WINNING POINTS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Purdue* over Nebraska by 4
The series was split 1-1 last season, when Nebraska lost here by 9 points playing without a key forward (since departed). Purdue had four double-digit scorers a year ago, two this season.
PURDUE, 60-56.
Ohio State* over Iowa by 12
How tough is Iowa defensively, really? Not really, right?
OHIO STATE, 82-70.
Tulsa* over Southern Miss by 1
Southern Miss likes to play aggressive defense, often a problem on the road. Not a
problem when they won 59-56 here last year, though.
TULSA, 62-61.
Louisville* over SMU by 19
Wisconsin-GB over Wisconsin-Milwaukee by 6
Lasalle over Duquesne* by 2
Creighton* over Xavier by 9
Washington* over Colorado by 4
The Romar Roundballers woke up for the beginning of Pac 12 play. With a power
rating deflated enough to make Colorado a possible favorite on the road, we might
add, which is not an encouraging thing to buy into.
WASHINGTON, 74-70.
San Diego State over Air Force* by 14
Bowling Green* over Northern Illinois by 12
***BEST BET
Oregon* over Stanford by 23
As they entered Pac 12 season, four Stanford players average 33 to 34 minutes per
game. That’s some job of building depth over the years by Coach K Klone Johnny
Dawkins, Mr. NIT. Oregon’s Dana Altman and other new coaches have come into
the conference to help stunt Stanford’s growth. It would be nice to see Oregon (89
ppg, stockpiling players) run them outta the gym.
OREGON, 90-67.
Ohio* over Akron by 10
Wright State* over Illinois-Chicago by 16
**PREFERRED
Washington State* over Utah by 6
Sure, everyone and his brother will pile on against Washington State, as ‘that team
that scored only 25 points at Arizona, 7 in the first half!’ But like head coach Ken
Bone said, “We had to open conference season on the road against the best team.”
Now they’re home, not against the best team. Far from it, actually. Bone liked what
he saw defensively in that game and they aren’t physically overmatched in this affair.
WASHINGTON STATE, 68-62.
Illinois over Northwestern* by 9
The Fighting Illini lost a home game to Northwestern by 14 points last season, when
they were in the midst of a weird dry spell and six losses in seven games. Later, they
would beat Northwestern by 21 on the road and eventually make the NCAA
Tournament.
ILLINOIS, 70-61.
Florida State* over Maryland by 7
Arizona over USC* by 12
UCLA* over Arizona State by 7
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Purdue* over Nebraska by 4
The series was split 1-1 last season, when Nebraska lost here by 9 points playing without a key forward (since departed). Purdue had four double-digit scorers a year ago, two this season.
PURDUE, 60-56.
Ohio State* over Iowa by 12
How tough is Iowa defensively, really? Not really, right?
OHIO STATE, 82-70.
Tulsa* over Southern Miss by 1
Southern Miss likes to play aggressive defense, often a problem on the road. Not a
problem when they won 59-56 here last year, though.
TULSA, 62-61.
Louisville* over SMU by 19
Wisconsin-GB over Wisconsin-Milwaukee by 6
Lasalle over Duquesne* by 2
Creighton* over Xavier by 9
Washington* over Colorado by 4
The Romar Roundballers woke up for the beginning of Pac 12 play. With a power
rating deflated enough to make Colorado a possible favorite on the road, we might
add, which is not an encouraging thing to buy into.
WASHINGTON, 74-70.
San Diego State over Air Force* by 14
Bowling Green* over Northern Illinois by 12
***BEST BET
Oregon* over Stanford by 23
As they entered Pac 12 season, four Stanford players average 33 to 34 minutes per
game. That’s some job of building depth over the years by Coach K Klone Johnny
Dawkins, Mr. NIT. Oregon’s Dana Altman and other new coaches have come into
the conference to help stunt Stanford’s growth. It would be nice to see Oregon (89
ppg, stockpiling players) run them outta the gym.
OREGON, 90-67.
Ohio* over Akron by 10
Wright State* over Illinois-Chicago by 16
**PREFERRED
Washington State* over Utah by 6
Sure, everyone and his brother will pile on against Washington State, as ‘that team
that scored only 25 points at Arizona, 7 in the first half!’ But like head coach Ken
Bone said, “We had to open conference season on the road against the best team.”
Now they’re home, not against the best team. Far from it, actually. Bone liked what
he saw defensively in that game and they aren’t physically overmatched in this affair.
WASHINGTON STATE, 68-62.
Illinois over Northwestern* by 9
The Fighting Illini lost a home game to Northwestern by 14 points last season, when
they were in the midst of a weird dry spell and six losses in seven games. Later, they
would beat Northwestern by 21 on the road and eventually make the NCAA
Tournament.
ILLINOIS, 70-61.
Florida State* over Maryland by 7
Arizona over USC* by 12
UCLA* over Arizona State by 7
WINNING POINTS
PRO BASKETBALL
***BEST BET
Cleveland over *Sacramento by 7
Certainly there are better teams to trust on the road than Cleveland, but the Kings
must be faded when chalk. Sacramento has been favored 10 times this season through
this past Thursday and has failed to cover each time, including losing at home to
Philadelphia by nine points 10 days ago and to Charlotte also by 10 eight days ago.
The Kings have shown a repeated failure at home, too, failing to cover in 13 of their
first 19 home contests.
CLEVELAND 103-96.
*Memphis over Atlanta by 5
The Hawks are capable of spreading the floor and frustrating opponents, but have
been much weaker on the road and lack any star power with Josh Smith and Joe
Johnson both gone and Al Horford likely out for the season.
MEMPHIS 98-93.
*San Antonio over Minnesota by 7
The Timberwolves covered in their last visit to San Antonio losing 117-110 on Dec.
13 and have been on a scoring spree putting up at least 116 points in five of their past
eight games through last Sunday.
SAN ANTONIO 119-112.
PRO BASKETBALL
***BEST BET
Cleveland over *Sacramento by 7
Certainly there are better teams to trust on the road than Cleveland, but the Kings
must be faded when chalk. Sacramento has been favored 10 times this season through
this past Thursday and has failed to cover each time, including losing at home to
Philadelphia by nine points 10 days ago and to Charlotte also by 10 eight days ago.
The Kings have shown a repeated failure at home, too, failing to cover in 13 of their
first 19 home contests.
CLEVELAND 103-96.
*Memphis over Atlanta by 5
The Hawks are capable of spreading the floor and frustrating opponents, but have
been much weaker on the road and lack any star power with Josh Smith and Joe
Johnson both gone and Al Horford likely out for the season.
MEMPHIS 98-93.
*San Antonio over Minnesota by 7
The Timberwolves covered in their last visit to San Antonio losing 117-110 on Dec.
13 and have been on a scoring spree putting up at least 116 points in five of their past
eight games through last Sunday.
SAN ANTONIO 119-112.
POINTWISE
COLLEGIATE
BASKETBALL PROPHECY
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
ILLINOIS over Northwestern (Sun) RATING: 3
(12:00) PURDUE 63 - Nebraska 56 (BIG10) _____ _____
(1:00) OHIO STATE 70 - Iowa 64 (CBS) _____ _____
(1:00) Southern Mississippi 67 - TULSA 66 (FOX1) _____ _____
(1:00) LOUISVILLE 95 - Smu 69 (CBSC) _____ _____
(2:00) Wisc-Green Bay 71 - WISC-MILWAUKEE 63 _____ _____
(2:30) LaSalle 82 - DUQUESNE 77 (NBCS) _____ _____
(3:00) CREIGHTON 78 - Xavier 70 (CBSC) _____ _____
(3:00) WASHINGTON 67 - Colorado 65 (FOX1) _____ _____
(4:00) San Diego State 66 - AIR FORCE 57 _____ _____
(4:30) BOWLING GREEN 62 - Northern Illinois 46 _____ _____
(5:00) OREGON 79 - Stanford 61 (FOX1) _____ _____
(6:00) Akron 69 - OHIO U 68 _____ _____
(7:00) WRIGHT STATE 57 - Illinois-Chicago 54 _____ _____
(7:00) Utah 74 - WASHINGTON STATE 73 _____ _____
(7:30) Illinois 70 - NORTHWESTERN 57 (BIG10) _____ _____
(8:00) FLORIDA STATE 78 - Maryland 69 (ESPNU) _____ _____
(9:00) Arizona State 75 - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 74 _____ _____
(10:00) UCLA 77 - Arizona State 72 (ESPNU) _____ _____
BEST BETS
WISC-GREEN BAY
ILL-CHICAGO
ILLINOIS (3)
ARIZONA STATE
COLLEGIATE
BASKETBALL PROPHECY
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
ILLINOIS over Northwestern (Sun) RATING: 3
(12:00) PURDUE 63 - Nebraska 56 (BIG10) _____ _____
(1:00) OHIO STATE 70 - Iowa 64 (CBS) _____ _____
(1:00) Southern Mississippi 67 - TULSA 66 (FOX1) _____ _____
(1:00) LOUISVILLE 95 - Smu 69 (CBSC) _____ _____
(2:00) Wisc-Green Bay 71 - WISC-MILWAUKEE 63 _____ _____
(2:30) LaSalle 82 - DUQUESNE 77 (NBCS) _____ _____
(3:00) CREIGHTON 78 - Xavier 70 (CBSC) _____ _____
(3:00) WASHINGTON 67 - Colorado 65 (FOX1) _____ _____
(4:00) San Diego State 66 - AIR FORCE 57 _____ _____
(4:30) BOWLING GREEN 62 - Northern Illinois 46 _____ _____
(5:00) OREGON 79 - Stanford 61 (FOX1) _____ _____
(6:00) Akron 69 - OHIO U 68 _____ _____
(7:00) WRIGHT STATE 57 - Illinois-Chicago 54 _____ _____
(7:00) Utah 74 - WASHINGTON STATE 73 _____ _____
(7:30) Illinois 70 - NORTHWESTERN 57 (BIG10) _____ _____
(8:00) FLORIDA STATE 78 - Maryland 69 (ESPNU) _____ _____
(9:00) Arizona State 75 - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 74 _____ _____
(10:00) UCLA 77 - Arizona State 72 (ESPNU) _____ _____
BEST BETS
WISC-GREEN BAY
ILL-CHICAGO
ILLINOIS (3)
ARIZONA STATE
Today's NBA Picks
Minnesota at San Antonio
The Spurs host a Minnesota team tonight that is coming off a 119-92 win over Charlotte and is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games following an ATS victory. San Antonio is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
Minnesota at San Antonio
The Spurs host a Minnesota team tonight that is coming off a 119-92 win over Charlotte and is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games following an ATS victory. San Antonio is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
| SUNDAY, JANUARY 12 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST |
| Game 801-802: Cleveland at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.411; Sacramento 120.115 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 6 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3 1/2; 206 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3 1/2); Under |
| Game 803-804: Atlanta at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.965; Memphis 124.264 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 192 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2); Over |
| Game 805-806: Minnesota at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.831; San Antonio 128.946 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 216 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 211 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6); Over |
Today's NHL Picks
Philadelphia at NY Rangers
The Flyers travel to New York to face a Rangers team that is 0-9 in its last 9 games against Metropolitan Division opponents. Philadelphia is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125). Here are all of today's picks.
Philadelphia at NY Rangers
The Flyers travel to New York to face a Rangers team that is 0-9 in its last 9 games against Metropolitan Division opponents. Philadelphia is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125). Here are all of today's picks.
| SUNDAY, JANUARY 12 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST |
| Game 1-2: Buffalo at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 9.879; Washington 11.435 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Under |
| Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Dallas (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.213; Dallas 9.725 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-150); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); Over |
| Game 5-6: New Jersey at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.061: Toronto 11.578 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under |
| Game 7-8: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.049; NY Rangers 10.933 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over |
| Game 9-10: Edmonton at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.773; Chicago 11.395 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-280); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+230); Over |
| Game 11-12: Minnesota at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.805; Nashville 12.422 Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-135); Under |
| Game 13-14: Detroit at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.098; Anaheim 12.727 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Under |
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets.
CBB IL-CHICAGO at WRIGHT ST
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
CBB IOWA at OHIO ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (IOWA) in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=40%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games
84-93 since 1997. ( 47.5% 30.5 units )
CBB MONMOUTH at CANISIUS
Play On - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MONMOUTH) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, playing their 2nd game in 3 days
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )
CBB IL-CHICAGO at WRIGHT ST
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
CBB IOWA at OHIO ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (IOWA) in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=40%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games
84-93 since 1997. ( 47.5% 30.5 units )
CBB MONMOUTH at CANISIUS
Play On - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MONMOUTH) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, playing their 2nd game in 3 days
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NBA MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Any team after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )
NBA ATLANTA at MEMPHIS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games
58-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 34.2 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -1.5 units )
NBA CLEVELAND at SACRAMENTO
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% 2.6 units )
NBA ATLANTA at MEMPHIS
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
63-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.5% 31.1 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )
NBA MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Any team after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )
NBA ATLANTA at MEMPHIS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games
58-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 34.2 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -1.5 units )
NBA CLEVELAND at SACRAMENTO
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% 2.6 units )
NBA ATLANTA at MEMPHIS
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
63-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.5% 31.1 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 1/12/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
Betting Notes - Sunday
•Nebraska (0-3), Purdue (0-2) are both starved for league win; Boilers are 3-1 in this series, winning by 18 in only meeting here- teams split pair of meetings in Big Dozen tourney. Huskers lost last four games, but they were all versus top 20 teams- they're 8-1 versus teams ranked below #30, but are also 0-4 in true road games, with all four losses by 10+. Purdue allowed 80 ppg in losing its first two league games.
•Ohio State lost first game Tuesday in OT at Michigan State, after being down 17 with 7:10 left; Buckeyes won last eight games with Iowa- they won last seven meetings here, with six of seven by 9+ points. Iowa lost its two true road games, by 3 at Iowa State, 4 at Wisconsin- their eFG% defense (41.7%) is #6 in country, but OSU's is #5, plus they force TOs 22.9% of time. McCaffery returns to bench after 1-game suspension.
•Home side won six of last seven Southern Miss-Tulsa games; Eagles are 0-4 in last four visits here, losing by 9-15-8-8 points. Southern Miss is 5-2 on road with wins at DePaul/North Dakota State- they're forcing a turnover 23.7% of time (#9) but also turning ball over 22.1% (#326 in US). Tulsa won its last five home games after losing to Oral Roberts and Wichita in first two home games this year.
•Louisville split its last four games; they're 1-3 versus top 100 teams, routing Southern Miss by 30 for best win. Cardinals are forcing turnovers 25% of time, #3 in US. SMU hasn't played in eight days; they're 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating Wyoming/Connecticut- their three losses are by 11-3-8 to Arkansas-Virginia-Cincy. AAC home favorites are 4-5 versus spread, 3-1 if they're laying 7 or more points.
•Green Bay was 3-0 versus Milwaukee LY, winning by 20-17-16; home side is 7-2 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, with LY's 74-54 win ended 3-game skid here. Green Bay won its last six games since loss at Eastern Michigan- they've got wins at So. Dakota, Chicago State. Milwaukee is 4-2 at home, losing to DePaul/Cleveland State. Horizon home teams are 8-5 versus spread; they were all favored.
•Creighton has injury issues; Gibbs is out 4 weeks (knee), McDermott is ?able (shoulder). Bluejays won first three Big East games by 18-13-19 points- they're making 43.3% from arc (#1 in US). Xavier also won its last eight games, winning first three league games by 10-11-7- they're 3-0 SU this year when getting points, beating Iowa-Cincinnati-Alabama. Single digit home favorites are 4-1 versus spread in Big East play.
•Home side won both Colorado-Washington games in Pac-12 play, with Buffs losing by 10 here LY; Colorado is 14-1 in last 15 games after they survived Washington State in Spokane Thursday- they're 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Colorado State, 24 at Air Force. Huskies won four of last five games with only loss to Arizona- they beat Utah by hoop last game- Utes were only 1-15 from arc.
•Oregon won three of last four games with Stanford; Cardinal lost its last two visits to Eugene, by 11 points each- they lost first two games in league by 7-9 points, making just 2-8 from arc in loss at Oregon State on Thursday. Ducks allowed 98 ppg in losing last two games after starting 13-0; three of their last six wins came in OT. Oregon is making 40.1% of its 3's (#21). Pac-12 home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•Akron was 3-0 versus Ohio LY, winning by 14-7-19 points; teams met in 3 of last 4 MAC tourneys. Zips split their last six visits here, won three games in row, but last two were by combined total of five points against Marshall/Ball State. Ohio is 7-1 at home with only loss to UMass by 12; Bobcats are shooting just 31.2% from arc. Underdogs are 6-1 versus spread in MAC games with single digit spread.
•Home side won both Utah-Washington State games in Pac-12 play, with Utes losing here by 10 LY; Utah was 6-31 from arc in its two losses in Pac-12, 12-22 in the win over Oregon State- they're #1 in US, making 59% of 2-point shots. Washington State is 0-3 in Pac-12 with its top scorer Lacy having appendicitis; Coogs lost to Colorado by points last game in Spokane- this is their first Pac-12 game on actual home court.
•Road team won last four Illinois-Northwestern games; Illini won its last two visits here, by 1-21 points. Illinois is 1-2 in true road games- they got whacked at Wisconsin last game, also lost by 3 at Georgia Tech, won by a hoop at UNLV. Big Dozen home teams are 2-7 versus spread in games with single digit spread. Northwestern lost last four games; none of last three was even close. Sitting next to Coach K doesn't make you a head coach.
•Florida State won five of last six games, holding Clemson to 41 points in last game; Seminoles are holding teams to 39% inside arc- their eFG% of 41.3% is #4 in US. ACC underdogs of 7 or less points are 8-3 versus spread, 4-0 on road. Maryland has better guard depth with Allen back; Terrapins are 1-2 on road, losing by 16-20 at Ohio State/Pitt, winning at BC- they are making 37.1% from arc, which helps offset FSU's interior defense.
•UCLA won seven of last nine games with Arizona State, winning four in row at Pauley Pavilion by 2-18-17-5 points- they beat Sun Devils in OT here LY and then again in Pac-12 tourney, both by five. ASU is 3-2 versus top 100 teams, losing by 28 to Marquette, only top 50 foe. UCLA led Arizona by point with 1:44 left Thursday before losing by 4; Bruins are 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating UCSB by 13, Alabama by 8.
Hoop Trends - Sunday
•IOWA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 69.1, OPPONENT 61.8.
•RIDER is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RIDER 75.2, OPPONENT 71.2.
•STANFORD is 7-24 (-19.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 31.5, OPPONENT 33.5.
•ILLINOIS is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 28.4, OPPONENT 30.3.
•KEVIN BAGGETT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of RIDER.
The average score was BAGGETT 66.9, OPPONENT 59.8.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(83-9 since 1997.) (90.2%, +60.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -255
The average score in these games was: Team 74.8, Opponent 65.8 (Average point differential = +9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5, +8.2 units).
____________________________________________
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
Betting Notes - Sunday
•Nebraska (0-3), Purdue (0-2) are both starved for league win; Boilers are 3-1 in this series, winning by 18 in only meeting here- teams split pair of meetings in Big Dozen tourney. Huskers lost last four games, but they were all versus top 20 teams- they're 8-1 versus teams ranked below #30, but are also 0-4 in true road games, with all four losses by 10+. Purdue allowed 80 ppg in losing its first two league games.
•Ohio State lost first game Tuesday in OT at Michigan State, after being down 17 with 7:10 left; Buckeyes won last eight games with Iowa- they won last seven meetings here, with six of seven by 9+ points. Iowa lost its two true road games, by 3 at Iowa State, 4 at Wisconsin- their eFG% defense (41.7%) is #6 in country, but OSU's is #5, plus they force TOs 22.9% of time. McCaffery returns to bench after 1-game suspension.
•Home side won six of last seven Southern Miss-Tulsa games; Eagles are 0-4 in last four visits here, losing by 9-15-8-8 points. Southern Miss is 5-2 on road with wins at DePaul/North Dakota State- they're forcing a turnover 23.7% of time (#9) but also turning ball over 22.1% (#326 in US). Tulsa won its last five home games after losing to Oral Roberts and Wichita in first two home games this year.
•Louisville split its last four games; they're 1-3 versus top 100 teams, routing Southern Miss by 30 for best win. Cardinals are forcing turnovers 25% of time, #3 in US. SMU hasn't played in eight days; they're 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating Wyoming/Connecticut- their three losses are by 11-3-8 to Arkansas-Virginia-Cincy. AAC home favorites are 4-5 versus spread, 3-1 if they're laying 7 or more points.
•Green Bay was 3-0 versus Milwaukee LY, winning by 20-17-16; home side is 7-2 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, with LY's 74-54 win ended 3-game skid here. Green Bay won its last six games since loss at Eastern Michigan- they've got wins at So. Dakota, Chicago State. Milwaukee is 4-2 at home, losing to DePaul/Cleveland State. Horizon home teams are 8-5 versus spread; they were all favored.
•Creighton has injury issues; Gibbs is out 4 weeks (knee), McDermott is ?able (shoulder). Bluejays won first three Big East games by 18-13-19 points- they're making 43.3% from arc (#1 in US). Xavier also won its last eight games, winning first three league games by 10-11-7- they're 3-0 SU this year when getting points, beating Iowa-Cincinnati-Alabama. Single digit home favorites are 4-1 versus spread in Big East play.
•Home side won both Colorado-Washington games in Pac-12 play, with Buffs losing by 10 here LY; Colorado is 14-1 in last 15 games after they survived Washington State in Spokane Thursday- they're 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Colorado State, 24 at Air Force. Huskies won four of last five games with only loss to Arizona- they beat Utah by hoop last game- Utes were only 1-15 from arc.
•Oregon won three of last four games with Stanford; Cardinal lost its last two visits to Eugene, by 11 points each- they lost first two games in league by 7-9 points, making just 2-8 from arc in loss at Oregon State on Thursday. Ducks allowed 98 ppg in losing last two games after starting 13-0; three of their last six wins came in OT. Oregon is making 40.1% of its 3's (#21). Pac-12 home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•Akron was 3-0 versus Ohio LY, winning by 14-7-19 points; teams met in 3 of last 4 MAC tourneys. Zips split their last six visits here, won three games in row, but last two were by combined total of five points against Marshall/Ball State. Ohio is 7-1 at home with only loss to UMass by 12; Bobcats are shooting just 31.2% from arc. Underdogs are 6-1 versus spread in MAC games with single digit spread.
•Home side won both Utah-Washington State games in Pac-12 play, with Utes losing here by 10 LY; Utah was 6-31 from arc in its two losses in Pac-12, 12-22 in the win over Oregon State- they're #1 in US, making 59% of 2-point shots. Washington State is 0-3 in Pac-12 with its top scorer Lacy having appendicitis; Coogs lost to Colorado by points last game in Spokane- this is their first Pac-12 game on actual home court.
•Road team won last four Illinois-Northwestern games; Illini won its last two visits here, by 1-21 points. Illinois is 1-2 in true road games- they got whacked at Wisconsin last game, also lost by 3 at Georgia Tech, won by a hoop at UNLV. Big Dozen home teams are 2-7 versus spread in games with single digit spread. Northwestern lost last four games; none of last three was even close. Sitting next to Coach K doesn't make you a head coach.
•Florida State won five of last six games, holding Clemson to 41 points in last game; Seminoles are holding teams to 39% inside arc- their eFG% of 41.3% is #4 in US. ACC underdogs of 7 or less points are 8-3 versus spread, 4-0 on road. Maryland has better guard depth with Allen back; Terrapins are 1-2 on road, losing by 16-20 at Ohio State/Pitt, winning at BC- they are making 37.1% from arc, which helps offset FSU's interior defense.
•UCLA won seven of last nine games with Arizona State, winning four in row at Pauley Pavilion by 2-18-17-5 points- they beat Sun Devils in OT here LY and then again in Pac-12 tourney, both by five. ASU is 3-2 versus top 100 teams, losing by 28 to Marquette, only top 50 foe. UCLA led Arizona by point with 1:44 left Thursday before losing by 4; Bruins are 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating UCSB by 13, Alabama by 8.
Hoop Trends - Sunday
•IOWA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 69.1, OPPONENT 61.8.
•RIDER is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RIDER 75.2, OPPONENT 71.2.
•STANFORD is 7-24 (-19.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 31.5, OPPONENT 33.5.
•ILLINOIS is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 28.4, OPPONENT 30.3.
•KEVIN BAGGETT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of RIDER.
The average score was BAGGETT 66.9, OPPONENT 59.8.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(83-9 since 1997.) (90.2%, +60.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -255
The average score in these games was: Team 74.8, Opponent 65.8 (Average point differential = +9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5, +8.2 units).
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Nebraska (0-3), Purdue (0-2) are both starved for league win; Boilers are 3-1 in this series, winning by 18 in only meeting here- teams split pair of meetings in Big Dozen tourney. Huskers lost last four games, but they were all versus top 20 teams- they're 8-1 versus teams ranked below #30, but are also 0-4 in true road games, with all four losses by 10+. Purdue allowed 80 ppg in losing its first two league games.
•Ohio State lost first game Tuesday in OT at Michigan State, after being down 17 with 7:10 left; Buckeyes won last eight games with Iowa- they won last seven meetings here, with six of seven by 9+ points. Iowa lost its two true road games, by 3 at Iowa State, 4 at Wisconsin- their eFG% defense (41.7%) is #6 in country, but OSU's is #5, plus they force TOs 22.9% of time. McCaffery returns to bench after 1-game suspension.
•Home side won six of last seven Southern Miss-Tulsa games; Eagles are 0-4 in last four visits here, losing by 9-15-8-8 points. Southern Miss is 5-2 on road with wins at DePaul/North Dakota State- they're forcing a turnover 23.7% of time (#9) but also turning ball over 22.1% (#326 in US). Tulsa won its last five home games after losing to Oral Roberts and Wichita in first two home games this year.
•Louisville split its last four games; they're 1-3 versus top 100 teams, routing Southern Miss by 30 for best win. Cardinals are forcing turnovers 25% of time, #3 in US. SMU hasn't played in eight days; they're 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating Wyoming/Connecticut- their three losses are by 11-3-8 to Arkansas-Virginia-Cincy. AAC home favorites are 4-5 versus spread, 3-1 if they're laying 7 or more points.
•Green Bay was 3-0 versus Milwaukee LY, winning by 20-17-16; home side is 7-2 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, with LY's 74-54 win ended 3-game skid here. Green Bay won its last six games since loss at Eastern Michigan- they've got wins at So. Dakota, Chicago State. Milwaukee is 4-2 at home, losing to DePaul/Cleveland State. Horizon home teams are 8-5 versus spread; they were all favored.
•Creighton has injury issues; Gibbs is out 4 weeks (knee), McDermott is ?able (shoulder). Bluejays won first three Big East games by 18-13-19 points- they're making 43.3% from arc (#1 in US). Xavier also won its last eight games, winning first three league games by 10-11-7- they're 3-0 SU this year when getting points, beating Iowa-Cincinnati-Alabama. Single digit home favorites are 4-1 versus spread in Big East play.
•Home side won both Colorado-Washington games in Pac-12 play, with Buffs losing by 10 here LY; Colorado is 14-1 in last 15 games after they survived Washington State in Spokane Thursday- they're 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Colorado State, 24 at Air Force. Huskies won four of last five games with only loss to Arizona- they beat Utah by hoop last game- Utes were only 1-15 from arc.
•Oregon won three of last four games with Stanford; Cardinal lost its last two visits to Eugene, by 11 points each- they lost first two games in league by 7-9 points, making just 2-8 from arc in loss at Oregon State on Thursday. Ducks allowed 98 ppg in losing last two games after starting 13-0; three of their last six wins came in OT. Oregon is making 40.1% of its 3's (#21). Pac-12 home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•Akron was 3-0 versus Ohio LY, winning by 14-7-19 points; teams met in 3 of last 4 MAC tourneys. Zips split their last six visits here, won three games in row, but last two were by combined total of five points against Marshall/Ball State. Ohio is 7-1 at home with only loss to UMass by 12; Bobcats are shooting just 31.2% from arc. Underdogs are 6-1 versus spread in MAC games with single digit spread.
•Home side won both Utah-Washington State games in Pac-12 play, with Utes losing here by 10 LY; Utah was 6-31 from arc in its two losses in Pac-12, 12-22 in the win over Oregon State- they're #1 in US, making 59% of 2-point shots. Washington State is 0-3 in Pac-12 with its top scorer Lacy having appendicitis; Coogs lost to Colorado by points last game in Spokane- this is their first Pac-12 game on actual home court.
•Road team won last four Illinois-Northwestern games; Illini won its last two visits here, by 1-21 points. Illinois is 1-2 in true road games- they got whacked at Wisconsin last game, also lost by 3 at Georgia Tech, won by a hoop at UNLV. Big Dozen home teams are 2-7 versus spread in games with single digit spread. Northwestern lost last four games; none of last three was even close. Sitting next to Coach K doesn't make you a head coach.
•Florida State won five of last six games, holding Clemson to 41 points in last game; Seminoles are holding teams to 39% inside arc- their eFG% of 41.3% is #4 in US. ACC underdogs of 7 or less points are 8-3 versus spread, 4-0 on road. Maryland has better guard depth with Allen back; Terrapins are 1-2 on road, losing by 16-20 at Ohio State/Pitt, winning at BC- they are making 37.1% from arc, which helps offset FSU's interior defense.
•UCLA won seven of last nine games with Arizona State, winning four in row at Pauley Pavilion by 2-18-17-5 points- they beat Sun Devils in OT here LY and then again in Pac-12 tourney, both by five. ASU is 3-2 versus top 100 teams, losing by 28 to Marquette, only top 50 foe. UCLA led Arizona by point with 1:44 left Thursday before losing by 4; Bruins are 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating UCSB by 13, Alabama by 8.
Hoop Trends - Sunday
•IOWA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 69.1, OPPONENT 61.8.
•RIDER is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RIDER 75.2, OPPONENT 71.2.
•STANFORD is 7-24 (-19.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 31.5, OPPONENT 33.5.
•ILLINOIS is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 28.4, OPPONENT 30.3.
•KEVIN BAGGETT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of RIDER.
The average score was BAGGETT 66.9, OPPONENT 59.8.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(83-9 since 1997.) (90.2%, +60.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -255
The average score in these games was: Team 74.8, Opponent 65.8 (Average point differential = +9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5, +8.2 units).
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INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Nebraska (0-3), Purdue (0-2) are both starved for league win; Boilers are 3-1 in this series, winning by 18 in only meeting here- teams split pair of meetings in Big Dozen tourney. Huskers lost last four games, but they were all versus top 20 teams- they're 8-1 versus teams ranked below #30, but are also 0-4 in true road games, with all four losses by 10+. Purdue allowed 80 ppg in losing its first two league games.
•Ohio State lost first game Tuesday in OT at Michigan State, after being down 17 with 7:10 left; Buckeyes won last eight games with Iowa- they won last seven meetings here, with six of seven by 9+ points. Iowa lost its two true road games, by 3 at Iowa State, 4 at Wisconsin- their eFG% defense (41.7%) is #6 in country, but OSU's is #5, plus they force TOs 22.9% of time. McCaffery returns to bench after 1-game suspension.
•Home side won six of last seven Southern Miss-Tulsa games; Eagles are 0-4 in last four visits here, losing by 9-15-8-8 points. Southern Miss is 5-2 on road with wins at DePaul/North Dakota State- they're forcing a turnover 23.7% of time (#9) but also turning ball over 22.1% (#326 in US). Tulsa won its last five home games after losing to Oral Roberts and Wichita in first two home games this year.
•Louisville split its last four games; they're 1-3 versus top 100 teams, routing Southern Miss by 30 for best win. Cardinals are forcing turnovers 25% of time, #3 in US. SMU hasn't played in eight days; they're 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating Wyoming/Connecticut- their three losses are by 11-3-8 to Arkansas-Virginia-Cincy. AAC home favorites are 4-5 versus spread, 3-1 if they're laying 7 or more points.
•Green Bay was 3-0 versus Milwaukee LY, winning by 20-17-16; home side is 7-2 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, with LY's 74-54 win ended 3-game skid here. Green Bay won its last six games since loss at Eastern Michigan- they've got wins at So. Dakota, Chicago State. Milwaukee is 4-2 at home, losing to DePaul/Cleveland State. Horizon home teams are 8-5 versus spread; they were all favored.
•Creighton has injury issues; Gibbs is out 4 weeks (knee), McDermott is ?able (shoulder). Bluejays won first three Big East games by 18-13-19 points- they're making 43.3% from arc (#1 in US). Xavier also won its last eight games, winning first three league games by 10-11-7- they're 3-0 SU this year when getting points, beating Iowa-Cincinnati-Alabama. Single digit home favorites are 4-1 versus spread in Big East play.
•Home side won both Colorado-Washington games in Pac-12 play, with Buffs losing by 10 here LY; Colorado is 14-1 in last 15 games after they survived Washington State in Spokane Thursday- they're 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Colorado State, 24 at Air Force. Huskies won four of last five games with only loss to Arizona- they beat Utah by hoop last game- Utes were only 1-15 from arc.
•Oregon won three of last four games with Stanford; Cardinal lost its last two visits to Eugene, by 11 points each- they lost first two games in league by 7-9 points, making just 2-8 from arc in loss at Oregon State on Thursday. Ducks allowed 98 ppg in losing last two games after starting 13-0; three of their last six wins came in OT. Oregon is making 40.1% of its 3's (#21). Pac-12 home favorites are 5-6 versus spread.
•Akron was 3-0 versus Ohio LY, winning by 14-7-19 points; teams met in 3 of last 4 MAC tourneys. Zips split their last six visits here, won three games in row, but last two were by combined total of five points against Marshall/Ball State. Ohio is 7-1 at home with only loss to UMass by 12; Bobcats are shooting just 31.2% from arc. Underdogs are 6-1 versus spread in MAC games with single digit spread.
•Home side won both Utah-Washington State games in Pac-12 play, with Utes losing here by 10 LY; Utah was 6-31 from arc in its two losses in Pac-12, 12-22 in the win over Oregon State- they're #1 in US, making 59% of 2-point shots. Washington State is 0-3 in Pac-12 with its top scorer Lacy having appendicitis; Coogs lost to Colorado by points last game in Spokane- this is their first Pac-12 game on actual home court.
•Road team won last four Illinois-Northwestern games; Illini won its last two visits here, by 1-21 points. Illinois is 1-2 in true road games- they got whacked at Wisconsin last game, also lost by 3 at Georgia Tech, won by a hoop at UNLV. Big Dozen home teams are 2-7 versus spread in games with single digit spread. Northwestern lost last four games; none of last three was even close. Sitting next to Coach K doesn't make you a head coach.
•Florida State won five of last six games, holding Clemson to 41 points in last game; Seminoles are holding teams to 39% inside arc- their eFG% of 41.3% is #4 in US. ACC underdogs of 7 or less points are 8-3 versus spread, 4-0 on road. Maryland has better guard depth with Allen back; Terrapins are 1-2 on road, losing by 16-20 at Ohio State/Pitt, winning at BC- they are making 37.1% from arc, which helps offset FSU's interior defense.
•UCLA won seven of last nine games with Arizona State, winning four in row at Pauley Pavilion by 2-18-17-5 points- they beat Sun Devils in OT here LY and then again in Pac-12 tourney, both by five. ASU is 3-2 versus top 100 teams, losing by 28 to Marquette, only top 50 foe. UCLA led Arizona by point with 1:44 left Thursday before losing by 4; Bruins are 2-3 versus top 100 teams, beating UCSB by 13, Alabama by 8.
Hoop Trends - Sunday
•IOWA is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA 69.1, OPPONENT 61.8.
•RIDER is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was RIDER 75.2, OPPONENT 71.2.
•STANFORD is 7-24 (-19.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 31.5, OPPONENT 33.5.
•ILLINOIS is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 28.4, OPPONENT 30.3.
•KEVIN BAGGETT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of RIDER.
The average score was BAGGETT 66.9, OPPONENT 59.8.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(83-9 since 1997.) (90.2%, +60.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -255
The average score in these games was: Team 74.8, Opponent 65.8 (Average point differential = +9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5, +8.2 units).
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