are very solid numbers especially if you consider the lack of run game throughout the year meaning defenses knew the pass was coming but still could not stop it.
The reason it’s hard to stop the Chargers passing attack outside of Rivers dangerous accuracy lies in the receivers. WR Vincent Jackson and tight end Antonio Gates possibly the most lethal duo combination in any passing game. The two have combined for 2,300 plus yards and 17 touchdowns. Jackson is a big wide receiver that has dominated cornerback this year and Gates provides excellent support underneath. Those combinations in the passing game have been deadly, but now they must get the momentum rolling after a week off and also against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL.
The Jets lead the NFL in pass defense holding opponents to a lucrative low 154 yards per game through the air. The entire Jets defense has been even more impressive holding teams to just less than 9 points per game during their last 7 outings. However, the secondary may not have the height advantage to take the ball away from Jackson if he gets a few throws down the field. Jackson single handedly beat the Cowboys, who also have a disadvantage in size in their secondary, late in the regular season and the Jets can not afford to yield any similar results. For the most part, their pass defense has been very solid but will likely need to force a turnover or two quickly before the Chargers will change their attack. If they can keep San Diego out of the end zone early it will be vital to their success. The offense may put more on the arm of Mark Sanchez this week. Sanchez has been used very little considering the offense has ridden running back Thomas Jones over the past few weeks.
However, points will have to be scored in this game as I do not think the Jets running game can absolutely control the game start to finish. They will have to get help from Sanchez who completed 12 of 15 for 182 yards last week against the Bengals. If Sanchez can repeat on those numbers and produce some points then they will have a shot at the upset. Thomas Jones has been the workhouse over the past few weeks and they will give him the ball often again. Jones needs a few solid runs out of the gate to set the tone for the offense so that they can try to give him the ball 20 plus times. However, as stated before Sanchez and the passing offense will have to give support at some time in this game. If the Jets can not score at least 20 points they will not win.

WAR HAS MADE THE SAN DIEGO CHARGERS HIS BILLIONAIRES PLAY
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings
PICK: Dallas Cowboys +3

For a number of different reasons I believe the Cowboys are the prudent wager in this situation:

The Cowboys won their first playoff game since Dec. 28, 1996 last weekend vs. the Eagles, 34-14, ending a 4,760-day drought, easily the longest in the club’s proud history. The skid included six losses; a seventh would’ve set an NFL futility record.

Dallas has dominated its last four games, with both the defense and offense playing equal rolls in the outcome of those contests.

Tony Romo finished 23 of 35 for 244 yards with two TD's and no turnovers last week. He got deep into Philadelphia territory on nine of his first 10 drives, hitting eight receivers.

Not only is Dallas both 4-1 ATS and SU its last five overall, its also 4-2 SU its last six on the road.

On the other side of the field: The Vikings looked unstoppable to begin the year; then faltered, but seemed to turn it around in the end with a 44-7 crushing of the Giants on January 3rd.

However, I believe the week off will be detrimental, not beneficial for this squad as I look for the time off to "mess with the rhythm/momentum" this team built in its season finale.

Minnesota though has been extremely dominant in almost every ATS statistical category this year, however its interesting to note that its already 0-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less.

Bottom line: I believe the Vikings have questions with their offensive line and secondary that Romo is going to be able to exploit.

Dallas comes into this game as the overall hotter team, with both its offensive and defensive lines being the more dominant at the moment.

So with the Cowboys having the advantage in the "trenches", expect DALLAS to improve to 11-4 ATS this season vs. conference opponents and for Minnesota to fall to 4-4 ATS this year when playing against a team with a winning record.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Gregg Price

5* Jets - We are going with the Jets here. We know the line isn't 9, I put this out as soon as the line came out because I knew the sharp money was going on the Jets. No one is taking this team seriously. We had the Jets last week, and knew it wouldn't be hard to beat Cinci. Well these Chargers aren't Cinci, they are good. I think SD's only weakness is there lack of running game. But come playoff time you need a running game. And it won't be as easy for Sanchez this week, he is going to have to do more. You know what else hurts SD? Good old Norv Turner, reminds me a lot of Marty Schottenheimer, great regular season coach but can't get it done in the playoffs. We are going to ride the Jets D in this game. Grab the points.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Ron Raymond

NYJ +7.5 vs SDC

When NEW YORK JETS team played as Road team as a Underdog - During Week 16 to 20 - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game; the Jets are 9-1-0 ATS in this role.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Accuscore

Dal +2.5 +105 45.9%
Min -2.5 -114 54.1%

Ovr 45.5 59.7% -102
Und 45.5 40.3% -108

Dal +126 42.2%
Min -138 57.8%



Nyj +7 -102 48.6%
Sd -7 -106 47.3%

Ovr 42 58.9% -101
Und 42 39.9% -109

Nyj +290 31.5%
Sd -330 68.6%
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Dallas Mavericks at Toronto Raptors (+1.5, 207)

The Dallas Mavericks have a unique scorer in 7-foot, German sniper Dirk Nowitzki. It has been his success at the NBA level that has led to many other talented European players making the jump to the pros.

Perhaps the one player cut from the same cloth as Nowitzki is Toronto Raptors forward and former No.1-overall pick, Andrea Bargnani.

The 7-foot Italian is only a center on the scoresheet. He scored 24 points for the Raptors in a 112-104 win over the New York Knicks Friday – netting 5-of-6 shots from beyond the arc.

Bargnani’s performance came on a night when three Italian-born players were on the rosters. Bargnani and teammate Marco Belinelli were joined by Knicks forward Danilo Gallinari.

"I was excited about it, because it's something special for me," Bargnani told the Toronto Star. "It's the first time that three Italian players (could have) played together in an NBA game ... so you want to look good, you want to do something good."

Bargnani has not only been a scoring force for Toronto but has also picked up his work on the glass, totaling 29 rebounds in the past two games.

Pick: Raptors


Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets (N/A)

The third time is the charm for Nuggets guard Chauncey Billups.

According to the Denver Post, the veteran point guard is at his best immediately after the half. Billups, who scores just under 18 points per game, is averaging seven points in the third quarter this season – seventh in third-quarter scoring in the NBA.

"The first half, it's not that I'm not shooting at all, but I'm looking to see how they're playing certain plays and when I can break off the play and when not," Billups told reporters. "And then at halftime, when I can watch back and watch a couple plays on film, I can be more aggressive and say, 'This is what I'm going to get on this play, this is where my opportunity opens up.' "

He scored 12 of his 24 points in the third quarter of Wednesday’s win over the Orlando Magic. Since returning from a groin injury, which kept him out five games, Billups is averaging 9.5-third quarter points in those four games.

"Coach shows what (the opponent) is giving up (at halftime)," reserve point guard Ty Lawson told the media, "and Chauncey does exactly what they're giving him — either make a shot or get into the paint. He gets us started in the third quarter. If he doesn't get started, it's hard for us to get going."

Billups will be needed in all four quarters Sunday. Lawson is nursing an injured ankle and is questionable against the Jazz. Veteran point guard Anthony Carter will get more time if Lawson is unable to play.

Pick: Nuggets
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals (-170, 6)

Opposing goaltenders are starting to get a sunburn on the back of their necks from all the goals the Capitals have scored.

Washington’s top-ranked offense has turned up the intensity in recent games, scoring more than five goals per game in its last six outings. The Capitals are 5-1 in that stretch and have played over the total in all six games.

“We capitalized on our chances,” captain Alex Ovechkin told the Washington Post, after recording five points in a 6-1 win over Toronto Friday. “We just kept pushing and pushing.”

Philadelphia has also had a knack for scoring in recent games. The Flyers averaged almost six goals a night during a four-game win streak which ended with a 4-0 loss to the Leafs Thursday. Philadelphia has played over the total in four of its last six outings.

Pick: Over


Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks (-115, 5.5)

The Ducks have an infestation of injury bugs in their dressing room.

Anaheim watched veteran winger Teemu Selanne get carted off the ice after having his jaw broken by a shot against the Boston Bruins Wednesday. Now, the Ducks will be without the services of center Saku Koivu, who suffered a sprained knee in a 4-0 loss to the Los Angeles Kings Thursday night.

Anaheim is already without scorer Joffrey Lupul, who underwent back surgery in December. The team hoped to have him back by mid-February but an infection in his back could have the talented right winger out for longer than expected.

The Ducks were already a roster in flux. This laundry list of injuries will force coach Randy Carlyle to shuffle his three forward lines in order to make up for the lack of scoring punch. Bettors can expect more than a few hiccups on the offensive end Sunday.

Pick: Flames
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,444
Messages
13,581,894
Members
100,983
Latest member
nammoidenroiiiii
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com