The Saturday Edge
(TrentMoney)
3* Stanford -9.5
3* LSU/UGA o62
3* Alabama/Ole Miss o55
(SabertXii)
2* Units, V Tech +7.5 vs Georgia Tech (WINNER)
3.5* Units, Miami -18.5 vs USF
2* Units, Buffalo -1 vs UConn
1* Unit, UNLV -2.5 vs New Mexico (-115 bought .5)
1.5* Units, Navy – 3 vs WKU
1* Unit, SMU +17.5 vs TCU
(GoSooners)
1 Unit TCU/SMU over 52.5 (-110)
1/2 Unit Virginia Tech +7.5 (-115) (Win)
1 Unit South Alabama +18.5 (-110)
1 Unit Missouri -21.5 (-110)
1 Unit UAB +20 (-110)
1 Unit Rice -13.5 (-110)
1/2 Unit OU/Notre Dame (Under 50) (-110)
(TrentMoney)
3* Stanford -9.5
3* LSU/UGA o62
3* Alabama/Ole Miss o55
(SabertXii)
2* Units, V Tech +7.5 vs Georgia Tech (WINNER)
3.5* Units, Miami -18.5 vs USF
2* Units, Buffalo -1 vs UConn
1* Unit, UNLV -2.5 vs New Mexico (-115 bought .5)
1.5* Units, Navy – 3 vs WKU
1* Unit, SMU +17.5 vs TCU
(GoSooners)
1 Unit TCU/SMU over 52.5 (-110)
1/2 Unit Virginia Tech +7.5 (-115) (Win)
1 Unit South Alabama +18.5 (-110)
1 Unit Missouri -21.5 (-110)
1 Unit UAB +20 (-110)
1 Unit Rice -13.5 (-110)
1/2 Unit OU/Notre Dame (Under 50) (-110)
[h=2]SB Professor NCAAF Original Picks - 9/28[/h]
12:30 PM 125. East Carolina +13
7 PM 165. Tulane +13
Rest of Games:
174. Central Florida +7
182. Western Kentucky +3
171. Colorado +12
115. Troy +12
138. Minnesota +2
168. UTSA +2.5
164. Idaho +7
143. Arizona +9.5
176. Kentucky +12
180. Texas St. +11.5
187. Air Force +11.5
194. New Mexico +2.5
178. Washington St. +8.5
7 PM 165. Tulane +13
Rest of Games:
174. Central Florida +7
182. Western Kentucky +3
171. Colorado +12
115. Troy +12
138. Minnesota +2
168. UTSA +2.5
164. Idaho +7
143. Arizona +9.5
176. Kentucky +12
180. Texas St. +11.5
187. Air Force +11.5
194. New Mexico +2.5
178. Washington St. +8.5
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION
4.5-STAR Troy +13 over DUKE - You see the 55 points Duke put up last week and think Brandon Connette must be their new savior. However, the new quarterback is still finding his footing. Two weeks ago he did not take any chances and they got run over by Georgia Tech. Last week, he carried their offense but the chances he took led to four interceptions which were the difference in the game. Troy meanwhile really has something to prove this week and we think they will.
This game is a make or break for Troy as they are currently 2-2 on the season. Troy is 10-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since 2001 when they are .500 on the season past four, and playing a team which has won between 15 and 69% of their games, if they were not shutout last game (season>=2001 and game number>4 and wins-losses=0 and team= 'TROY' and points>0 and 69>=o:WP>=15).
However, it really is because of what happened to them last week. Troy was destroyed 62-7 by Mississippi State. Teams which lost by between 51 and 64 points less than 10 days ago are 154-117-7 ATS
They were just 14.5 point dogs in that game, meaning they failed to cover by 40.5 points. Teams are 101-54-6 ATS when they failed to cover by between 40 and 48.5 points last game (-48.5<=p:ats margin<=-40).
Trojans are good at bouncing back from big losses. Troy is 7-0 ATS since 2007 with less than six losses on the season, off a loss by at least 24 points (team=TROY and p:margin<=-24 and season>=2007 and losses<6).
The Blue Devils also gave up that kind of scoring but put up the points as well in a 58-55 loss to Pittsburgh Saturday. Teams which lost while scoring at least 45 points are 61-83-1 ATS next game (p:L and points>=45).
That sort of offensive output is rare for the Blue Devils. Duke is 0-7 since November 1990 when they scored more than 45 points last game and weren't double digit favorites (team=DUKE and points>45 and date>=19901101 and p:line>-10)
Each team alone went over the total of 51 in that game, sending it over the total by 62 points. Teams are 89-115-2 coming off a game which went over by more than 36 points (pu margin > 36). Also, Duke is 0-7 ATS since November 2007 when the total is more than 41 and their last game went over the total by more than 17 points but they did not win by 21 or more (team=DUKE and pu margin>17 and date>=20071101 and total>41 and p:margin<21).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERSPREDICTION 4.5-STAR Troy +13 over :Troy 31, DUKE 27
4.5-STAR Troy +13 over DUKE - You see the 55 points Duke put up last week and think Brandon Connette must be their new savior. However, the new quarterback is still finding his footing. Two weeks ago he did not take any chances and they got run over by Georgia Tech. Last week, he carried their offense but the chances he took led to four interceptions which were the difference in the game. Troy meanwhile really has something to prove this week and we think they will.
This game is a make or break for Troy as they are currently 2-2 on the season. Troy is 10-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since 2001 when they are .500 on the season past four, and playing a team which has won between 15 and 69% of their games, if they were not shutout last game (season>=2001 and game number>4 and wins-losses=0 and team= 'TROY' and points>0 and 69>=o:WP>=15).
However, it really is because of what happened to them last week. Troy was destroyed 62-7 by Mississippi State. Teams which lost by between 51 and 64 points less than 10 days ago are 154-117-7 ATS
They were just 14.5 point dogs in that game, meaning they failed to cover by 40.5 points. Teams are 101-54-6 ATS when they failed to cover by between 40 and 48.5 points last game (-48.5<=p:ats margin<=-40).
Trojans are good at bouncing back from big losses. Troy is 7-0 ATS since 2007 with less than six losses on the season, off a loss by at least 24 points (team=TROY and p:margin<=-24 and season>=2007 and losses<6).
The Blue Devils also gave up that kind of scoring but put up the points as well in a 58-55 loss to Pittsburgh Saturday. Teams which lost while scoring at least 45 points are 61-83-1 ATS next game (p:L and points>=45).
That sort of offensive output is rare for the Blue Devils. Duke is 0-7 since November 1990 when they scored more than 45 points last game and weren't double digit favorites (team=DUKE and points>45 and date>=19901101 and p:line>-10)
Each team alone went over the total of 51 in that game, sending it over the total by 62 points. Teams are 89-115-2 coming off a game which went over by more than 36 points (pu margin > 36). Also, Duke is 0-7 ATS since November 2007 when the total is more than 41 and their last game went over the total by more than 17 points but they did not win by 21 or more (team=DUKE and pu margin>17 and date>=20071101 and total>41 and p:margin<21).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERSPREDICTION 4.5-STAR Troy +13 over :Troy 31, DUKE 27
BOB BALFE
CFB
NAVY -3.5
Turnovers. That is all this game comes down to. Navy has a bunch of smart players who don’t turn the football over and their running game is hard to stop if you are not a big named program with a defensive coordinator who has a good game plan to stop them. Western Kentucky has turned the ball over 15 times this year and they were against teams that really are not that good. 2 subdivision schools and 2 bottom of the run SEC schools. I just don’t think Western Kentucky will have an answer to this Navy ground attack. If you are turning the ball over and giving them more chances then it just becomes a blowout. Take Navy.
CFB
NAVY -3.5
Turnovers. That is all this game comes down to. Navy has a bunch of smart players who don’t turn the football over and their running game is hard to stop if you are not a big named program with a defensive coordinator who has a good game plan to stop them. Western Kentucky has turned the ball over 15 times this year and they were against teams that really are not that good. 2 subdivision schools and 2 bottom of the run SEC schools. I just don’t think Western Kentucky will have an answer to this Navy ground attack. If you are turning the ball over and giving them more chances then it just becomes a blowout. Take Navy.
"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season
"Mr Chalk" had Np on Friday and has Np on Saturday.
"Mr Chalk" is 5-1 +$345 for the week 103-62 +$882 for the 2013 MLB season.
Ben lee lost on Friday with Middle Tennessee St +24/BYU.
For Saturday Ben lee likes
(1) Arizona +10/Washington
(2)*Clemson -28/Wake Forest (Best Bet)
(3) Colorado +12/Oregon St.
Each for $50.
Ben lee is 1-1 -$05 for the week in College Football.
"Mr Chalk" had Np on Friday and has Np on Saturday.
"Mr Chalk" is 5-1 +$345 for the week 103-62 +$882 for the 2013 MLB season.
Ben lee lost on Friday with Middle Tennessee St +24/BYU.
For Saturday Ben lee likes
(1) Arizona +10/Washington
(2)*Clemson -28/Wake Forest (Best Bet)
(3) Colorado +12/Oregon St.
Each for $50.
Ben lee is 1-1 -$05 for the week in College Football.
