Bob Balfe
NAVY -3.5
Turnovers. That is all this game comes down to. Navy has a bunch of smart players who don’t turn the football over and their running game is hard to stop if you are not a big named program with a defensive coordinator who has a good game plan to stop them. Western Kentucky has turned the ball over 15 times this year and they were against teams that really are not that good. 2 subdivision schools and 2 bottom of the run SEC schools. I just don’t think Western Kentucky will have an answer to this Navy ground attack. If you are turning the ball over and giving them more chances then it just becomes a blowout. Take Navy.
BOSTON COLLEGE +24
For starters this is Winston’s second start as a college quarterback on the road. Florida State has not really jumped out in the first half on teams like they should this year and I think this line is based on the last few years results. Boston College is not a bad team at home and they have veteran skilled players. Winston looks like a senior, but he is not. He leads the NCAA in completion percentage, but now looking back at the teams he played you see the pass defense is just not good. Boston College has some good defenders and if anything I just don’t see this being a 20 + point victory. BC will told their own. Take Boston College.
GEORGIA/LSU UNDER 62.5
I know Georgia has a lot of new starters on defense, but this is the SEC. It’s not like small conference schools where a good defender comes by every 5 years. These players were recruited because they were the best in the country at playing defense. LSU will want to silent the crowd and keep Georgia’s Offense off the field. The best way to do this is by running the ball. Georgia has great offensive line. The best thing for them to do is run the football. When it comes down to it again this is the SEC not arena football. If this game goes over the total then so be it, but neither offense really turns the ball over to create short fields for the other team and not for nothing, but both starting quarterbacks are not too hot when it comes to big state games. Take the Under.
MISSISSIPPI +14.5
Tying this I can feel a trap, but that is all just based on emotion. Alabama has not looked sharp at all this year and if it was not for special teams they might have lost a game already. Ole Miss is at the peak of their programs history with talent. Every single starter is back on both sides of the ball and just based on pure talent this is the better team by far. Alabama does have the better coach and the home field, but I don’t see it amounting for 15 points. This is the game in which Ole Miss can become a major player in College Football. We all saw Alabama struggle with A&M. This is still a powerhouse and in my opinion the best program in college football, but they are human this year. I think it’s too many points. Take Mississippi.