Service Plays Sunday 1/12/14

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SPORTS WAGERS

CAROLINA +105 over San Francisco

Line opened with the 49ers being favored by 2½ points and it’s come down since, although the public is still leaning to the Niners. This is a replay of week 10 when the Panthers won 10-9 in San Francisco. But even the Vegas line doesn't believe that week 10 means that much coming into this one with the 49ers sporting an improved team and the Panthers showing up as a newbie to the post season. San Fran doesn’t need much of an introduction. We all know who they are and it’s worth noting that Michael Crabtree didn’t play in the first game and his importance can’t be overstated enough. Crabtree is a game changer.

Carolina hasn’t really won over the public yet but that and that’s because they don’t get the exposure of these other big name teams that seem to show up on prime time games every week. Teams like Seattle, San Fran, New Orleans, New England, Denver, Dallas and Philadelphia are constantly in the limelight while not many are watching Panthers games. In fact, when the Panthers did show in prime time back on Sunday night in Week 14, they were buried by the Saints, 31-14. That was the Panthers only loss in their past 12 games. Carolina also went 7-1 at home with only loss occurring on opening day when the Seahawks defeated them, 12-7. Furthermore, teams with a bye in the first round of the playoffs went 2-0 yesterday. The 49ers traveled to Green Bay last week and played a physical game in frigid temperatures. Those games in extreme cold temperatures take a much bigger toll than playing in normal conditions and these aren’t the Packers on defense. Carolina's defense ranks sixth against the pass and second overall. That's a significant difference than facing Green Bay. The 49ers' Colin Kaepernick was sacked four times by Carolina's four-man pass rush, and six times total in the first game between these teams. Most importantly, when the public is leaning one way and the line is moving the other way, it’s a big warning flag that should not be ignored.

NOTE: We’re passing on the late game.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS NHL

New Jersey +121 over TORONTO

OT included. There is no reason whatsoever to stop fading the Maple Leafs. Toronto has dropped four straight and has been outscored over that stretch by a count of 21-7. In their last two home games, the Leafs have been outscored by a count of 12-4. Over their past 24 games, the Maple Leafs have two regulation wins and that is the worst mark over that span in the NHL. There is no turnaround coming either. From poor defense to forwards not back-checking, to being badly outshot almost every game, to Randy Carlyle being on the hot seat, the Maple Leafs have turned into a tentative team that is playing scared and being at home right now is not beneficial. To make matters worse, Toronto will face a Devils team that has allowed the least amount of scoring chances and shots on net in the NHL.

The Devils figure to be sky high for this game for a couple of reasons. First, they are tied with the Leafs with 47 points and could move further up the standings into eighth place with a win here. More importantly, New Jersey has lost five in a row to the Maple Leafs and this is an outstanding opportunity to get that proverbial monkey off its back. The Devils have outshot the Maple Leafs 125-78 over their past four meetings and lost them all. This time around, however, Cory Schneider will make his third straight start after winning his last two and allowing just one goal against combined. Schneider played last night against Florida and he played in Thursday’s 1-0 win over Dallas. The Devils are so determined to win here that they are sticking with Schneider despite him playing three games in four days. In the second game of back-to-back games this season, the Devils are 9-3. In the second game of back-to-backs after winning the first one the Devils are 3-0. These two are going in opposite directions right now and it isn’t likely to stop here.
 
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SPORTS WAGERS CBB

NORTHWESTERN +5½ -110 over Illinois

The Illini are ranked for the 1st time this year at #23 and one of our favorite angles over the years is to fade overpriced teams when they make the polls for the first time. Spotting points with ranked teams on the road against unranked opposition has been a bankroll killer for years. Illinois’ 13-3 record is all smoke and mirrors when you consider these rankings on the Illini:

-184th in points per game

-101st in rebounding

-316th in assists

-252 in FG %

Illinois is 1-3 in road games with only win occurring against UNLV by 2 points. Outside of a 1-point win over Mizzou, Illinois has defeated a bunch of marshmallows. Illinois’ frontcourt duo of Jon Ekey and Nnanna Egwu are soft on the boards and they are not producing offensively either.

Northwestern has played a tough schedule recently with three consecutive games against Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa. They’ve also played Mizzou, UCLA and NC State in successive games back in late November. The Wildcats have issues but they play a strong defensive game and taking back points in a low scoring game has value. It’s also worth noting that the Illini are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big Ten and they were badly exposed by Wisconsin in their last game with a 25-point loss.
 
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PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit San Francisco -1 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-10)

7 unit Denver -9.5

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Akron +5

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

72% over 54.5 Denver/SD

Iceman
(1-3)

1 unit Nashville -3

Genius
(1-10)

5 unit Cleveland +3.5

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-5)

3 unit Memphis -4.5

The Sports Report
(1-10)

4 unit San Antonio -6
 

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EAGLE EYE----Randy Rose
Your Pick: San Diego Chargers +10 (-130)
Your Pick: San Francisco 49ers (-122)
 
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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Denver Broncos -8 over the San Diego Chargers (Spread Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 4:40 PM EST
 
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BANKROLL SPORTS

10* San Diego Chargers +8 (NFL)
5* San Francisco 49ers -1 (NFL)
4* 49ers @ Panthers Over 41 (NFL)
3* SMU Mustangs +14 (CBB)
2* Air Force Falcons +11.6 (CBB)
 
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ASA's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: San Francisco at Carolina
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (41 -109)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: January 10, 2014 @ 12:43:26 PM EST

The first meeting this season was won by Carolina, 10-9. San Francisco didn't have star receiver Michael Crabtree available that game and TE Vernon Davis left that game early with a concussion. That explains why QB Kaepernick was only 11-of-22 passing for 91 yards with no scores and an interception. Crabtree has returned to the lineup since that game and he's added a new dimension to this offense and Kaepernick's numbers have improved over that span. Kaepernick is completing 60% of his passes with 8 TD and 2 INT in six games with Crabtree in the lineup (SF is 6-0) compared to 57% with 13 TD and 6 INT in 11 games without him (SF is 7-4). The Niners have averaged 25.8 PPG over the last six games and we expect them to reach that number easily on Sunday. This game pits two of the top run defenses against each other. The Niners rank 4th in the NFL, allowing just 95.9 rush yards per game. The Panthers rank 2nd in the NFL, allowing just 86.9 rush yards per game. In the first meeting, Carolina had 109 rush yards (3.5 YPC) and San Fran had 105 (4.3 YPC). With both defenses so stout against the run both quarterbacks will be forced to air it out more - extending the game and creating more opportunities for big plays. Carolina had the Wild Card weekend off to rest and prepare for this game and we expect their offense to be sharp against the Niners on Sunday. Last week Green Bay and San Fran totaled 43 points in subzero temperatures and high winds. SF moved the ball with relative ease, totaling 381 yards and 22 first downs. Weather won't be a factor this week and these two should easily exceed 41 points. Take the OVER.
 

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Solid Saturday For SportsOptions Staff

College Basketball - Saturday, January 11, 2014
Time of Play Game-time # Play on vs Line Grade
01/11/14 10:18:37am 01/11/14 08:00pm 690 Western Illinois Nebraska Omaha +2½ W
01/11/14 10:18:18am 01/11/14 02:00pm 664 Georgia Southern Western Carolina +2½ W
01/11/14 10:18:04am 01/11/14 10:00pm 656 CS Northridge Hawaii +3 W
01/11/14 10:17:36am 01/11/14 08:00pm 630 Oregon State California +2 L
01/11/14 10:17:26am 01/11/14 08:00pm 626 Missouri St Wichita State +10 W
01/11/14 10:17:07am 01/11/14 07:00pm 610 Fordham Richmond +5½ W
01/11/14 10:16:43am 01/11/14 04:00pm 590 West Virginia Oklahoma State +5½ W
01/11/14 10:16:28am 01/11/14 04:00pm 586 James Madison Delaware +3½ L
01/11/14 10:16:17am 01/11/14 04:00pm 578 Georgia Alabama +2½ W
01/11/14 10:16:01am 01/11/14 04:00pm 576 Mississippi St Mississippi +1½ W
01/11/14 10:15:36am 01/11/14 03:00pm 568 Miami Ohio Western Michigan +1½ W
01/11/14 10:15:11am 01/11/14 01:45pm 542 South Carolina LSU +3 P
01/11/14 10:14:53am 01/11/14 12:00pm 526 Georgia Tech Notre Dame +1½ W
01/11/14 10:14:36am 01/11/14 01:00pm 536 St. John's Villanova +4½ L
01/11/14 10:14:16am 01/11/14 02:00pm 556 Auburn Missouri +4½ W
01/11/14 10:13:47am 01/11/14 12:00pm 532 Oklahoma Iowa State +4½ W



Today's Plays

College Basketball - Sunday, January 12, 2014
Time of Play Game-time # Play on vs Line Grade
01/12/14 09:42:46am 01/12/14 09:00pm 840 USC Arizona +12
01/12/14 09:42:35am 01/12/14 07:30pm 836 Northwestern Illinois +5½
01/12/14 09:42:21am 01/12/14 03:00pm 822 Washington Colorado +3
01/12/14 09:42:08am 01/12/14 02:30pm 852 St. Peter's Quinnipiac +3½
01/12/14 09:41:57am 01/12/14 02:30pm 818 Duquesne La Salle +4½
01/12/14 09:41:44am 01/12/14 02:00pm 850 Siena Iona +3½
01/12/14 09:41:31am 01/12/14 02:00pm 816 Wisc Milwaukee Wisc Green Bay +5½
 
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Brandon Lang

150 DIME
-MAX WAGER-
#9 OF 12 GOES NOW
Broncos


BONUS PLAY
50 DIME
PLAYOFF WINNER
#3 IN A ROW
Niners
 

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